Alert archive / New Jersey / Special Marine Warnings in 2014

Special Marine Warning 9, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

March 12, 2014

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this special marine warning at Mar 12, 2014, 8:34 PM EDT. It was in force for 86 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 12, 2014, 8:34 PM EDT (00:34 UTC)
Expired
Mar 12, 2014, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
86 min
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2014-03-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2014-03-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 296 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-189 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
896 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
296 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
305 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

154 
WHUS51 KPHI 130034
SMWPHI
ANZ451>455-470-130200-
/O.NEW.KPHI.MA.W.0009.140313T0034Z-140313T0200Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
834 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
  THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN MANASQUAN INLET NJ AND FENWICK
  ISLAND DE OUT TO 20 NM...
  THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN SANDY HOOK NJ AND FENWICK
  ISLAND DE OUT 20 TO 40 NM...

  INCLUDING BETHANY BEACH...DELAWARE LIGHTSHIP BUOY 44009...INDIAN
  RIVER INLET BRIDGE...OVERFALLS SHOAL...REHOBOTH BEACH...28-MILE
  WRECK...ATLANTIC CITY REEF...BEACH HAVEN...BUOY 2FB...BUOY 2MS...
  BUOY 3FB...BUOY 4FB...BUOY GE...BRIGANTINE...CAPE MAY POINT...CAPE
  MAY REEF...DEEPWATER REEF...FIVE FATHOMS BUOY...GARDEN STATE NORTH
  REEF...GARDEN STATE SOUTH REEF...GREAT EGG INLET...GREAT EGG
  REEF...LITTLE EGG INLET...LITTLE EGG REEF...NORTH BEACH HAVEN...
  OCEAN CITY REEF...SHIP BOTTOM...THE LUMP AND WILDWOOD REEF...

* UNTIL 1000 PM EDT

* AT 825 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
  A LINE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG WINDS OF 
  AROUND 40 KNOTS FROM 22 NM NORTHWEST OF BUOY GE TO 30 NM WEST
  OF BETHANY BEACH...OR FROM 22 NM NORTHWEST OF BUOY GE TO 28 NM 
  WEST OF OCEAN CITY...MOVING EAST AT 45 KNOTS.

* AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT FROM SOUTH TO WEST CAN BE EXPECTED AS THIS
  LINE MOVES THROUGH. THE LIKELIHOOD OF THIS OCCURRING INCREASES 
  THE FARTHER SOUTH ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST AND IS HIGH OFF THE 
  DELAWARE OCEAN COASTAL WATERS. A WIND GUST TO 42 KNOTS OCCURRED
  AT SHIP JOHN SHOAL LIGHT IN DELAWARE BAY.

* THIS LEADING EDGE LINE WILL BE NEAR
  CAPE MAY POINT AT 900 PM EDT...
  BUOY GE AT 900 PM EDT...
  REHOBOTH BEACH AT 900 PM EDT...
  OVERFALLS SHOAL AT 900 PM EDT...
  THE LUMP AT 910 PM EDT...
  SHIP BOTTOM AT 910 PM EDT...
  NORTH BEACH HAVEN AT 910 PM EDT...
  LITTLE EGG INLET AT 910 PM EDT...
  WILDWOOD REEF AT 920 PM EDT...
  OCEAN CITY REEF AT 920 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AS THIS LINE MOVES OVER THE WATER...BOATERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WIND
AND HIGH WAVES. MARINERS CAN ALSO EXPECT HEAVY RAINS.  BOATERS 
SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY. IF NOT POSSIBLE, MOVE TO
SHORE UNTIL THIS LINE PASSES. 


&&

LAT...LON 3859 7529 3862 7513 3864 7517 3926 7463
      3930 7480 3931 7466 3934 7470 3938 7448
      3955 7443 3958 7455 3958 7454 3973 7338
      3881 7392 3869 7415 3822 7431
TIME...MOT...LOC 0030Z 255DEG 44KT 3962 7475 3910 7520
          3845 7559

$$

TFG
1 follow-up statement
059 
FZUS71 KPHI 130132
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
932 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

ANZ451>455-470-130141-
/O.CAN.KPHI.MA.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140313T0200Z/
932 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF SHOWERS HAS WEAKENED.

