Alert archive / Alabama / Flash Flood Watches in 2014

Flash Flood Watch 8, NWS Mobile, AL

May 7, 201410 counties in Alabama; 5 counties in Mississippi

NWS Mobile, AL issued this flash flood watch at May 7, 2014, 2:24 PM CDT for 10 counties in Alabama; 5 counties in Mississippi. It took effect at May 9, 2014, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 27 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 7, 2014, 2:24 PM CDT (19:24 UTC)
In effect from
May 9, 2014, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
May 10, 2014, 3:55 PM CDT
In force
27 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Flood severity
None

Counties Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2014-05-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2014-05-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1209 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

117 
WGUS64 KMOB 071924
FFAMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
224 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST...

.A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
OVER ALREADY PREVIOUSLY SATURATED GROUNDS BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND LASTING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY.

ALZ051-052-061>064-FLZ001>004-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-080330-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FF.A.0008.140509T1800Z-140511T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...
SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...FERRY PASS...BRENT...
WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...
MILTON...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...
LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
224 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... 
  NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...CHOCTAW...LOWER 
  BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE AND 
  WASHINGTON. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL 
  SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN 
  SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND 
  WAYNE. 

* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS. LOCAL
  TOTALS IN THE 5 TO 7 INCH RANGE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE
  OVER THE SAME AREA.

* TIMING...FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY.

* IMPACTS...RAPID RUNOFF DUE TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS. RAPID
  RISES IN SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS POSSIBLE AND INUNDATION OF LOW
  LYING AREAS WHERE GREATEST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
11 follow-up statements
616 
WGUS64 KMOB 080159
FFAMOB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
859 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST...

.A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...OVER
ALREADY PREVIOUSLY SATURATED GROUNDS BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
LASTING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY.

ALZ051-052-061>064-FLZ001>004-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-081200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0008.140509T1800Z-140511T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...
SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...FERRY PASS...BRENT...
WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...
MILTON...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...
LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
859 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND 
  SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...CHOCTAW...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE... 
  UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE AND WASHINGTON. IN NORTHWEST 
  FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND 
  ESCAMBIA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... 
  GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. 

* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS. 
  LOCAL TOTALS IN THE 5 TO 7 INCH RANGE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS 
  REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA. 

* TIMING...FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
194 
WGUS64 KMOB 080915
FFAMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
415 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE
ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE DEEP
SOUTH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE
AREA FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS.

ALZ051-052-061>064-FLZ001>004-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-081700-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0008.140509T1800Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...
SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...FERRY PASS...BRENT...
WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...
MILTON...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...
LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
415 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND 
  SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...CHOCTAW...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE... 
  UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE AND WASHINGTON. IN NORTHWEST 
  FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND 
  ESCAMBIA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... 
  GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. 

* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE WATCH
  AREA FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL 
  AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED TOTALS
  OF 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE 
  OVER THE SAME AREA. MANY LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA REMAIN 
  SATURATED FROM RECENT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL...AND ADDITIONAL 
  HEAVY RAINS WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH 
  FLOODING. 

* TIMING...FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
747 
WGUS64 KMOB 081827
FFAMOB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
127 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI... AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

.ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THROUGH
MUCH OF THE DEEP SOUTH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE
IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS.

ALZ051-052-061>064-FLZ001>004-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-090300-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0008.140509T1800Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...
SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...FERRY PASS...BRENT...
WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...
MILTON...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...
LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
127 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND 
  SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...CHOCTAW...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE... 
  UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE AND WASHINGTON. IN NORTHWEST 
  FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND 
  ESCAMBIA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... 
  GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. 

* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE WATCH
  AREA FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED TOTALS OF
  4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE
  SAME AREA. GROUND CONDITIONS OVER MANY LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA
  REMAIN SATURATED FROM RECENT...SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. THUS...ADDITIONAL
  HEAVY RAINS WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH
  FLOODING.

* TIMING...FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
160 
WGUS64 KMOB 090057
FFAMOB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
757 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

.ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE
ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE DEEP
SOUTH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE
AREA FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS.

ALZ051-052-061>064-FLZ001>004-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-091200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0008.140509T1800Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...
SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...FERRY PASS...BRENT...
WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...
MILTON...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...
LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
757 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND 
  SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...CHOCTAW...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE... 
  UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE AND WASHINGTON. IN NORTHWEST 
  FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND 
  ESCAMBIA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... 
  GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. 

* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE 
  WATCH AREA FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. STORM TOTAL 
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY...WITH 
  LOCALIZED TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS 
  REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA. GROUND CONDITIONS OVER 
  MANY LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA REMAIN SATURATED FROM 
  RECENT...SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. THUS...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS 
  WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING. 

* TIMING...FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
421 
WGUS64 KMOB 091029
FFAMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
529 AM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...MUCH
OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THIS 
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

.ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION
THROUGH SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES APPROACH THE
AREA FROM THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA LATER THIS MORNING AND
WILL SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY CONTINUING INTO
SATURDAY EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS...WHICH MAY
QUICKLY LEAD TO FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING. 

ALZ053>056-059-FLZ005-006-091830-
/O.EXA.KMOB.FF.A.0008.140509T1800Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA-INLAND OKALOOSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...
CAMDEN...PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...
ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...
NICEVILLE...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB
529 AM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST 
  FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... 
  CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...MONROE AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST 
  FLORIDA...COASTAL OKALOOSA AND INLAND OKALOOSA. 

* FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE WATCH
  AREA THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA
  THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
  EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY CONTINUING INTO
  SATURDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL
  BE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE WHERE
  THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA. GROUND CONDITIONS
  OVER MANY LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA REMAIN SATURATED FROM RECENT
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. THUS...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS WILL INCREASE
  THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

ALZ051-052-061>064-FLZ001>004-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-091830-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0008.140509T1800Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...
SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...FERRY PASS...BRENT...
WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...
MILTON...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...
LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
529 AM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND 
  SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...CHOCTAW...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE... 
  UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE AND WASHINGTON. IN NORTHWEST 
  FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND 
  ESCAMBIA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... 
  GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. 

* FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE WATCH
  AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS
  THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY
  CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
  TO 3 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES
  POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA.
  GROUND CONDITIONS OVER MANY LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA REMAIN
  SATURATED FROM RECENT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. THUS...ADDITIONAL HEAVY
  RAINS WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
723 
WGUS64 KMOB 091848
FFAMOB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
148 PM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI... MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

.ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION THROUGH SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND WILL SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY
CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER ALREADY SATURATED
GROUNDS...WHICH WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING.

ALZ051>056-059-061>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-100300-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA-
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...
PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...ATMORE...
BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...
BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...
FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...FERRY PASS...
BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...
PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...NICEVILLE...SEMINOLE...
EGLIN AFB...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...
LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
148 PM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST 
  MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... 
  CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER 
  MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON 
  AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL 
  OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND 
  OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... 
  GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE WATCH
  AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EASTWARD
  ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT. ADDITIONAL NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY
  CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
  TO 3 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED TOTALS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES
  POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA.
  GROUND CONDITIONS OVER MANY LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA REMAIN
  SATURATED FROM RECENT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. THUS...ADDITIONAL HEAVY
  RAINS WILL LIKELY INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH
  FLOODING.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
930 
WGUS64 KMOB 100448
FFAMOB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1148 PM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

.ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST REGION THROUGH SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA WILL
SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN
SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY EVENING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL OF 
FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

ALZ051>056-059-061>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA-
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...
PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...ATMORE...
BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...
BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...
FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...FERRY PASS...
BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...
PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...NICEVILLE...SEMINOLE...
EGLIN AFB...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...
LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
1148 PM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST 
  MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... 
  CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER 
  MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON 
  AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL 
  OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND 
  OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... 
  GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST
  ALABAMA WILL SPREAD FURTHER EAST OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL NUMEROUS
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN
  SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY... WITH LOCALIZED
  TOTALS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY
  MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA. GROUND CONDITIONS OVER MANY LOCATIONS IN
  THE WATCH AREA REMAIN SATURATED FROM RECENT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL.
  THUS...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
  FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
563 
WGUS64 KMOB 101049
FFAMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
549 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST REGION TODAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY...SOME OF WHICH WILL BE 
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER ALREADY SATURATED
GROUNDS...WHICH WILL BRING A CONTINUED POTENTIAL OF FLOODING AND
FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION.

