Areal Flood Warning 23, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

152 
WGUS41 KPHI 020200
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1000 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

NJC011-033-021400-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140502T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SALEM NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
1000 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN SALEM COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  EASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1000 AM EDT FRIDAY

* AT 930 PM EDT...THE STAGE OF THE MAURICE RIVER AT NORMA WAS
  4.11 FEET AND RISING. FLOOD STAGE AT NORMA IS 4.0 FEET. THE 
  MAURICE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A SLOW RISE ABOVE FLOOD
  STAGE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN LOW 
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE RIVER OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. 

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 3931 7489 3919 7494 3918 7502 3921 7504
      3920 7511 3919 7511 3917 7514 3927 7514
      3951 7520 3958 7507 3948 7497 3941 7486

$$

AMC

192 
WGUS41 KPHI 020917
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
517 AM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014

NJC011-033-031400-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140503T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SALEM NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
517 AM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN SALEM COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  EASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1000 AM EDT SATURDAY

* AT 515 AM EDT...THE LEVEL OF THE MAURICE RIVER WAS CONTINUING TO
  RISE SLOWLY AS A RESULT OF RUNOFF FROM WEDNESDAY'S HEAVY RAINFALL.
  MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY.

THIS FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING. WATER LEVEL
RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. ALL 
INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3931 7489 3919 7494 3918 7502 3921 7504
      3920 7511 3919 7511 3917 7514 3927 7514
      3951 7520 3958 7507 3948 7497 3941 7486

$$

IOVINO

555 
WGUS41 KPHI 030120
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
920 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014

NJC011-033-040800-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140504T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SALEM NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
920 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN SALEM COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  EASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 400 AM EDT SUNDAY

* AT 915 PM EDT...THE LEVEL OF THE MAURICE RIVER WAS NEARING ITS
  CREST AT NORMA. MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIVER IN
  SALEM COUNTY AND CUMBERLAND COUNTY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THE LEVEL
  OF THE MAURICE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL SLOWLY AND IT IS FORECAST
  TO RETURN WITHIN ITS BANKS EARLY ON SUNDAY.

THIS FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3931 7489 3919 7494 3918 7502 3921 7504
      3920 7511 3919 7511 3917 7514 3927 7514
      3951 7520 3958 7507 3948 7497 3941 7486

$$

IOVINO

661 
WGUS81 KPHI 030814
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
414 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014

NJC011-033-040800-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140504T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SALEM NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
414 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR
EASTERN CUMBERLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN SALEM COUNTIES...

AT 410 AM EDT...THE LEVEL OF THE MAURICE RIVER WAS BEGINNING TO FALL 
SLOWLY AT NORMA. HOWEVER, MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE 
RIVER IN SALEM COUNTY AND CUMBERLAND COUNTY INTO TONIGHT. THE 
MAURICE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RETURN WITHIN ITS BANKS EARLY ON SUNDAY.

THIS A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3931 7489 3919 7494 3918 7502 3921 7504
      3920 7511 3919 7511 3917 7514 3927 7514
      3951 7520 3958 7507 3948 7497 3941 7486

$$

IOVINO

707 
WGUS81 KPHI 031458
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1058 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014

NJC011-033-040800-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140504T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SALEM NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
1058 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR
EASTERN CUMBERLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN SALEM COUNTIES...

AT 1056 AM EDT...THE LEVEL OF THE MAURICE RIVER CONTINUED TO SLOWLY 
FALL AT NORMA.  HOWEVER, MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE 
RIVER IN SALEM AND CUMBERLAND COUNTIES INTO TONIGHT.  THE MAURICE 
RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RETURN WITH ITS BANKS EARLY SUNDAY.

THIS FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3931 7489 3919 7494 3918 7502 3921 7504
      3920 7511 3919 7511 3917 7514 3927 7514
      3951 7520 3958 7507 3948 7497 3941 7486

$$

439 
WGUS41 KPHI 040008
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
808 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014

NJC011-033-042000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140504T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SALEM NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
808 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN SALEM COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  EASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 400 PM EDT SUNDAY

* AT 805 PM EDT...THE LEVEL OF THE MAURICE RIVER WAS CONTINUING TO
  FALL SLOWLY. HOWEVER, MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE
  RIVER IN SALEM COUNTY AND CUMBERLAND COUNTY INTO SUNDAY. THE
  MAURICE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RETURN WITHIN ITS BANKS ON SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON.

