Frost Advisory 8, NWS New York, NY

364 
WWUS71 KOKX 021432
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
932 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...STRONG WINDS TODAY AND COLD TEMPERATURES TONIGHT...

CTZ009-022245-
/O.CON.KOKX.FZ.W.0005.141103T0800Z-141103T1300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-141102T2300Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
932 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTY.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS TODAY. FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT 
  INTO MONDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 32 TONIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS TODAY. FREEZING TEMPERATURES LATE 
  TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SOME TREES...LIMBS...AND POWER LINES WILL BE DOWNED.
  MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT ON
  ELEVATED ROADS AND BRIDGES. BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD
  KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...
OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT
OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NYZ069-070-022245-
/O.EXA.KOKX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-141102T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.FZ.W.0005.141103T0800Z-141103T1300Z/
ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
932 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...COASTAL NEW HAVEN...COASTAL MIDDLESEX AND COASTAL 
  NEW LONDON COUNTIES.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS TODAY AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30 TONIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS TODAY. FREEZING TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT
  INTO MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SOME TREES...LIMBS...AND POWER LINES WILL BE DOWNED.
  MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT ON
  ELEVATED ROADS AND BRIDGES. BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD
  KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...
OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT
OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
&&

$$

NJZ004-103-105-107-022245-
/O.CON.KOKX.FZ.W.0005.141103T0800Z-141103T1300Z/
EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
932 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN PASSAIC...WESTERN BERGEN...WESTERN ESSEX...
   WESTERN UNION...ROCKLAND AND NORTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTIES.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 32 TONIGHT.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD KILL CROPS AND 
  OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT
OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NYZ068-022245-
/O.EXA.KOKX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-141102T2300Z/
PUTNAM-
932 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...COASTAL NEW HAVEN...COASTAL MIDDLESEX AND COASTAL 
  NEW LONDON COUNTIES.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...TODAY.

* IMPACTS...SOME TREES...LIMBS...AND POWER LINES WILL BE DOWNED.
  MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT ON
  ELEVATED ROADS AND BRIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...
OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NJZ006-104-106-108-NYZ071-078>081-022245-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-141102T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.FR.Y.0008.141103T0800Z-141103T1300Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
932 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND 
  SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS TODAY. FROST EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...LOW TO MID 30S TONIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS TODAY. FROST EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SOME TREES...LIMBS...AND POWER LINES WILL BE DOWNED.
  MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT ON
  ELEVATED ROADS AND BRIDGES. TENDER VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED BY
  THE COLD TEMPERATURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...
OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

CTZ005>008-010>012-NYZ072>075-176>179-022245-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-141102T2300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
932 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...COASTAL NEW HAVEN...COASTAL MIDDLESEX AND COASTAL 
  NEW LONDON COUNTIES.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...TODAY.

* IMPACTS...SOME TREES...LIMBS...AND POWER LINES WILL BE DOWNED.
  MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT ON
  ELEVATED ROADS AND BRIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...
OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

JMC

660 
WWUS71 KOKX 021938
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
238 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...STRONG WINDS THIS EVENING AND COLD TEMPERATURES TONIGHT... 

NJZ006-104-106-108-NYZ071-078>081-030000-
/O.CAN.KOKX.FR.Y.0008.141103T0800Z-141103T1300Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-141103T0000Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
238 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS CANCELLED THE FROST
ADVISORY.

* LOCATIONS...HUDSON...EASTERN BERGEN...EASTERN ESSEX...EASTERN
  UNION...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER...SUFFOLK.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SOME TREES...LIMBS...AND POWER LINES WILL BE DOWNED.
  MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT ON
  ELEVATED ROADS AND BRIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...
OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CTZ009-NYZ069-070-030345-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-141103T0000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.FZ.W.0005.141103T0800Z-141103T1300Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
238 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTY...ROCKLAND...NORTHERN
  WESTCHESTER.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS EARLY THIS EVENING. FREEZING TEMPERATURES
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS EARLY THIS EVENING. FREEZING TEMPERATURES
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SOME TREES...LIMBS...AND POWER LINES WILL BE DOWNED. 
  MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT 
  ON ELEVATED ROADS AND BRIDGES. BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES 
  COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...
OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT
OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NJZ004-103-105-107-030345-
/O.CON.KOKX.FZ.W.0005.141103T0800Z-141103T1300Z/
EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
238 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN PASSAIC...WESTERN BERGEN...WESTERN
  ESSEX...WESTERN UNION.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30.

