Coastal Flood Statement 8, NWS New York, NY

127 
WHUS41 KOKX 111951
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
351 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS DURING HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING...

NYZ072-112100-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.S.0008.140812T0000Z-140812T0300Z/
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
351 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

TIDAL LEVELS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH MINOR THRESHOLDS DURING THE
HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS EVENING. THEREFORE...THE COASTAL FLOOD
STATEMENT HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

$$

NYZ075-178-179-120200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0007.140811T2300Z-140812T0200Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
351 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 10 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF BROOKLYN...QUEENS AND 
  SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1/2 TO 1 FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING...MAINLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

* IMPACTS...FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR 
  BASEMENTS. THE MAJORITY OF ROADS WILL REMAIN PASSABLE WITH 
  ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH
  THE TUESDAY MORNING AND NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES...ESPECIALLY
  TUESDAY NIGHT IN COMBINATION WITH ON GOING HEAVY RAINFALL. THE
  POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED MODERATE THRESHOLDS TO BE MET
  DURING THE NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

 ...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING...

COASTAL              TIME OF       FORECAST TOTAL    FLOOD
LOCATION             HIGH TIDE      WATER LEVEL      CATEGORY
................................... (MLLW/NGVD)................

ROCKAWAY INLET NY....9:08 PM..........7.4-7.8/5.4-5.8.....MINOR....
JAMAICA BAY NY.......9:48 PM..........8.0-8.4/6.8-7.2.....MINOR....
E ROCKAWAY INLET NY..9:02 PM..........6.1-6.5/4.6-5.0.....MINOR....
POINT LOOKOUT NY.....8:49 PM..........5.4-5.8/4.3-4.7.....MINOR....
FREEPORT NY..........9:46 PM..........5.3-5.7/4.5-4.9.....MINOR....

$$

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-120300-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0008.140812T0000Z-140812T0300Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
351 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SHORELINES OF NEW YORK HARBOR AND ADJACENT BAYS
  AND KILLS.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND A HALF A FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING...MAINLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS WILL BE REACHED AT A
  FEW OF THE LOWEST LYING LOCATIONS ALONG THE WESTERN SHORES OF
  NEW YORK HARBOR AND IMMEDIATE ADJACENT WATERWAYS. THIS WILL
  RESULT IN MINOR INUNDATION OF ONLY THESE MOST VULNERABLE SPOTS.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY
  WITH THE TUESDAY MORNING AND NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES...ESPECIALLY
  TUESDAY NIGHT IN COMBINATION WITH ON GOING HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-073-078-176-177-120400-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0008.140812T0300Z-140812T0600Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
351 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND FROM NORTHWESTERN 
  SUFFOLK COUNTY TO NEW HAVEN COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND A HALF A FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT...MAINLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS WILL BE REACHED AT A 
  FEW OF THE LOWEST LYING LOCATIONS ALONG THE SHORES OF WESTERN 
  LONG ISLAND SOUND. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR INUNDATION OF 
  ONLY THESE MOST VULNERABLE SPOTS.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY
  WITH THE TUESDAY MORNING AND NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES...ESPECIALLY
  TUESDAY NIGHT IN COMBINATION WITH ON GOING HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

SEARS/NV

061 
WHUS41 KOKX 120200
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1000 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS DURING HIGH TIDE TONIGHT...

NYZ075-178-179-120400-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140812T0400Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1000 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF BROOKLYN...QUEENS 
  AND SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1/2 TO 1 FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR 
  BASEMENTS. THE MAJORITY OF ROADS WILL REMAIN PASSABLE WITH 
  ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY 
  WITH THE TUESDAY MORNING AND NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES...
  ESPECIALLY TUESDAY NIGHT IN COMBINATION WITH ON GOING HEAVY 
  RAINFALL. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED MODERATE 
  THRESHOLDS TO BE MET DURING THE NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING...

COASTAL              TIME OF       FORECAST TOTAL    FLOOD
LOCATION             HIGH TIDE      WATER LEVEL      CATEGORY 
.................................. (MLLW/NGVD)................

