Special Marine Warning 60, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1211 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WAS CENTERED TO THE NORTH OF LAKE HURON THIS
EVENING WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO THE UPPER OHIO
RIVER VALLEY AND THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. THE LOW IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO WESTERN QUEBEC AND IT SHOULD PULL THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH OUR REGION ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE FROM THE WEST IS ANTICIPATED TO BUILD ACROSS OUR REGION
FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST IS
FORECAST TO ARRIVE ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
MILLVILLES 8.92 TODAY AUGUST 12, 2014 WAS THE SECOND HIGHEST DAILY
RAINFALL THERE ON RECORD DATING BACK TO 1947. THE RECORD OF 9.06
WAS SET AUGUST 20 1997.

9.06 AUGUST 20 1997
8.98 AUGUST 12 2014
7.21 AUGUST 3  1967
5.06 AUGUST 27 2011

MIDNIGHT: OCEAN MONMOUTH MIDDLESEX AND MORRIS COUNTIES SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
EXCESSIVE RAIN BETWEEN NOW AND 10Z. WE ARE NOT ISSUING A FFA PER OFFICE
COLLAB BUT IT APPEARS PATH OF SFC LOW HAS PORTIONS OF THOSE
COUNTIES TARGETED WITH 2-4 INCHES OF RAIN IN 2 TO 3 HOURS FROM AS
THE PRIMARY LIFT MOVES NWD THROUGH THIS AREA.

ZONES WERE UPDATED JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT FOR HEAVY RAIN IN NJ AND
TEMP TRENDS OVERNIGHT.

OTRW MONITORING CIRCULATIONS FOR SVR WITHIN THE BAND OF EXCESSIVE
SHORT TERM RAIN MOVING NWD THRU SNJ.

IF WIND DAMAGE REPORTS AND OR UNUSUALLY FLOODING..WE NEED THOSE
REPORTS TO THE NWS TO LEND CREDENCE TO THE WARNINGS. PLEASE RELAY
TO THE NWS.

MORE LATER..

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
THE ENTIRE SYSTEM QUICKLY BEGINS TO WRAP UP AS IT MOVES TOWARDS
THE NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM OUR REGION. THERE COULD STILL BE A FEW
STRAY SHOWERS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES
AS DRIER AIR WORKS IN FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MID-LEVEL TROUGH
AXIS SWINGS THROUGH BY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON DURING PEAK HEATING
AND COULD TOUCH OFF A FEW MORE SHOWERS...MOSTLY NORTHERN SECTIONS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL IN THE WAKE OF THE
DEPARTING SYSTEM. BLEND OF THE MET/MAV LOOKS GOOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A MID LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO INFLUENCE THE
NORTHEASTERN STATES INTO THE WEEKEND AS IT DRIFTS TO THE EAST.
SHORT WAVES TRAVELING IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW IN COMBINATION WITH
DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF AFTERNOON
CUMULUS, ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THURSDAY'S SHORT WAVE
IS EXPECTED TO BRING SCATTERED TO ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ALONG WITH A REINFORCING SHOT OF
RELATIVELY COOL AND DRY AIR IN ITS WAKE. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS
ANTICIPATED TO KEEP BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY FREE OF
PRECIPITATION.

ANOTHER MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE ON SUNDAY IS FORECAST TO BE
ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK SURFACE COLD FRONT. MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE A BIT AT THAT TIME AND WE HAVE INCLUDED A CHANCE FOR
MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER, ALL LOCATIONS
SHOULD NOT BE IMPACTED AND THE DURATION OF ANY PRECIPITATION WILL
LIKELY BE LIMITED.

RIDGING ALOFT AND WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ARE EXPECTED TO
BRING FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY. THE GUIDANCE IS NOW
TRENDING TOWARD ANOTHER MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES
EARLY IN THE NEW WEEK ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
PRECIPITATION HERE ON TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A BIT BELOW NORMAL ON THURSDAY,
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, AND NEAR NORMAL ON SUNDAY, MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY MVFR. HOWEVER...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WHICH CAN PRODUCE IFR OR LOWER CIGS/VSBYS AT
TIMES. SOME GUSTY E-SE WINDS OF 30-40 KT THIS EVENING S NJ.

WEDNESDAY...IMPROVING TO VFR BY MID TO LATE MORNING. LINGERING
MVFR CIGS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS DECREASE FROM FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST. WINDS BACK MORE TOWARDS THE WEST AROUND 10 TO 12 KNOTS.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR.

THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR.

SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA FOR DELAWARE BAY CONTINUES UNTIL 06Z.

SMW WAS ISSUED RECENTLY FOR 1 HR GALE GUSTS IN THE ESE INFLOW AND
ALSO STORM CIRCULATIONS ACROSS THE NNJ AND CENTRAL NJ COASTS.

WE CONTINUE THE SCA ACROSS ALL OUR WATERS THROUGH THE EVENING AND
THEN JUST THE OCEAN FRONT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST AROUND 25 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING, BUT NOT DROPPING OFF.
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB UPWARDS OF 6 TO 7 FEET LATE TONIGHT AS
A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH THE DELMARVA
REGION. WINDS BACK FROM THE SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND
ULTIMATELY TO THE WEST BY THIS TIME TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR OUR
OCEAN WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET SOUTHWARD. ALSO, SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WIND GUSTS FROM THE NORTHWEST ARE POSSIBLE ON DELAWARE
BAY AND AN ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED THERE AFTER THE CURRENT ADVISORY
EXPIRES.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO MARINE HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
EXCESSIVE RAIN POTENTIAL FOR PORTIONS OF NJ THROUGH 10Z. COSPA THE
GUIDE. YDYS 00Z/12 NSSL WRF NAILED CHES BAY AREA WITH 7 INCHES...BEST
SHORT TERM MODEL.