ALZ057-058-060-101900-
/O.EXA.KMOB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BUTLER-CRENSHAW-COVINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...
ANDALUSIA...OPP
549 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL 
  ALABAMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BUTLER...COVINGTON 
  AND CRENSHAW. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...AND ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED
  TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY
  MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA. GROUND CONDITIONS OVER MANY LOCATIONS IN
  THE WATCH AREA REMAIN SATURATED FROM RECENT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL.
  THUS...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
  FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

ALZ051>056-059-061>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101900-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA-
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...
PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...ATMORE...
BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...
BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...
FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...FERRY PASS...
BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...
PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...NICEVILLE...SEMINOLE...
EGLIN AFB...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...
LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
549 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST 
  MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... 
  CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER 
  MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON 
  AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL 
  OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND 
  OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... 
  GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. 

* THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING

* NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...AND ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED
  TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY
  MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA. GROUND CONDITIONS OVER MANY LOCATIONS IN
  THE WATCH AREA REMAIN SATURATED FROM RECENT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL.
  THUS...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
  FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
603 
WGUS64 KMOB 101205
FFAMOB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
705 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND 
CHOCTAW COUNTY ALABAMA...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AS A SERIES OF
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THESE
LOCATIONS TODAY. SOME OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS...WHICH
WILL BRING A CONTINUED POTENTIAL OF FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.

ALZ051-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101315-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...WAYNESBORO...
RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...
WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
705 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND CHOCTAW COUNTY
ALABAMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WHILE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TODAY...THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS COMING TO AN END AS DEEPER MOISTURE
MOVES TO THE EAST OF THE AREA.

$$

ALZ052>064-FLZ001>006-102000-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-
COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATOM...MILLRY...JACKSON...
THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...
MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...
ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...
PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...
DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...
MOLINO...FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...
ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...
WRIGHT...NICEVILLE...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB
705 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA...BUTLER...CLARKE...CONECUH... 
  COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER 
  MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON 
  AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL 
  OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND 
  OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. 

* THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING

* NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...AND ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED
  TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY
  MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA. GROUND CONDITIONS OVER MANY LOCATIONS IN
  THE WATCH AREA REMAIN SATURATED FROM RECENT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL.
  THUS...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS WILL KEEP A HEIGHTENED POTENTIAL
  FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
108 
WGUS64 KMOB 101526
FFAMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1026 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
CHOCTAW COUNTY ALABAMA...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AS A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. NUMEROUS
TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS TODAY. SOME OF THE SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS...WHICH WILL BRING A CONTINUED
POTENTIAL OF FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.

ALZ052>058-061>064-FLZ001-101630-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-140511T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATOM...MILLRY...JACKSON...
THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...
MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...
MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...
THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...
FLOMATON...MOLINO
1026 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND INLAND ESCAMBIA
COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PRECIPITATION HAS
ENDED THIS MORNING...AND ONLY A MODERATE REDEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

$$

ALZ059-060-FLZ002>006-102100-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-140510T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OPP...FERRY PASS...BRENT...
WEST PENSACOLA...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...PACE...MILTON...
CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...NICEVILLE...EGLIN AFB
1026 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... 
  COVINGTON AND ESCAMBIA. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL 
  ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND 
  OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. 

* UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON

* NUMEROUS SHOWERS INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS UP TO 1.5 INCHES OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
995 
WGUS64 KMOB 102055
FFAMOB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
355 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

.SCATTERED LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS AND FEW THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...AND THEN GRADUALLY DISSIPATE
AFTER SUNSET. PERIODS OF PROLONGED HEAVY RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED...SO
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH BEEN CANCELLED.