ROCKAWAY INLET NY....9:08 PM..........7.4-7.8/5.4-5.8.....MINOR...
JAMAICA BAY NY.......9:48 PM..........8.0-8.4/6.8-7.2.....MINOR.... 
E ROCKAWAY INLET NY..9:02 PM..........6.1-6.5/4.6-5.0.....MINOR.... 
POINT LOOKOUT NY.....8:49 PM..........5.4-5.8/4.3-4.7.....MINOR.... 
FREEPORT NY..........9:46 PM..........5.3-5.7/4.5-4.9.....MINOR....

$$

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-120400-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.S.0008.000000T0000Z-140812T0400Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
1000 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SHORELINES OF NEW YORK HARBOR AND ADJACENT 
  BAYS AND KILLS.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND A HALF A FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES.

* TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS WILL BE REACHED AT A 
  FEW OF THE LOWEST LYING LOCATIONS ALONG THE WESTERN SHORES OF 
  NEW YORK HARBOR AND IMMEDIATE ADJACENT WATERWAYS. THIS WILL 
  RESULT IN MINOR INUNDATION OF ONLY THESE MOST VULNERABLE SPOTS.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY 
  WITH THE TUESDAY MORNING AND NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES...
  ESPECIALLY TUESDAY NIGHT IN COMBINATION WITH ON GOING HEAVY 
  RAINFALL.

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-073-078-176-177-120600-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0008.140812T0300Z-140812T0600Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
1000 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND FROM NORTHWESTERN 
  SUFFOLK COUNTY TO NEW HAVEN COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND A HALF A FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT...MAINLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS WILL BE REACHED AT A 
  FEW OF THE LOWEST LYING LOCATIONS ALONG THE SHORES OF WESTERN 
  LONG ISLAND SOUND. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR INUNDATION OF 
  ONLY THESE MOST VULNERABLE SPOTS.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY 
  WITH THE TUESDAY MORNING AND NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES...
  ESPECIALLY TUESDAY NIGHT IN COMBINATION WITH ON GOING HEAVY 
  RAINFALL.

$$

110 
WHUS41 KOKX 120413
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1213 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS DURING HIGH TIDE
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING...

NYZ075-178-179-121215-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140812T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.S.0009.140812T1300Z-140812T1500Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1213 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING THE MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF BROOKLYN...QUEENS 
  AND SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1/2 TO 1 FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...9 AM THROUGH 11 AM THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR 
  BASEMENTS. THE MAJORITY OF ROADS WILL REMAIN PASSABLE WITH 
  ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH
  TONIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES...ESPECIALLY IN COMBINATION WITH
  ONGOING HEAVY RAINFALL. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED
  MODERATE THRESHOLDS TO BE MET DURING TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE AS
  WELL.

$$

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-120515-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.S.0008.000000T0000Z-140812T0400Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
1213 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING SUBSIDING...

HIGH TIDE HAS PASSED ON NEW YORK HARBOR AND ADJACENT BACKSHORE
BAYS AND KILLS. WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE.

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-073-078-176-177-120600-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0008.000000T0000Z-140812T0600Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
1213 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR FLOODING AROUND HIGH TIDE EARLY THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND FROM NORTHWESTERN 
  SUFFOLK COUNTY TO NEW HAVEN COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND A HALF A FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES.

* TIMING...THROUGH 2 AM.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS WILL BE REACHED AT A 
  FEW OF THE LOWEST LYING LOCATIONS ALONG THE SHORES OF WESTERN 
  LONG ISLAND SOUND. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR INUNDATION OF 
  ONLY THESE MOST VULNERABLE SPOTS.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH
  TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE... ESPECIALLY IN COMBINATION WITH
  ONGOING HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

537 
WHUS41 KOKX 120434 CCA
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1225 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS DURING HIGH TIDE
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING...

