Special Marine Warning 33, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

196 
FZUS71 KPHI 041525
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1125 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

ANZ431-451>455-470-041532-
/O.EXP.KPHI.MA.W.0033.000000T0000Z-140704T1530Z/
1125 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1130 AM EDT...

THE AFFECTED AREAS WERE...
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM
OVER ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM
OVER ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...

INCLUDING BETHANY BEACH...CAPE HENLOPEN...INDIAN RIVER INLET
BRIDGE...OVERFALLS SHOAL...REHOBOTH BEACH...28-MILE WRECK...ATLANTIC
CITY REEF...BARNEGAT LIGHT...BARNEGAT LIGHT REEF...BEACH HAVEN...BUOY
2FB...BUOY 2MS...BUOY 3FB...BUOY 4FB...BUOY GE...BRANDYWINE SHOAL
LIGHT...BRIGANTINE...BROWN SHOAL LIGHT...CAPE MAY POINT...CAPE MAY
REEF...EAST POINT...FIVE FATHOMS BUOY...FORKED RIVER...GARDEN STATE
NORTH REEF...GARDEN STATE SOUTH REEF...GREAT EGG INLET...GREAT EGG
REEF...HARVEY CEDARS...LITTLE EGG INLET...LITTLE EGG REEF...NORTH
BEACH HAVEN...OCEAN CITY REEF...SEASIDE PARK...SHIP BOTTOM...THE LUMP
AND WILDWOOD REEF...

THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO TURN FROM NORTH TO THE NORTHWEST AS 
HURRICANE ARTHUR PASSES WELL TO OUR EAST. WHILE THE CONVECTIVE WIND 
THREAT APPEARS TO HAVE DIMINISHED, SOME GRADIENT WIND GUSTS TO 
AROUND 30 KNOTS CAN OCCUR FOR AWHILE LONGER. THEREFORE, THE SPECIAL 
MARINE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3859 7525 3860 7517 3891 7530 3928 7498
      3911 7484 3893 7496 3894 7489 3894 7491
      3926 7463 3945 7473 3934 7468 3955 7443
      3958 7455 3958 7454 3954 7431 3998 7411
      3966 7355 3841 7489
TIME...MOT...LOC 1522Z 151DEG 6KT 3969 7389 3923 7460
          3867 7506

$$

GORSE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
918 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HURRICANE ARTHUR WILL MOVE OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST TODAY AND
THEN MOVE UP TOWARDS THE NEW ENGLAND WATERS TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT...TO OUR AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
THE HIGH WILL MOVE TO THE EAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY. IT WILL BE
FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE FOR THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CANCELLED FOR MOST OF THE MARYLAND
EASTERN SHORE AND THE REST OF THE I95 CORRIDOR INCLUDING THE PHL
METRO AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MIDDLESEX COUNTY.

ARTHUR'S EYE IS ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FENWICK ISLAND
DELAWARE. ARTHUR CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST. WE ARE NOW SEEING
THE WESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE PCPN BAND HITTING A WALL EAST OF I95
AND THE NJ TURNPIKE. BASED ON THE LATEST HRRR AND COSPA WE HAVE
USED THEM AS A BASIS FOR CANCELLING THE WATCH. FARTHER TO THE
NORTHWEST PCPN ALONG THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH HAS A WINTER
DEFORMATION ZONE LOOK TO IT CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST. IT LOOKS
AS THOUGH WHEN THE LIFT EXITS THIS BAND LATER THIS MORNING, IT
WILL JUST RAIN ITSELF OUT.

SEMI-DOWN DELAWARE BAY FLOW AND POSSIBLE HEAVY PCPN TRANSPORTING
STRONGER WINDS DOWNWARD HAVE ENHANCED WINDS ON THE DELAWARE SIDE OF
THE BAY, AND WE HAVE INCREASED FORECAST WINDS FOR TODAY AND ARE
COVERING IT WITH SMW(S) AND SPS(S). IF IT NO LONGER BECOMES JUST
A PCPN ENHANCEMENT WE MAY ISSUE SOME SHORT FUSED WIND RELATED
ADVISORIES, GALES.

