Alert archive / Alabama / Small Craft Advisories in 2014

Small Craft Advisory 53, NWS Mobile, AL

November 22, 2014

NWS Mobile, AL issued this small craft advisory at Nov 22, 2014, 4:37 AM CST. It took effect at Nov 23, 2014, 5:08 PM CST. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 22, 2014, 4:37 AM CST (10:37 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 23, 2014, 5:08 PM CST
Expired
Nov 24, 2014, 4:24 AM CST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

959 
WHUS74 KMOB 221037
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
437 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR THE OPEN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT ELSEWHERE...

.A STRONG AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...WESTWARD TO EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TODAY...RESULTS
IN A MODERATE TO STRONG EAST SOUTHEAST FLOW. THE HIGH MOVES EASTWARD ON
SUNDAY AS A STRENGTHENING AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE PIVOTS NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE MID SOUTH ON SUNDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...WINDS TURN MORE ONSHORE
FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AND REMAIN STRONG. WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH
GALE FORCE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE OPEN ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS. SEAS TRENDING MUCH HIGHER.

GMZ650-655-670-675-221900-
/O.EXT.KMOB.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-141123T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.GL.A.0005.141123T0600Z-141124T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.SC.Y.0053.141124T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
437 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO NOON CST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO NOON CST
MONDAY. A GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. 

* WINDS: EAST 18 TO 22 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS RANGING FROM
  23 TO 28 KNOTS. EAST SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING VEER TO THE SOUTH BY
  DAYBREAK SUNDAY 20 TO 25 KNOTS. WIND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE POSSIBLE
  LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. 

* SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE TODAY.
  SEAS BUILD 6 TO 9 FEET TONIGHT AND THEN UPWARDS OF AROUND 10 FEET
  WELL OFFSHORE BY SUNDAY. THE HIGHEST OF THE SEAS LOOK TO RESIDE 20 TO 60
  NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR
LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL
LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

GMZ630>635-221900-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0052.141122T1200Z-141124T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
437 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING
TO NOON CST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING
TO NOON CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: EAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS TODAY. WINDS
  TURN MORE TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY AND REMAIN STRONG.
  FREQUENT GUSTS 25 TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* WAVES: ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
527 
WHUS74 KMOB 221937
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
137 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY FOR THE GULF COASTAL WATERS
OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT ELSEWHERE...

.A STRONG AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN 
ATLANTIC WESTWARD TO EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TODAY IS 
RESULTING IN A MODERATE TO STRONG EAST SOUTHEAST FLOW. THE HIGH 
MOVES EASTWARD ON SUNDAY AS A STRENGTHENING AREA OF SURFACE LOW 
PRESSURE PIVOTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID SOUTH. AS THIS 
OCCURS...WINDS TURN MORE ONSHORE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AND 
REMAIN STRONG. WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH GALE FORCE THROUGH MOST OF
THE DAY ON SUNDAY OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SEAS WILL TREND MUCH HIGHER.

GMZ650-655-670-675-230345-
/O.EXT.KMOB.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-141123T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KMOB.GL.A.0005.141123T1200Z-141124T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0053.141124T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
137 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO
NOON CST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY.
THE GALE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
6 PM SUNDAY TO NOON CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: EAST 18 TO 22 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS RANGING FROM
  23 TO 28 KNOTS. EAST SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING VEER TO THE SOUTH BY
  DAYBREAK SUNDAY 20 TO 25 KNOTS. WIND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE POSSIBLE 
  SUNDAY.

* SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE 
  TODAY. SEAS BUILD 6 TO 9 FEET TONIGHT AND THEN UPWARDS OF 
  AROUND 10 FEET WELL OFFSHORE BY SUNDAY. THE HIGHEST OF THE 
  SEAS LOOK TO RESIDE 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

GMZ630>635-230345-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
137 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: EAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS TODAY. 
  WINDS TURN MORE TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY AND 
  REMAIN STRONG. FREQUENT GUSTS 25 TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT AND 
  SUNDAY. 

* WAVES: ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
661 
WHUS74 KMOB 230407
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1007 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY FOR THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT ELSEWHERE...

.STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES MOVES OFF TO THE EAST
ON SUNDAY AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ADVANCES FROM THE WEST. AS
THIS OCCURS...STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST AND REMAIN STRONG. WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH GALE FORCE
THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY ON SUNDAY OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SEAS WILL TREND MUCH HIGHER.

GMZ650-655-670-675-231215-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-141123T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.GL.A.0005.141123T1200Z-141124T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0053.141124T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1007 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CST SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO
NOON CST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO NOON
CST MONDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CST SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHERLY BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY.
  WIND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY SUNDAY.

