Alert archive / California / Wind Advisories in 2014

Wind Advisory 33, NWS Medford, OR

November 20, 2014Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; Klamath County, Lake County, Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this wind advisory at Nov 20, 2014, 2:54 PM PST for Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; Klamath County, Lake County, Oregon. It took effect at Nov 21, 2014, 1:00 PM PST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 20, 2014, 2:54 PM PST (22:54 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 21, 2014, 1:00 PM PST
Expired
Nov 22, 2014, 1:00 PM PST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR

Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2014-11-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2014-11-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 85 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
755 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

783 
WWUS76 KMFR 202254
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
254 PM PST THU NOV 20 2014

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-210700-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0008.141122T0000Z-141122T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.141122T0300Z-141122T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0013.141122T0300Z-141122T2100Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
254 PM PST THU NOV 20 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM PST
SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM PST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM PST
SATURDAY. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM PST SATURDAY. THE
HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED.

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40
  MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN
  PAISLEY AND SUMMER LAKE AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KLAMATH AND
  LAKE COUNTIES.

* LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: LAKEVIEW, PAISLEY,
  SUMMER LAKE, CEDAR PASS.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND DIMINISH BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG ON HIGHWAY 31 WILL BE IMPACTED BY STRONG
  CROSSWINDS DURING THIS EVENT. GUSTY WINDS ALONG OTHER AREA ROADS
  COULD MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. HUNTERS IN REMOTE AREAS SHOULD
  PREPARE FOR VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY
AND SILVER LAKE. 

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-210700-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0008.141121T1800Z-141122T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0013.141121T2100Z-141122T0900Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PORT ORFORD
254 PM PST THU NOV 20 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM PST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM PST
SATURDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED.

* WINDS: SOUTH 40 TO 45 MPH GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY MORNING...THEN DIMINISH 
  FRIDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: PORT ORFORD, CAPE BLANCO, HEADLANDS, AND
  OTHER EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS.

* IMPACTS: HIGHWAY 101 WILL BE IMPACTED BY THIS STORM, AND TRAVEL
  ALONG THIS HIGHWAY COULD BECOME DIFFICULT. THE PORT OF PORT
  ORFORD WILL BE EXPOSED TO WIND AND WAVE ACTION. A COMBINATION OF
  VERY STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL MAKE DRIVING VERY
  HAZARDOUS AS WELL AS CAUSING LIMBS TO BREAK AND TREES TO TOPPLE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT EXPOSED LOCATIONS ALONG
HIGHWAY 101.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT
IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH
OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL
WILL BE IMPACTED, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
788 
WWUS76 KMFR 210658
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1058 PM PST THU NOV 20 2014

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-211500-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.141122T0300Z-141122T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.141122T0300Z-141122T2100Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
1058 PM PST THU NOV 20 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM
PST SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM PST
SATURDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM
PST SATURDAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY
TO 1 PM PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH 
  ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 
  MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN 
  PAISLEY AND SUMMER LAKE AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KLAMATH 
  AND LAKE COUNTIES.

* LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: LAKEVIEW... PAISLEY...
   SUMMER LAKE... CEDAR PASS. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND DIMINISH BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG ON HIGHWAY 31 WILL BE IMPACTED BY 
  STRONG CROSSWINDS DURING THIS EVENT. GUSTY WINDS ALONG OTHER 
  AREA ROADS COULD MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. HUNTERS IN REMOTE 
  AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY
AND SILVER LAKE.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-211500-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.141121T2100Z-141122T0900Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PORT ORFORD
1058 PM PST THU NOV 20 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM
PST SATURDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM
PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 40 TO 45 MPH GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY MORNING...THEN DIMINISH 
  FRIDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: PORT ORFORD... CAPE BLANCO... HEADLANDS...
  AND OTHER EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS. 

* IMPACTS: HIGHWAY 101 WILL BE IMPACTED BY THIS STORM... AND
  TRAVEL ALONG THIS HIGHWAY COULD BECOME DIFFICULT. THE PORT 
  OF PORT ORFORD WILL BE EXPOSED TO WIND AND WAVE ACTION. A 
  COMBINATION OF VERY STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL MAKE 
  DRIVING VERY HAZARDOUS AS WELL AS CAUSING LIMBS TO BREAK AND 
  TREES TO TOPPLE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT EXPOSED LOCATIONS ALONG
HIGHWAY 101.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

BTL
486 
WWUS76 KMFR 211130
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
330 AM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY INTO SATURDAY...

