Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2014

Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS New York, NY

July 3, 2014Orange County, New York

NWS New York, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 3, 2014, 6:46 PM EDT for Orange County, New York. It was in force for 119 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2014, 6:46 PM EDT (22:46 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2014, 8:45 PM EDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
NWS New York, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Orange County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 708 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
708 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-132 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
889 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

409 
WGUS51 KOKX 032246
FFWOKX
NYC071-040045-
/O.NEW.KOKX.FF.W.0011.140703T2246Z-140704T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
646 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 845 PM EDT...

* AT 644 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  FLASH FLOODING FROM A THUNDERSTORM NEAR UNIONVILLE...OR 10 MILES
  EAST OF PORT JERVIS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 7460 4151 7447 4141 7418 4122 7442
      4129 7455 4130 7457 4130 7458 4135 7468
      4139 7473

$$

JM
2 follow-up statements
527 
WGUS71 KOKX 040023
FFSOKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
823 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

NYC071-040045-
/O.CON.KOKX.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140704T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ORANGE NY-
823 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT FOR
WESTERN ORANGE COUNTY...

AT 811 PM EDT...WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS MOVED OFF TO THE  
NORTHEAST...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AS SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED 
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO WORK UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST. DOPPLER RADAR 
HAS ESTIMATED SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WITH 
AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT HOUR.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY
AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 7460 4151 7447 4141 7418 4122 7442
      4129 7455 4130 7457 4130 7458 4135 7468
      4139 7473

$$

DSW
562 
WGUS71 KOKX 040044
FFSOKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
844 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

NYC071-040053-
/O.EXP.KOKX.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140704T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ORANGE NY-
844 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 845 PM EDT FOR WESTERN
ORANGE COUNTY...

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS EXITED THE AREA. WATERS LEVELS WILL 
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY RECEDE. 

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY
AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

LAT...LON 4151 7460 4151 7447 4141 7418 4122 7442
      4129 7455 4130 7457 4130 7458 4135 7468
      4139 7473

$$

DSW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 3, 6:04 PM EDT, 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 6:04 PM EDT, 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
604 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA APPROACHES TONIGHT AND THEN
MOVES SLOWLY ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY. AT THE SAME...HURRICANE
ARTHUR WILL TRACK ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND THEN
PASS SOUTH AND EAST OF LONG ISLAND FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION SATURDAY AND MOVES OFFSHORE SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST MONDAY AND MOVES INTO THE REGION TUESDAY. THE FRONT THEN
BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY INTO MIDWEEK. REFER TO THE LATEST
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORIES FOR THE LATEST TRACK AND
INTENSITY FORECASTS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 REMAINS UP ACROSS MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH 10 PM EDT. EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SE CT ARE
NOT INCLUDED IN THE WATCH.

A STRONG LINE OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS EASTERN PA...ALONG
AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WILL IMPACT THE LOWER HUDSON
VALLEY...NE NJ...SW CT...AND NYC METRO THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THE LINE
WILL LIKELY SE SOME DISSIPATION AS IT MOVES EAST ACROSS LI AND
EASTERN CT...DUE TO GREATER STABILITY. HOWEVER...EVEN THESE
LOCATIONS MAY SEE ISOLATED STRONG AND/OR SEVERE CONVECTION. THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL. PW VALUES AROUND 2 INCHES IN CONJUNCTION WITH DEEP
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY RESULT IN HIGH RAINFALL RATES IN A SHORT
AMOUNT OF TIME. AS A RESULT...THE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS UP FOR
NYC...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...AND NE NJ.

THERE WILL LIKELY BE A LULL IN THE ACTIVITY LATE TONIGHT BEHIND
THE PRIMARY BAND OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA MAY HELP TO SUSTAIN SCT ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT.
A SECOND AREA WILL THEN REDEVELOP TOWARD DAYBREAK...MAINLY POST-
FRONTAL AS TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE ARTHUR OVERRUNS THE COLD FRONT AS IT SLOWLY WORKS EAST.
SOME OF THIS RAINFALL WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY AS RRQ UPPER JET
DYNAMICS INTERACT WITH THE FRONT AND DEEP MOISTURE.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE FLOOD
WATCH AREA OVERNIGHT WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS.

