Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 63, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at May 14, 2014, 4:52 PM CDT for Escambia County, Alabama; Escambia County, Florida. It took effect at May 15, 2014, 6:08 AM CDT. It was in force for 8 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 14, 2014, 4:52 PM CDT (21:52 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 15, 2014, 6:08 AM CDT
- Expired
- May 22, 2014, 8:14 PM CDT
- In force
- 8 days
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Escambia County, AL, Escambia County, FL
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Escambia River near Century (CTYF1). The gauge peaked at 19.09 ft at May 16, 2014, 8:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 12 ft
- Minor stage
- 17 ft
- Moderate stage
- 25 ft
- Major stage
- 37 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02375500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
323
WGUS44 KMOB 142152
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
452 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE
FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS HAS CAUSED RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-152152-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0063.140516T2015Z-140519T2125Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140516T2015Z.140518T0600Z.140519T1525Z.NO/
452 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...12.9 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
NEAR 19.5 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.5 FEET...FLOODING OF FARM AND PASTURE LANDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS
THE RIVER LEVEL DROPS...BUT SOME FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$20 follow-up statements
443
WGUS84 KMOB 150137
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
837 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-160137-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.140515T1536Z-140519T1900Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1536Z.140517T1800Z.140519T1300Z.NO/
837 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 20.1 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 13 FEET...MINOR OVERFLOW OF LOWLANDS.
* AT 17 FEET...CONSIDERABLE FLOODING OF LOWLANDS.
* AT 19 FEET...LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO
HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$248
WGUS84 KMOB 150433
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1133 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
MURDER CREEK AT BREWTON AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES.
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-160433-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.140515T0815Z-140516T2315Z/
/BWMA1.1.ER.140515T0815Z.140516T0000Z.140516T1715Z.NO/
1133 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MURDER CREEK AT BREWTON
* FROM EARLY TOMORROW UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING
* AT 10PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 24.1 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
AT 22.0 FEET, FLOODING OF PERSIMMON AND ANN STREETS WILL BEGIN.
&&
LAT...LON 3114 8704 3113 8701 3107 8709 3108 8713
$$
ALC039-053-160433-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0065.140515T1500Z-140518T1500Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.140515T1500Z.140516T1800Z.140518T0900Z.NO/
1133 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING
* AT 10PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.6 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 28.2 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
&&
LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712
$$
ALC053-FLC033-160433-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.140515T1108Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1108Z.140517T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1133 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* FROM TOMORROW MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 11PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
NEAR 21.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$088
WGUS84 KMOB 151627
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1127 AM CDT THU MAY 15 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-161627-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140517T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 AM CDT THU MAY 15 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 11AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN
BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 17 FEET, SOME FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL OCCUR.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$897
WGUS84 KMOB 152213
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
513 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-162213-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
513 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 4PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.6 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING THEN
BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 17 FEET, SOME FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA OCCUR.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$646
WGUS84 KMOB 160248
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
948 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-170248-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
948 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CREST TO NEAR 20.4 FEET ON SATURDAY...THEN
BEGIN FALLING BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
AT 19.0 FEET, LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER
GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$370
WGUS84 KMOB 161726
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1226 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON AFFECTING OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES.
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVERS.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-171726-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1226 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 12PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.8 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN
BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 19 FEET, LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER
GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$
FLC091-113-171300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-140517T1300Z/
/MLNF1.1.ER.140516T0236Z.140516T1100Z.140517T0700Z.NO/
1226 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING
* AT 12PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET
* THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* AT 10 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND SOME FISH CAMPS WILL OCCUR.
&&
LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
3068 8697 3080 8704
$$053
WGUS84 KMOB 170228
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
928 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON AFFECTING OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER ON THE ESCAMBIA RIVER
NEAR CENTURY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-180228-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
928 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.2 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON SATURDAY...
THEN BEGIN FALLING.