* SEAS: BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 8 TO 10 FEET WELL
  OFFSHORE. THE HIGHEST OF THE SEAS LOOK TO RESIDE 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL
  MILES OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...AND/OR
SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47
KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR
LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL
LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

GMZ630>635-231215-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
1007 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: EAST AROUND 20 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHERLY BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY.
  FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE.

* WAVES: ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...AND/OR
SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
379 
WHUS74 KMOB 230821
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
221 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT TODAY FOR THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT ELSEWHERE...

.A STRENGTHENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE LOWER TO
MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TODAY. AS THIS OCCURS...STRONG EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE. FREQUENT WIND
GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE LIKELY THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY TODAY OVER
THE OPEN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS. HIGH SEAS CONTINUE. 

GMZ650-655-670-675-231600-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-141123T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KMOB.GL.A.0005.141123T1200Z-141124T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.GL.W.0007.141123T1200Z-141124T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0053.141124T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
221 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY
THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON CST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS EARLY BECOMING SOUTH TO
  SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 KNOTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. FREQUENT WIND
  GUSTS TO GALE FORCE LIKELY TODAY.

* SEAS: 6 TO 9 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 8 TO 11 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. THE
  HIGHEST OF THE SEAS LOOK TO RESIDE 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES
  OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE
AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF
GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ630>635-231600-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
221 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS EARLY BECOMING SOUTH TO
  SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES: ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
641 
WHUS74 KMOB 231559
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
959 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT TODAY FOR THE GULF COASTAL WATERS
OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT ELSEWHERE...

.A STRENGTHENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE LOWER
TO MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TODAY. AS THIS OCCURS...STRONG
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AND
INCREASE. FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE LIKELY THROUGH
MOST OF THE DAY TODAY OVER THE OPEN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS. HIGH SEAS CONTINUE.

GMZ650-655-670-675-240000-
/O.CON.KMOB.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141124T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0053.141124T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
959 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON CST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
NOON CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS EARLY BECOMING SOUTH TO 
  SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 KNOTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. FREQUENT WIND 
  GUSTS TO GALE FORCE LIKELY TODAY. 

* SEAS: 6 TO 9 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 8 TO 11 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. 
  THE HIGHEST OF THE SEAS LOOK TO RESIDE 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES 
  OFFSHORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ630>635-240000-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
959 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS EARLY BECOMING SOUTH TO 
  SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS. 

* WAVES: ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
840 
WHUS74 KMOB 232308
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
508 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON WEDNESDAY...

.A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MARINE
AREA ON MONDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION.
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT AHEAD OF THE FRONT
THEN SWITCH TO A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.

GMZ650-655-670-675-241000-
/O.CAN.KMOB.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141124T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KMOB.SC.Y.0053.141123T2308Z-141124T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
508 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
MONDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.

* SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 7 TO 9 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...AND/OR
SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ630>635-241000-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
508 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: MOSTLY ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...AND/OR
SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
077 
WHUS74 KMOB 240356
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
956 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON WEDNESDAY FOR GULF
WATERS OUT 60 NM...

.A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MARINE
AREA ON MONDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION.
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL SWITCH TO A MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.
WHILE BAYS AND INLAND WATERWAYS WILL SEE A MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW...A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE OVER THE GULF WATERS OUT 60 NM DUE
TO SOMEWHAT STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SLOW TO SUBSIDE SEAS.

GMZ630>635-240500-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
956 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED TO BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER THE
BAYS AND INLAND WATERWAYS...THUS THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED FOR THIS PORTION.

$$

GMZ650-655-670-675-241200-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
956 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...AND/OR
SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
172 
WHUS74 KMOB 241024
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
424 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

...COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TODAY BRINGS MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW TONIGHT...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6
AM CST WEDNESDAY...

.A COLD FRONT MOVES EAST AND BRINGS A WIND SHIFT ACROSS THE MARINE
AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A BUILDING RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. A
MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW REDEVELOPS TONIGHT AND CONTINUES
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE HIGH INTERACTS WITH A
DEVELOPING WAVE OF FRONTAL SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF...THAT TRACKS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.
SEAS REMAIN ELEVATED IN THE NEAR TERM..

GMZ650-655-670-675-241800-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-141124T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.SC.Y.0054.141125T0300Z-141126T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
424 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
CST WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THIS MORNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED...BUT
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION.