WARM AND VERY MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH DEW POINTS IN
THE LOWER 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
ANOMALOUS FORECAST SCENARIO WITH TROPICAL MOISTURE INTERACTING
WITH A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN SHOWERS
AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL
HAVE DIMINISHED...THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...PRIMARILY FROM
NYC AND POINTS EAST WILL EXIST. FAVORABLE UPPER JET DYNAMICS FROM
AN APPROACHING MID LATITUDE TROF WILL INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND TROPICAL MOISTURE BEING FED INTO THE REGION FROM
HURRICANE ARTHUR. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL LIKELY WORK EAST OF
NYC BY EARLY AFT...BUT MAY PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS
ACROSS EASTERN LI AND SE CT. THESE LOCATIONS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
SEE A WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER
AMOUNTS. THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL FLOOD WATCH.

CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY/NE NJ/NYC METRO...AND AS LATE AS EVENING ACROSS FAR
EASTERN LI AND SE CT.

THE CORE IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE ANDREW WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...BUT
HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE FORECAST ALONG THE
ATLANTIC FACING BEACHES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...GUSTY
N/NW WINDS UP TO 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE EVENING AND
NIGHTTIME HOURS FRI...ESPECIALLY EAST OF NYC. THE HURRICANE IS
FORECAST TO TRACK APPROXIMATELY 150 MILES TO THE SE OF MONTAUK
POINT FRIDAY NIGHT. REFER TO THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
ADVISORIES FOR FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY INFORMATION.

HIGH FRIDAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 70S DUE TO THE CLOUD COVER AND
RAIN. DRIER...AND MORE COMFORTABLE AIR WILL WORK DURING THE LATER
AFTERNOON AND NIGHTTIME HOURS. DEW POINTS WILL DROP OFF INTO THE
50S BY SAT MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER TROUGH OS MOVING OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST SATURDAY MORNING
AS RIDGE BUILDS TO THE WEST. THE UPPER RIDGE QUICKLY WEAKENS
SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. AT THE SURFACE THE
HIGH BUILDS IN SATURDAY AND MOVES OFF SHORE SATURDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER
NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH QUICKLY DIGS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT
LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS BRINGS A COLD FRONT INTO THE
AREA MONDAY NIGHT. WITH A BUILDING RIDGE BOTH DOWNSTREAM OVER THE
ATLANTIC...AND UPSTREAM OVER THE WEST COAST AND INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION...THE TROUGH AND SURFACE COLD FRONT BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY
IN THE VICINITY OF THE AREA INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY. WITH A
SERIES OF SHORTWAVES ROTATING THROUGH THE UPPER TROUGH UNSETTLED
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA. TOUGH TO TIME SHORTWAVES AT
THIS POINT SO WILL HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE AND CHANCE POPS FROM MONDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE DRY PERIODS.

SATURDAY INTO MONDAY GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE NAM AND ECMWF...THEN
WITH UNCERTAINTIES IN TIMING OF THE SHORTWAVES HAVE LEANED TOWARD
THE WPC GUIDANCE. UNDERCUT HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY BY A FEW
DEGREES WITH CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION IN THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT OVER PA APPROACHES TNGT...AND PASSES SLOWLY THRU THE
REGION FRI.

TSTMS CONTINUING TO FIRE W OF THE TERMINALS. COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THRU THE LATE AFTN. THE BEST TIMING FOR
DIRECT TSTM IMPACTS TO THE NYC ARPTS IS FROM ABOUT 22-02Z ATTM.

SOME OF THE TSTMS MAY BE SVR WITH WIND GUSTS AOA 50KT. WHETHER ANY
OF THESE SVR TSTMS DIRECTLY HIT AN ARPT HOWEVER IS HIGHLY
UNCERTAIN.

RESIDUAL SHRA AND EMBEDDED TSTMS THIS EVE...THEN THERE MAY BE A
LULL OVERNIGHT...WITH MAINLY ISOLD SHRA/TSTMS TIL FRI MRNG. RAIN
WITH EMBEDDED HVY SHRA AND TSTMS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF FRI.