THE AFFECTED AREAS WERE...
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM
OVER ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM
OVER ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
INCLUDING BETHANY BEACH...DELAWARE LIGHTSHIP BUOY 44009...INDIAN
RIVER INLET BRIDGE...REHOBOTH BEACH...28-MILE WRECK...ATLANTIC CITY
REEF...BEACH HAVEN...BUOY 2FB...BUOY 2MS...BUOY 3FB...BUOY 4FB...BUOY
GE...BRIGANTINE...CAPE MAY REEF...DEEPWATER REEF...FIVE FATHOMS
BUOY...GARDEN STATE NORTH REEF...GARDEN STATE SOUTH REEF...GREAT EGG
INLET...GREAT EGG REEF...LITTLE EGG INLET...LITTLE EGG REEF...NORTH
BEACH HAVEN...OCEAN CITY REEF...THE LUMP AND WILDWOOD REEF...

 
LAT...LON 3859 7529 3862 7513 3864 7517 3926 7463
      3930 7480 3931 7466 3934 7470 3938 7448
      3955 7443 3958 7455 3958 7454 3973 7338
      3881 7392 3869 7415 3822 7431
TIME...MOT...LOC 0131Z 255DEG 44KT 3968 7376 3918 7424
          3854 7467

$$

TFG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special marine warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special marine warning went out at Mar 12, 7:11 PM EDT, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 7:11 PM EDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
711 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO OUR NORTHEAST TONIGHT
PULLING A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO OUR SOUTH THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A WARM FRONT MAY LIFT ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY, FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER EARLY SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO BUILD OUT OF SOUTH
CENTRAL CANADA AND DOWN ACROSS THE NORTHEAST LATE IN THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE ANOTHER COASTAL STORM MAY DEVELOP OFF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST AND MOVE NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC REGION SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PARTS OF THE FORECAST
AREA UNTIL 10PM THIS EVENING, INCLUDING FOR DELAWARE, THE EASTERN
SHORE OF MARYLAND, AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. AS OF MID
EVENING, A RELATIVELY NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS WITH ASSOCIATED
STRONG WIND GUSTS UP TO AROUND 45MPH THUS FAR WAS TRACKING ACROSS
EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND INTO NORTHWEST NJ, WITH THE SOUTHERN EDGE
OF THIS LINE EXTENDING INTO NORTHERN DELAWARE AND FAR NORTHEAST
MARYLAND. THIS LINE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO RACE EASTWARD AND
WILL LIKELY CLEAR MUCH OF THE REGION BY ABOUT 01Z. IN ITS WAKE,
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, WITH RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES.
SOME ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO TEMPS/DEWPOINTS OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS, AS WELL AS TIMING OF THE LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS THROUGH THE
AREA, BUT OVERALL TONIGHTS FORECAST LOOKS IN LINE.

OTHERWISE, BAND OF SHOWERS MOVING THRU THE CWA NOW IN THE 23Z-
02Z TIME FRAME WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LOW TOPPED TSTM WITH THE
COLD FRONT. ML CAPE IS ALMOST NON EXISTENT BUT SHEAR IS LARGE AND
ITS A VERY DYNAMIC INTENSIFYING SYSTEM SO WE CANNOT RULE OUT A
GUST 50 KT WITH THE REMNANTS OF WHATEVER SQLINE PASSES THRU OUR
CWA EARLY THIS EVENING. PLS SEE SPC DISCUSSIONS AND FURTHER
UPDATES FROM OUR OFFICE THIS EVENING.

THE SPS CONTINUES WITH UPDATES FOR A RELATIVELY EXTREME CHANGE WITH
WIND DRIVEN COLD ARRIVING BY MIDNIGHT.  20 DEGREE DROPS FORESEEN IN
4 HRS.

IN ESSENCE... THE 12Z/12 NAM FOLLOWS SUIT FROM PRIOR MULTI MODEL
CONSENSUS. THAT MEANS WE DID NOT USE THE 12Z/12 MET MOS GUIDANCE
WHICH AT MIDNIGHT FOR PHL SHOWS A SFC TEMP OF 41F (5C) WHILE THE
12Z/12 NAM BL TEMP OF 14C AT 00Z/13 (MIGHT BE 2C TOO LOW? UNLESS
ITS RAINING AT 00Z) PLUNGES TO -7C AT 06Z (A DROP OF 21C OR 38F IN
6 HOURS). OUR PREVIOUS NUMBERS AND TREND REMAIN THE SAME AS
POSTED IN THE 330 AM FCST.