AT 19.0 FEET, LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER
GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$
FLC091-113-170258-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-140517T1300Z/
/MLNF1.1.ER.140516T0236Z.140516T1100Z.140516T1943Z.NO/
928 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FALLING.
&&
LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
3068 8697 3080 8704
$$718
WGUS84 KMOB 171552
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1052 AM CDT SAT MAY 17 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-181552-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140521T1200Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140521T0600Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT SAT MAY 17 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING
* AT 10AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 19 FEET, LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER
GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$184
WGUS84 KMOB 180304
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1004 PM CDT SAT MAY 17 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-190304-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140521T2100Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140521T1500Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT SAT MAY 17 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 9PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$295
WGUS84 KMOB 181549
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1049 AM CDT SUN MAY 18 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THIS RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-191549-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140522T1800Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140522T1200Z.NO/
1049 AM CDT SUN MAY 18 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 10AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$517
WGUS84 KMOB 190203
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
903 PM CDT SUN MAY 18 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-200203-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140522T0800Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140522T0200Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SUN MAY 18 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
* AT 8PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY BEFORE
MIDNIGHT.
* AT 17 FEET, CONSIDERABLE FLOODING OF LOWLANDS WILL OCCUR.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$553
WGUS84 KMOB 191622
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1122 AM CDT MON MAY 19 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THis RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-201622-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140522T0359Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140521T2159Z.NO/
1122 AM CDT MON MAY 19 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING
* AT 11AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$366
WGUS84 KMOB 200202
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
902 PM CDT MON MAY 19 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THIS RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-210202-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140522T0600Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140522T0000Z.NO/
902 PM CDT MON MAY 19 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE A SLOW FALL...FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$545
WGUS84 KMOB 200204 CCA
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
902 PM CDT MON MAY 19 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THIS RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-210202-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140522T0600Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140522T0000Z.NO/
902 PM CDT MON MAY 19 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE A SLOW FALL...FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$580
WGUS84 KMOB 201608
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1108 AM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-211608-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140522T1800Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140522T1200Z.NO/
1108 AM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 10AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 17 FEET, CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING IN THE AREA WILL OCCUR.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$525
WGUS84 KMOB 210117
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
817 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAD CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-220117-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140522T1200Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140522T0600Z.NO/
817 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING
* AT 8PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING.
AT 17.5 FEET, SOME FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE
RIVER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 13 FEET.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$890
WGUS84 KMOB 211508
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1008 AM CDT WED MAY 21 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-221508-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140522T2000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140522T1400Z.NO/
1008 AM CDT WED MAY 21 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* AT 17.5 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLANDS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE RIVER LEVEL DROPS
BELOW 13 FEET.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$692
WGUS84 KMOB 220113
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
813 PM CDT WED MAY 21 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-230113-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140523T0300Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140522T2100Z.NO/
813 PM CDT WED MAY 21 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING
* AT 7PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* AT 17 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL OCCUR.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$513
WGUS84 KMOB 221508
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1008 AM CDT THU MAY 22 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-230430-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140523T0430Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140522T2230Z.NO/
1008 AM CDT THU MAY 22 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL THIS EVENING
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 17.5 FEET...SOME FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE
RIVER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 13 FEET.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$638
WGUS84 KMOB 230114
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
814 PM CDT THU MAY 22 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
FLORIDA...
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC053-FLC033-230144-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140523T0430Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.140515T1330Z.140516T0900Z.140522T2324Z.NO/
814 PM CDT THU MAY 22 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL THIS EVENING
* AT 7PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 14, 3:26 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 14, 3:26 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
326 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014
...FLASH FLOOD THREAT PERSISTS THROUGH MID TO LATE EVENING
ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-65...