.A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY
SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHWEST WINDS TODAY INTO SATURDAY.

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-220000-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.141122T0300Z-141122T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.141122T0300Z-141122T2100Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
330 AM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM PST SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
PST SATURDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM PST SATURDAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
THIS EVENING TO 1 PM PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40
  MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN 
  PAISLEY AND SUMMER LAKE AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KLAMATH 
  AND LAKE COUNTIES.

* LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: LAKEVIEW... PAISLEY...
   SUMMER LAKE... CEDAR PASS. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND DIMINISH BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG ON HIGHWAY 31 WILL BE IMPACTED BY STRONG
  CROSSWINDS DURING THIS EVENT. GUSTY WINDS ALONG OTHER AREA ROADS
  COULD MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. THOSE VENTURING OUTDOORS DURING
  THIS TIME PERIOD SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY
AND SILVER LAKE.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-220000-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.141121T2100Z-141122T0900Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PORT ORFORD
330 AM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 AM PST SATURDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 40 TO 45 MPH GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING AND ARE EXPECTED TO
  PEAK THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: PORT ORFORD... CAPE BLANCO... HEADLANDS... 
  AND OTHER EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS.

* IMPACTS: HIGHWAY 101 WILL BE IMPACTED BY THIS STORM... AND
  TRAVEL ALONG THIS HIGHWAY COULD BECOME DIFFICULT. THE PORT OF
  PORT ORFORD WILL BE EXPOSED TO WIND AND WAVE ACTION. A
  COMBINATION OF VERY STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL MAKE
  DRIVING VERY HAZARDOUS. THIS IS LIKELY TO CAUSE SOME TREE LIMBS
  TO BREAK AND SOME TREES TO TOPPLE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT EXPOSED LOCATIONS ALONG
HIGHWAY 101.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

CAZ081-220000-
/O.EXB.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.141121T2100Z-141122T1200Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED
330 AM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM PST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM
PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO
  55 MPH.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL BEGIN REACHING ADVISORY LEVELS THIS
  AFTERNOON, ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK BETWEEN 10 PM PST THIS EVENING
  AND 1 AM PST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING, AND THEN WILL SUBSIDE BELOW
  ADVISORY CRITERIA DURING SATURDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: PORTIONS OF THE SHASTA
  VALLEY FROM BLACK BUTTE SUMMIT TO WEED TO SOUTH OF YREKA ON
  INTERSTATE FIVE. AREAS OF HIGHWAY 97 NORTHEAST OF WEED TO GRASS
  LAKE WILL ALSO BE AFFECTED. THIS INCLUDES THE TOWNS OF WEED AND
  GAZELLE.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE FIVE FROM BLACK BUTTE SUMMIT TO
  SOUTH OF YREKA WILL BE AFFECTED, AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY
  97 FROM THE TOWN OF WEED TO GRASS LAKE. THESE GUSTY WINDS COULD
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

BTL
060 
WWUS76 KMFR 211956
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1156 AM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS EXPECTED INTO SATURDAY...

.A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY
SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHWEST WINDS INTO SATURDAY.

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-221230-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.141122T0300Z-141122T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.141122T0300Z-141122T2100Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
1156 AM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM PST SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
PST SATURDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM PST SATURDAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
THIS EVENING TO 1 PM PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH ARE
  EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN 
  PAISLEY AND SUMMER LAKE AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KLAMATH 
  AND LAKE COUNTIES.

* LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: LAKEVIEW... PAISLEY...
  SUMMER LAKE...CEDAR PASS.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND DIMINISH BY
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG ON HIGHWAY 31 WILL BE IMPACTED BY STRONG
  CROSSWINDS DURING THIS EVENT. GUSTY WINDS ALONG OTHER AREA ROADS
  COULD MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. THOSE VENTURING OUTDOORS DURING
  THIS TIME PERIOD SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND
  SILVER LAKE.


* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.


&&

$$

ORZ021-022-220900-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.141121T2100Z-141122T0900Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PORT ORFORD
1156 AM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST SATURDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 40 TO 45 MPH GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING: WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL
  DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: PORT ORFORD... CAPE BLANCO... HEADLANDS... 
  AND OTHER EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS.

