Freezing Rain Advisory 5, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

356 
WWUS41 KPHI 190233
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
933 PM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-191045-
/O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0005.140219T1200Z-140219T1700Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
933 PM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY... THE POCONOS... BERKS 
  COUNTY AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO START DURING THE MORNING
  COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE AS THE MORNING
  PROGRESSES AND START DECREASING THE GEOGRAPHICAL EXTENT OF THE
  FREEZING RAIN DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ANY UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL BE SLIPPERY AND
  HAZARDOUS. UNTREATED WALKWAYS WILL ALSO BE SLIPPERY AND
  HAZARDOUS.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 WHEN 
  PRECIPITATION ARRIVES...RISING INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 
  40S DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW
DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL WHILE
TRAVELING ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION AND EXTRA DISTANCE BETWEEN YOURSELF AND
THE VEHICLES AROUND YOU.

&&

$$

NJZ009-010-015-PAZ101>106-191045-
/O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0005.140219T1200Z-140219T1500Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...TRENTON...
HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...
COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...
PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
933 PM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WEST CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND THE PHILADELPHIA 
  NORTHWEST SUBURBS.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN FIVE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ARRIVING DURING THE MORNING 
  COMMUTE. THERE IS LIKELY TO BE AN OVERLAP PERIOD WITH SURFACE 
  TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING AS THE RAIN IS FALLING 
  MAKING IT FREEZE ON CONTACT. THE CHANCES FOR FREEZING RAIN 
  WILL DECREASE AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES AND END BY LATE 
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ANY UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL BE SLIPPERY AND
  HAZARDOUS. UNTREATED WALKWAYS WILL ALSO BE SLIPPERY AND
  HAZARDOUS.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30 DEGREES WHEN THE PRECIPITATION 
  ARRIVES AND RISING INTO THE LOWER 40S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW
DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

643 
WWUS41 KPHI 190910
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
410 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-191500-
/O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0005.140219T1200Z-140219T1700Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
410 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS
MORNING TO NOON EST TODAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY... THE POCONOS... BERKS 
  COUNTY AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO START DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE.
  TEMPERATURES WILL RISE AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES AND START
  DECREASING THE GEOGRAPHICAL EXTENT OF THE FREEZING RAIN DURING
  THE LATTER HALF OF THE MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ANY UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL BE SLIPPERY AND 
  HAZARDOUS. UNTREATED WALKWAYS WILL ALSO BE SLIPPERY AND 
  HAZARDOUS.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 WHEN 
  PRECIPITATION ARRIVES...RISING INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 
  40S DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW
DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL WHILE
TRAVELING ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION AND EXTRA DISTANCE BETWEEN YOURSELF AND
THE VEHICLES AROUND YOU.

&&

$$

NJZ009-010-015-PAZ101>106-191500-
/O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0005.140219T1200Z-140219T1500Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...TRENTON...
HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...
COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...
PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
410 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 AM
EST THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...WEST CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND THE PHILADELPHIA 
  NORTHWEST SUBURBS.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN FIVE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ARRIVING DURING THE MORNING 
  COMMUTE. THERE IS LIKELY TO BE AN OVERLAP PERIOD WITH SURFACE 
  TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING AS THE RAIN IS FALLING 
  MAKING IT FREEZE ON CONTACT. THE CHANCES FOR FREEZING RAIN 
  WILL DECREASE AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES AND END BY LATE 
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ANY UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL BE SLIPPERY AND 
  HAZARDOUS. UNTREATED WALKWAYS WILL ALSO BE SLIPPERY AND 
  HAZARDOUS.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30 DEGREES WHEN THE PRECIPITATION 
  ARRIVES AND RISING INTO THE LOWER 40S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW
DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

483 
WWUS41 KPHI 191455
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
955 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

NJZ010-015-PAZ102-104-106-191600-
/O.CAN.KPHI.ZR.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140219T1500Z/
SOMERSET-MERCER-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERVILLE...TRENTON...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
955 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING AND PRECIPITATION HAS
CHANGED TO PLAIN RAIN.

$$

NJZ009-PAZ101-103-105-191700-
/O.EXT.KPHI.ZR.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140219T1700Z/
HUNTERDON-WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...CHALFONT...PERKASIE
955 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* LOCATIONS...WEST CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND THE PHILADELPHIA 
  NORTHWEST SUBURBS.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO
  BEFORE TEMPERATURES RIVE ABOVE FREEZING.