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS THIS
  MORNING. OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASES TONIGHT 18 TO 23 KNOTS WITH
  FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS. MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES
  TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET TODAY. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 5 TO 7
  FEET WELL OFFSHORE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ630>635-241800-
/O.NEW.KMOB.SC.Y.0054.141125T0300Z-141126T1200Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
424 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
CST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASES TONIGHT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT
  HIGHER GUSTS. MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES
  TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* WAVES: CHOPPY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 21, 11:25 PM CST, 5 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 21, 11:25 PM CST, 5 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE TO AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1125 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

.AVIATION...
06Z ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT THROUGH MOST OF
SATURDAY. SATURDAY EVENING...AS AN UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES...
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE IS EXPECTED TO SET UP OVER COASTAL AREAS...THEN
SHIFT INLAND AS A WARM FRONT ORGANIZES ALONG THE COAST. CIGS
DROPPING TO LOW MVFR LEVELS...WITH LOCAL IFR LEVELS...EXPECTED ALONG
THE COAST AS 06S SUNDAY APPROACHES. THE FARTHER INLAND ONE
GOES...CIGS WILL INCREASE TO GENERAL UPPER END MVFR/LOWER VFR
LEVELS. THIS IS AFTER THE FORECAST...BUT AS SUDNAY DAYTIME
APPROACHES...DECREASING CIGS ALONG WITH INCREASING PRECIP COVERAGE
LIKELY.

/16

&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN CONTINUED EASTERLY FLOW THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE BEGINS TO EJECT
EASTWARD ON SATURDAY...MOISTURE LEVELS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH.
RAIN CHANCES WILL ALSO INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY NEAR
THE COAST AND OFFSHORE. THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES WILL REMAIN
OFFSHORE THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED CHANCES ALONG
THE COAST. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL AGAIN BE COOLER TO THE EAST UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH LOW 40S EXPECTED. MID AND UPPER
40S CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST AND IN WESTERN ZONES. HIGHS ON
SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE MID AND UPPER 60S WITH THE FEW 70S POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. /13

DEEP LAYER LIFT WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE SATURDAY EVENING AS THE
VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO EASTERN TEXAS. LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW
WILL ALSO STRENGTHEN IN RESPONSE...RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN
ISENTROPIC LIFT ACROSS THE AREA IN COMBINATION WITH THE ENHANCED
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE EVENING...WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE CLOSER TO THE COAST WHICH WILL BE IN
CLOSER PROXIMITY TO A WARM FRONT OFFSHORE AND UNDER THE BEST UPPER
LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SOME GUIDANCE IS INDICATING A LARGE AREA OF
CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN GULF IN THE EVENING AND
SPREAD NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT IN CONJUNCTION WITH A LOW LEVEL JET MAX
PROGGED TO DEVELOP MAINLY EAST OF OUR AREA. EXACTLY WHERE THIS
CONVECTION DEVELOPS WILL DETERMINE HOW MUCH RAIN WE RECEIVE SATURDAY
NIGHT...AND SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS. FOR NOW...WILL FOCUS THE
GREATEST CHANCE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES
OVER THE SOUTHERN ZONES. FURTHER ADJUSTMENTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AS
THE EVENT UNFOLDS TOMORROW.

IT APPEARS THAT THERE WILL BE LITTLE TO NO RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER
SATURDAY EVENING AS GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE
INSTABILITY AND WARM FRONT WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE. THE WARM FRONT WILL
BEGIN TO LIFT NORTH OVERNIGHT AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES FURTHER EAST
BECOMES NEGATIVE TILT OVER LOUISIANA. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE
THE DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS WILL DRAMATICALLY INCREASE ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE SHORTWAVE...ESPECIALLY FROM 6AM TO NOON SUNDAY. WHILE STILL
UNCERTAIN...THE WARM FRONT MAY MOVE NORTH OF THE COAST DURING THE
PREDAWN HOURS SUNDAY...WITH A THREAT OF ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS.
HOWEVER...THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE AFTER 6AM AS
THE WARM FRONT SURGES NORTH IN RESPONSE TO THE SHORTWAVE EJECTING
NORTHEAST. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT SUNDAY MORNING AS DEEP LAYER
ASCENT INCREASES AND MLCAPES CLIMB TO 350-600 J/KG. 0-1 KM SHEAR OF
40 KT COMBINED WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 50-55 KT WILL BE VERY SUPPORTIVE
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES POSSIBLE.
ANOTHER CONCERN IS THAT A SQUALL LINE MAY ORGANIZE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
MS/LOUISIANA IN THE PREDAWN HOURS IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE
SHORTWAVE...AND RAPIDLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY
MORNING. IF THIS MATERIALIZES...THEN THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BECOME ENHANCED WITH EMBEDDED TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE. THE MID
LEVEL DRY SLOT RAPIDLY ADVANCES FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MORNING
AND THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO END OVER EASTERN ZONES
BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL TOTALS ARE UNCERTAIN...AS MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY. OVERALL...
EXPECT 1-2 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN ZONES WITH 2-3 INCHES CLOSER TO
THE COAST. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS OF 4-5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...BUT
THAT POTENTIAL WILL LARGELY DEPEND ON THE CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION OVER
THE GULF SATURDAY EVENING. GIVEN THE DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...NO
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY PLANNED. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED FLOODING
IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY.