* IMPACTS: HIGHWAY 101 WILL BE IMPACTED BY THIS STORM... AND 
  TRAVEL ALONG THIS HIGHWAY COULD BECOME DIFFICULT. THE PORT 
  OF PORT ORFORD WILL BE EXPOSED TO WIND AND WAVE ACTION. A 
  COMBINATION OF VERY STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL MAKE 
  DRIVING VERY HAZARDOUS. THIS IS LIKELY TO CAUSE SOME TREE 
  LIMBS TO BREAK AND SOME TREES TO TOPPLE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT EXPOSED LOCATIONS ALONG
HIGHWAY 101.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

CAZ081-221200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.141121T2100Z-141122T1200Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED
1156 AM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 
  55 MPH. 

* TIMING: THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK
  BETWEEN 10 PM PST THIS EVENING AND 1 AM PST EARLY SATURDAY
  MORNING.

* LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: PORTIONS OF THE 
  SHASTA VALLEY FROM BLACK BUTTE SUMMIT TO WEED TO SOUTH OF 
  YREKA ON INTERSTATE FIVE. AREAS OF HIGHWAY 97 NORTHEAST OF 
  WEED TO GRASS LAKE WILL ALSO BE AFFECTED. THIS INCLUDES THE 
  TOWNS OF WEED AND GAZELLE.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE FIVE FROM BLACK BUTTE SUMMIT TO
  SOUTH OF YREKA WILL BE AFFECTED...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
  HIGHWAY 97 FROM THE TOWN OF WEED TO GRASS LAKE. THESE GUSTY
  WINDS COULD MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$
000 
WWUS76 KMFR 220209 AAA
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
609 PM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS EXPECTED INTO SATURDAY...

.A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY
SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHWEST WINDS INTO SATURDAY.

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-221200-
/O.EXT.KMFR.HW.W.0013.141122T0209Z-141122T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.141122T0209Z-141122T2100Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
609 PM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST SATURDAY...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST SATURDAY.
THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH ARE 
  EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH 
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN 
  PAISLEY AND SUMMER LAKE AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KLAMATH 
  AND LAKE COUNTIES.

* LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: LAKEVIEW...PAISLEY...
  SUMMER LAKE...CEDAR PASS.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL PEAK OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY
  MORNING...THEN DIMINISH BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG ON HIGHWAY 31 WILL BE IMPACTED BY 
  STRONG CROSSWINDS DURING THIS EVENT. GUSTY WINDS ALONG OTHER 
  AREA ROADS COULD MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. THOSE VENTURING 
  OUTDOORS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY 
  WINDY CONDITIONS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG 
  HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-220400-
/O.EXT.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-141122T0400Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PORT ORFORD
609 PM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING: WINDS PEAK IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...THEN DIMINISH LATER
  THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: PORT ORFORD...CAPE BLANCO... HEADLANDS...
  AND OTHER EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS.

* IMPACTS: HIGHWAY 101...TRAVEL ALONG THIS HIGHWAY COULD BE
  DIFFICULT. THE PORT OF PORT ORFORD WILL ALSO BE EXPOSED TO THE
  WINDS. A COMBINATION OF VERY STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL
  MAKE DRIVING VERY HAZARDOUS. THIS MAY SOME TREE LIMBS TO BREAK
  AND TREES TO TOPPLE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT EXPOSED LOCATIONS ALONG
HIGHWAY 101.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

CAZ081-221200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-141122T1200Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED
609 PM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45.

* TIMING: WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK BETWEEN 10 PM PST THIS
  EVENING AND 1 AM PST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: PORTIONS OF THE 
  SHASTA VALLEY FROM BLACK BUTTE SUMMIT TO WEED TO SOUTH OF 
  YREKA ON INTERSTATE FIVE. AREAS OF HIGHWAY 97 NORTHEAST OF 
  WEED TO GRASS LAKE WILL ALSO BE AFFECTED. THIS INCLUDES THE 
  TOWNS OF WEED AND GAZELLE.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE FIVE FROM BLACK BUTTE SUMMIT
  TO SOUTH OF YREKA WILL BE AFFECTED...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF 
  HIGHWAY 97 FROM THE TOWN OF WEED TO GRASS LAKE. THESE GUSTY 
  WINDS COULD MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

SPILDE
498 
WWUS76 KMFR 220354
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
754 PM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS EXPECTED INTO SATURDAY...

.A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY
SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHWEST WINDS INTO SATURDAY.

