Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
152 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST AND
PASS THROUGH OUR FORECAST AREA AND INTO THE ATLANTIC DURING THE
FIRST HALF OF THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE
NORTHERN PLAINS WILL THEN BUILD EAST, REACH THE REGION ON FRIDAY AND
THEN DRIFT INTO NEW ENGLAND ON SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT IS THEN
PREDICTED TO LIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST, ARRIVE AND THEN STALL OVER THE
AREA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE CWA
THROUGH 900 PM.

ANOTHER ACTIVE DAY SHAPING UP WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SVR TSTMS AND
MORE FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED TODAY. THE SPC HAS PLACED THE ENTIRE
REGION FOR SLGT CHC FOR SVR TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH WILL CONTINUE AS PREVIOUSLY ISSUED,

THE MORNING UPDATE ALLOWED FOR SOME TEMPERATURES INCREASES FOR THE
MAXS TODAY WITH AREAS ACROSS THE DELMARVA AND SRN NJ BREAKING OUT
OF THE THICKEST CLOUD COVER ALREADY. POPS WERE ADJUSTED...BUT THE
OVERALL TRENDS FOR THE AFTERNOON WERE KEPT IN THE CATEGORICAL
RANGE FOR ALL AREAS. SPS ISSUED TO HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL
HAZARDOUS THREATS LATER TODAY/TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
WE EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO BE ONGOING THIS EVENING AHEAD
OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND APPROACH THE
COAST BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THE STRONGEST CONVECTION WILL LIKELY
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY IN THE EVENING AND WEAKEN IN SEVERITY AS
INSTABILITY WANES. HOWEVER, PW VALUES DO NOT DROP UNTIL THE FRONT
ACTUALLY PASSES, SO THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL THROUGH THE NIGHT. THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE
EXTENDED THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO
LOWER BEHIND THE FRONT, SO POPS WERE LOWERED FROM WEST TO EAST
THROUGH THE NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
GFS INITIALIZATION LOOKED SLIGHTLY BETTER THAN THE WRF-NMMB AT MOST
LEVELS.

US MODELS CONTINUE TO LAG BEHIND OTHER MODELS WITH LINGERING
PCPN INTO WEDNESDAY. ON THE OTHER END OF THE SPECTRUM, THE CANADIAN
MODELS DONT HAVE MUCH PCPN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. GIVEN THE INITIAL
TRULY CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE EVENT WE ARE GOING TO SIDE WITH A
TIMING THAT IS CLOSELY CLUSTERED TO THE MESOSCALE MODELS (WHO ARE
ALL VERY CLOSE). THUS AFTER 12Z WEDNESDAY MAINLAND POPS WERE KEPT AS
CHANCE AND THE OVERALL EXIT OF CHANCES TOWARD A CONSENSUS. THUNDER
CHANCES ARE PRETTY CLOSE TO SPC'S DAY2 AS ALL GUIDANCE WEAKENS THAT
ASPECT (WHILE INCREASING MID LEVEL QVEC CONVERGENCE) AS TONIGHT
CONTINUES. MAX TEMPS BANKING ON SOME AFTERNOON SUN TO GET US THERE.
GENERALLY CLOSER TO LOWER NAM MOS.

THEN OUR CWA WILL GET A WELL DESERVED RESPITE FROM THE STORMS OF THE
LAST COUPLE OF DAYS AS MUCH DRIER AIR WORKS ITS WAY INTO THE REGION.
AWAY FROM URBAN AREAS, MIN TEMPS CLOSER TO LOWER STAT GUIDANCE WITH
LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED.

CONVECTIVE TEMP SHOULD BE REACHED ON THURSDAY, BUT FORECAST
SOUNDINGS FOR NOW ARE CAPPED. MAX TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW STAT
GUIDANCE AS PREDICTED SUB 14C 850 TEMPS/SUB 20C 925 TEMPS WOULD
MAKE IT HARD TO REACH THE HIGHER PREDICTED STAT VALUES. WOULD
THINK SOME OF THE SUN'S ENERGY SHOULD ALSO BE SAPPED EVAPORATING
ALL OF OUR STANDING WATER.

THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE ZONAL THURSDAY NIGHT (ANOTHER GOOD
RADIATOR) WITH A SLIGHTLY WARMER AIR MASS RECOVERY ON FRIDAY.
FRONT TOO FAR SOUTH, SO WE REMOVED POPS.

BEYOND FRIDAY DAY WE DID NOT CHANGE THE LONG TERM MUCH. IT APPEARS
OUR RECENT RUN OF DRY WEATHER WEEKENDS COULD TAKE EVEN A HARDER HIT
THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND. THE COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL AND
START WORKING ITS WAY NORTH. HERE THE MODELS AGREE. BEYOND THAT
SCENARIO, THERE IS DISAGREEMENT AS TO THE LOCATION OF THE
STALLING (AND FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION) FRONT. WE ARE CLOSE TO WPC
POSITIONING IN OUR CWA WHICH MAINTAINS POPS FOR THE REST OF THE
LONG TERM ALONG WITH THE RETURN OF MORE HUMID CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

ABUNDANT LOW CLOUDS ARE STUBBORN TO MIX OUT THIS MORNING. IFR/MVFR
LINGERING EVEN IN AREAS WHERE SATELLITE SHOWING SIG BREAKS NEARBY.
IT WILL PROBABLY TAKE INTO THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON FOR
VFR TO RETURN TO MOST AREAS. VRY LIGHT WINDS AT THE SFC NOT
HELPING MATTERS. SCT SHOWERS ACROSS CNTRL PA WILL MOVE NE OF METRO
PHL NEXT FEW HOURS.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE TAF SITES UNTIL THEY ARE
AFFECTED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY, WHICH WILL LOWER
CIGS/VSBYS WHEN THE PASS AND COULD ALSO CREATE LOCALLY
STRONG/GUSTY WINDS.

A COLD FRONT WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
CLOUDS TO BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT FROM WEST TO EAST. AS THIS HAPPENS,
AREAS OF FOG COULD DEVELOP WHERE CLEARING TAKES PLACE.

WINDS TODAY WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST, AND COULD BECOME GUSTY
TODAY 15-18 KNOTS. WIND DIRECTIONS COULD CHANGE DRASTICALLY WHEN TAF
SITES ARE AFFECTED BY THUNDERSTORMS AND/OR OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. ONCE
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH OVERNIGHT, WIND WILL SWITCH TO NORTHWEST
BEHIND THE FRONT.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY...BECOMING VFR. MOST OF THE SUB VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD BE
AT EASTERN TERMINALS AND AIRPORTS.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...PREDOMINATELY VFR.

FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...GENERALLY VFR. A CHANCE FOR TSRA ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA FLAG RAISED FOR THE OCEAN WATERS AS OF 100 PM.

NUMEROUS TSTMS WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. NOT A GOOD DAY TO BE OUT IN SMALL
CRAFT OR IF YOU HAVE DOUBTS ABOUT YOUR ABILITIES. SMW'S LIKELY
ACROSS THE WATERS. STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTING WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE A THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS ARE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY...SEAS MIGHT STILL BE AT OR ABOVE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA ON THE OCEAN TO START. GUIDANCE HAS BEEN RUNNING HIGH,
SO WE WILL HOLD OFF ON EXTENDING IT FURTHER UNTIL WE ARE MORE
CONFIDENT.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...NO MARINE HEADLINES ARE
ANTICIPATED.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-
     070-071-101>106.
NJ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NJZ001-007>010-
     012>027.
DE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR DEZ001>004.
MD...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-
     020.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GIGI/99
NEAR TERM...ROBERTSON
SHORT TERM...ROBERTSON
LONG TERM...GIGI
AVIATION...GIGI/JOHNSON/ROBERTSON
MARINE...GIGI/JOHNSON/ROBERTSON
RIP CURRENTS...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1055 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>023-027-
PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-161500-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
1055 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SWATHS OF HIGH IMPACT DAMAGING THUNDERSTORMS WITH FLASH FLOODING
EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR THIS EVENING. PLEASE SEE SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT OR SIMILAR FACEBOOK POST FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ014-024>026-161500-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-
1055 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SWATHS OF HIGH IMPACT DAMAGING THUNDERSTORMS WITH FLASH FLOODING
EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR THIS EVENING. PLEASE SEE SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT OR SIMILAR FACEBOOK POST FOR DETAILS.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ004-161500-
DELAWARE BEACHES-
1055 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SWATHS OF HIGH IMPACT DAMAGING THUNDERSTORMS WITH FLASH FLOODING
EXPECTED THIS EVENING. PLEASE SEE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT OR
SIMILAR FACEBOOK POST FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ430-431-450>455-161500-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1055 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND TO 40 KT ARE
POSSIBLE BETWEEN 5 PM AND MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1104 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0353 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW MONTGOMERYVILLE    40.23N  75.27W
07/14/2014                   MONTGOMERY         PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TREES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES REPORTED IN
            MONTGOMERYVILLE.