* IMPACTS...ANY UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL BE SLIPPERY AND 
  HAZARDOUS. UNTREATED WALKWAYS WILL ALSO BE SLIPPERY AND 
  HAZARDOUS.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOW 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW
DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-191700-
/O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140219T1700Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
955 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY... THE POCONOS... BERKS 
  COUNTY AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR THROUGH THE MORNING
  BEFORE TEMPERATURES RIVE ABOVE FREEZING. FREEZING RAIN MAY MIX
  WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* IMPACTS...ANY UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL BE SLIPPERY AND 
  HAZARDOUS. UNTREATED WALKWAYS WILL ALSO BE SLIPPERY AND 
  HAZARDOUS.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW
DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL WHILE
TRAVELING ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION AND EXTRA DISTANCE BETWEEN YOURSELF AND
THE VEHICLES AROUND YOU.

&&

$$

751 
WWUS41 KPHI 191640
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1140 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

NJZ007-009-PAZ054-055-060>062-101-103-105-191745-
/O.EXP.KPHI.ZR.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140219T1700Z/
WARREN-HUNTERDON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...FLEMINGTON...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...
HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...CHALFONT...
PERKASIE
1140 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON EST TODAY...

PRECIPITATION IS COMING TO AN END ACROSS THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING INTO THIS AFTERNOON.
THEREFORE THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
NOON TODAY.

EVEN THOUGH PRECIPITAION WILL BE ENDING, BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY
ROADWAYS CONDITIONS.

$$

NJZ001-008-191800-
/O.EXT.KPHI.ZR.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140219T1800Z/
SUSSEX-MORRIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...MORRISTOWN
1140 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY... THE POCONOS... BERKS 
  COUNTY AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR INTO THE EARLY
  AFTERNOON BEFORE TEMPERATURES RIVE ABOVE FREEZING AND
  PRECIPITATION ENDS. FREEZING RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO
  SNOW OR SLEET FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* IMPACTS...ANY UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL BE SLIPPERY AND 
  HAZARDOUS. UNTREATED WALKWAYS WILL ALSO BE SLIPPERY AND 
  HAZARDOUS.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW
DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL WHILE
TRAVELING ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION AND EXTRA DISTANCE BETWEEN YOURSELF AND
THE VEHICLES AROUND YOU.

&&

$$

711 
WWUS41 KPHI 191749
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1249 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014


NJZ001-008-191900-
/O.EXP.KPHI.ZR.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140219T1800Z/
SUSSEX-MORRIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...MORRISTOWN
1249 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

PRECIPITATION HAS LEFT THE REGION. THUS THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER...IN SOME LOCATIONS THE TEMPERATURE
REMAINS BELOW FREEZING...SO THERE MAY STILL BE ICY CONDITIONS ON
ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.