OTHERWISE...THE GUSTY SSW WINDS TO 25-35 MPH PHL AREA SOUTHWARD WILL
SHIFT NW THIS EVENING.

TONIGHT...COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION BETWEEN ROUGHLY
23Z AND 02Z WITH A PROBABLE 1 HR DELAY OF TEMPS FALLING SUBSTANTIALLY
AFTER THE WIND SHIFTS FROM SW TO NW. ANY REMAINING SEVERE RISK
WILL BE PRIMARILY OVER DELMARVA, FAR SE PA, AND S NJ AND THIS
SHOULD END NO LATER THAN 02Z.

WINDS: THE STRONGEST WINDS ON LAND ARE EXPECTED IN THE POCONOS,
WHERE TERRAIN EFFECTS WILL HELP MIXING, AND IN THE SOUTHERN HALF
OF THE CWA WHERE THE ISALLOBARIC WIND COMPONENT IS EXPECTED TO BE
THE STRONGEST. THE WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES AS POSTED EARLY THIS
MORNING. THERE IS RISK OF HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA FOR MDS
EASTERN SHORE AND DELAWARE WHERE THE COMBINATION 8 TO 10MB 3 HRLY
PRES RISES AND WINDS OF 45-50 KT DEVELOP DOWN TO NEAR 925 MB WITH
VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES DEVELOPING BY 03Z. AN UPGRADE MAY OCCUR
HERE NEAR 02Z IF UPSTREAM EVIDENCE SUPPORTS.

SNOW: NOT MUCH QPF EXPECTED AFTER 00Z AND SO SNOW ACCUMS WILL BE
MINIMAL IN THE FLASH FREEZE AREA OF MONROE COUNTY AND POSSIBLY
ELEVATED SUSSEX COUNTY NJ.  FIRST IT HAS TO TURN COLD ENOUGH TO SNOW
AND THAT MAY NOT OCCUR IN MONROE AND SUSSEX COUNTIES TIL 9 OR 10 PM
WHEN MOST OF THE QPF HAS ENDED.  STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES ON THIS SNOW
SECTION AS THIS IS A FINE LINE LINE BETWEEN LESS THAN ONE HALF INCH
SNOW AND 2 INCHES IN 2 HRS.  OTHERWISE FLURRIES POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT
ELSEWHERE IN NJ AND PA

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THURSDAY...BLUSTERY AND COLD WITH NW WIND GUSTS 35 TO NEAR 45 MPH AND
TEMPERATURES NEARLY 20 DEGREES COLDER THAN NORMAL, WIND CHILL VALUES
WILL REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS, POSSIBLY BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ZONES, FOR MOST OF THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LONG TERM MODELS FOR THE END OF
THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND, FOLLOWED BY SOME MODEL SPREAD AND LARGER
DIFFERENCES STARTING MONDAY INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THEN
WILL PUSH TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY WHILE A WARM FRONT
LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA. WE EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY AS VERTICAL MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED AND NO STRONG
SHORT WAVES/VORT MAXES ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA.

AS WE MOVE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY, A COLD FRONT WILL BE
APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE WEST AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SWINGS
THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. AGAIN, MOISTURE IS MOSTLY LACKING WITH
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY, AND THE MAIN SHORT WAVE/VORT MAX IS EXPECTED
TO PASS NORTH OF THE AREA. SO FOR NOW WE DO NOT EXPECT MUCH
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION, ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE ENOUGH FOR SOME
LIGHT SHOWERS TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS ANY PRECIPITATION
DISSIPATING AS IT MOVES INTO OUR AREA.