THIS FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE  
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3931 7489 3919 7494 3918 7502 3921 7504
      3920 7511 3919 7511 3917 7514 3927 7514
      3951 7520 3958 7507 3948 7497 3941 7486

$$

IOVINO

238 
WGUS81 KPHI 040804
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
404 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014

NJC011-033-042000-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140504T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SALEM NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
404 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR
EASTERN CUMBERLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN SALEM COUNTIES...

AT 400 AM EDT...THE LEVEL OF THE MAURICE RIVER WAS FALLING SLOWLY. 
HOWEVER, MINOR FLOODING WAS CONTINUING ALONG THE RIVER IN SALEM 
COUNTY AND CUMBERLAND COUNTY. THE MAURICE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO 
RETURN WITHIN ITS BANKS THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3931 7489 3919 7494 3918 7502 3921 7504
      3920 7511 3919 7511 3917 7514 3927 7514
      3951 7520 3958 7507 3948 7497 3941 7486

$$

IOVINO

869 
WGUS81 KPHI 041731
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
131 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014

NJC011-033-041740-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140504T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SALEM NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
131 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR EASTERN CUMBERLAND AND
SOUTHEASTERN SALEM COUNTIES...

AS OF 130 PM EDT, THE LEVEL OF THE MAURICE RIVER AT NORMA HAS 
DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND CONTINUES TO SLOWLY FALL.  THEREFORE, 
THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3931 7489 3919 7494 3918 7502 3921 7504
      3920 7511 3919 7511 3917 7514 3927 7514
      3951 7520 3958 7507 3948 7497 3941 7486

$$

NIERENBERG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
936 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS
SLOWLY FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO EASTERN CANADA. A WEAK AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS TO OUR SOUTH LATER FRIDAY AND OVER THE
WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE HOWEVER WILL TRACK TO OUR NORTH SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, PULLING A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN FORECAST TO EXTEND TOWARD THE NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC MONDAY AND TUESDAY, HOWEVER A WARM FRONT MAY APPROACH
FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATER WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD TODAY AND
THERE IS OBVIOUSLY ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE AFTER ALL
THE RAIN WE RECEIVED. THERE COULD BE SOME ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWERS
TODAY, THOUGH QPF SHOULD BE RELATIVELY LIGHT. LATEST RADAR SHOWED
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OVER NJ AND DE, BUT MDL GUID SHOWED SOME MORE
DEVELOPING LATER THIS MRNG BEFORE THINGS QUIET DOWN IN THE AFTN AS
A MORE WLY FLOW DEVELOPS BRINGING IN DRIER AIR.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO PASS THROUGH OUR
REGION THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL BRING AN END TO THE CHANCE OF
SHOWERS ALONG WITH SOME CLEARING FOR TONIGHT.

THE LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST SURFACE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
SHOULD BRING TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE 40S FOR LATE TONIGHT IN
OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES AND INTO THE LOWER 50S IN THE SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP REVOLVES AROUND AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
IN CANADA THAT EXTENDS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. SOME ENERGY
HANGING BACK WILL MAINTAIN THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
ACROSS THE PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES, HOWEVER IT WILL BE SHIFTING
EASTWARD SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS LOOKS TO AMPLIFY DURING
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY IN THE NORTHEAST AS RIDGING SHIFTS OUT ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS. OVERALL, SOME WEAKER SYSTEMS WILL
BE MOVING THROUGH. ONE OF WHICH WILL BE DURING THE WEEKEND AS A
COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH ON SUNDAY. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH SHORT
WAVE ENERGY WITHIN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TO ALLOW FOR AN
AREA OF SHOWERS TO TRACK OVER OR NEAR OUR CWA AROUND TUESDAY. A
BATTLE ZONE OF SORTS MAY THEN TRY AND BECOME ESTABLISHED
THEREAFTER AS A TROUGH TRIES TO HANG ON IN NEW ENGLAND WHILE
RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE PLAINS. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A WARM
FRONT BECOMING ACTIVATED TO OUR SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY. WE USED A
GENERAL MODEL BLEND FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY, THEN UTILIZED THE 00Z WPC
GUIDANCE WITH CONTINUITY OVERALL.

FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...OUR WEATHER STILL INFLUENCED BY A
WEAKENING UPPER-LEVEL LOW AS IT TRACKS UP ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
CANADA. THERE IS SOME ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKING
NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT, AND WITH ENOUGH
MOISTURE, HEATING AND PERHAPS A LEE-SIDE TROUGH, SOME SHOWERS MAY
RESULT ESPECIALLY EACH AFTERNOON. IT APPEARS THE BETTER CHC /LOW
POPS/ IS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ZONES, HOWEVER THE OVERALL MOISTURE
AND FORCING IS WEAK AND THEREFORE ANY SHOWER COVERAGE SHOULD BE
LOW. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT.