$$

JOHNSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1017 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG COASTAL NORTHERN NEW JERSEY WILL
INTENSIFY AS IT RACES TO THE EAST OF BOSTON THIS EVENING. THEN
THE MAIN WEATHER STORY THE REST OF THIS WEEK WILL BE MILDER WEATHER
AND A SERIES OF FRONTS. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. A WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE
THURSDAY NIGHT...AND BE IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWED BY A STRONG COLD
FRONT LATE FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MAY CROSS OUR AREA THIS
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH AT
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE REMAINDER OF THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN CANCELLED
AS THE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL HAS SHIFTED OFFSHORE. MUCH OF THE
AREA WILL REMAIN PRECIPITATION FREE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS,
AND POSSIBLY THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. HOWEVER, AN AREA OF SNOW
HAS DEVELOPED OVER NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING VORT MAX, SO SNOW WILL CONTINUE HERE
FOR A WHILE. WE ARE ALSO WATCHING THE SNOW SQUALLS MARCHING
THROUGH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AS WELL. THESE SQUALLS HAVE BEEN
PRETTY INTENSE AS THEY HEAD EAST AS EVIDENT FROM THE LIGHTNING
ACTIVITY, AS WELL AS GUSTY WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. THE
HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THIS ACTIVITY
WEAKENING AS IT APPROACHES OUR AREA, OR LIFTING NORTH OF THE
AREA. HOWEVER, WITH THE INTENSITY OF THE ACTIVITY, WE CAN EXPECT
SOME SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR OUR NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN ZONES
LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
BIGGEST CONCERN IN THE TONIGHT PERIOD IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG.
LATEST MODELS SHOW AFTER THE INITIAL MOISTENING IN THE LOW LEVELS
THIS MORNING BEHIND THE SNOW...DRIER AIR SHOULD BEGIN TO WORK INTO
THE REGION. AT THIS TIME...IT DOESN/T APPEAR THAT TEMPS WILL GET LOW
ENOUGH FOR SATURATED BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS. THERE IS SOME CONCERN
HOWEVER...IF WINDS DROP OFF ENOUGH THAT PRIME RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO LOW TEMPS LOWER THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY
FORECAST. IN ADDITION...IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK MELT TO
TODAY...THAT COULD ADD TO THE NEAR SURFACE MOISTURE. BUT FOR
NOW...TOO LOW OF A CHANCE TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PD, A WK CDFNT WILL APPROACH THE REGION AD
CROSS THE AREA DURG THE FIRST HALF OF WED. THIS FRONT WILL BRING
MAINLY RAIN WITH IT, BUT IF THE PRECIP STARTS EARLY ENOUGH N AND W
THERE COULD BE SOME FREEZING RAIN N AND W OR SOME KIND OF WINTRY
MIX FOR A FEW HOURS.  OVERALL QPF IS FAIRLY LIGHT.

BEHIND THIS FRONT, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR WED NIGHT INTO
THU, BRINGING DRY WX.

THEN, AS STRONG LOW PRES DEVELOPS OVER THE PLAINS AND MOVES EWD,
ITS ATTENDANT WMFNT WILL PUSH THRU THE REGION THU NIGHT. THE LOW
WILL ADVANCE NEWD INTO ERN CANADA AND ITS ASSOCD STRONG CDFNT WILL
CROSS THE REGION ON FRI. THIS FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS, PSBLY SOME
THUNDER AND A DECENT SHOT OF RAIN...SOME OF IT COULD BE
HEAVY...FOR A TIME.

AFTER THIS FRONT PASSES, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK IN FOR
LATER FRI INTO AT LEAST SUN.

THEN, THE ECMWF TRIES TO DEVELOP ANOTHER WK LOW OVER THE OH VLY
AND PUSH IT EWD SUN NIGHT INTO MON WHILE THE ECMWF AND CMC ARE DRY
WITH A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM CANADA OVER
THE CNTRL PORTION OF THE NATION AND SLOWLY MOVG EWD.

CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON WHICH MDL, IF ANY, WILL BE RIGHT AT THIS TIME
SCALE, SO WILL CONTINUE THE DRY FCST ATTM.

TEMPS WILL BE ON QUITE A ROLLER COASTER. WE WILL SEE ABOVE NRML
TEMPS FOR THE FIRST TIME IN QUITE SOME TIME. THIS WILL HELP MELT
SOME OF THE SNOW. UNFORTUNATELY IF IT DOES IT TO QUICKLY AND IF WE
GET DECENT RAIN ON FRI THERE COULD BE SOME FLOODING ISSUES.