ANOTHER RELATIVELY DRY FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING, SO FOR NOW, WE WILL KEEP THE
WEATHER DRY FOR THIS PERIOD. HOWEVER, PRECIPITATING CHANCES
INCREASE ONCE LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS MODELS ARE INDICATING A
COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING AND MOVING NEAR THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST.
THERE ARE SOME TIMING AND PLACEMENT DIFFERENCES WITH ALL OF THE
MODEL GUIDANCE WHICH WOULD HAVE AN EFFECT ON PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
THE CANADIAN IS THE FARTHEST NORTHWEST, WITH THE ECMWF FARTHEST
OFFSHORE, AND THE GFS IN BETWEEN WITH THEIR RESPECTIVE
PRECIPITATION FIELDS. AS USUAL, THIS IS ALL DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK
OF THE LOW AND HOW FAR NORTHWEST THE MOISTURE PUSHES. FOR NOW WE
KEEP THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
SLIDING TO OUR NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, WHICH WILL USHER IN
COLDER AIR ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WOULD MAKE THE P-TYPE MOSTLY SNOW
FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES DIMINISH AS WE MOVE INTO MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED STORM MOVES TO OUR NORTHEAST AND HIGH
PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. THEN MODELS DIVERGE WITH
WHAT TO DO WITH THE NEXT POTENTIAL SYSTEM. FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY, THE GFS BRINGS A LOW ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CANADA, WHILE
THE ECMWF BRINGS A LOW RIGHT OVER OUR AREA. WITH THE SPREAD AND
UNCERTAINTY, WE FOLLOWED CLOSELY TO WPC WHICH IS SOMEWHERE IN
BETWEEN AND INTRODUCES CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE AREA AROUND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

REMAINDER OF TODAY...VFR CIGS WERE DEGRADING TO MVFR CONDS IN SHOWERS.
THERE IS A RISK FOR ISOLATED TSRA WITH A WEST GUST 30-40 KT BETWEEN
22Z AND 01Z NEAR THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. OTHERWISE THE GRADIENT
SSW WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 25 KT KPHL REGION SOUTHWARD. LIGHT VARIABLE
MAINLY NE WINDS VCNTY KABE AND KRDG.

TONIGHT...THE COLD FRONT THIS EVENING WILL BRING AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT
TO NW WITH GUSTS 34-44 KT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO MAINLY VFR
CIGS AOA 3000 FT WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF THE WIND SHIFT TO NORTHWEST.

THURSDAY...VFR. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 38 KNOTS.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY...VFR. GUSTY SW 20-25 KT WINDS FRIDAY.

FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY...MOSTLY VFR. SIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS NORTH. GUSTY SW WINDS 20-25 KT SATURDAY.

SATURDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY...VFR. GUSTY NW WINDS 15-20 KT SUNDAY.

SUNDAY...VFR.

SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WITH SNOW
POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHEAST/COASTAL AREAS. MOSTLY VFR EXPECTED FOR
CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN TAFS OUTSIDE OF SNOW. GUSTY NE WINDS
20-25 KT.

&&

.MARINE...
GLW AND STW POSTED FOR TONIGHT.  FUNNELING EFFECT OF DE BAY MAY
ASSIST IN GUSTY NW WINDS REACHING 50-55 KT FOR A TIME NEAR 06Z
TONIGHT.

NW GALES OF 35-40 KT THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY AND SUBSIDE THURSDAY
EVENING.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT...GALE WARNING CONTINUING EARLY, THEN DIMINISHING TO
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT.

FRIDAY-SATURDAY...CONDITIONS MAY DROP BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS EARLY,
THEN INCREASE TO ADVISORY CONDITIONS LATER IN THE DAY FRIDAY AND
CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY.

SATURDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY...CONDITIONS MAY DROP BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS,
BUT STILL REMAIN GUSTY AROUND 20 KT.

SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY...RETURN TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE WITH POSSIBLE COASTAL LOW.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
AFTER COORDINATING WITH PARTNERS, WE WILL LIKELY ISSUE A FIRE
WEATHER SPS FOR THURSDAY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING, AND
POSSIBLY ANOTHER FRIDAY MORNING FOR A PORTION OF THE AREA. AREAS
NORTH OF I-195 IN NEW JERSEY AS WELL AS EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA ARE
EXPECTED TO HAVE MOIST ENOUGH FUELS TO PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR ANY
SPS STATEMENTS. AREAS SOUTH OF I-195 IN NEW JERSEY AS WELL AS
DELAWARE AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND COULD BE DRY ENOUGH TO
ISSUE AN SPS FOR ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS IT WILL BE
QUITE WINDY THURSDAY AND RH VALUES LOWER CLOSE TO 30 PERCENT.
SIMILAR RH CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR ON FRIDAY, BUT WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
OPERATIONAL QPF AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE ANY OF OUR RIVERS
REACH FLOOD LEVELS, THERE WILL BE RISES DUE TO THE COMBINED RAINFALL
AND MELT OFF OF THE SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA.
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE DAY, THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME
HEAVY RAINFALL THAT COULD PRODUCE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE TYPE
FLOODING.

SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE...PER THE HYDRO ENSEMBLES, WHICH ARE RUNNING
WITH MORE RAINFALL THAN OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS, 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES
OF BASIN-WIDE RAINFALL WOULD INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE HSA.

LUCKILY, WE DO HAVE SOME WIGGLE ROOM WITH 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES IN THE
FORECAST.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-
     070-071-101>104.
NJ...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NJZ016>018-021>025.
DE...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR DEZ001>004.
MD...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-
     020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ450>452.
     STORM WARNING UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ431-453>455.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ430.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ROBERTSON
NEAR TERM...DRAG/KLINE
SHORT TERM...DRAG
LONG TERM...ROBERTSON
AVIATION...DRAG/ROBERTSON
MARINE...DRAG/ROBERTSON
FIRE WEATHER...ROBERTSON
HYDROLOGY...
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 8:24 PM EDT, 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

NJZ001-140030-
SUSSEX-
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING.

A BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS COLD AIR
MOVES IN. WITH THE COLD AIR, A RAPID FREEZE OF ANY WATER ON
UNTREATED SURFACES WILL LIKELY OCCUR.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 40 MPH LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 40 MPH THURSDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PAZ054-055-140030-
CARBON-MONROE-
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING.

A BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS COLD AIR
MOVES IN. WITH THE COLD AIR, A RAPID FREEZE OF ANY WATER ON
UNTREATED SURFACES WILL LIKELY OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NJZ007>010-012>015-PAZ105-106-140030-
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING.

A BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS COLD AIR
MOVES IN. WITH THE COLD AIR, A RAPID FREEZE OF ANY WATER ON
UNTREATED SURFACES WILL LIKELY OCCUR.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 40 MPH LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 40 MPH THURSDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PAZ060>062-103-140030-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING.

A BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS COLD AIR
MOVES IN. WITH THE COLD AIR, A RAPID FREEZE OF ANY WATER ON
UNTREATED SURFACES WILL LIKELY OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NJZ019-020-026-027-140030-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 40 MPH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 40 MPH THURSDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

DEZ002>004-NJZ021>025-140030-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 28 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>018-PAZ070-071-101-102-104-
140030-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ450>452-140030-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ453>455-140030-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-140030-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 28 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ431-140030-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
824 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 28 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 12, 5:56 PM EDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
556 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

DEZ001-MDZ008-PAZ060-070-071-101>106-122315-
BERKS PA-CECIL MD-DELAWARE PA-EASTERN CHESTER PA-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY PA-LOWER BUCKS PA-NEW CASTLE DE-PHILADELPHIA PA-
UPPER BUCKS PA-WESTERN CHESTER PA-WESTERN MONTGOMERY PA-
556 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL AFFECT
CHESTER...DELAWARE...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN CECIL...NORTHERN NEW
CASTLE...SOUTHEASTERN BERKS...SOUTHERN BUCKS AND WEST CENTRAL
PHILADELPHIA COUNTIES...

AT 545 PM EDT...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG WIND
GUSTS WERE LOCATED FROM WEST READING TO NORRISVILLE INTO NORTHERN
MARYLAND. THIS LINE IS MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.
WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 40 MPH HAS OCCURRED AS THIS LINE
MOVED THROUGH THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY AND THE AIRPORTS IN THE
PANHANDLE OF MARYLAND.

THESE SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR REIFFTON...LORANE...AND FLYING HILLS
AROUND 600 PM...AMITY GARDENS...NEW MORGAN...AND BIRDSBORO AROUND 610
PM...BECHTELSVILLE...CEDARVILLE...CEDARVILLE AND STOWE AROUND 620 PM.