ORZ021-022-220500-
/O.EXP.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-141122T0400Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PORT ORFORD
754 PM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PST THIS EVENING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PST THIS EVENING. 

PEAK GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING ALONG
THE COAST...BUT WILL GRADUALLY EASE OVERNIGHT.

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-221300-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-141122T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-141122T2100Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
754 PM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST SATURDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST SATURDAY. A
WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH ARE 
  EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH 
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN 
  PAISLEY AND SUMMER LAKE AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KLAMATH 
  AND LAKE COUNTIES.

* LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: LAKEVIEW...PAISLEY... 
  SUMMER LAKE...CEDAR PASS.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL PEAK OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING...THEN DIMINISH BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG ON HIGHWAY 31 WILL BE IMPACTED BY 
  STRONG CROSSWINDS DURING THIS EVENT. GUSTY WINDS ALONG OTHER 
  AREA ROADS COULD MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. THOSE VENTURING 
  OUTDOORS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY 
  WINDY CONDITIONS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG 
  HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ081-221200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-141122T1200Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED
754 PM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING: WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK BETWEEN 10 PM PST THIS 
  EVENING AND 1 AM PST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: PORTIONS OF THE 
  SHASTA VALLEY FROM BLACK BUTTE SUMMIT TO WEED TO SOUTH OF 
  YREKA ON INTERSTATE FIVE. AREAS OF HIGHWAY 97 NORTHEAST OF 
  WEED TO GRASS LAKE WILL ALSO BE AFFECTED. THIS INCLUDES THE 
  TOWNS OF WEED AND GAZELLE.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE FIVE FROM BLACK BUTTE SUMMIT 
  TO SOUTH OF YREKA WILL BE AFFECTED...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF 
  HIGHWAY 97 FROM THE TOWN OF WEED TO GRASS LAKE. THESE GUSTY 
  WINDS COULD MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

SPILDE
455 
WWUS76 KMFR 221156
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
356 AM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GUSTY WINDS THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.MODERATE GUSTY WEST THROUGH NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS OF KLAMATH, LAKE, AND MODOC COUNTIES, AS WELL AS THE
SUMMER LAKE AREA THROUGH INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
DIMINISHING.

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-222000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-141122T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-141122T2100Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
356 AM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHWEST TODAY.
  WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH ARE
  EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN
  PAISLEY AND SUMMER LAKE, THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KLAMATH AND LAKE
  COUNTIES, AND THE WARNER MOUNTAINS IN MODOC COUNTY TO INCLUDE
  CEDAR PASS AND EAGLEVILLE.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFOREDIMINISHING
  SOME TO BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS ALONG ROADS IN THE ADVISORY AREA WILL MAKE
  DRIVING MORE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THOSE
  VENTURING OUTDOORS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD SHOULD PREPARE FOR WINDY
  CONDITIONS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG HIGHWAY 31
  BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ081-221300-
/O.CAN.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-141122T1200Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
356 AM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WIND HAVE DIMINISHED TO BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AND WILL REMAIN
BELOW THIS THRESHOLD THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.

$$

BTL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 20, 2:53 PM PST, 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 20, 2:53 PM PST, 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
253 PM PST THU NOV 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...FORECAST MODELS
REMAIN STEADFAST IN DEPICTING A STRONG STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL
IMPACT THE ENTIRE REGION TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HAVE
SPENT THE BETTER PART OF THE SHIFT TODAY FOCUSING ON THE WINDS AND
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THIS STORM. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH
THAT THIS WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT EVENT, AND AS A RESULT, ALL
INHERITED WATCHES HAVE BEEN UPGRADED, AND A FEW NEW HAZARDS HAVE
BEEN THROWN IN FOR GOOD MEASURE. MORE ON THAT BELOW. UNTIL THE
STORM ARRIVES, THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY BENIGN, WITH
SHOWERS RESULTING FORM A WEAKER SYSTEM CURRENTLY DRIFTING ACROSS
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THESE SHOULD TAPER OFF THIS EVENING,
WITH DRY CONDITIONS THEN EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING.

