Severe Thunderstorm Warning 152, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
610 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2014

.AVIATION...
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF ALL SITES THIS EVENING. GENLY
VFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS EVENING WITH A FEW HIGH BASED SHOWERS
AROUND. STILL EXPECT TSTMS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS TO EVENTUALLY
ORGANIZE AND MOVE SE TOWARD THE AREA OVERNIGHT ALTHOUGH THE EXACT
EVOLUTION OF THIS IS STILL UNCERTAIN. WILL TREND TOWARD THE TIMING
OF HIGH RES MODELS FOR TEMPO TSRA GROUPS LATER TONIGHT. A PERIOD OF
MORE WIDEPSREAD MVFR/IFR CIGS EXPECTED TOWARD SUNRISE THROUGH THE
THE EARLY MORNING BEFORE VFR CONDITIONS RETURN LATER SUNDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION.. /ISSUED 250 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
CONT TO DEAL WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
AFTN/EVENING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND OVERNIGHT MCS IMPACTS. THIS
WILL LIKELY CONT FOR THE NEXT TWO... POSSIBLY THREE DAYS... UNTIL
UPPER LOW SWINGS OUT ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY.

FOCUS FOR STORMS THIS AFTN... EXPECTED TO BE RESIDUAL OUTFLOW/SFC
FRONT LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY EXISTS FOR SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS ALONG WITH VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL. STILL EXPECT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR TO OUR WEST
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO... EASTERN NEW MEXICO
AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES. THIS WILL CONGEAL INTO ANOTHER MCS THAT
LOOKS TO MAINLY AFFECT THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH
TEXAS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. WILL LIKELY DO IT ALL AGAIN SUNDAY AFTN
AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

HAVE GONE AHEAD AND EXPANDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH BOTH IN TIME
AND AREA. HAVE INCLUDED MUCH OF SOUTHERN OK AND ALL OF WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY. DO THINK THAT NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA MAY SEE A QUIET NIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE MORE SIGNIFICANT
RAINS OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. SO WILL KEEP THE WATCH GOING
THERE AND NOT HAVE TO REISSUE FOR THAT AREA AFTER TONIGHT. STILL
APPEARS THAT MANY LOCATIONS COULD SEE UPWARDS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF
RAIN BY THE TIME TUESDAY ROLLS AROUND.

MANY OF THE MODELS DO SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR ONE LAST MCS
AFFECTING PARTS OF THE AREA WED NIGHT EARLY THURSDAY BEFORE UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS NORTHEAST OVER THE AREA. THIS WILL LIMIT RAIN CHANCES
BY THE END OF THE WEEK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  81  67  80 /  70  40  70  60
HOBART OK         67  83  65  82 /  70  40  70  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  68  87  68  85 /  70  40  70  40
GAGE OK           63  78  62  80 /  50  30  60  30
PONCA CITY OK     65  78  65  79 /  40  40  70  70
DURANT OK         69  86  68  82 /  70  60  70  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR OKZ004>042-044>046-
     050.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

23/30

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT SAT JUN 7 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-081100-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1155 AM CDT SAT JUN 7 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM WOODWARD
TO ENID TO STILLWATER.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE FROM 5 PM THROUGH
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

IMPACTS...
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS 60 TO 70 MPH
LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PING PONG BALLS
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN SOME FLOODING

DISCUSSION...
MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND LOWER 90S. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AND
INTO THE EARLY EVENING...ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA.

ADDITIONAL STORMS IN THE HIGH PLAINS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND DURING
THE AFTERNOON...THEN MERGE INTO A STORM COMPLEX THAT WILL MOVE
EAST INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS LATE THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD
PREPARE FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...WILL BE POSSIBLE
AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL DECREASE AFTER MONDAY BUT CONTINUE THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
321 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2014

OKZ031-032-072045-
SEMINOLE OK-HUGHES OK-
321 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SEMINOLE AND
SOUTHWESTERN HUGHES COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 319 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST
OF FRANCIS...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH DIAMETER...
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3487 9641 3493 9641 3490 9642 3491 9648
      3488 9651 3489 9655 3492 9656 3490 9661
      3491 9666 3494 9668 3492 9673 3503 9673
      3511 9639 3486 9635
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 264DEG 13KT 3496 9663

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
805 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0804 PM     HAIL             9 S TEMPLE              34.14N 98.23W
06/07/2014  E1.00 INCH       COTTON             OK   PUBLIC

&&

MDAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
810 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0809 PM     HAIL             9 S TEMPLE              34.14N 98.23W
06/07/2014  E1.75 INCH       COTTON             OK   PUBLIC

&&

MDAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
815 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0812 PM     HAIL             6 S RINGLING            34.09N 97.59W
06/07/2014  E1.25 INCH       JEFFERSON          OK   PUBLIC

&&

MDAY

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