.SHORT TERM [TONIGHT AND MONDAY]...ON THE LARGE SCALE...A
PROGRESSIVE DEEPLY-REFLECTED LONGWAVE TROUGH MOVES FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS EASTWARD TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY BY SUNRISE. ATTENDANT SFC
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH OUR REGION THIS EVENING BEING LOCATED FROM
NEAR I-65 BY MID-EVENING AND EAST OF A GREENVILLE AL TO DESTIN FL
LINE BY THE VERY EARLY MORNING HOURS (I.E., NO LATER THAN THE 1-3 AM
TIME FRAME). AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT...MOISTURE PLUME WITH
HIGH PW VALUE AIR AND LOTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL RAMP
UP RAINFALL RATES IN THE VICINITY OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WITH LOTS OF
GUST FRONT RE-TRIGGERING. HEAVY RAINFALL HAS BEEN OBSERVED WITH SOME
REPORTS OF FLASH FLOODING HAVE BEEN ONGOING SINCE EARLIER THIS
MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST COUNTIES. ANOTHER
ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS CURRENTLY (AS OF THIS WRITING) FORMING
ALONG THE SLOW-MOVING BOUNDARY IN BALDWIN COUNTY WHICH EXTENDS INTO
WESTERN ESCAMBIA AND CONECUH COUNTIES OF ALABAMA. YET ANOTHER LINE
OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COLD FRONT MOVING INTO EASTERN
MISSISSIPPI. SO...THE INGREDIENTS ARE IN PLACE FOR 2 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAINFALL REGION-WIDE WITH 6-8" LOCALLY IN PLACES WHERE THUNDERSTORMS
TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREA. AGAIN...THOSE AREAS LIKELY TO RECEIVE THE
MOST RAIN ARE EAST OF I-65 AND GENERALLY NORTH OF THE AL/FL LINE
(BUT INCLUDING PORTIONS OF BALDWIN COUNTY). GRADUAL CLEARING IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT BETWEEN MID EVENING OVER INTERIOR SE MS AND
SUNRISE TO MID MORNING TIME FRAME IN THE FAR EASTERN COUNTIES.
TOMORROW'S AFTERNOON MAX TEMPS ARE ACTUALLY FORECAST BY THE GUIDANCE
TO BE RECORD LOW HIGHS...68-75 DEG(F). GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE
ANOMALY...WILL GO A BIT BELOW THE LATTER WITH NEAR 66 DEG(F) OVER
FAR NRN ZONES RANGING TO TO LOWER 70S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. /23
JMM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...KINETIC ENERGY SWINGING
AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE TROUGH OVER THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...PUSHING THE SURFACE FRONT ALREADY WELL EAST OF OUR REGION
AND CONTINUE TO PULL IN COOL DRY AIR FROM THE NORTHWEST. WE WILL
RETAIN SOME RESIDUAL SHOWERS OVER EASTERN-MOST SECTIONS OF OUR REGION
AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...BUT WE ARE EXPECTING THESE TO MOVE
OUT RATHER QUICKLY. TEMPERATURE BEING CALCULATED BY GUIDANCE IS FAR
BELOW SEASONAL AND WE ARE IN TOTAL AGREEMENT. A SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER
DAY WITH TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 70S...PLUS OR MINUS A DEGREE OR
TWO...IS EXPECTED.