TEMPS WILL BE AT OR ABOVE NRML FOR ABOUT FOR 6 DAYS BEFORE
RETURNING TO BELOW NRML VALUES BY THE END OF THE PD. ON WED HIGH
WILL MAINLY BE IN THE MID 40S THEY WILL RISE A FEW DEGREES ON THU
WITH MANY AREAS FROM THE I-95 CORRIDOR S AND E MAKING A RUN AT 50
DEGREES. FRI WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY AS WE WILL BE IN THE WARM
SECTOR WITH GOOD SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE CFP. DEPENDING ON THE
TIMING OF THE FRONT AND HOW MUCH SUN WE SEE, A 60 DEGREE READING
ON THE I-95 CORRIDOR IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. TEMPS WILL BE A
BIT COOLER ON SAT BUT NOT UNBEARABLE AND WILL TREND MUCH COOLER BY
MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

SNOW HAS ENDED FOR ALL TAF SITES THIS MORNING. HOWEVER, A MIX OF
IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS THE TAF SITES AND SHOULD
REMAIN SO FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN IMPROVING TO VFR BY AROUND 18Z FOR THE
TERMINALS. ONCE CONDITIONS IMPROVE...EXPECT VFR TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
WED...A SYS WILL MOVE THRU IN THE MRNG AND BRING MAINLY SHRA.
THERE CUD BE FZRA OR MIXED PRECIP OVER NRN AND WRN AREAS IF THE
PRECIP DEVELOPS EARLY ENOUGH WED AM. MVFR PSBL IFR IN THE MRNG
THEN IMPROVING TO VFR BY AFTN. SW WIND GUST 15-20 KT SHIFT NW
DURING THE AFTERNOON.  MDT CONFIDENCE

WED NIGHT...GENLY VFR WITH PATCHY IFR FOG PSBL TOWARD SUNRISE IN
THE MORE RURAL AREAS.  MDT CONFIDENCE

THU...VFR THROUGH THE DAY. CONDITIONS DETERIORATING TO IFR IN
ST/FOG/RAIN-DRIZZLE THURSDAY NIGHT. LLWS POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK
FRIDAY.  MDT CONFIDENCE

FRI...MVFR...AND POSSIBLY IFR IN ST/FOG/SHOWERS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REGION IN THE MORNING. CFP FRI AFTN... BRINGING AN ABRUPT WIND
SHIFT...AND RETURN TO VFR. LLWS POTENTIAL DURING THE MORNING. SW
WIND GUSTS 20-30 KT THROUGH MIDDAY SHIFT NW AFTER THE CFP. MDT TO
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

SATURDAY...VFR.  HIGH CONFIDENCE.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH AT LEAST MID DAY.
WIND DIRECTION WILL BE SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLY TO WESTERLY THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BELOW SCA CONDITIONS BY EARLY
THIS EVENING AND STAY BELOW SCA CRITERIA THROUGH THE NIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
WED...SCA CONDS PSBL IN SW TO W FLOW.

THU...SUB-SCA CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY...BUT WIND AND SEAS
INCREASE THU NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF CDFNT.

FRI...SCA LIKELY. S WIND IN THE MRNG WILL SHIFT TO NW BEHIND CFP
IN THE AFTN.

SAT...SUB-SCA CONDS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
DAILY SNOWFALL RECORDS FOR TODAY - TUESDAY FEBRUARY 18 REMAIN INTACT
AND WERE NOT EXCEEDED...FAIRLY CLOSE AT PHL AND ILG BUT NOT.

PHL 3.6 2000
ABE 3.7 1964
ILG 2.5 1964

THE FIRST 17 DAYS OF FEBRUARY HAVE AVERAGED FROM 3 DEGREES (SOUTH) TO
MORE THAN 6 DEGREES (NORTH)...BELOW NORMAL!

SEASONAL SNOW TOTALS AND RANKING AS OF 7 AM TODAY-TUESDAY FEBRUARY
18.