0401 PM     HAIL             MONTGOMERYVILLE         40.25N  75.24W
07/14/2014  M1.00 INCH       MONTGOMERY         PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT THE MONTGOMERY MALL IN
            MONTGOMERYVILLE.

0454 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LAKEWOOD                40.10N  74.22W
07/14/2014                   OCEAN              NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING IN LAKEWOOD WITH
            ROADS IMPASSABLE AND SOME CLOSURES.

0456 PM     HAIL             HOWELL TWP              40.19N  74.20W
07/14/2014  M0.25 INCH       MONMOUTH           NJ   COCORAHS

            PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN HOWELL TOWNSHIP.

0545 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SALISBURY TWP           40.59N  75.43W
07/14/2014                   LEHIGH             PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED AND SOME WASHED OUT... RESULTING
            IN CLOSURES. WATER INTO THE FIRST FLOOR OF BUILDINGS.

0548 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ALLENTOWN               40.59N  75.48W
07/14/2014                   LEHIGH             PA   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN AND AROUND THE ALLENTOWN AREA.
            INTERSECTION OF WALBERT AVE AND CEDAR CREST BLVD FLOODED
            IN NEARBY SOUTH WHITEHALL TWP. LEHIGH STREET FLOODED IN
            EMMAUS. ROADS ALSO FLOODED IN UPPER SAUCON TWP. VEHICLES
            STALLED OUT IN THESE LOCATIONS ATTEMPTING TO DRIVE
            THROUGH HIGH WATER.

0655 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RARITAN TWP             40.52N  74.88W
07/14/2014                   HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIRES DOWN. ALSO BRANCHES DOWN IN NEARBY READINGTON
            TOWNSHIP.

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORTHEAST HEIGHTS       39.57N  75.95W
07/14/2014                   CECIL              MD   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN IN NORTHEAST.

0702 PM     HAIL             FLEMINGTON              40.51N  74.86W
07/14/2014  E0.25 INCH       HUNTERDON          NJ   CO-OP OBSERVER

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHESAPEAKE CITY         39.53N  75.81W
07/14/2014                   CECIL              MD   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN IN CHESAPEAKE CITY.

0718 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND DELAWARE CITY           39.58N  75.60W
07/14/2014  M39 MPH          NEW CASTLE         DE   MESONET

0718 PM     TSTM WND GST     ODESSA                  39.46N  75.66W
07/14/2014  M55 MPH          NEW CASTLE         DE   MESONET

0730 PM     LIGHTNING        MIDDLETOWN              39.45N  75.71W
07/14/2014                   NEW CASTLE         DE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            2 HOUSES WERE STRUCK.....TREES AND WIRES DOWN

0732 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EASTON                  38.77N  76.08W
07/14/2014                   TALBOT             MD   SOCIAL MEDIA

            LARGE TREE DOWN BLOCKING THE INTERSECTION OF PROBASCO
            LANDING ROAD AND LONGWOODS ROAD.

0755 PM     LIGHTNING        GLENOLDEN               39.90N  75.29W
07/14/2014                   DELAWARE           PA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            *** 1 INJ *** 14-YEAR-OLD BOY STRUCK BY LIGHTNING...
            HOSPITALIZED.

0800 PM     FLOOD            EDISON                  40.52N  74.41W
07/14/2014                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER ACROSS ROADS... SEVERAL INCHES DEEP IN SOME
            AREAS.

0800 PM     FLOOD            METUCHEN                40.54N  74.36W
07/14/2014                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            UNDERPASSES FLOODED IN METUCHEN. MAIN STREET UNDER THE
            AMTRAK LINE FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE WITH WATER THREE FEET
            DEEP.