FOR SUNDAY...A COLD FRONT LOOKS TO CROSS THE AREA AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS TO OUR NORTH, ALTHOUGH THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD THEN BECOME
ORIENTATED WEST TO EAST AND STALL TO OUR SOUTH AT NIGHT. THIS
FRONT LOOKS TO LACK DEEPER MOISTURE AND LIFT, HOWEVER INCREASING
CYCLONIC FLOW AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AMPLIFIES MAY HELP JUST
ENOUGH TO GENERATE A BIT MORE SHOWER ACTIVITY ESPECIALLY IN THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. THESE AREAS WILL
ALSO BE CLOSER TO THE 500 MB COLD CORE AS IT SLIDES ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST. IF THE LAPSE RATES STEEPEN ENOUGH, THERE COULD BE SOME
THUNDER WITH SMALL HAIL GIVEN THE RATHER COLD 500 MB TEMPERATURES
FORECAST.

FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD BE STALLED
WELL TO OUR SOUTH AS THE FLOW BECOMES PARALLEL WITH IT. AS AN
AMPLIFYING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHEAST STARTS TO MOVE
OUT, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO EXTEND DOWN INTO OUR AREA
FROM THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY AS RIDGING ARRIVES ACROSS THE PLAINS.
THIS EXTENSION OF THE SURFACE HIGH SHOULD THEN SLIDE ACROSS OUR
AREA TUESDAY. HOWEVER, SHORT WAVE ENERGY DIVING SOUTHEASTWARD
WITHIN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT MAY COMBINE WITH WAA UP THE
OHIO VALLEY AND INDUCE AN AREA OF SHOWERS. THIS MAY NOT RESULT IN
MUCH QPF AND WHERE THIS ENDS UP TRACKING AND ITS ORGANIZATION
CARRIES LOWER CONFIDENCE, ESPECIALLY AS IT MAY BE ALSO TIED TO AN
ORGANIZING WARM FRONT. WE GENERALLY FOLLOWED WPC GUIDANCE AS A
RESULT.

FOR WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MAY TRY AND BUCKLE THE TROUGH
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. AS A RESULT, THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MAY AMPLIFY A BIT BEFORE SHIFTING OUT TO SEA.
THIS OCCURS AS RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE PLAINS AND MIDWEST AHEAD
OF A DIGGING TROUGH ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. THERE SHOULD BE
A STRENGTHENING BAROCLINIC ZONE IN THE FORM OF A WARM FRONT, AND
THIS MAY START TO BECOME MORE ACTIVATED AS IT APPROACHES OUR
REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATE. THEREFORE, PRECIPITATION CHCS
INCREASE SOME DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

CIGS ARE HIGHLY VARIABLE THIS MRNG RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR.
UNFORTUNATELY, WE ARE IN THE TRANSITIONAL TIME OF THE FCST, AND
ITS A TOUGH CALL AS TO GIVE A MORE OPTIMISTIC FCST ATTM. CONDS MAY
GO VFR FOR A BIT THEN GO BACK TO MVFR FOR EXAMPLE. THERE IS ALSO
SOME LOW CLOUDS AND DENSE FOG RIGHT ALG THE COAST THAT IS
IMPACTING KACY.

A GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IS ANTICIPATED FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH
CEILINGS RISING INTO AND REMAINING IN THE VFR RANGE. THERE WILL
BE A DECREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

A COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE THIS
EVENING WITH SOME CLEARING FOR TONIGHT.

THE WIND IS FORECAST TO SETTLE INTO THE SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING
BEFORE GRADUALLY VEERING TOWARD THE WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON,
THEN WEST NORTHWEST FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS
EVENING. SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO BE MOSTLY IN THE 6 TO 12 KNOT
RANGE.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...OVERALL VFR. WESTERLY WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KNOTS FRIDAY DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING,
THEN SOUTHWESTERLY SATURDAY 10 TO 15 KNOTS. A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE
EACH AFTERNOON FROM NEAR KRDG AND KABE TO THE NORTH AND WEST.

SUNDAY...GENERALLY VFR. SOME SHOWERS AND BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 KNOTS AND GUSTY, BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE IN THE DAY AND
AT NIGHT.