PHL 58.4 IS #3   OFFICIAL RECORDS BACK TO 1884

1. 78.7  2009-10
2. 65.5  1995-96
3. 58.4  2013-14
4. 55.4  1898-99

ABE 66.7 IS #4   OFFICIAL RECORDS BACK TO 1922

1. 75.4  1993-94
2. 71.4  1995-96
3. 67.2  1966-67
4. 66.7  2013-14
5. 65.2  1960-61

ILG 47.9 IS #4   OFFICIAL RECORDS BACK TO 1894

1. 72.8 2009-10
2. 49.5 1957-58
3. 48.8 1906-07 (MISSING DAYS)
4. 47.9 2013-14
5. 46.1 2002-03

ACY 27.5 STILL RANKED 18. OFFICIAL RECORDS BACK TO 1874.

FOR THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY THROUGH 7AM TODAY-TUESDAY 2/18/14

PHL 21.3 RANKED 7. HERE IS THE PHILADELPHIA FEBRUARY SNOWFALL
RANKING LISTING BELOW.

1. 51.5 2010
2. 31.5 1899
3. 29.6 2003
4. 27.6 1979
5. 26.1 1983
6. 24.1 1907
7. 21.3 2014
8. 19.0 1978
9/10 18.5 1967 AND 1934

ABE 36.5 RANKED #2 BEHIND THE 42.9 OF 2010.

ILG 18.5 RANKED TIED #7 BEHIND THE #1 46.9 OF 2010.
1. 46.9 2010
2. 31.6 2003
3. 27.6 1979
4. 26.3 1934 (MISSING 18 DAYS)
5  22.6 1895 (MISSING 21 DAYS)
6. 18.7 1967
7/8. 18.5 2014 AND 1983
9. 18.4 1978

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     ANZ450>453.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ430-
     431-454-455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DRAG/NIERENBERG
NEAR TERM...JOHNSON
SHORT TERM...JOHNSON
LONG TERM...NIERENBERG
AVIATION...JOHNSON/NIERENBERG
MARINE...JOHNSON/NIERENBERG CORRECTED BY WITHDRAWING SOME CLIMATE INFO
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
443 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-190945-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
443 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ009-010-012-013-015-PAZ103>106-190945-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
443 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-101-102-190945-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-
443 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002-MDZ015-019-020-190945-
KENT-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
443 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE AND
NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY....ESPECIALLY IF A
THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIES A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ014-190945-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-
443 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS MORNING. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AND THE SNOW MAY
FALL HEAVILY DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE BEFORE ENDING MIDDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY IF A
THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIES A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ003-004-NJZ023>026-190945-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
443 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY CHANGE TO RAIN SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE. ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN ONE
INCH. HOWEVER... IF THE GROUND IS COLD ENOUGH...THERE COULD BE
SOME ICY CONDITIONS ON AREA ROADS THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY IF A
THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIES A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ020>022-027-190945-
OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
443 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY IF A
THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIES A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-190945-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
443 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1007 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-061-062-105-181615-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...ALLENTOWN...
BETHLEHEM...EASTON...CHALFONT...PERKASIE
1007 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014

...SNOW AND POSSIBLE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL LATE THIS MORNING FOR
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...

A BAND OF SNOW CROSSING NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY BETWEEN NOW AND 1130 AM IS CAPABLE OF DEPOSITING A QUICK
ONE HALF TO 1 INCH OF NEW SNOW IN AN HOURS TIME. THAT CAN CREATE
STRETCHES OF SLIPPERY PAVEMENT. BE ALERT FOR SUDDENLY REDUCED
VISIBILITY IN MODERATE SNOW. NEWLY SNOW COVERED STRETCHES OF HIGHWAY
ARE LIKELY LATE THIS MORNING FROM THE LEHIGH VALLEY INTO THE
POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY NEAR INTERSTATE 80.