NYZ075-178-179-121245-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140812T0400Z/
/O.COR.KOKX.CF.S.0009.140812T1300Z-140812T1500Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1225 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING THE MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF BROOKLYN...QUEENS 
  AND SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1/2 TO 1 FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...9 AM THROUGH 11 AM THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS WILL BE REACHED AT A
  FEW OF THE LOWEST LYING LOCATIONS ALONG THE SHORES OF THE SOUTH
  SHORE BAYS. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR INUNDATION OF ONLY THESE MOST
  VULNERABLE SPOTS.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH
  TUESDAY NIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE...ESPECIALLY IN COMBINATION WITH
  ONGOING HEAVY RAINFALL. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED
  MODERATE THRESHOLDS TO BE MET DURING TUESDAY NIGHTS HIGH TIDE
  CYCLE AS WELL.

$$

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-120530-
/O.COR.KOKX.CF.S.0008.000000T0000Z-140812T0400Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
1225 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING SUBSIDING...

HIGH TIDE HAS PASSED ON NEW YORK HARBOR AND ADJACENT BACKSHORE
BAYS AND KILLS. WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE.

MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH
TUESDAY NIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE...ESPECIALLY IN COMBINATION WITH
ONGOING HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-073-078-176-177-120600-
/O.COR.KOKX.CF.S.0008.000000T0000Z-140812T0600Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
1225 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR FLOODING AROUND HIGH TIDE EARLY THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND FROM NORTHWESTERN 
  SUFFOLK COUNTY TO NEW HAVEN COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND A HALF A FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES.

* TIMING...THROUGH 2 AM.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS WILL BE REACHED AT A 
  FEW OF THE LOWEST LYING LOCATIONS ALONG THE SHORES OF WESTERN 
  LONG ISLAND SOUND. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR INUNDATION OF 
  ONLY THESE MOST VULNERABLE SPOTS.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH
  TUESDAY NIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE... ESPECIALLY IN COMBINATION
  WITH ONGOING HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

486 
WHUS41 KOKX 120611
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
211 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING
AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

CTZ009-NYZ071-073-078-176-177-121415-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.S.0008.000000T0000Z-140812T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.S.0010.140812T1600Z-140812T1800Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
211 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING THIS AFTERNOONS HIGH
TIDE CYCLE...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND FROM NORTHWESTERN 
  SUFFOLK COUNTY TO NEW HAVEN COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND A HALF A FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES.

* TIMING...12 PM TO 2 PM TODAY.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS WILL BE REACHED AT A 
  FEW OF THE LOWEST LYING LOCATIONS ALONG THE SHORES OF WESTERN 
  LONG ISLAND SOUND. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR INUNDATION OF 
  ONLY THESE MOST VULNERABLE SPOTS.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH
  TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE... ESPECIALLY IN COMBINATION WITH
  ONGOING HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

CTZ010-120715-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.S.0008.000000T0000Z-140812T0600Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
211 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING SUBSIDING...

HIGH TIDE HAS PASSED ON LONG ISLAND SOUND WITH WATER LEVELS BELOW
MINOR FLOODING BENCHMARKS AND CONTINUING TO SUBSIDE.

MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH
TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE... ESPECIALLY IN COMBINATION WITH
ONGOING HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

NYZ075-178-179-121415-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0009.140812T1300Z-140812T1500Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
211 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...ISOLATED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDE
CYCLE...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF BROOKLYN...QUEENS 
  AND SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1/2 TO 1 FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...9 AM THROUGH 11 AM THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS WILL BE REACHED AT A 
  FEW OF THE LOWEST LYING LOCATIONS ALONG THE SHORES OF THE 
  SOUTH SHORE BAYS. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR INUNDATION OF ONLY 
  THESE MOST VULNERABLE SPOTS.