* TIMING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD KILL CROPS AND 
  OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT
OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

CTZ005>008-010>012-NYZ068-072>075-176>179-030000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-141103T0000Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-PUTNAM-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
238 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN FAIRFIELD...NEW HAVEN...MIDDLESEX...NEW
  LONDON...MIDDLESEX...PUTNAM...NEW YORK CITY...NASSAU.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH.

* TIMING...INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SOME TREES...LIMBS...AND POWER LINES WILL BE DOWNED. 
  MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT 
  ON ELEVATED ROADS AND BRIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...
OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

JMC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
404 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND A DEPARTING STORM TODAY. THIS HIGH
WILL KEEP DRY AND FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. A WARM FRONT WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY
FOLLOWED BY A WEAK COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN
DEVELOP NEAR THE AREA ON THURSDAY AND DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE THEN
BUILDS IN FOR SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
BAND OF PCPN OVER THE FAR EASTERN ZONES WILL SHIFT EAST LATER THIS
MORNING AS MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING/DEFORMATION AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT ALSO SHIFT EAST. WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS AND FREEZING
LEVELS APPEAR TO BE LOW ENOUGH FOR A MIX OF RAIN AND WET SNOW ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF INTERIOR SE CT. NO ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED
HOWEVER.

OTHERWISE...DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE AREA TODAY
WITH DIMINISHING CLOUD COVER FROM WEST TO EAST. WIND ADVISORIES WILL
REMAIN UNCHANGED...CONTINUING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL AVERAGE NEARLY 10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMALS...AND WIND CHILLS TO START OFF THIS MORNING WILL BE
AVERAGING AROUND 30 DEGREES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
MAINLY CLEAR TONIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN. SOME MODELS
INDICATING HIGHER LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING IN LATE AT NIGHT OVER THE
WESTERN ZONES...WHICH COULD HAVE MINOR IMPLICATIONS FOR FROST
ADVISORIES AND FREEZE WARNINGS...BUT PROBABLY NOT MUCH INFLUENCE DUE
TO THE WINDS. HAVE SIDED WITH THE WARMER MAV MOS NUMBERS FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS...THINKING THAT WINDS PROBABLY DO NOT DECOUPLE. COLD
ADVECTION WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH HOWEVER...AND NEAR FREEZING TO
FREEZING TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD FOR SOME OF THE ZONES
WHERE THE GROWING SEASON HAS NOT YET ENDED. FREEZE WARNINGS AND
FROST ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE IN EFFECT.

THE AIR MASS MODIFIES ON MONDAY WITH THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
SHIFTING INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES GETTING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE H5 FLOW THROUGH WED.
DEPARTING TROUGH/CUTOFF LOW WILL BE REPLACED BY AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE
WHICH WILL KEEP DRY AND SEASONABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
UNTIL THU. THERE COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
COLD FRONT IN ORANGE COUNTY ON WED...OTHERWISE JUST AN INCREASE IN
CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED WITH ITS PASSAGE.

THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK WITH THE
SPLIT FLOW ACROSS THE CONUS. THE 00Z EC IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE AND
PHASES THE TOW BRANCHES OF THE JET LEADING TO A MUCH DEEPER
TROUGH. PHASING IS ALWAYS A TOUGH THING TO FORECAST...BUT THE
FORECAST REFLECTS MORE OF CONSENSUS WHICH LEAVES THE FLOW SPLIT
AND NOT AS COLD. ENERGY ROUNDING THE BASE OF THIS TROUGH WILL
TRIGGER CYCLOGENESIS AT THE COAST NEAR THE LOCAL AREA ON THU. THE
LOW WILL DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
AT THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH HIGH PRES BUILDING IN ITS WAKE.
WINDY CONDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT DEPARTS...BUT
TO FAR OUT FOR SPECIFICS AT THIS TIME.