MONDAY...VFR. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...
THE GUSTY SOUTH WIND OVER OUR COASTAL WATERS SHOULD DIMINISH
GRADUALLY THIS MORNING. THE WIND DIRECTION IS FORECAST TO VEER TO
THE SOUTHWEST FOR THIS AFTERNOON THEN IT SHOULD BECOME WEST TO
NORTHWEST TONIGHT AFTER A COLD FRONT PASSES.

WAVE HEIGHTS ON OUR OCEAN WATERS WERE IN THE 6 TO 8 FOOT RANGE
EARLY THIS MORNING. THEY SHOULD TAKE A WHILE TO SUBSIDE. AS A
RESULT, THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR OUR OCEAN WATERS WILL REMAIN
IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM FRIDAY. WE HAVE LOWERED THE REMAINING SCA
ON DEL BAY WITH THIS UPDATE.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED AS
THE FLOW LESSENS AND THE SEAS SUBSIDE.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST WILL DRIVE LOW PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND PULL A COLD
FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA SUNDAY. SOME COOLING BEHIND THIS ALONG WITH
A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT FOR A TIME MAY RESULT IN SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS FOR A TIME.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THE THREAT OF TIDAL FLOODING CONTINUES TO DIMINISH ON THE TIDAL
DELAWARE RIVER. AS A RESULT, THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WAS ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE THERE.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE UPPER EASTERN
SHORE OF CHESAPEAKE BAY UNTIL 1100 AM AS THE WATER THAT WAS PUSHED
UP THE BAY DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL TAKE A BIT OF TIME
TO DRAIN.

THE NEXT SET OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE LOWER THAN THE ONES
THAT WERE AND ARE COVERED BY WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES. THE WATER
WILL CONTINUE TO DRAIN AWAY FROM THE COAST AND NO ADDITIONAL
COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THIS
EVENT.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR MDZ008-
     012-015-019-020.
MARINE...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR ANZ450>455.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GORSE
NEAR TERM...IOVINO/NIERENBERG
SHORT TERM...IOVINO
LONG TERM...GORSE
AVIATION...GORSE/IOVINO/NIERENBERG
MARINE...GORSE/IOVINO/NIERENBERG
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
930 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

DEZ001>004-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-
021330-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
930 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-021330-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
930 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>455-021330-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
930 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-021330-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
930 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
625 AM EDT THU MAY 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0147 PM     FLOOD            EAST COVENTRY TWP       40.20N  75.62W
04/30/2014                   CHESTER            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PIGEON CREEK OVERFLOW...HALTEMAN ROAD AND KOLP ROAD
            INTERSECTION IS FLOODED.

0345 PM     FLOOD            MILFORD TWP             40.42N  75.41W
04/30/2014                   BUCKS              PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STATE ROAD 663 MILDFORD TWP IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0345 PM     FLOOD            NEW BRITAIN TWP         40.32N  75.20W
04/30/2014                   BUCKS              PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            COUNTY LINE ROAD IN NEW BRITAIN TWP IS CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING

0609 PM     FLOOD            HOPEWELL TWP            40.35N  74.78W
04/30/2014                   MERCER             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROADS FLOODED THROUGHOUT THE TOWNSHIP.

0611 PM     FLOOD            READINGTON TWP          40.57N  74.80W
04/30/2014                   HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROUTE 22 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

0612 PM     FLOOD            STEVENSVILLE            38.98N  76.31W
04/30/2014                   QUEEN ANNE'S       MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL AREAS OF HIGH STANDING WATER THROUGHOUT KENT
            ISLAND.

0648 PM     FLOOD            AVONDALE                39.82N  75.78W
04/30/2014                   CHESTER            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AN APARTMENT COMPLEX WAS EVACUATED DUE TO FLOODING

0655 PM     FLOOD            MODENA                  39.96N  75.80W
04/30/2014                   CHESTER            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AN APARTMENT COMPLEX WAS EVACUATED DUE TO FLOODING.

0656 PM     FLOOD            WEST CHESTER            39.96N  75.61W
04/30/2014                   CHESTER            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED THROUGHOUT COUNTY

0700 PM     FLOOD            MARLBORO                40.32N  74.25W
04/30/2014                   MONMOUTH           NJ   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE WATER RESCUES IN THE COUNTY DUE TO MOTORISTS
            ATTEMPTING TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

0701 PM     FLOOD            LIMERICK TWP            40.22N  75.54W
04/30/2014                   MONTGOMERY         PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING IN THE TOWNSHIP.