* OUTLOOK...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH
  TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE...ESPECIALLY IN COMBINATION WITH
  ONGOING HEAVY RAINFALL. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED
  MODERATE THRESHOLDS TO BE MET DURING TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE AS
  WELL.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
125 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY. A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST TUESDAY AND MOVES THROUGH
THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE STORM SYSTEM
WILL BE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY AND WEAKEN
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SLOWLY FROM THE WEST. THE HIGH MOVES
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND REMAINS INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
CLEAR AND QUIET CONDS ONCE AGAIN THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLIDES THROUGH OVERHEAD. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR SEASONABLE...BUT
GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDS SHOULD ALLOWING TEMPS ACROSS THE
INTERIOR VALLEYS AND PINE BARRENS TO DROP INTO THE 50S.
OTHERWISE...TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE 60S...TO AROUND 70 NYC/NJ
METRO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
BACKSIDE SHORTWAVE ENERGY SLIDES DOWN FROM NEW ENGLAND AND THROUGH
THE AREA MONDAY WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGING SLIDING ACROSS THE REGION AND
EAST THROUGH MON NIGHT IN ITS WAKE. MEANWHILE...NORTHERN AND
SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY BEGIN TO PHASE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY/GREAT
LAKES.

AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DRIFT EAST...WITH A
COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST MON NIGHT.

DRY WEATHER EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MON NIGHT.

ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY START TO DAY EXPECTED...WITH DAYTIME HEATING
AND BACKSIDE SHORTWAVE ENERGY ALLOWING FOR SCT TO LOCALLY BKN
AFTERNOON CUMULUS ONCE AGAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND TO THE
INTERIOR OF SEABREEZE. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAIRLY STABLE ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH THE ONLY PORTION OF THE ENVIRONMENT LOOKING MARGINALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR AN ISOLATED SHRA BEING ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SE
CT. MOST IF ANY ACTIVITY SHOULD FIRE OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE
NORTH OF THE LOCAL TRI-STATE AND THEN DRIFT N.

ONSHORE FLOW WILL PROMOTE EARLY SEABREEZE DEVELOPMENT AND KEEP SOUTH
COASTAL AREAS IN THE UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S...A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN
THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. TEMPS WELL INLAND OF THE COASTAL WATERS
SHOULD BE ABLE TO WARM TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONABLE LEVELS WITH
DEEPER MIXING...GENERALLY MID TO UPPER 80S. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE
ON THE INCREASE AS A RESULT OF THE ONSHORE FLOW.

INCREASING CLOUDS MON NIGHT AHEAD OF APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM. TEMPS SHOULD BE NEAR SEASONABLE WITH ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUD
COVER. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE THAN RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS
SYSTEM ENTER AREAS WEST OF NYC METRO BY DAYBREAK.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT THE START OF TUESDAY A BROAD NORTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION SOUTH INTO THE GULF COAST STATES. A WARM
FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING EARLY TUESDAY WITH INCREASING ISENTROPIC
LIFT. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS BEGINNING LATE
MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED
AND WILL NOT MENTION ANY THUNDER AT THIS TIME. THE UPPER TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE EAST AS THE TROUGH
CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY AND BECOME NEGATIVE WITH A CLOSED CIRCULATION
WEDNESDAY. THE LOW DEPENDS INTO EARLY THURSDAY THEN BEGINS TO WEAKEN
AND TRACK NORTH. A TRIPLE POINT LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EITHER
OVER THE DELMARVA OR TRI STATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WITH A
MOISTURE FEED FROM THE ATLANTIC AND FOR A TIME FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
LIKELY FROM LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER JET WILL AID LIFT
AND INSTABILITY WILL BE INCREASING TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY SO
WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE CHANCE FOR THUNDER.

THE SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA WITH RAIN ENDING FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THURSDAY DRY AS THE
LOW AND UPPER TROUGH MOVE NORTH INTO NEW ENGLAND. HOWEVER THERE IS A
SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS LINGERING INTO EARLY THURSDAY ACROSS THE
NORTH AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY.

UPPER TROUGH LINGERS INTO THE WEEKEND WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS AT
THE SURFACE. WILL BE DRY THURSDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT.

VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

VRB WINDS 5 KT OR LESS EARLY THIS MORNING...BECOMING SE LATE MORNING
INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS 8-15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...HIGHEST AT
KJFK/KLGA/KISP.

SE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING.

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
.MON NIGHT-TUE MORNING...CHANCE FOR LOW CLOUDS WITH MVFR CONDS
BEGINNING LATE AT NIGHT.
.TUE AFTERNOON-WED MORNING...MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS IN SCT-NUMEROUS
SHOWERS/TSTMS. SE WINDS G15-20KT.
.WED AFTERNOON-WED NIGHT...MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS IN SCT-NUMEROUS
SHOWERS/TSTMS...IMPROVING TO VFR FROM SW-NE STARTING LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU...VFR. NW WINDS G20-25KT.
.FRI...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A RELAXED PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL KEEP WINDS AT 10 KT
OR LESS AND SEAS AT 1 TO 2 FT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE FORECAST WATERS TUESDAY A
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WATERS AND CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY. AS THE STORM SYSTEM PASSES TO THE NORTH LATE WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT THE WIND WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST TO NORTHWEST.
SEAS ON THE OCEAN WATERS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO SMALL CRAFT LEVELS BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW. SEAS WILL REMAIN AT SMALL
CRAFT LEVELS INTO THURSDAY AS THE WIND SHIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST.
GUSTY NORTHWEST WIND BEHIND THE LOW WILL BE LIKELY THURSDAY AND
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS TO REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS ON ALL
THE WATERS FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS.

AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE WEST THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN. WIND AND SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT LEVELS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 1/2 INCH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUE.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. MINOR
URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLASH
FLOODING. THE THREATS OF FLASH FLOODING AND URBAN AND/OR POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED IN THE HWO.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AND A POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURE OF 1/2 TO 1
FT...1 TO 1 1/4 FT IN THE WESTERN SOUTH SHORE BAYS...WILL PERSIST
INTO MONDAY.

TIDAL PILING SHOULD INCREASE TOTAL WATERS LEVELS A BIT DURING
MONDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE. THIS SHOULD EXPAND THE WIDESPREAD MINOR
INUNDATION INTO LOW-LYING NY/NJ HARBOR AREAS...WITH SOLID MINOR
INUNDATION ALONG THE LOW LYING SOUTH SHORE BAYS AREAS OF
QUEENS/BROOKLYN AND NASSAU COUNTIES. MINOR INUNDATION STILL LOOKS
TO BE LOCALIZED FOR WESTERN LI SOUND. SINCE THIS IS A LATE 2ND
PERIOD/EARLY 3RD PERIOD EVENT WILL ALLOW NIGHT SHIFT TO MONITOR
TRENDS AND ISSUE/EXPAND ADVISORIES FOR MON NIGHT.

POTENTIAL IS INCREASING FOR WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
DURING THE TUESDAY EVE/NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES WITH A PERSISTENT AND
STRENGTHENING E/SE FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED MODERATE INUNDATION ALONG THE
SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS OF QUEENS AND NASSAU COUNTY WHERE ONLY 1 1/2
TO 1 3/4 FT SURGE IS NEEDED TO REACH MODERATE THRESHOLDS.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MET/NV
NEAR TERM...LN/NV
SHORT TERM...NV
LONG TERM...MET
AVIATION...DS
MARINE...MET/NV
HYDROLOGY...MET/NV
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
941 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014

NYZ075-178-179-111345-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
941 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AS A
RESULT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR FLASH FLOODING. THE MORE LIKELY
IMPACT WILL BE MINOR URBAN AND/OR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ080-081-111345-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
941 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AS A
RESULT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR FLASH FLOODING. THE MORE LIKELY
IMPACT WILL BE MINOR URBAN AND/OR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>074-078-079-176-177-111345-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
941 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AS A
RESULT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR FLASH FLOODING. THE MORE LIKELY
IMPACT WILL BE MINOR URBAN AND/OR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-111345-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
941 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.