THE INCOMING SYSTEM, ALTHOUGH NOT DEPICTED AS A VERY PROMINENT
TROUGH IN THE UPPER LEVELS, DOES SPORT A VERY SHARP GRADIENT. THIS
IS A SURE SIGN OF STRONG WINDS, AND INDEED, THAT IS WHAT WE EXPECT
ALONG THE COAST, OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN, AND OVER THE EAST SIDE.
ALL OTHER AREAS WILL STILL SEE RATHER BREEZY WINDS. FORECAST MSLP
GRADIENTS BETWEEN NORTH BEND AND ARCATA ARE APPROACHING 10 MB AT
THE PEAK OF THE STORM, AND THIS WOULD TRANSLATE TO WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 50 MPH OVER THE MORE EXPOSED AREAS OF THE COASTLINE.
HAVE UPGRADED THE HIGH WIND WATCH THERE TO A WARNING TO ACCOUNT
FOR THIS. HAVE ALSO UPGRADED THE EAST SIDE WIND WATCH TO WARNINGS
AND ADVISORIES, BASED ON FORECAST WINDS AT 700 MB APPROACHING 70
KT. THE GFS AND EC BOTH DEPICT THIS, BUT DIFFER A BIT IN LOCATION
AND TIMING. HAVE GONE FOR A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE TWO, RESULTING
IN PEAK SUSTAINED WINDS IN SOME AREAS OF OVER 50 MPH, AND GUSTS
APPROACHING 70 MPH. SEE THE NPWMFR FOR MORE DETAILS. ALTHOUGH
FORECAST GRADIENTS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER WINDS IN THE SHASTA
VALLEY, THE AREA WILL LACK UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT, AS WINDS AT 700MB
WILL BE WESTERLY. HAVE NOT ISSUED AN ADVISORY, AS THE CURRENT
FORECAST REMAINS JUST BELOW CRITERIA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FROM
WEST TO EAST AS THE FRONT PASSES, ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
BREEZY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE COATS WILL ALSO HAVE TO DEAL WITH HEAVY SEAS ALONG THE
BEACHES, AS STORM FORCE WINDS OFFSHORE WILL GENERATE HEAVY SEAS.
THE SOUTH FACING SHORES WILL BE THE MOST EXPOSED, AND THEREFORE
THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO HEAVY SURF. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RUNUP OF THE SURF NEAR PORT ORFORD. THE INHERITED
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO AN ADVISORY, AS CURRENT
THINKING IS THAT THE HEAVIEST SEAS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN HIGH TIDES.
HOWEVER, SEAS WILL BE BUILDING AND DIMINISHING AT THE TIMES OF
HIGHEST WATER, AND THEREFORE SOME FLOODING OF PORT FACILITIES AND
LOWER LYING BEACHES IS POSSIBLE. -BPN

PRECIPITATION-WISE, WITH 850 WIND FLOW OUT OF THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
AND SPEED OF 40 TO 45 KNOTS, CURRY COUNTY AND SOUTHERN JOSEPHINE
COUNTY ARE PRIMED FOR UPSLOPE OROGRAPHIC FLOW. BOTH THE GFS AND
NAM ARE FORECASTING AROUND 1 TO 1.5 INCH OF RAIN FOR THESE AREAS.
OUR EXPERIENCE HAS BEEN THAT UNDER THIS FAVORABLE CONDITION, SW
OREGON MOUNTAINS COULD SEE RAINFALL AMOUNT THAT DOUBLE THE MODEL
FORECAST. THEREFORE, WE HAVE INCREASED THE AMOUNT OVER THE 36
HOUR TIMEFRAME FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT TO AROUND 3-4
INCHES, ESPECIALLY OVER THE KALMIOPSIS.

THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS, WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY AND EASTERN DOUGLAS
COUNTY COULD SEE AROUND 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN. WE ARE FORECASTING
AROUND HALF AN INCH OF RAIN FOR MEDFORD AREA BUT SURROUNDING HILLS
COULD SEE AROUND 1 TO 1.5 INCHES. THE KLAMATH BASIN COULD SEE AROUND
HALF AN INCH OF RAIN WHEREAS NORTH OF DIAMOND LAKE JUNCTION COULD SEE
AROUND ONE INCH. THE GOOSE LAKE BASIN AND MOST OF LAKE COUNTY COULD
RECEIVE AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH.