BE PREPARED FOR THREATENING WEATHER AND SHIFTING WIND DIRECTIONS IF
DRIVING WEST OR SOUTHWEST OF PHILADELPHIA DURING THIS NEXT HOUR. A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WITH THE GREATEST THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER DURING THIS NEXT HOUR FOR LOCATIONS AROUND AND SOUTH
OF THE MASON DIXON LINE.

LAT...LON 3973 7614 3977 7607 3988 7599 3997 7600
      4004 7594 4011 7595 4014 7589 4027 7609
      4042 7593 4031 7489 3995 7529 3951 7599
      3955 7603 3954 7608 3957 7610 3957 7609
      3956 7608 3957 7608 3972 7623

TFG
Special weather statement, Mar 12, 6:17 PM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
617 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

NJZ001-007>010-015-PAZ055-062-105-106-122345-
HUNTERDON NJ-LOWER BUCKS PA-MERCER NJ-MONROE PA-MORRIS NJ-
NORTHAMPTON PA-SOMERSET NJ-SUSSEX NJ-UPPER BUCKS PA-WARREN NJ-
617 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SHOWERS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING
COLD FRONT WILL AFFECT HUNTERDON...MORRIS...NORTHAMPTON...NORTHERN
BUCKS...SOMERSET...SOUTHEASTERN MONROE...SUSSEX...WARREN AND WESTERN
MERCER COUNTIES...

AT 609 PM EDT...SHOWERS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS WERE LOCATED FROM 15
MILES SOUTH OF BLOOMING GROVE TO EASTON IN NORTHAMPTON COUNTY TO 15
MILES SOUTH OF ALLENTOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

THESE SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR FLATBROOKVILLE...FLATBROOKVILLE...CRANDON
LAKES...AND HAINESVILLE AROUND 630 PM...FIVE POINTS...FIVE POINTS...
BRANCHVILLE...AND HIGH POINT AROUND 640 PM...NEWTON AND PELLETTOWN
AROUND 650 PM.

MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO BE ON THE ALERT FOR SHIFTING WINDS,
ESPECIALLY WHEN DRIVING ON OVERPASSES AND BRIDGES.

LAT...LON 4121 7437 4105 7449 4100 7429 4095 7427
      4090 7433 4059 7448 4057 7453 4054 7451
      4018 7470 4035 7538 4042 7548 4053 7534
      4058 7541 4065 7540 4118 7515 4116 7515
      4109 7502 4118 7489 4129 7484 4136 7471

TFG
Special weather statement, Mar 12, 6:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
635 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-122345-
CAMDEN NJ-DELAWARE PA-EASTERN CHESTER PA-EASTERN MONTGOMERY PA-
GLOUCESTER NJ-LOWER BUCKS PA-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
PHILADELPHIA PA-UPPER BUCKS PA-WESTERN CHESTER PA-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY PA-
635 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...LINE OF SHOWERS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE
GREATER PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN AREA...

AT 631 PM EDT...SHOWERS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS WERE LOCATED FROM 18
MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALLENTOWN TO WEST CHESTER TO NEWARK...MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 35 TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS. THERE
WILL ALSO BE SOME BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

THE LEADING EDGE OF THE LINE OF SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR WEST
GOSHEN...TROOPER...TOUGHKENAMON...AND PAOLI AROUND 640 PM...WEST
CONSHOHOCKEN...SPRING HOUSE...RADNOR TOWNSHIP...AND PLYMOUTH MEETING
AROUND 650 PM...WILLOW GROVE AND WYNDMOOR AROUND 700 PM.

IF DRIVING, PLEASE BE ALERT FOR CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS AND
SHIFTING WINDS TO THE WEST, ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

LAT...LON 4036 7532 4020 7476 4015 7472 4018 7470
      4013 7458 3964 7510 3969 7531 3973 7538
      3979 7541 3978 7544 3979 7541 3981 7543
      3984 7551 3982 7567 3972 7578 3972 7609

TFG
Special weather statement, Mar 12, 6:58 PM EDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
658 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-NJZ016-130015-
CECIL MD-KENT MD-NEW CASTLE DE-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-SALEM NJ-TALBOT MD-
658 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL
AFFECT CECIL...KENT...NEW CASTLE...QUEEN ANNE'S...SALEM AND TALBOT
COUNTIES...

