River Flood Warning 66, NWS Mobile, AL

370 
WGUS84 KMOB 161726
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1226 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON AFFECTING OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES. 
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVERS. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-171726-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1226 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 12PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.8 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 19 FEET, LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER
  GROUND.  

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
      3077 8733 3093 8731            

$$

FLC091-113-171300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-140517T1300Z/
/MLNF1.1.ER.140516T0236Z.140516T1100Z.140517T0700Z.NO/
1226 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING 
* AT 12PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET
* THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* AT 10 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND SOME FISH CAMPS WILL OCCUR. 

&&

LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
      3068 8697 3080 8704             

$$

053 
WGUS84 KMOB 170228
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
928 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA... 
  BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON AFFECTING OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...

  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER ON THE ESCAMBIA RIVER 
NEAR CENTURY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-180228-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
928 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.2 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON SATURDAY... 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
AT 19.0 FEET, LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER
GROUND.  

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
      3077 8733 3093 8731            

$$

FLC091-113-170258-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-140517T1300Z/
/MLNF1.1.ER.140516T0236Z.140516T1100Z.140516T1943Z.NO/
928 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FALLING.

&&

LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
      3068 8697 3080 8704             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
811 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2014

.UPDATE...A SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHES FROM THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION EARLY THIS EVENING.
THE RELAXING MSLP GRADIENT HAS ALLOWED WIND SPEEDS TO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA...AND WE WERE ABLE TO CANCEL THE WIND
ADVISORY THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR LOWER PORTIONS OF THE CWFA EARLY.
MAINLY CLEAR SKIES SHOULD PREVAIL OVERNIGHT...AND WITH THE DRIER
AIRMASS IN PLACE...WE EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO NEAR RECORD LOWS
AGAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. CURRENT FORECAST LOWS LOOK ON TRACK
ATTM. /21

&&

.CLIMATE...EARLY THIS MORNING...THE MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT TIED THE
RECORD LOW OF 50 DEGREES THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY SET IN 1917 AND 1882.
THE MAY 16TH RECORD LOW OF 48 DEGREES SET IN 2011 AT THE MOBILE
REGIONAL AIRPORT...AND 54 DEGREES SET IN 2011 AND 1967 AT THE
PENSACOLA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT COULD BE IN JEOPARDY EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. /21

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2014/

SHORT TERM [TODAY AND TONIGHT]...A STRONG SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION
THROUGH TONIGHT. ALOFT...THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL SHIFT EAST
OF THE REGION BY LATE FRI MORNING. MID TO HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE
TO SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A STRONG
NORTHERLY WIND WITH GUSTS FROM 20 TO 30 KNOTS NEAR THE SURFACE WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING THEN DIMINISH QUICKLY GENERALLY
AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT...LINGERING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST THROUGH
ABOUT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...THE OTHER MAIN CONCERN THROUGH
TONIGHT WILL BE THE UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURE...GENERALLY
LOWERING TO THE MID 40S FOR MOST INLAND AREAS AND THE UPPER 40S TO
NEAR 50 ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. 32/EE

[FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT]...AN UPPER KINETIC ENERGY
PACKET SWINGS THROUGH THE BASE OF A DEEP UPPER TROUGH ALIGNED ALONG A
LINE FROM HUDSON BAY TO KENTUCKY...LEAVING A WEAK SURFACE FRONT
EXTENDING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN THIRD OF OUR AREA. FRONTOLYSIS WILL
SET IN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY TO DISSIPATE THIS BOUNDARY. A
SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE EAST ALONG
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST TO THE CAROLINAS. THIS RETURNS A WEAK
SOUTHWEST FLOW TO OUR REGION AND WILL CAUSE HUMIDITY TO REBOUND. AS
COLD ADVECTION WILL HAVE SHUT DOWN...TEMPERATURE WILL DRIFT UPWARD
INTO THE WEEKEND...AND CLOSE TO SEASONAL SATURDAY. NO RAIN EXPECTED.
TEMPERATURE BEING PUBLISHED TODAY IS PRETTY CLOSE TO WHAT WE HAVE
BEEN HAVING THE LAST FEW CYCLES.

LONG TERM [SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY]...NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.
ADDITIONAL UPPER LEVEL KINETIC ENERGY SWINGS THROUGH THAT SAME TROUGH
MENTIONED OVER HUDSON BAY TO KENTUCKY...BUT IT WILL BE SLOWLY FILLING
AS IT MOVES OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND WITHDRAWS OVER TIME
INTO THE LONGER WAVES. WHILE IT CAN...THIS FEATURE WILL PUSH ANOTHER
WEAK SURFACE FRONT TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST INTO THE
NORTHEASTERN THIRD OF OUR AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THE SURFACE
RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN STATES REMAINS STEADY STATE INTO THE COMING
WEEK. THIS FEATURE WILL MAINTAIN A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW OVER MAINLY
WESTERN SECTIONS OF OUR AREA. WITH AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE
PLAINS...TEMPERATURE EASES UPWARD PROGRESSING TO MORE SEASONABLY WARM
THROUGH MONDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE PLAINS WITH AN
UPPER HIGH FORMING OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. LITTLE CHANCE OF RAIN IS CALCULATED DESPITE MINOR
RISES IN CAPE INDICATED TO BE MOSTLY DRY STATIC ENERGY. PRECIPITABLE
WATER AN INCH OR BELOW...BUT MID LEVELS MAY SEE A REBOUND IN HUMIDITY
AROUND MIDWEEK IN OUR WESTERN ZONES BRINGING SOME CLOUDS AS INDICATED
IN THE FORECAST. TEMPERATURE CONTINUING TO BE NEAR NORMAL. IT IS
POSSIBLE HIGHS COULD REACH 90 BY MIDWEEK IN SOME SPOTS INLAND.

MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE MARINE AREA FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT
WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. A
LIGHT TO MODERATE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND IS EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...THEN
BECOMING REINFORCED THROUGH MIDWEEK AS A BROAD UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. 32/EE

AVIATION...[15.18Z/16.00Z ISSUANCES]...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
17.00Z. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT AND DURING THE DAY ON FRI.
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT SUNSET TONIGHT BECOMING NORTHWEST DIMINISHING
TO TO 3 TO 5 KNOTS OVERNIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY WEST AT 12 TO 15 KNOTS DURING THE DAY ON FRI. A PUBLIC WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL TERMINAL SITES THROUGH 16.01Z THIS
EVENING. 32/EE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      49  79  57  82  61 /  05  05  05  05  05
PENSACOLA   54  78  63  81  64 /  05  10  05  05  05
DESTIN      56  75  64  78  67 /  05  10  00  05  05
EVERGREEN   44  79  51  84  57 /  05  10  05  05  05
WAYNESBORO  45  77  52  83  56 /  10  05  05  05  05
CAMDEN      44  78  51  83  56 /  10  05  05  05  05
CRESTVIEW   45  81  51  82  55 /  05  10  05  05  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
831 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-170145-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
831 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FEW AREA RIVERS...MOSTLY SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 65...HAVE
ELEVATED STAGES DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINS YESTERDAY. SOME OF THE RIVERS
ARE SLIGHTLY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...IN MINOR FLOOD. SEE THE LATEST
RIVER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR SPECIFIC RIVER
INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-170145-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
831 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

INCREASED NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OPERATIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.