0805 PM     LIGHTNING        FOLSOM                  39.89N  75.33W
07/14/2014                   DELAWARE           PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BUILDING STRUCK BY LIGHTNING AND ON FIRE.

0807 PM     TSTM WND DMG     VOORHEES                39.85N  74.96W
07/14/2014                   CAMDEN             NJ   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN

0810 PM     TSTM WND GST     VOORHEES                39.85N  74.96W
07/14/2014  M49 MPH          CAMDEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0814 PM     FLOOD            HADDONFIELD             39.90N  75.04W
07/14/2014                   CAMDEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MINOR STREET FLOODING ALONG 13TH AVENUE.

0827 PM     TSTM WND GST     LUMBERTON               39.97N  74.81W
07/14/2014  M65 MPH          BURLINGTON         NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            65 MPH WIND GUST IN LUMBERTON.

0828 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SOUTHAMPTON TWP         39.91N  74.73W
07/14/2014                   BURLINGTON         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE ALUMINUM IRRIGATION PIPES BLOWN ACROSS BUDDTOWN
            ROAD IN SOUTHAMPTON TWP. MANY TREES ALSO BLOWN DOWN.

0830 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CENTER CITY             39.98N  75.14W
07/14/2014                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

            SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND STORM DRAINS OVERFLOWING AT
            INTERSECTION OF 12TH STREET AND CHESTNUT STREET.

0833 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BORDENTOWN TWP          40.13N  74.70W
07/14/2014                   BURLINGTON         NJ   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            INTERSTATE 295 CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS IN BORDENTOWN
            TWP DUE TO FLOODING.

0843 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SAYREVILLE              40.47N  74.32W
07/14/2014                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTS OF MOTORISTS STRANDED IN HIGH WATER

0845 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HAZLET                  40.42N  74.19W
07/14/2014                   MONMOUTH           NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

            ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO FLOODING... INCLUDING HWY 36 AND
            FLORENCE AVE.

0847 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PHILADELPHIA            39.95N  75.16W
07/14/2014                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   OTHER FEDERAL

            FRANKFORD CREEK FLOODED

0852 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PHILADELPHIA            39.95N  75.16W
07/14/2014                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   OTHER FEDERAL

            PENNYPACK CREEK FLOODED.

0853 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CROSSWICKS              40.15N  74.65W
07/14/2014                   BURLINGTON         NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            RESIDENTS BEING RESCUED FROM HOME ALONG ELLISDALE ROAD
            DUE TO FAST RISING FLOOD WATERS.

0903 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BRISTOL                 40.10N  74.85W
07/14/2014                   BUCKS              PA   NEWSPAPER

            NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED IN BRISTOL... INCLUDING
            RADCLIFFE ST... SARRAGUT ST... AND WILSON ST.

0959 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BRISTOL                 40.10N  74.85W
07/14/2014                   BUCKS              PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERE FLOODING ON CAMPUS OF LOWER BUCKS HOSPITAL.
            WATER FROM PARKING LOT INTO HOSPITALS STAIRCASES.

1010 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PERTH AMBOY             40.52N  74.27W
07/14/2014                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

            MARKET STREET... MAPLE STREET... FAYETTE STREET... NEW
            BRUNSWICK AVENUE ALL CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

1053 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MIDDLEBUSH              40.50N  74.53W
07/14/2014  M3.78 INCH       SOMERSET           NJ   MESONET

1054 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CALIFON                 40.72N  74.84W
07/14/2014  M2.73 INCH       HUNTERDON          NJ   MESONET

1059 PM     HEAVY RAIN       OLD BRIDGE              40.41N  74.37W
07/14/2014  M2.92 INCH       MIDDLESEX          NJ   MESONET

1101 PM     HEAVY RAIN       WALL TWP                40.17N  74.08W
07/14/2014  M3.95 INCH       MONMOUTH           NJ   NJWXNET

1102 PM     HEAVY RAIN       HOLMDEL                 40.35N  74.18W
07/14/2014  M3.42 INCH       MONMOUTH           NJ   NJWXNET

1102 PM     HEAVY RAIN       NEW BRUNSWICK           40.49N  74.45W
07/14/2014  M3.11 INCH       MIDDLESEX          NJ   NJWXNET