THE UPPER TROUGH REMAINS PRETTY MUCH STATIONARY...WITH ITS AXIS JUST
EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. GUIDANCE IS CALCULATING ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE DIVING SOUTH OVER THE PLAINS...PUSHING A REINFORCING FRONT
SOUTH ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS OVER OUR
AREA. GUIDANCE IS CALCULATING THIS BOUNDARY STALLING ALONG THE COAST
FRIDAY MORNING...WITH TEMPERATURE DROPPING INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S
AWAY FROM THE COAST...NEAR 40 IN PLACES...AND UPPER 40S NEAR THE
BEACH. A SURFACE HIGH OVER TEXAS PUSHES EAST OVER THE GULF AND THUS
THE WIND WILL VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTH AGAIN AND TEMPERATURE WILL
REBOUND A BIT. /77 BD
.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST
EXCEPT AT. ON SATURDAY...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE BASE
OF THE EASTERN TROUGH PUSHES ANOTHER FRONT TOWARDS OUR REGION...BUT
WITH THE TROUGH ITSELF RETREATING NORTH A BIT...SAID FRONT WILL HAVE
PROBLEMS MOVING ACROSS OUR REGION. THE ECMWF IS INDICATING THE FRONT
MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF OUR AREA...BUT ONLY WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS. GFS KEEPS IT WELL NORTH. WE BELIEVE A BLENDED OUTPUT IS THE
BEST FORECAST. WITH NO REAL REINFORCEMENT OF COOLER AIR...TEMPERATURE
WILL FINALLY DRIFT UPWARD TOWARDS SEASONAL.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...AS THE TROUGH FINALLY BEGINS
TO MOVE AWAY TO OUR EAST...AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE PLAINS. A
SURFACE RIDGE HAS MOVED FROM OVER THE PLAINS TO EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THE STALLED SECOND FRONT WILL TEND TO DELAY ONSET
OF AN OPENING GULF BRINGING WATER VAPOR TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...SO HUMIDITY WILL REBOUND MORE
SLOWLY THAN USUAL AND ANOTHER DRY PERIOD AND TEMPERATURE BELOW
SEASONAL IS EXPECTED.
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PLAINS CONTINUES
TO BUILD...WITH AN UPPER HIGH MOVING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY BY TUESDAY AND THUS TEMPERATURE CONTINUES TO RISE TO ABOVE
SEASONAL FROM THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK THROUGH TUESDAY. /77 BD
&&
.MARINE...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WAS HOISTED FOR INCREASING
NORTHERLY WIND SPEEDS TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT ...WITH
SOME GUSTS JUST ABOVE GALE FORCE (32-38 KNOT RANGE). SEAS BUILD TO 7
TO 9 FEET WELL OFFSHORE BY EARLY THURSDAY. SCA CONDITIONS SUBSIDE
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT WILL PRODUCE SUDDEN SQUALLS ABOVE 34 KNOTS...CLOUD TO SURFACE
LIGHTNING AND BLINDING DOWNPOURS WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES.
WATERSPOUTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. INTENSE STORMS END FROM THE WEST WITH
A WIND SHIFT. /23 JMM
.AVIATION [14.18 UTC TAF ISSUANCE]... IFR TO LOCALLY VFR CONDITIONS
DUE TO BOTH CIGS AND VSBYS (ON AN ISOLATED BASIS) UNTIL FRONT CLEARS
TERMINALS (15.00 UTC KMOB...15.01 UTC KBFM AND 15.03 UTC KPNS). MVFR
DUE TO CIGS THROUGH SUNRISE EAST OF THE TERMINALS AND THEN VFR
REMAINDER OF PERIOD (CAVOK). SFC WINDS SHIFT TO NORTHERLY THIS
EVENING WITH PASSAGE OF THE FRONT AND INCREASE TO NEAR 15 KNOTS WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. /23 JMM
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 52 72 50 79 55 / 50 05 00 10 05
PENSACOLA 58 72 55 80 60 / 70 20 00 05 05
DESTIN 63 73 56 78 61 / 80 30 10 05 05
EVERGREEN 57 70 45 79 48 / 80 20 05 05 05
WAYNESBORO 49 70 47 78 48 / 50 05 05 10 05
CAMDEN 54 68 46 77 46 / 80 10 05 05 05
CRESTVIEW 60 72 45 80 49 / 80 30 05 05 05
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER
BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER
MOBILE...WILCOX...
FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
ROSA...
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM FRIDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM
DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI
SOUND...NORTHERN MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...
PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...