WE SLOWED THE ASCENT OF TEMPS THIS MORNING, NOT CONFIDENT ABOUT
MAX TEMPS BEING REACHED.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR CENTRAL/SRN NJ AND THE SERN
DELMARVA. LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOWS A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN FORMING
OVER THE SRN DELMARVA AND OFF THE NJ COAST AS THE OUTER BANDS OF
ARTHUR INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. EXPECT THIS BAND TO
PROGRESS NWD ACROSS THE DELMARVA AND SRN NJ. RAINFALL RATES OF 1-2
INCHES PER HR WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER THIS BAND. IT WON'T TAKE MUCH
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING WITH THE GROUND
ALREADY SATURATED ACROSS MANY LOCATIONS (DUAL-POL RADAR ESTIMATES
FROM KDOX INDICATED A SWATH OF 3-7 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN LAST
NIGHT IN SRN PORTIONS OF TALBOT AND CAROLINE COUNTIES).

HURRICANE ARTHUR'S TRACK IS BECOMING INFLUENCED BY THE UPPER
TROUGH OVER GREAT LAKES AND HAS STARTED ITS TURN TO THE NORTHEAST
AND HAS ACCELERATED IN SPEED. THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK TAKES ARTHUR
FAR ENOUGH OFF THE DELMARVA AND NJ COAST TO SPARE DIRECT
WIND/STORM SURGE IMPACTS FROM THE HURRICANE.

THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH
AS WELL AS THE SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS STALLED OVER EASTERN
PA...RESULTING IN A CONTINUATION OF SHOWERS THIS MRNG. CYCLONIC FLOW
ON NWRN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM WILL ENHANCE CONVERGENCE WITHIN THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE AS IT MOVES NEWD THIS MRNG. AS A RESULT...EXPECT AN
INCREASE IN SHOWERS ACROSS THE DELMARVA AND NEAR THE NJ COAST THIS
MRNG. THE HRRR AND SPC WRF IS PICKING UP ON THIS FAIRLY WELL.
ACCORDINGLY, THERE IS STILL A HEIGHTENED CONCERN FOR ANOTHER ROUND
OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN THESE AREAS. WHILE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
STILL IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE CWA THIS MRNG (AND FOR THE
DELMARVA/SRN NJ THRU THE AFTN), THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING IS
DIMINISHING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE CWA AS THE
INSTABILITY REQUIRED FOR HEAVIER RAINFALL RATES WANES. WILL LIKELY
BE ABLE TO TRIM BACK THESE N/W PORTIONS OF THE WATCH LATER THIS
MRNG.

NW FLOW AROUND THE HURRICANE WILL ALLOW THE COLD FRONT TO FINALLY
MOVE THRU THE AREA LATE THIS MRNG AND AFTN. DRIER AIR ADVECTING
INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY CLEARING FROM
WEST TO EAST THIS AFTN. MAX TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE 70S ACROSS THE
CWA BUT DID FCST LOW 80S FOR THE DELMARVA AND PHILLY METRO WHERE
CLEARING SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPS TO REBOUND LATER IN THE AFTN. NW
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY DURING THE AFTN AS THE HURRICANE MOVES TOWARD
NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH BY LATE THIS AFTN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/...
WITH PLENTY OF FIREWORKS SCHEDULED FOR SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET
(WHICH IS AROUND 830 PM), SKIES WILL BE CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
IN TIME ALTHOUGH SOME CLOUDS MAY LINGER OVER COASTAL AREAS.
THE MAIN WX-RELATED IMPACT FOR FIREWORKS WILL BE THE GUSTY WINDS.
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT (FOR JULY STANDARDS) WILL PERSIST ACROSS
THE AREA AS HIPRES BUILDS IN FROM THE MIDWEST AND HURRICANE ARTHUR
PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA TOWARD THE CANADIAN MARITIME. NW WINDS
MAY GUST 25-35 MPH DURING THE EARLY EVENING BUT WILL START TO
DIMINISH AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER SCHEDULED FIREWORKS TIME.

SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 5-15 MPH WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMP
FCST WEIGHTED ON THE WARMER SIDE OF GUIDANCE WITH THE BOUNDARY LAYER
REMAINING WELL MIXED.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SAT AND SUN...ARTHUR WILL BE WELL NE OF THE AREA. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL CREATE GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION SAT AND THE
SWELLS MAY CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ROUGH SURF AT THE OCEAN. THE SENSIBLE
WEATHER THIS WEEKEND WILL BE DRY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND
COMFORTABLE HUMIDITY LEVELS. THIS CONTINUES A DECENT TRACK RECORD OF
FAIR WEATHER WEEKEND. HIGHS SAT MOSTLY IN THE LOW 80S AND A FEW
DEGREES HIGHER SUN. A FEW UPPER 80S POSSIBLE ACROSS SRN DE ON
SUNDAY.

MON...A WEAK H5 TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL CAUSE LOW
PRESSURE TO PASS WELL NORTH OF THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST
WILL CREATE A RETURN FLOW WHICH WILL CAUSE HUMIDITY LEVELS TO RISE
ONCE AGAIN. THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BE BACK MON WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S ACROSS MOST
AREAS. THERE IS A SMALL CHC FOR A SHOWER/TSTM ACROSS THE FAR
N/W...BUT OTHER THAN THAT DRY ACROSS A VAST MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST
AREA.

TUE AND WED...THERE IS A BETTER CHC FOR SHOWERS AND TSTMS THIS
PERIOD AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND SLOWS ACROSS THE AREA. A WEAK
LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT...FURTHER SLOWING IT WED. THERE IS
A CHC OR SLGT CHC FOR SHOWERS AND TSTMS ON BOTH DAYS IN MOST AREAS.
THE N/W AREAS ARE MOST FAVORED. TEMPS WILL RUN A BIT ABOVE NORMAL
BOTH DAYS WITH MID/UPPER 80S IN MOST AREAS. (COOLER ACROSS THE SRN
POCONOS AND A BIT WARMER OVER SRN DELAWARE).

THU...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA...SO
THE CHCS FOR PCPN WILL BE LESS THAN THE EARLIER FEW DAYS. WE WILL
STILL KEEP A SMALL CHC FOR A SHOWER/TSTM AS OFFERED BY WPC. TEMPS
WILL CONTINUE TO RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MRNG DESPITE AREAS OF SHRA OVER
THE AREA. A PERIOD OF MVFR POSSIBLE IN MODERATE SHRA THIS MRNG AND
BRIEFLY/LOCALIZED IFR RESTRICTIONS IN HEAVY SHRA. NLY WINDS WILL
INCREASE THRUOUT THE DAY AS HURRICANE ARTHUR TRACKS EAST OF THE NRN
MID-ATLANTIC REGION. GUST TO 20 KT THIS MRNG AND TO 30 KT BETWEEN
ABOUT 18Z-00Z. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TNGT AFTER SUNSET TO 10-15 KT.

OUTLOOK...
SAT THRU MONDAY...VFR EXPECTED. GUSTY WINDS SAT.
TUE...VFR WITH SCT AFTERNOON TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTH/WESTERN
TERMINALS.

&&

.MARINE...
SEMI-DOWN DELAWARE BAY FLOW AND POSSIBLE HEAVY PCPN TRANSPORTING
STRONGER WINDS DOWNWARD HAVE ENHANCED WINDS ON THE DELAWARE SIDE OF
THE BAY, AND WE HAVE INCREASED FORECAST WINDS FOR TODAY AND ARE
COVERING IT WITH SMW(S) AND SPS(S). IF IT NO LONGER BECOMES JUST
A PCPN ENHANCEMENT WE MAY ISSUE SOME SHORT FUSED WIND RELATED
ADVISORIES, GALES.

LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATER THIS MRNG AS HURRICANE ARTHUR MOVES OFF THE MID-
ATLANTIC COAST. WIND/WAVE HAZARDS COVERED BY SCA BUT PLEASE NOTE
WINDS THAT WIND GUSTS WILL APPROACH CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
JUST OFF THE DELMARVA AND SRN NJ COAST THIS AFTN. THE 00Z GFS
INDICATES TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS FOR THESE ZONES WHILE MAJORITY
OF OTHER GUIDANCE, INCLUDING FROM NHC, KEEP THE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ABOUT 25-50 MILES EAST OF THE COASTAL MARINE ZONES.
HIGH SURF CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET THIS AFTN
AND TNGT WHEN ARTHUR IS CLOSEST TO THE AREA.

OUTLOOK...
SAT...SCA CONDITIONS EARLY WILL DIMINISH LATE.
SUN...MOSTLY SUB-SCA CONDITIONS UNTIL EVENING WHEN WINDS AND SEAS
WILL APPROACH SCA CONDITIONS.
MON...SCA POSSIBLE.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
BECAUSE OF ARTHUR'S PASS COINCIDING WITH THE START OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND, WE HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR TODAY
AND TONIGHT, EVEN IF WE WILL FALL A BIT SHORT OF CRITERIA. WE
ALSO ARE ANTICIPATING A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

THIS POSES A HUGE CONCERN CONSIDERING THE LARGE NUMBERS OF
PEOPLE, INCLUDING THE LESS EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS, WHO WILL VENTURE
OUT DURING ONE OF THE BIGGEST BEACH WEEKENDS OF THE YEAR. THE
TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS ON LAND THIS WEEKEND COULD LEAD TO A
FALSE SENSE OF SAFETY IN THE WATERS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING IF YOU/RE NOT PREPARED TO
HANDLE THEM. FOR THE GREATEST CHANCE OF SAFETY...SWIM ONLY UNDER
THE WATCHFUL EYES OF LIFEGUARDS. OTHERWISE ANY OPPORTUNITY FOR
RESCUE CAN SUFFER FROM A MUCH GREATER RESPONSE DELAY AND BE FATAL.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NJZ014-
     020>027.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR NJZ014-024>026.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR NJZ012-013.
DE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR DEZ002>004.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR DEZ004.
MD...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR MDZ020.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ430-431-
     450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...O'HARA
NEAR TERM...GIGI/KLEIN
SHORT TERM...KLEIN
LONG TERM...O'HARA
AVIATION...KLEIN/O'HARA
MARINE...KLEIN/O'HARA
RIP CURRENTS...STAFF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
920 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

DEZ002-003-MDZ020-NJZ020>023-027-051330-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CAROLINE-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
920 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

HURRICANE ARTHUR WILL MOVE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TODAY AND
UP TOWARD THE NEW ENGLAND WATERS TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE AND EASTERN MARYLAND TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ012-013-051330-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
920 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

HURRICANE ARTHUR WILL MOVE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TODAY AND
UP TOWARD THE NEW ENGLAND WATERS TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-051330-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
920 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

HURRICANE ARTHUR WILL MOVE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TODAY AND
UP TOWARD THE NEW ENGLAND WATERS TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGH
SURF AND A HIGH RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

ENHANCED RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-051330-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
920 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HURRICANE ARTHUR WILL MOVE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TODAY AND
UP TOWARD THE NEW ENGLAND WATERS TONIGHT. ENHANCED WINDS AND SEAS
ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ENHANCED WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-NJZ001-007>010-015>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-
070-071-101>106-051330-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
920 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
504 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

DEZ003-004-MDZ019-020-041000-
CAROLINE MD-DELAWARE BEACHES DE-INLAND SUSSEX DE-TALBOT MD-
504 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

...SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT
SOUTHERN CAROLINE...SOUTHERN SUSSEX AND SOUTHERN TALBOT COUNTIES...

AT 459 AM EDT...SEVERAL LINES OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WITH HEAVY RAIN WERE MOVING INTO THE AREA. THE FIRST WAS LOCATED
FROM GEORGETOWN TO LINKWOOD TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ANDREWS...MOVING
WEST AT 15 MPH WITH THE SECOND SHORTLY BEHIND.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE SHOWERS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER
TO POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN CAN CAUSE
RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE SHOWERS. DO NOT
STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

THESE SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR BLADES AROUND 510 AM...BLADES AROUND 515
AM...SEAFORD AROUND 520 AM...BRIDGEVILLE AROUND 550 AM...FEDERALSBURG
AROUND 555 AM AND CHOPTANK AROUND 600 AM.