EVEN AS THE RAIN COMES TO AN END SUNDAY AFTERNOON...DEEP LAYER
SOUTHWEST FLOW AND WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S ARE EXPECTED.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS STILL SHOW 35-40 KT OF WIND IN THE MIXED LAYER
WHICH WILL TRANSLATE TO WINDY CONDITIONS. FREQUENT GUSTS OF 30 TO 40
MPH ARE EXPECTED AND A WIND ADVISORY MAY BECOME NECESSARY. 34/JFB

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...THE COLD FRONT WILL
FINALLY GET A PUSH EAST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH THE
BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF THE AREA BY MONDAY EVENING. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE IS PROGGED TO BE WELL EAST OF THE AREA BY MONDAY...AND
WILL SHOW A DRY FORECAST WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. IT WILL TURN
PROGRESSIVE COOLER THROUGH MIDWEEK AS A LONGWAVE TROUGH GRADUALLY
MOVES FROM THE PLAINS EAST TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY THANKSGIVING
DAY. GUIDANCE IS BEGINNING TO TREND TOWARD A SOLUTION THAT SHOWS THE
STRONGEST PUSH OF COLD AIR ARRIVING ON THANKSGIVING INTO FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED FURTHER DOWNWARD IN SUBSEQUENT
FORECASTS. 34/JFB

&&

.MARINE...A MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AS
THE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY...A STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL DEVELOP AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH A NORTHERLY FLOW RETURNING.
/13

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...SOME RAIN WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP
CLOSE TO THE COAST WITH RAIN BECOMING WIDESPREAD SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL QUICKLY END FROM WEST
TO EAST SUNDAY MORNING...WITH MOST LOCATIONS DRY BY LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. FAIR DISPERSIONS ON SATURDAY WILL BECOME GOOD ON SUNDAY
DUE TO STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. DISPERSIONS ARE FORECAST TO
APPROACH 75 IN MANY LOCATIONS. FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME GUSTS OF 40 MPH POSSIBLE.
34/JFB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      49  69  60  77  61 /  00  30  90  90  10
PENSACOLA   51  67  61  76  63 /  00  30  90  90  20
DESTIN      51  67  62  73  64 /  00  30  90  90  20
EVERGREEN   41  67  57  75  59 /  00  10  90  90  10
WAYNESBORO  44  69  57  76  55 /  00  10  90  90  10
CAMDEN      40  67  55  75  57 /  00  10  90  90  10
CRESTVIEW   42  67  59  76  62 /  00  20  90  90  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
     NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO NOON MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...
     NORTHERN MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...
     SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 21, 3:41 PM CST, 12 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
341 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
341 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THIS WEEKEND.

A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING WITH SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
BECOMING WIDESPREAD. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. THE BEST
TIME FRAME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN 6 AM AND NOON OVER
MOST THE REGION...WITH AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM POSSIBLE OVER
EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND COASTAL ALABAMA AS EARLY AS THE
PREDAWN HOURS ON SUNDAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE STORMS WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST AT 40 TO 50 MPH. DO NOT HESITATE TO TAKE
SHELTER IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE ALSO LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE FORECAST...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE
COAST. THIS HEAVY RAIN MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING
ISSUES...MAINLY OVER POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING URBAN AREAS.

IT WILL ALSO BE WINDY OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND AFTER THE STORM
THREAT ENDS. FREQUENT GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY THROUGH THE
DAY SUNDAY AND A WINDY ADVISORY MAY BECOME NECESSARY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY BE REQUESTED
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-221200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
341 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF WATERS OUT TO 60 NM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

LOW PRESSURE INTENSIFIES AS IT MOVES INTO THE LOWER TO MID
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY ON SUNDAY...CAUSING STRONG SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR ALL
COASTAL WATERS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9
FEET OVER THE WEEKEND WITH BAYS AND SOUNDS BECOMING CHOPPY TO ROUGH.
NUMEROUS STORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING AND
SOME OF THEM COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE. /10

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 22, 3:03 AM CSTRip Current StatementMOB4 days
Nov 22, 4:37 AM CSTGale WatchMOB22 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alabama, 2014Every small craft advisory in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.