Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
838 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2014

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
LATEST DOPPLER SHOWING STRONGEST WINDS ON THE ORDER OF 40 KNOTS
ACROSS PARTS OF WILSON COUNTY LIFTING NORTHEAST. SHOWERS AND
STORMS OF LESSER INTENSITY EXTEND ALL THE WAY BACK TO THE
TENNESSEE RIVER. SHORT WAVE WILL WORK ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING
WITH 500 MBAR TEMPS DOWN TO -16 CELSIUS AT 13Z. LATEST LAPS
SOUNDING SHOWING ENOUGH DRY AIR FROM 950 MBAR TO 700 MBARS TO
PRODUCE A FEW WET MICROBURSTS NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THIS WOULD BE
ACROSS EASTERN AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
SURFACE FRONT STILL WELL WEST OF OUR AREA BACK IN MISSOURI SO MORE
CONVECTION LIKELY LATER TODAY.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

BOYD
01

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
500 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2014

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-081000-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
500 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SOME STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY. MAIN CONCERNS
WILL BE SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

EVEN THOUGH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BRIEF AND
ISOLATED, SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE PREPARED TO CALL IN ANYTHING REACHING REPORTING
CRITERIA.

SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH (MEASURED)
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN

31

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
242 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2014

TNZ065-066-080-070830-
CUMBERLAND-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
242 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CUMBERLAND...VAN BUREN AND WHITE
COUNTIES...

AT 239 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF SPARTA TO 12 MILES WEST OF PIKEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE SPENCER...FALL CREEK FALLS STATE
PARK...DOYLE...SPARTA...VIRGIN FALLS STATE NATURAL AREA...INDIAN ROCK
LAKE...PLEASANT HILL...LAKE TANSI...CROSSVILLE...CUMBERLAND MOUNTAIN
STATE PARK...CRAB ORCHARD AND SLATE SPRINGS.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING
WILL ALSO OCCUR.

LAT...LON 3583 8477 3576 8491 3574 8502 3576 8504
      3576 8525 3568 8529 3555 8545 3591 8565
      3599 8531 3598 8526 3600 8525 3610 8484
      3608 8480 3599 8471 3592 8468 3590 8468

13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
803 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2014

TNZ006>008-026>028-059-062-071345-
CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SUMNER-WILLIAMSON-
WILSON-
803 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHEATHAM...DAVIDSON...
MONTGOMERY...ROBERTSON...RUTHERFORD...SUMNER...WILLIAMSON AND WILSON
COUNTIES...

AT 757 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF CLARKSVILLE TO BRENTWOOD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE BELLS BEND...ASHLAND CITY...OAK
HILL...FOREST HILLS...BERRY HILL...BELLE MEADE...NOLENSVILLE...BEAMAN
PARK...ANTIOCH...NASHVILLE...PLEASANT VIEW AND LA VERGNE.

PENNY SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3633 8626 3631 8627 3631 8624 3619 8610
      3591 8669 3649 8736 3665 8702 3666 8664

ROSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
828 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2014

TNZ028-030>032-064-071415-
DE KALB-JACKSON-PUTNAM-SMITH-WILSON-
828 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DE KALB...JACKSON...PUTNAM...
SMITH AND WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 825 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WATERTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE WATERTOWN...ALEXANDRIA...
HICKMAN...GORDONSVILLE...SOUTH CARTHAGE...CARTHAGE...GRANVILLE...
GAINESBORO AND WHITLEYVILLE.

HALF INCH SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3652 8573 3619 8543 3592 8596 3610 8628
      3642 8586 3641 8583 3645 8582 3650 8575
      3650 8572

ROSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
839 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2014

TNZ008>010-028>031-071415-
CLAY-JACKSON-MACON-SMITH-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-WILSON-
839 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CLAY...JACKSON...MACON...SMITH...
SUMNER...TROUSDALE AND WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 836 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WHITE HOUSE TO
WATERTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE TUCKERS CROSSROADS...COTTONTOWN...
GALLATIN...BLEDSOE CREEK STATE PARK...DICKERSON CHAPEL RECREATION
AREA...CASTALIAN SPRINGS...BETHPAGE...HARTSVILLE...DIXON SPRINGS...
OAK GROVE...WESTMORELAND AND PLEASANT SHADE.

HALF INCH SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

LAT...LON 3663 8587 3648 8570 3616 8616 3646 8666
      3652 8664 3666 8634

ROSE