ALZ059-060-FLZ002>006-102200-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-140510T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OPP...FERRY PASS...BRENT...
WEST PENSACOLA...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...PACE...MILTON...
CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...NICEVILLE...EGLIN AFB
355 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS PERIODS OF PROLONGED HEAVY
RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at May 7, 5:11 AM CDT, 9 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 7, 5:11 AM CDT, 9 hours 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
511 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2014

.SHORT TERM [TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT]...SFC RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE EXTREME NE GULF AND SE STATES WILL
CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTHWARD OVER GA AND CAROLINAS THROUGH TONIGHT IN
RESPONSE TO NEXT MID TO UPPER TROF TRACKING SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY. WITH THIS PATTERN THE SURFACE WINDS
CONTINUE TO SHIFT MOSTLY SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE IN VELOCITY LATE
TODAY AND OVERNIGHT. WITH THE BETTER ONSHORE FLOW COMBINED WITH
CONTINUED HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTING IN FROM THE WEST PWATS CLIMB
TO .60 TO .90 INCHES WITH MOST OF THE MOISTURE INCREASING IN THE MID
TO UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE THROUGH 12Z THU. WITH THIS BELIEVE
WILL SEE INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
RESULTING IN MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES BY 12Z THU. WITH INCREASING CIRRUS
LATER IN THE DAY AND OVERNIGHT HIGH TEMPS FOR MOST AREAS IN THE CWFA
WILL BE A TAD COOLER THAN LAST COUPLE OF DAYS FOLLOWED BY WARMER
TEMPS OVERNIGHT. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE MOSTLY LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S OVER
THE WESTERN HALF INCLUDING THE COASTAL AREA AND THE MID TO UPPER 80S
TO THE EAST. TONIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S
NEAR THE COAST AND SOME WESTERN SECTIONS AND THE MID TO UPPER 50S FOR
OTHER AREAS. WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE CURRENT MAV GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS
THROUGH TONIGHT. 32/EE

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT
EASTWARD AND WILL EXTEND FROM THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
THROUGH THE VICINITY OF FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND THE CAROLINAS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WHILE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT
WILL PUSH FROM THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS INTO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PLAINS STATES. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS NEXT
SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN FOCUSED WELL TO THE WEST OF OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH A DRY AIRMASS REMAINING IN PLACE
ACROSS OUR REGION CLOSER IN PROXIMITY TO THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS. PARTLY
SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED AS WE SHOULD SEE A STEADY INCREASE IN MID
AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM. A SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD CONTINUE TO STRETCH
FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION
THURSDAY...WHICH WILL MAINTAIN A WARM AND MOIST SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW PATTERN ACROSS OUR AREA. WE WILL MAINTAIN A PERSISTENCE FORECAST
FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES...WITH READINGS GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM THE LOWER 80S NEAR THE COAST TO THE MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS
INLAND LOCATIONS.

THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PART OF THE COUNTRY THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH ASSOCIATED LIFT/DEEP
MOISTURE FIELDS ALSO PUSHING EASTWARD TOWARD THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
AND TENNESSEE VALLEY REGIONS. THE EASTERN FRINGE OF DEEPER MOISTURE
MAY REACH AS FAR EAST AS WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT...AND WE WILL CARRY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
GENERALLY TO THE WEST OF A MOBILE...CHATOM...COFFEEVILLE LINE MAINLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE VERY LIGHT. CONTINUED MILD
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO
AROUND 70 DEGREES. /21

.LONG TERM [FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY]...A CHALLENGING FORECAST
CONTINUES TO SHAPE UP ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST LATE THIS WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND AS WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIALLY LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING CONCERNS ACROSS THE REGION.

THE LATEST SUITE OF MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH
SPREADING DEEP LAYER MOISTURE THROUGH MUCH OF OUR FORECAST AREA
FRIDAY WITHIN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THAT WILL STRETCH FROM THE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEY REGIONS AND
NEW ENGLAND STATES. THE ASSOCIATED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA WHERE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.6 AND 1.9 INCHES BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WE
WILL CARRY THE HIGHEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS [50-60 PERCENT]
ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS FRIDAY. WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR...MLCAPE VALUES
GENERALLY BELOW 500 J/KG...AND MEAGER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL KEEP
SEVERE POTENTIAL LOW ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY. NWP SOLUTIONS CONTINUE
TO DIVERGE ON THEIR SOLUTIONS THIS WEEKEND. THE 00Z ECMWF MODEL RUN
KEEPS A WET SOLUTION ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AS IT
CONTINUES TO DEEPEN A MID LEVEL TROUGH IN THE VICINITY OF
LOUISIANA...BEFORE SLOWLY BRINGING THIS FEATURE EASTWARD ACROSS OUR
CWFA THROUGH MONDAY. THE GFS REMAINS MORE DAMPENED WITH THE MID LEVEL
FLOW PATTERN SATURDAY...THEN PROCEEDS TO BUILD A RIDGE ALOFT SUNDAY
AND MONDAY...WITH ONLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION WITH SOME
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE REGION. THE 00Z RUN OF
THE CMC/GEM SUPPORTS THE WETTER ECMWF SOLUTION...SO WE HAVE
MAINTAINED LIKELY COVERAGE OF SHOWERS/STORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA FOR NOW SATURDAY...WITH QPF MAXIMIZED OVER CENTRAL AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWFA...WHICH APPEARS TO RESIDE WITHIN THE
BETTER MID LEVEL THETA-E AXIS. WE WILL ALSO KEEP SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY GIVEN THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE LINGERING MID LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE REGION. THE
LATEST RAINFALL FORECAST FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WILL CONTINUE TO
RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6+ INCHES
PRIMARILY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...WITH
SLIGHTLY LESSER TOTALS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THIS MATCHES FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE LATEST
WPC GUIDANCE. GIVEN THE SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS AND RECENT HISTORIC
FLOODING...LATER SHIFTS MAY CONSIDER A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IF CONFIDENCE
IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN INCREASES.