LAT...LON 3845 7567 3846 7570 3863 7571 3868 7576
      3869 7589 3866 7595 3860 7598 3857 7604
      3859 7612 3873 7626 3870 7627 3871 7631
      3868 7631 3867 7635 3868 7636 3871 7636
      3890 7583 3853 7505 3845 7504

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
616 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-041230-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...MILLVILLE...
HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY
616 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

...HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE ARTHUR...

AT 615 AM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED BANDS OF HEAVY
RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE ARTHUR ARE MOVING ONSHORE ACROSS
SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND ALSO ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW JERSEY. THESE
RAINS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY
WINDS...UP TO 35 MPH AT TIMES.

THE RAINS WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED PONDING ON ROADS AND CAUSE POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING AND SHARP RISES ON AREAS CREEKS. DO NOT DRIVE IN
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
807 AM EDT FRI JUL 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0157 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WASHINGTON TWP          40.83N  75.20W
07/03/2014                   NORTHAMPTON        PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ONTO WIRES ALONG ACKERMANVILLE ROAD IN
            WASHINGTON TWP.

0440 PM     HAIL             SCHOOLEYS MOUNTAIN      40.80N  74.81W
07/03/2014  M0.25 INCH       MORRIS             NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

            PEA SIZE HAIL IN SCHOOLEYS MOUNTAIN.

0500 PM     HAIL             STANHOPE                40.90N  74.71W
07/03/2014  M0.25 INCH       SUSSEX             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL ALONG WILLS AVE IN STANHOPE.

0510 PM     HAIL             MOUNT ARLINGTON         40.92N  74.64W
07/03/2014  M1.00 INCH       MORRIS             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN MOUNT ARLINGTON.

0513 PM     HAIL             LAKE HOPATCONG          40.95N  74.62W
07/03/2014  M0.75 INCH       MORRIS             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN LAKE HOPTACONG.

0535 PM     HAIL             JEFFERSON TWP           40.96N  74.59W
07/03/2014  M2.50 INCH       MORRIS             NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

            OAK RIDGE SECTION.

0540 PM     LIGHTNING        GREEN TWP               40.98N  74.80W
07/03/2014                   SUSSEX             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            *** 3 INJ ***

0608 PM     HAIL             FRANKLIN TWP            40.85N  75.67W
07/03/2014  M1.00 INCH       CARBON             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OXFORD                  39.79N  75.98W
07/03/2014                   CHESTER            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN.

0620 PM     TSTM WND GST     WEST GROVE              39.82N  75.83W
07/03/2014  E50 MPH          CHESTER            PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

0630 PM     HAIL             3 SW WANTAGE            41.21N  74.59W
07/03/2014  M0.50 INCH       SUSSEX             NJ   NWS EMPLOYEE

0630 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KENNETT SQUARE          39.84N  75.71W
07/03/2014                   CHESTER            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN.

0635 PM     TSTM WND GST     WILMINGTON              39.73N  75.53W
07/03/2014  M47 MPH          NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            47 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST MEASURED ON A HAND HELD
            ANEMOMETER.

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORTH COVENTRY TWP      40.22N  75.70W
07/03/2014                   CHESTER            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON HOUSE.

0659 PM     TSTM WND GST     PHILADELPHIA INTL AIRPO 39.87N  75.24W
07/03/2014  M54 MPH          PHILADELPHIA       PA   ASOS

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     UPPER FREDERICK TWP     40.31N  75.51W
07/03/2014                   MONTGOMERY         PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN.

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     UPPER SALFORD TWP       40.29N  75.44W
07/03/2014                   MONTGOMERY         PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN.

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HARLEYSVILLE            40.28N  75.39W
07/03/2014                   MONTGOMERY         PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN.

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GLOUCESTER CITY         39.89N  75.12W
07/03/2014                   CAMDEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN.