0426 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MILLSTONE TWP           40.20N  74.43W
07/15/2014  M3.62 INCH       MONMOUTH           NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1400519 PHI1400517 PHI1400520 PHI1400518 PHI1400525
PHI1400521 PHI1400553 PHI1400523 PHI1400522 PHI1400524 PHI1400526
PHI1400534 PHI1400555 PHI1400536 PHI1400550 PHI1400527 PHI1400528
PHI1400551 PHI1400554 PHI1400556 PHI1400529 PHI1400531 PHI1400533
PHI1400532 PHI1400539 PHI1400530 PHI1400537 PHI1400544 PHI1400545
PHI1400535 PHI1400538 PHI1400540 PHI1400541 PHI1400542 PHI1400543
PHI1400546 PHI1400547 PHI1400548 PHI1400549 PHI1400552

STAFF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1253 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MERTZTOWN               40.51N  75.67W
07/14/2014                   BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ON MERTZTOWN ROAD AND TOOK OUT WIRES AND CORN
            ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1400557

STAFF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
109 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

NJZ008>010-012-151815-
HUNTERDON NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-MORRIS NJ-SOMERSET NJ-
109 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL HUNTERDON...NORTH
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX...SOMERSET AND SOUTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTIES...

AT 106 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR FLAGTOWN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO
NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN CAN CAUSE RAPID
RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR BRIDGEWATER AROUND 120 PM...MARTINSVILLE
AROUND 130 PM...MILLINGTON AROUND 140 PM...MADISON AROUND 150 PM...
CHATHAM AROUND 200 PM AND EAST HANOVER AROUND 210 PM.

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4084 7432 4079 7436 4074 7436
      4068 7445 4066 7445 4067 7440 4060 7444
      4060 7435 4052 7454 4047 7478 4059 7487
      4072 7471 4095 7427 4090 7426

FORECASTER: HEAVENER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
121 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

NJZ012>015-019-151815-
EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON
NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
121 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MIDDLESEX...MONMOUTH...NORTH
CENTRAL BURLINGTON AND SOUTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTIES...

AT 116 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR CROSSWICKS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO
NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN CAN CAUSE RAPID
RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR ALLENTOWN AROUND 130 PM...ROOSEVELT AROUND
140 PM...MANALAPAN AROUND 150 PM...ROBERTSVILLE AROUND 200 PM...
MORGANVILLE AROUND 210 PM AND STRATHMORE AROUND 220 PM.

LAT...LON 4036 7396 4017 7438 4017 7441 4005 7462
      4014 7473 4016 7472 4019 7476 4035 7461
      4061 7423 4061 7421 4056 7421 4055 7424
      4049 7426 4047 7425 4047 7414 4042 7401
      4048 7400 4045 7396

FORECASTER: HEAVENER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
136 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

NJZ013-014-019-020-151830-
EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-
WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
136 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MONMOUTH...NORTH CENTRAL
BURLINGTON AND NORTHERN OCEAN COUNTIES...

AT 135 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR MCGUIRE AFB...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO
NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN CAN CAUSE RAPID
RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR WOODRUFF AROUND 150 PM...SIX FLAGS THEME PARK
AROUND 200 PM...JACKSONS MILLS AROUND 210 PM...HOWELL AROUND 220 PM
AND FARMINGDALE AROUND 230 PM.

LAT...LON 4015 7401 3994 7459 4010 7470 4014 7459
      4015 7459 4041 7402 4030 7396

FORECASTER: HEAVENER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
152 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

NJZ016>019-021-022-027-151900-
ATLANTIC NJ-CAMDEN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SALEM NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
152 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN SALEM...NORTH CENTRAL
CUMBERLAND...NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC...SOUTHEASTERN GLOUCESTER...
SOUTHERN BURLINGTON AND SOUTHERN CAMDEN COUNTIES...

AT 150 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR OLIVET...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO
NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN CAN CAUSE RAPID
RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR ELMER AROUND 200 PM...FRANKLINVILLE AROUND
210 PM...MONROE TOWNSHIP AROUND 220 PM...CHESILHURST AROUND 230 PM...
SHAMONG AROUND 250 PM AND LEISURETOWNE AROUND 300 PM.

LAT...LON 3995 7471 3968 7449 3944 7526 3960 7537

FORECASTER: HEAVENER