&&Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 6:00 AM CDT, 10 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 600 AM CDT WED MAY 14 2014 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-151115- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 600 AM CDT WED MAY 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF DEADLY RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TODAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...BUT A STRONG STORM PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF I-65. OF GREATER CONCERN FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR YET ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL. TRENDS INDICATING A WETTER FORECAST THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED CONTINUE THIS MORNING. CURRENT DATA INDICATING A PLUME OF VERY MOIST AIR ADVECTING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. AS THE AVAILABLE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE INCREASES...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD AND ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND SHOULD BE EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE TONIGHT. LOW LEVEL FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT...COMBINED WITH LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE SCALE DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT ON THE EAST SIDE OF A BROAD UPPER TROUGH JUST TO OUR WEST...WILL INTERACT WITH THE INCREASING ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND RESULT IN LIKELIHOOD OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS. ALTHOUGH THE FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION FAIRLY QUICKLY AS WE HAVE BEEN ADVERTISING...THE AIRMASS IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY MORE PRIMED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY TRUE WHERE WHERE TRAINING STORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED TOTALS AT LEAST DOUBLE THAT AMOUNT WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE REGION TODAY AND THIS EVENING. AREAS MOST LIKELY TO RECEIVE THE HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL ROUGHLY BE ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR IN ALABAMA AND OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THESE AREAS ARE SOME OF THE SAME LOCATIONS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS...AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. PATCHY FOG...DENSE IN SOME LOCATIONS...ACROSS THE REGION THIS EARLY THIS MORNING DISSIPATING BY MID MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY THURSDAY...THEN PRIMARILY A DRY FORECAST FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE (SURFACE AND ALOFT) DOMINATES THE PATTERN. THERE WILL BE A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE COASTAL BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THURSDAY THEN A LOWER RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED. GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-151115- NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 600 AM CDT WED MAY 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED WITH A WINDSHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES STRONG OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS OPERATING CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT EXPECTED.
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 14, 11:43 AM CDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1143 AM CDT WED MAY 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1110 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 NW WHITING FIELD 30.76N 87.08W
05/14/2014 SANTA ROSA FL COUNTY OFFICIAL
ALLENTOWN RD WEST OF HAWSEY LANE CLOSED DUE TO WATER OVER
THE ROAD.
&&
MBSpecial weather statement, May 14, 12:30 PM CDT, 4 hours 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1230 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014 ALZ061-MSZ079-141815- UPPER MOBILE AL-GEORGE MS- 1230 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN GEORGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WESTERN MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THROUGH 115 PM CDT... AT 1228 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES NORTH OF ST. MARTIN TO 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF ESCATAWPA TO 6 MILES NORTH OF ESCATAWPA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LUCEDALE... WILMER... THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL GREATLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY AND CREATE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...WHICH MAY CAUSE VEHICLES TO HYDROPLANE. TRAVELERS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION. &&
Local storm report, May 14, 2:45 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
245 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 SE FAIRHOPE 30.47N 87.84W
05/14/2014 BALDWIN AL LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER OVER THE ROAD AT AL 181 AND CR 32 AND NEAR AL 104.
WATER OVER THE ROAD AT FAIRHOPE AVE NEAR THE SCHOOL
0230 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 S MAGNOLIA SPRINGS 30.36N 87.77W
05/14/2014 BALDWIN AL PUBLIC
WATER COVERING THE ROAD IN 2 AREAS ALONG CR 49 CLOSE TO
CR 12.
&&
MBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 4:16 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | MOB | Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Monroe and 1 more | 16 hr |
| May 14, 9:32 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Baldwin, Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia and 2 more | 6 hr |
| May 14, 9:44 AM CDT | Small Craft Advisory | MOB | 39 hr | |
| May 14, 9:48 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Covington, Escambia | 6 hr |
| May 14, 11:32 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Monroe, Wilcox | 6 hr |
| May 14, 11:51 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw | 24 min |
| May 14, 12:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Covington, Crenshaw | 60 min |
| May 14, 12:52 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 113 min |
| May 14, 1:47 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Escambia | 4 hr |
| May 14, 3:36 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Covington, Escambia | 4 hr |
| May 14, 5:13 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Covington | 3 hr |
| May 14, 5:28 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Butler, Conecuh, Crenshaw, Monroe, Wilcox | 3 hr |
| May 14, 5:38 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Escambia | 6 hr |
| May 14, 5:42 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 33 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2014River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.