MAINLY VFR WITH POCKETS OF MVFR THRU THIS EVE OUTSIDE OF TSTMS.
MORE WIDESPREAD MVFR OR LOWER TNGT. POSSIBLE LIFR/VLIFR AT KGON.
MVFR OR LOWER WITH THE RA FRI.

S/SE FLOW THRU THIS EVE. TSTMS WILL RESULT IN VRB WIND FIELDS
HOWEVER. WINDS AFT 00Z COULD BE COMPLETELY DIFFERENT THAN
INDICATED IN THE TAFS...PARTICULARLY FROM THE CITY N AND
W...BECAUSE OF THESE TSTMS.

WINDS BECOME NE FRI THEN BACK TO THE N AND NW WITH THE PASSAGE OF
ARTHUR OFF THE COAST.

     NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT:  HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: OCNL GUSTS TO 20KT POSSIBLE THRU 00Z. TSTMS
MAY NOT OCCUR TIL AFT 23Z.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: TSTMS MAY NOT OCCUR TIL AFT 23Z.

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: TSTMS MAY NOT OCCUR TIL AFT 22Z.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: TSTMS MAY NOT OCCUR TIL AFT 22Z.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: TSTMS MAY NOT OCCUR TIL AFT 23Z.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED THRU 00Z.

.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
.FRI AFTN...IMPROVEMENT TO VFR. NW WINDS INCREASING TO 15-20KT LATE.
.FRI NGT...VFR WITH NW WINDS UP TO 20KT.
.SAT-SUN...VFR.
.MON-TUE...MAINLY VFR. SW WINDS UP TO 25KT POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH FRI NIGHT FOR THE OCEAN WATERS AND
MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED ACROSS THE EASTERN SOUND AND BAYS.

LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM HURRICANE ARTHUR WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE
COASTAL WATERS ON FRI WITH SEAS BUILDING UP TO 12 FT ON THE
EASTERN OCEAN WATERS BY FRI NIGHT. WENT SEVERAL FEET ABOVE
WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE AND THIS MAY STILL BE UNDERDONE DUE TO THE
INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM. ARTHUR IS FORECAST TO ATTAIN CAT 2
INTENSITY THIS EVENING. MARGINAL GALE FORE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE EAST
OF MORICHES INLET FRI NIGHT. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY AT THIS
TIME OF SEEING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.

HIGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN WATERS WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ON THE WATERS EAST OF MORICHES INLET...AS A
RESULT OF ARTHUR PASSING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE WATERS FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. SEE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS.
SOME WIND GUSTS TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN OCEAN WATERS.

SEAS AND SWELLS MAY TAKE LONGER TO SUBSIDE AS WAVE WATCH GUIDANCE
SEEMS TO BE TOO LOW WITH THE SEAS. HOWEVER...AS OF NOW EXPECT SEAS
ON THE OCEAN WATERS TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT SUNDAY MORNING.

AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES WELL EAST OF THE WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT AND A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES SOUTHWESTERLY WIND WILL INCREASE ALONG WITH
GUSTS. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SMALL CRAFT GUSTS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY ON THE OCEAN. ALSO...SEAS WILL BE BUILDING IN THE SOUTHWEST
FLOW AND WILL LIKELY REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS SUNDAY NIGHT.

AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES CLOSER TO THE WATERS THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WEAKENS AND WINDS WILL SUBSIDE ALONG WITH SEAS. TUESDAY
EVENING SEAS COULD BE ONCE AGAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ACROSS THE REGION...1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN CONVECTION. FLASH
FLOODING OF URBANIZED AREAS IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WEST OF
CONNECTICUT AND LONG ISLAND. SMALL STREAM FLOODING CANNOT BE RULED
OUT EITHER. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS. DUE
TO RECENT DRY CONDITIONS...CT AND LI ARE LESS LIKELY TO REQUIRE
FLOOD WARNINGS AT ANY POINT. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS AND
OBSERVATIONS TO SEE IF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL NEED TO BE
EXPANDED EAST INTO THESE AREAS.

NO WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR NYZ067>075-176-
     178.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR
     NYZ080-081-178-179.
     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ072>075-176-
     178.
NJ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR NJZ002-004-006-
     103>108.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MET/DW
NEAR TERM...DW
SHORT TERM...DW
LONG TERM...MET
AVIATION...JMC
MARINE...MET/DW
HYDROLOGY...MET/DW
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 6:13 PM EDT, 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

NYZ072>074-176-042215-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-NORTHERN QUEENS-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ178-042215-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ075-042215-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.

HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ179-042215-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ080-042215-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>070-042215-
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005-042215-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ007-008-011-012-NYZ078-079-042215-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ006-009-010-NYZ177-042215-
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
NORTHERN NASSAU-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ071-042215-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ081-042215-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ335-042215-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ345-042215-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE ARTHUR ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL CREATE ROUGH
OCEAN SEAS...WITH HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS CONDITIONS AROUND OCEAN
INLETS AND ENTRANCES LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ338-355-042215-
NEW YORK HARBOR-SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE ARTHUR ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL CREATE ROUGH
OCEAN SEAS...WITH HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS CONDITIONS AROUND OCEAN
INLETS AND ENTRANCES LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-340-350-353-042215-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
613 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FRIDAY
NIGHT. LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE ARTHUR ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
THE WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL CREATE ROUGH
OCEAN SEAS...WITH HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS CONDITIONS AROUND OCEAN
INLETS AND ENTRANCES LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 3:25 PM EDT, 3 hours 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
325 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

NYZ067-032015-
ORANGE-
325 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EASTERN ORANGE COUNTY...

AT 322 PM EDT...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THUNDERSTORMS WERE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
NEAR GOSHEN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

PEOPLE IN EASTERN ORANGE COUNTY...INCLUDING GOSHEN...CHESTER...
MONTGOMERY...WALDEN AND GARDNERTOWN...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

INTENSE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4160 7434 4164 7426 4161 7424 4159 7414
      4161 7414 4161 7407 4159 7405 4159 7396
      4157 7395 4153 7399 4148 7399 4129 7433
      4142 7450

JM
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 5:25 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
525 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

NYZ067-068-032200-
ORANGE-PUTNAM-
525 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE AND WESTERN
PUTNAM COUNTIES...

AT 522 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MONROE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS UP TO 40
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4122 7433 4148 7406 4138 7386 4132 7396
      4132 7399 4126 7407 4117 7421

JM
Local storm report, Jul 3, 6:22 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
622 PM EDT THU JUL 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0539 PM     HAIL             OAK RIDGE               41.05N  74.49W
07/03/2014  M1.50 INCH       PASSAIC            NJ   PUBLIC

            HALF-DOLLAR TO PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL IN OAK RIDGE

&&

DS

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 8:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXNassau50 min
Jul 3, 3:43 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryOKXBronx, Kings, New York, Queens, Richmond13 hr
Jul 3, 6:22 AM EDTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasOKX11 hr
Jul 3, 3:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXOrange50 min
Jul 3, 4:18 PM EDTHigh Surf AdvisoryOKXKings, Nassau, Queens, Suffolk38 hr
Jul 3, 4:58 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryOKX45 hr
Jul 3, 4:59 PM EDTRip Current StatementOKXKings, Nassau, Queens, Suffolk42 hr
Jul 3, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXOrange, Rockland29 min
Jul 3, 5:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXOrange35 min
Jul 3, 5:33 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOKXOrange, Rockland117 min
Jul 3, 5:39 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXOrange, Rockland96 min
Jul 3, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXOrange46 min
Jul 3, 5:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXOrange, Rockland29 min
Jul 3, 5:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXOrange31 min
Jul 3, 6:13 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOKXOrange92 min
Jul 3, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXOrange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester45 min
Jul 3, 6:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXOrange45 min
Jul 3, 6:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXNew York, Richmond53 min
Jul 3, 6:58 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOKXBronx, New York, Richmond, Rockland, Westchester2 hr
Jul 3, 7:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXPutnam, Westchester44 min
Jul 3, 7:07 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningOKX38 min
Jul 3, 7:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBronx, Nassau, New York, Queens, Westchester27 min
Jul 3, 7:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXRockland, Westchester39 min
Jul 3, 7:22 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXRockland, Westchester2 hr
Jul 3, 7:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXRichmond30 min
Jul 3, 7:36 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 1 more114 min
Jul 3, 7:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXPutnam, Westchester45 min
Jul 3, 7:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXRockland, Westchester65 min
Jul 3, 7:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 1 more63 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2014Every flash flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.