TEMPERATURES WILL START OFF BELOW CLIMO NORMS ON MONDAY...THEN
RISE ABOVE NORMAL WED AND THU...AND FALL BACK BELOW NORMAL BEHIND
A COLD FRONT FRI AND SAT.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WELL SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST PASSING EAST OF MAINE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
CENTRAL U.S. WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY.

LIGHT RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE VCNTY OF KGON UNTIL 16Z...OTHERWISE
NO PCPN IS FCST.

MAINLY VFR CIGS WILL LIFT AND DISSIPATE BETWEEN 12Z AND 15Z ACROSS THE
NYC TERMINALS...BUT NOT UNTIL SUNSET AT KGON.

WINDS CONT TO INCREASE AND NNW WINDS RANGING FROM 330 TO 350 DEGS ARE
FORECAST TO PEAK FM 15Z UNTIL 22Z...SUSTAINED 25-30 KT WITH GUSTS OF
35-40 KT. ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 45 KT ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF NYC.

WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST BUT REMAIN GUSTY AFTER
SUNSET. THEY ARE FCST TO DECREASE TO LESS THAN 15 KT AFTER 06Z
ACROSS THE NYC TERMINALS.

WINDS AT 2000 FT WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST 40 TO 45 KT THROUGH SUNDAY...AND
UP TO 50 KT FROM AROUND 10Z TO 16Z TODAY.

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
.TONIGHT...VFR WITH DECREASING NW WINDS AND GUSTS.
.MONDAY...VFR WITH W-NW WINDS 15-20 KT GUSTS TO 25 KT.
.TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...VFR.
.THURSDAY...POSSIBLE COLD FROPA WITH MVFR RAIN.

&&

.MARINE...
A GALE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL COASTAL WATERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR
SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 34 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT.

AS HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES EAST TOWARD THE AREA...WINDS AND
SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH MONDAY. HOWEVER...A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND GUSTS OF AT LEAST 25 KT AND OCEAN SEAS OF
AT LEAST 5 FT WILL LIKELY REPLACE THE GALE WARNING THROUGH THE DAY
ON MONDAY.

MORE TRANQUIL WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST FOR TUE AND WED AS HIGH
PRES MOVES OFF THE COAST AND LOW PRES APPROACHES. WINDS AND SEAS
MIGHT APPROACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS ON THU WITH THE
APPROACH OF ANOTHER LOW PRES SYSTEM.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF PCPN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING
ACROSS EASTERN LI AND SE CT. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN SHORE
OF LONG ISLAND...INCLUDING QUEENS AND THE FORKS AREA FOR THE HIGH
TIDE CYCLE THAT WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING. ON AVERAGE...LEVELS FELL
ABOUT 3 TENTHS OF A FOOT SHORT OF REACHING MINOR FLOODING BENCHMARKS
DURING THE EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE LAST NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
WILL BE AVERAGING A QUARTER OF A FOOT HIGHER THIS MORNING. IN
ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE STRONGER THAN THEY WERE LAST
EVENING WITH A SIMILAR DIRECTION. THEREFORE EXPECTING WIDESPREAD
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITH THIS MORNING'S HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR CTZ010>012.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR CTZ005>009.
     FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY FOR CTZ009.
NY...FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ071-078>081.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ078>081.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NYZ078-
     079-081-176-177.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ071>075-
     176>179.
     FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ069-070.
NJ...FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY FOR NJZ006-104-106-
     108.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NJZ006-104-106-
     108.
     FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY FOR NJZ004-103-105-
     107.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-
     345-350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JC/24
NEAR TERM...GC/JC
SHORT TERM...JC
LONG TERM...24
AVIATION...GC
MARINE...GC/24
HYDROLOGY...JC/24
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...JC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
338 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

CTZ010>012-031000-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
338 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ002-NYZ067-068-031000-
WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-
338 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ004-103-105-107-NYZ069-070-031000-
EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
338 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ006-104-106-108-NYZ071-031000-
HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
338 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ009-031000-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
338 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   FREEZE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005>008-NYZ072>075-178-179-031000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
338 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ080-031000-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
338 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ078-079-081-031000-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
338 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ176-177-031000-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
338 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-031000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
338 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.