WEAK UPPER RIDGING MAY BUILD OVER THE AREA BY MONDAY...BUT LINGERING
MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT KEEPING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST ACROSS THE REGION. THE NEXT APPROACHING
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MAY BRING AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REMAIN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED
FORECAST PERIOD. /21

&&

.AVIATION [07.12Z ISSUANCE]...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
08.12Z. STILL COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG/LOW STRATUS EACH MORNING
THROUGH THU MORNING POSSIBLY BECOMING LOCALLY DENSE FOR A COUPLE OF
HOURS MOSTLY NEAR SUNRISE THEN LIFTING QUICKLY BY MID MORNING.
EXPECT BETTER HIGH CLOUDS ALSO BY THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.
WINDS WILL SHIFT MOSTLY SOUTHEAST TODAY AND TONIGHT INCREASING TO
THE 10 TO 13 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING DIMINISHING
TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. 32/EE

&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT MOSTLY SOUTHEAST AND BUILD
LATER TODAY CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND
AS NEXT LONG WAVE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
AS THE SYSTEM NEARS FROM THE WEST LATER IN THE WEEK AND IN TO THE
WEEKEND THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN LIKELY WITH FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS ACCOMPANYING THE STRONGER STORMS. WINDS
WILL BUILD TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS THU THROUGH SAT WITH EXERCISE CAUTION
CONDITIONS LIKELY. THE BETTER WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS MAINLY FROM AFTERNOON HEATING. SEAS
WILL ALSO BUILD TO AROUND 4 TO 6 FEET DURING THE HIGHER PEAKS EACH
DAY LATER IN THE WEEK. WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE LATE
IN THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS MAIN UPPER TROUGH
SHIFTS EAST OF THE MARINE AREA. 32/EE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      83  64  83  68  81 /  05  05  10  20  50
PENSACOLA   82  67  83  70  81 /  05  05  05  10  30
DESTIN      77  68  81  69  80 /  05  05  00  10  20
EVERGREEN   88  58  87  65  84 /  05  05  00  10  40
WAYNESBORO  86  59  84  66  82 /  05  05  10  20  60
CAMDEN      88  56  85  64  82 /  05  00  05  10  50
CRESTVIEW   88  56  87  65  85 /  05  05  00  10  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

32/21
Hazardous weather outlook, May 7, 6:06 AM CDT, 8 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
606 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-081115-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
606 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MODERATE RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
COASTAL BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER LOCATIONS WHERE PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS MOVE OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS. FLASH FLOODING MAY BECOME OF
INCREASING CONCERN ACROSS THE REGION LATE FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND GIVEN THE ONGOING SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS...AND ESPECIALLY
OVER LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVED HISTORIC FLOODING LAST WEEK.

A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
BUT THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER CURRENTLY APPEARS TO BE QUITE LOW.

A MODERATE RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
COASTAL BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND. THE RISK MAY BE ELEVATED TO HIGH
LATE IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-081115-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
606 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW COULD BRING HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT LATE IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND.

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Alabama, 2014Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2014Flash Flood Watches in Florida, 2014Every flash flood watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.