AT 651 PM EDT...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH
STRONG WIND GUSTS WERE LOCATED FROM 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF NEWARK TO
ABERDEEN TO MIDDLE RIVER TO 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF ANNAPOLIS TO 32
MILES WEST OF COVE POINT...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS ALONG
WITH BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR PORT DEPOSIT AROUND 700
PM...PIKE CREEK AROUND 715 PM...NEWPORT AROUND 730 PM...CARNEYS
POINT AROUND 745 PM AND EASTON AROUND 800 PM.

MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO BE WARY FOR CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS,
ESPECIALLY WHILE TRAVELING ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

LAT...LON 3886 7625 3881 7621 3882 7620 3918 7628
      3944 7600 3972 7617 3984 7551 3963 7515
      3938 7542 3946 7553 3959 7555 3959 7556
      3937 7550 3929 7576 3857 7604 3871 7632
      3867 7634

TFG
Special weather statement, Mar 12, 7:53 PM EDT, 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
753 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

NJZ012>027-130115-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-CAMDEN NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-SALEM NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
753 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...A LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS WILL AFFECT ATLANTIC...
BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...CAPE MAY...CUMBERLAND...EASTERN GLOUCESTER...
EASTERN SALEM...MONMOUTH...OCEAN...SOUTH CENTRAL MIDDLESEX AND
SOUTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTIES...

AT 749 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS WITH SHIFTING WINDS WAS
LOCATED FROM CONCORDIA TO EVESHAM TO WOODLAND BEACH...MOVING EAST AT
ABOUT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AS THIS LINE MOVES THROUGH.
IN ADDITION, BRIEF, HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL OCCUR.

THE LEADING EDGE OF THE LINE WILL BE NEAR ENGLISHTOWN...
YORKETOWN...WRIGHTSTOWN...AND WILLIAMSTOWN AROUND 800 PM...
MARLBORO...ROBERTSVILLE...WEST FREEHOLD...AND VICTORY
LAKES AROUND 810 PM...EAST FREEHOLD AND PRESIDENTIAL LAKES
AROUND 820 PM.

IF DRIVING, BE ALERT FOR SHIFTING WINDS, ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES.

LAT...LON 3981 7407 3967 7414 3950 7430 3943 7432
      3923 7462 3913 7471 3899 7478 3894 7487
      3899 7497 3912 7490 3917 7490 3918 7502
      3921 7504 3918 7515 3929 7526 3928 7529
      3945 7550 4039 7442 4028 7397

TFG
Special weather statement, Mar 12, 7:59 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
759 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

DEZ001>004-MDZ015-019-020-130115-
CAROLINE MD-DELAWARE BEACHES DE-INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT DE-
NEW CASTLE DE-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-TALBOT MD-
759 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS
WILL AFFECT CAROLINE...KENT...NORTHEASTERN QUEEN ANNE'S...
SOUTHEASTERN NEW CASTLE...SOUTHEASTERN TALBOT AND SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 753 PM EDT...SHOWERS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS WERE LOCATED FROM HOPE
CREEK TO DELANEY CORNER TO TEMPLEVILLE TO HENDERSON TO WINDYHILL...
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE SHOWERS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER
TO POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN CAN CAUSE
RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

THE LEADING EDGE OF THE WIND SHIFT LINE WITH THE SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR
WYOMING AROUND 810 PM...SEAFORD AROUND 820 PM...MILFORD AROUND
830 PM...SLAUGHTER BEACH AROUND 840 PM...SOUTH BETHANY AROUND
850 PM AND REHOBOTH BEACH AROUND 900 PM.

LAT...LON 3846 7569 3863 7571 3870 7583 3867 7594
      3857 7604 3857 7605 3906 7579 3924 7580
      3925 7576 3929 7576 3945 7557 3927 7540
      3906 7539 3901 7532 3893 7530 3893 7532
      3881 7518 3880 7508 3845 7505

TFG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 13, 3:20 PM EDTFire Weather WatchPHICaroline, Cecil, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot12 hr

Nearby

Special Marine Warnings in New Jersey, 2014Every special marine warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.