0702 PM     FLOOD            SOUTH BRUNSWICK         40.39N  74.53W
04/30/2014                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROUTE 1 SOUTH CLOSED AT RAYMOND ROAD.

0703 PM     FLOOD            HORSHAM TWP             40.20N  75.17W
04/30/2014                   MONTGOMERY         PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING ACROSS THE
            COUNTY.

0720 PM     FLOOD            BUSHKILL TWP            40.79N  75.34W
04/30/2014                   NORTHAMPTON        PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WEST DOUGLASVILLE ROAD BETWEEN GOVE AND CLEARFIELD IS
            CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING FROM THE BUSHKILL CREEK. THE
            WATER WAS AT LEAST 6 INCHES DEEP.

0900 PM     FLOOD            AMBLER                  40.15N  75.22W
04/30/2014                   MONTGOMERY         PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING FROM THE WISSAHICKON CREEK HAS CLOSED SEVERAL
            ROADS IN THE AREA.

0900 PM     FLOOD            CHESTER                 39.84N  75.37W
04/30/2014                   DELAWARE           PA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            STATE OF EMERGENCY DECLARED FOR CHESTER... MARPLE
            TOWNSHIP AND DARBY BOROUGH DUE TO WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT
            FLOODING.

0908 PM     FLOOD            MARLBORO                40.32N  74.25W
04/30/2014                   MONMOUTH           NJ   PUBLIC

            ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0926 PM     FLOOD            STANTON                 39.72N  75.64W
04/30/2014                   NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROUTE 7 SOUTH AND ROUTE 2 IN NEWARK CLOSED.

1030 PM     FLOOD            MEDFORD                 39.90N  74.82W
04/30/2014                   BURLINGTON         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK IN
            MEDFORD. FLOODING OCCURRED IN THE AREA OF NEW FREEDOM
            ROAD AND CHURCH ROAD. SEVERAL RESIDENTS HAVE BEEN
            EVACUATED ON NEW FREEDOM ROAD AND LENAPE TRAIL AS WATER
            IS SURROUNDING HOMES.

1100 PM     FLOOD            PHOENIXVILLE            40.13N  75.52W
04/30/2014                   CHESTER            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FRENCH CREEK FLOODING COVENTRYVILLE ROAD AND WARWICK
            PARK.

1100 PM     FLOOD            RINGOES                 40.43N  74.87W
04/30/2014                   HUNTERDON          NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

            SEVERAL ROADWAYS IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOODING.

1200 AM     FLOOD            LOWER MACUNGIE TWP      40.52N  75.58W
05/01/2014                   LEHIGH             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LITTLE LEHIGH FLOODING AND SPRING CREEK ROAD IS CLOSED.

1200 AM     FLOOD            COLLEGEVILLE            40.18N  75.46W
05/01/2014                   MONTGOMERY         PA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FLOODING ALONG THE PERKIOMEN CREEK. THE RISING WATERS
            CLOSED THE BRIDGE OVER THE CREEK ON MAIN STREET AS WELL
            AS ROUTE 29.

0500 AM     FLOOD            PHILADELPHIA            39.95N  75.16W
05/01/2014                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PORTIONS OF KELLY DRIVE AND MLK DRIVE CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING FROM THE SCHUYLKILL RIVER.

0500 AM     FLOOD            DOWNINGTOWN             40.01N  75.70W
05/01/2014                   CHESTER            PA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FLOODING FROM THE BRANDYWINE CREEK RESULTED IN THE
            CLOSURE OF BALTIMORE PIKE AT CREEK ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1400151 PHI1400152 PHI1400153 PHI1400154 PHI1400155
PHI1400156 PHI1400158 PHI1400157 PHI1400159 PHI1400167 PHI1400160
PHI1400161 PHI1400162 PHI1400168 PHI1400165 PHI1400172 PHI1400163
PHI1400164 PHI1400171 PHI1400166 PHI1400169 PHI1400170 PHI1400175
PHI1400173 PHI1400174

GORSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
938 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

NJZ013-014-020-022>027-011615-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...
HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
938 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

...PATCHY FOG ACROSS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...

PATCHY FOG WILL PERSIST ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY THIS
MORNING WITH VISIBILITIES LOWERING BELOW ONE MILE AT TIMES. A COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD
HELP MIX OUT THE FOG OR PUSH IT OFFSHORE AS WINDS TURN MORE SOUTHWEST
TO WEST.

ROBERTSON