Wind Chill Advisory 5, NWS Melbourne, FL

068 
WWUS42 KMLB 221502
WSWMLB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1002 AM EST WED JAN 22 2014


FLZ041-044>047-053-141-144-147-221615-
/O.EXP.KMLB.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140122T1500Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE LAND...LEESBURG...ORLANDO...
SANFORD...MELBOURNE...PALM BAY...KISSIMMEE...ST CLOUD...
DAYTONA BEACH...CLERMONT...TITUSVILLE
1002 AM EST WED JAN 22 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THOUGH REMAINING WELL BELOW NORMAL...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. THEREFORE THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
930 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...THE FOG THAT DEVELOPED ACROSS THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE
PENINSULA EARLIER THIS MORNING HAS BLOWN INTO EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA...AND SO FAR REMAINS PERSISTENT DESPITE THE 20KT WINDS THAT
THE MORNING SOUNDING SHOWS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE. THE TREND HAS
BEEN FOR THE FOG TO LIFT INTO STRATUS FROM WEST TO EAST BEFORE
DISSIPATING...AND AS DAYTIME MIXING BRINGS DOWN THE HIGHER WINDS WE
SHOULD SEE ANY LINGERING FOG/STRATUS GONE WITHIN THE HOUR.

MOISTURE THAT POOLED ALONG THE REMNANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM A FEW
DAYS AGO IN SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE ADVECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE REGION TODAY. HOWEVER IT WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO PROVIDE ANY
SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE RECOVERY IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND SURFACE FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATER TODAY.

CONVECTION ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE
PANHANDLE THIS MORNING REMAINS LIMITED...AND DON'T THINK WE'LL SEE
ANYTHING IN THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION AS IT MOVES THROUGH
GIVEN THE DRY AIR IN PLACE. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT WILL
BE AIDED BY THE LARGE UPPER TROUGH SWINGING THROUGH THE EASTERN US
AND 140KT UPPER JET OVERHEAD THAT WILL HELP SQUEEZE OUT A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS FROM THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS DURING THE DAY WITH WEST-SOUTHWEST
WINDS INCREASING TO 20-25 MPH WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS THIS
AFTERNOON. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN PLACE...STARTING AT 12PM
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

A WARMER DAY IS IN STORE AND EVEN UNDERCUTTING THE MOS GUIDANCE BY A
DEGREE/TWO WE WILL STILL SEE HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 70S AREAWIDE WITH A
FEW UPPER 70S POSSIBLE CLOSER TOWARDS THE COAST WITH A STRONG
WESTERLY FLOW IN PLACE.

CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE ONGOING FREEZE WATCH IN PLACE FOR
NORTH LAKE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES WILL BE DISCONTINUED THIS
AFTERNOON IN FAVOR OF WIND CHILL ADVISORIES FOR PORTIONS OF THE
AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...REMAINING FOG/STRATUS CONTINUING TO PUSH EASTWARDS/LIFT
WITH LINGERING IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 15Z. A FEW -SHRA OVER S
FLORIDA MAY AFFECT FIELDS AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND VCNTY KSUA
THROUGH THE DAY BUT NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS EXPECTED.
OTHERWISE...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD
FRONT WITH MID-HIGH CIGS. ISOLD -SHRA POSSIBLE WITH PRE-FRONTAL BAND
MOVING THROUGH REGION AFTER 17Z.

WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS. WSW WINDS FCST TO INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KTS WITH
FREQUENT HIGHER SFC WND G23-28 KTS. WINDS SLOWLY DECREASE THIS
EVENING...BUT REMAINING GUSTY AND FINALLY DECREASING TO 10-15 KTS
OVERNIGHT WITH OCNL HIGHER GUSTS STILL AROUND. WINDS SHIFTING TO NW
BEHIND FRONTAL PASSAGE AROUND 23Z.

&&

.MARINE...PRESSURE GRADIENT QUICKLY TIGHTENING OVER THE REGION AS
RAPIDLY DEEPENING SURFACE LOW TAKES SHAPE OVER THE CAROLINAS AND
STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE FL PANHANDLE.

WILL SEE WEST WINDS WINDS QUICKLY PICK UP FROM 15-20KTS THIS MORNING
TO A SOLID 20KTS BY MIDDAY AND 20-25KTS NEARSHORE/25-30KTS OFFSHORE
BY THIS EVENING BEFORE SHIFTING NW LATE TONIGHT BEHIND COLD FRONT.
FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL ACCOMPANY 25-30KT WINDS OFFSHORE
NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET THIS EVENING AND FOR MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS
NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET WITH A A GALE WARNING BEGINNING AT 7PM
THROUGH WED MORNING. ADVISORY EXPANDS INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES THROUGH WED AFTERNOON.

DOMINANT PERIODS WILL BECOME VERY SHORT PERIOD AND WILL MAKE FOR
VERY CHOPPY CONDITIONS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC WITH POOR TO HAZARDOUS
MARINE CONDITIONS AREAWIDE.

INITIAL SEAS 2-3 FT NEAR SHORE WILL INCREASE TO 3-5 FT BY EARLY
EVENING AND 5-8 FT BY DAYBREAK WED MORNING. OFFSHORE...SEAS
INITIALLY 3-4 FT WILL INCREASE TO 5-8 FT BY EARLY
EVENING...CONTINUING TO BUILD TO 8-10 FT BY DAYBREAK WED MORNING.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

     FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
     INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA
     BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN
     INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM-
     WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR WATERS
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
     INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR WATERS
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60
     NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
     TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

MOSES/PENDERGRAST

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1146 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-220000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1146 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.HIGH WIND IMPACT...
WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WILL OCCUR INTO THE EARLY
EVENING WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
THROUGH 7 PM THIS EVENING. WING GUSTS TO 40 MPH MAY ACCOMPANY
SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVING QUICKLY ACROSS THE INTERSTATE FOUR
CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON.

.EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
TEMPERATURES IN LOW LYING...WIND PROTECTED LOCATIONS OF LAKE AND
INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES WILL FALL OVERNIGHT BEHIND A STRONG COLD
FRONT AND MAY REACH NEAR FREEZING OR JUST BELOW IN THE PRE DAWN
HOURS WEDNESDAY MORNING.

IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED BEHIND THE
FRONT AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT AND WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES
FALLING INTO THE 30S TO LOW 40S ACROSS MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
THIS WILL PRODUCE COLD WIND CHILLS TOWARD SUNRISE WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

REMEMBER TO PROTECT OUTDOOR TENDER VEGETATION. DRESS APPROPRIATELY
FOR THE COLD TEMPERATURES. BE SURE TO KEEP SPACE HEATERS AWAY FROM
CURTAINS AND OTHER FLAMMABLE MATERIALS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
OCEAN CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A MODERATE HAZARD FOR
RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. SWIMMERS WHO
CHOOSE TO ENTER THE VERY CHILLY SURF SHOULD SWIM IN SIGHT OF A
LIFEGUARD.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE
INTO EVENING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS
OFFSHORE TONIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT.
FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL BE LIKELY TONIGHT OVER THE OPEN
ATLANTIC NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 8 FEET
NEAR SHORE AND 7 TO 10 FEET OFFSHORE THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR AREAS OF FROST AND NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES...MAINLY
ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY FOR SMALL
CRAFT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO CONTINUE WITH PERIODIC ELEVATED WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS INTO
LATE WEEK THAT WILL INCREASE FIRE SENSITIVITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

PENDERGRAST