PLS SEE LSRS.

PLS SEE NEAR TERM ON SECOND HIGHEST DAILY RAINFALL AT KMIV TODAY
IN HISTORY DATING BACK TO 1947.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
SANDY HOOK    7.27 AT 1018PM
ATLANTIC CITY 6.59 AT 948 PM
CAPE MAY      7.24 AT 1048 PM
LEWES         6.3  AT 11 PM.

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OCCURRED. UPDATED THE CFA FOR EXPIRE TIME.

FALLING PRESSURES AND CONTINUING SOUTHEAST SURFACE FLOW SHOULD
MAINTAIN THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. THE
SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST FLOW CAN ESPECIALLY AFFECT THE UPPER DELAWARE
BAY AND LOWER TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER. RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN MAY
ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. THE ETSS AND ESTOF
GUIDANCE ARE BOTH INDICATING HIGH TIDE LEVELS A FEW TENTHS OF A
FOOT ABOVE OUR MINOR TIDAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS. AS A RESULT WE HAVE
DECIDED TO ISSUE A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR OUR ATLANTIC COASTAL
COUNTIES AND FOR COUNTIES FARTHER INLAND ALONG THE DELAWARE BAY
AND RIVER. THE ADVISORY IS BROKEN INTO TWO SEGMENTS BECAUSE OF THE
TIMING DIFFERENCE IN HIGH TIDES FROM THE OCEAN VERSUS FARTHER
INLAND.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
DESPITE A DECREASED WAVE PERIOD TODAY, AN EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND
WILL INCREASE TO 15-25 MPH AND SEAS IN THE SURF ZONE WILL BE 3-5
FEET. AS A RESULT, THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS THROUGH TONIGHT FOR BOTH THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE
BEACHES.

FOR WEDNESDAY...WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE WEST AND OFFSHORE
AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE. THE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS COULD BE MODERATE
IN THE MORNING BUT SHOULD DECREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON. FOR NOW
WE HAVE ISSUED A LOW RISK FOR TOMORROW BUT THIS WILL BE RE-
EVALUATED LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR PAZ070-071.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR NJZ013-014-
     020-022>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR NJZ016>018-
     021.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR DEZ003-004.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR DEZ001-002.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ452>455.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ450-451.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ430-431.

&&

SYNOPSIS...IOVINO
NEAR TERM...AMC/DRAG  1212A
SHORT TERM...HEAVENER
LONG TERM...IOVINO
AVIATION...AMC/DRAG/IOVINO/HEAVENER 1212A
MARINE...AMC/IOVINO/HEAVENER1212A
HYDROLOGY...1212A
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...1212A
RIP CURRENTS...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
404 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

NJZ001-007>010-012-015-019-PAZ054-055-060>062-103>106-132015-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
404 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE ROADWAY FLOODING AND
FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ013-020-022-023-027-132015-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
404 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE ROADWAY FLOODING AND
FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ018-PAZ071-132015-
CAMDEN-PHILADELPHIA-
404 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE ROADWAY FLOODING AND
FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-002-NJZ016-017-021-PAZ070-132015-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CUMBERLAND-DELAWARE-
404 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE ROADWAY FLOODING AND
FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-PAZ101-102-132015-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-
404 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE ROADWAY FLOODING AND
FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ003-132015-
INLAND SUSSEX-
404 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE ROADWAY FLOODING AND
FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-132015-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
404 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE ROADWAY FLOODING AND
FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-132015-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
404 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>455-132015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
404 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1159 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1154 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MILLVILLE AIRPORT       39.37N  75.07W
08/12/2014  M8.59 INCH       CUMBERLAND         NJ   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1400638

JRK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1203 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1154 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MILLVILLE AIRPORT       39.37N  75.07W
08/12/2014  M8.92 INCH       CUMBERLAND         NJ   ASOS

&&

CORRECTED EVENT

EVENT NUMBER PHI1400638

JRK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1236 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

NJZ013-014-020-022-024>027-130530-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-
COASTAL OCEAN NJ-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
1236 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

...HEAVY SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED BY LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT EASTERN ATLANTIC...EASTERN
MONMOUTH...NORTHEASTERN CAPE MAY...OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON
COUNTIES...

AT 1230 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LARGE AREA OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTH
AND NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. LOCAL WIND GUSTS CAN BE
TO AROUND 40 MPH WITHIN SOME OF THE ACTIVITY. SOME OF THE STRONGER
ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL, AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND
FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN CAN CAUSE RAPID RISES ON SMALL
STREAMS AND CREEKS.

LAT...LON 3981 7407 3967 7414 3940 7435 3927 7456
      3932 7482 4043 7404 4043 7400 4048 7400
      4045 7396 4032 7396

FORECASTER: GORSE

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
121 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSW PINEWALD          39.89N  74.18W
08/13/2014  M5.27 INCH       OCEAN              NJ   MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1400639

JRK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
124 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ROMANCOKE               38.88N  76.34W
08/13/2014  M8.47 INCH       QUEEN ANNE'S       MD   NWS EMPLOYEE

            MOST OF THE RAIN FELL BETWEEN 4 PM AND 8 PM

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1400640

JRK