0710 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OAKLYN                  39.90N  75.08W
07/03/2014                   CAMDEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE DOWN.

0710 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA  40.09N  75.02W
07/03/2014                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TREES DOWN IN LOWER NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA.

0715 PM     HAIL             HACKETTSTOWN            40.85N  74.83W
07/03/2014  M0.88 INCH       WARREN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0717 PM     TSTM WND GST     NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA  40.09N  75.02W
07/03/2014  M66 MPH          PHILADELPHIA       PA   ASOS

0721 PM     TSTM WND GST     TRENTON AIRPORT         40.28N  74.81W
07/03/2014  M60 MPH          MERCER             NJ   ASOS

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BUCKINGHAM TWP          40.32N  75.07W
07/03/2014                   BUCKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS BUCKS
            COUNTY.

0805 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HILLSBOROUGH            40.48N  74.63W
07/03/2014                   SOMERSET           NJ   911 CALL CENTER

0815 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SOMERVILLE              40.57N  74.61W
07/03/2014                   SOMERSET           NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER RESCUE ON SOMERSET ROAD.

0832 PM     HEAVY RAIN       SUSSEX                  41.21N  74.61W
07/03/2014  M3.26 INCH       SUSSEX             NJ   CO-OP OBSERVER

            3.26 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE 5 PM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1400383 PHI1400385 PHI1400384 PHI1400387 PHI1400386
PHI1400389 PHI1400391 PHI1400388 PHI1400399 PHI1400410 PHI1400390
PHI1400400 PHI1400409 PHI1400401 PHI1400407 PHI1400392 PHI1400393
PHI1400394 PHI1400397 PHI1400402 PHI1400408 PHI1400398 PHI1400395
PHI1400396 PHI1400406 PHI1400405 PHI1400404 PHI1400403

MEOLA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
840 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

DEZ002>004-NJZ023>025-041445-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY
840 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

...GUSTY WINDS AFFECTING THE AREA...

NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS WILL LOCALLY GUST UP TO 40 MPH AT TIMES
THIS MORNING. THIS IS OCCURRING ON THE NORTHWESTERN FRINGE OF
HURRICANE ARTHUR AS ITS CENTER PASSES WELL SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR
COAST. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE COASTAL
LOCATIONS OF DELAWARE, WITH LEWES REPORTING A PEAK GUST TO 37 MPH
SO FAR.

DUE TO THESE GUSTY WINDS, USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING ESPECIALLY ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.

GORSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
918 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

DEZ002>004-NJZ023>026-041530-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND
918 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

...GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA...

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 40 MPH AT TIMES THIS MORNING, WITH
LOCALIZED GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. THIS IS OCCURRING ON THE NORTHWESTERN
FRINGE OF HURRICANE ARTHUR AS ITS CENTER PASSES WELL SOUTH AND
EAST OF OUR COAST. AS OF 915 AM, THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SUSSEX COUNTY DELAWARE AND TOWARD THE
CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY AREA, ESPECIALLY DURING DOWNPOURS. LEWES, DELAWARE
REPORTED A PEAK WIND GUST TO 49 MPH, AND CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY HAD
PEAK GUST TO 40 MPH SO FAR.

DUE TO THESE GUSTY WINDS, USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING ESPECIALLY ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.

GORSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
920 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

DEZ002>004-NJZ023>026-041530-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND
920 AM EDT FRI JUL 4 2014

...GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA...

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 40 MPH AT TIMES THIS MORNING, WITH
LOCALIZED GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. THIS IS OCCURRING ON THE NORTHWESTERN
FRINGE OF HURRICANE ARTHUR AS ITS CENTER PASSES WELL SOUTH AND
EAST OF OUR COAST. AS OF 915 AM, THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SUSSEX COUNTY DELAWARE AND TOWARD THE
CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY AREA, ESPECIALLY DURING DOWNPOURS. LEWES, DELAWARE
REPORTED A PEAK WIND GUST TO 49 MPH, AND CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY HAD A
PEAK GUST TO 40 MPH SO FAR.

DUE TO THESE GUSTY WINDS, USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING ESPECIALLY ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.

GORSE