THESE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AND DOES
NOT INCLUDE LINGERING SHOWERS ON SUNDAY. -FB

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THERE IS REASONABLE
AGREEMENT AMONGST THE MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLES THAT THE LONG WAVE
RIDGE WILL SET UP ALONG THE WEST COAST AT THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK. NCEP GLOBAL ENSEMBLE RMOP GUIDANCE INDICATES A HIGH
PROBABILITY OF A RIDGE SETTING UP NEAR OR JUST OFF THE WEST COAST
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. HOWEVER, MODELS DIVERGE WITH RESPECT TO THE
AMPLITUDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEREFORE PRESENT QUITE A CHALLENGE WITH
RESPECT TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY FOR
THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. IT FOLLOWS THAT THERE IS FAIRLY LOW
CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST DETAILS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ON MONDAY, A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST AND THIS
WILL KEEP SHOWERY WEATHER IN THE FORECAST, ESPECIALLY FROM THE
CASCADES WESTWARD. AFTER THAT, THE SPREAD IN THE MODELS INCREASES
SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE FLOW DOWNSTREAM OF A PACIFIC
TROUGH DEVELOPING OUT NEAR 150 AND 160W. THE 12Z OPERATIONAL GFS40
AND MOST OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS BUILD THE RIDGE STRONGLY WHICH
WOULD RESULT IN A DRYING TREND WITH RELATIVELY MILD FALL WEATHER
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MEANWHILE, THE 12Z OPERATIONAL ECMWF AND ITS
ENSEMBLES KEEP MORE OF A FLATTER, DIRTY RIDGE WITH DISTURBANCES
RIDING OVER THE TOP. THIS WOULD KEEP AREAS FROM THE CASCADES
WESTWARD (AND MAINLY NORTH OF THE OR/CA BORDER) SHOWERY AND COOLER.
WE HAVEN'T MADE LARGE CHANGES TO THE GOING FORECAST DUE TO THE
UNCERTAINTY...AND FELT CONTINUITY WAS BEST UNTIL WE SEE MEANINGFUL
AGREEMENT AMONGST THE MODELS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WHILE THE
DETAILS OF THE FORECAST ARE PARTICULARLY CHALLENGING, WE'RE NOT
EXPECTING ANY LARGE, IMPACTFUL SYSTEMS TO COME THROUGH DURING THIS
TIME. -SPILDE

&&

.AVIATION...BASED ON THE 20/18Z TAF CYCLE...IT HAS BECOME STABLE
ENOUGH FOR LIFR CIGS/VIS TO DEVELOP FOR PARTS OF THE WESTSIDE
VALLEYS INCLUDING KRBG AND KMFR. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN LATER
THIS MORNING AND THIS SHOULD RESULT IN IMPROVED VIS AND CIGS AROUND
19Z, BUT ONLY TO MVFR WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS. THERE MAY BE A
BRIEF BREAK WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR CIGS THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY EVENING. THE COMBINATION OF A STABLE ATMOSPHERE AND AMPLE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN LIFR CIGS/VIS DEVELOPING AGAIN FOR
THE WESTSIDE VALLEYS TONIGHT.

EAST OF THE CASCADES...VFR AND OCCASIONAL MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED
INTO THIS EVENING. IT SHOULD BECOME STABLE ENOUGH FOR LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG TO DEVELOP AT KLMT LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. -FB

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED 830 AM PST NOV 20 2014...FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
FRIDAY NIGHT REMAIN A PERIOD OF HIGH CONCERN. MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT SHOWING A STRONG FRONT APPROACHING THE WATERS FRIDAY.
SOUTH WINDS WILL QUICKLY RAMP UP AND POSSIBLY REACH STORM FORCE
AROUND NOON FRIDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY EVENING WITH WIND DRIVEN SEAS
UPWARDS OF 15 TO 25 FEET. THEREFORE, WE'LL LET THE STORM WATCH AND
HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH RIDE AND LET THE DAY SHIFT HAVE ANOTHER LOOK
AT THE DATA TO DETERMINE IF IT NEEDS TO BE UPGRADED TO A STORM
WARNING OR GO WITH HIGH END GALES.

THE KACV-KOTH MAXIMUM FORECAST PRESSURE GRADIENT IS STILL CLOSE TO
10 MB WITH BL WINDS IN THE 40-50 KT RANGE, AND 850 MB WINDS FROM
AROUND 220 AT 50-60 KT EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY FRIDAY
EVENING. THE TIMING OF MAX WINDS HAVE TRENDED A BIT EARLIER WHICH
MEANS THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE FOR THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM TO OCCUR
AT OR AROUND HIGH TIDE, RESULTING IN HIGHER WAVES AT PORT ORFORD.
THUS HAVE ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR THE PORT AT PORT ORFORD.
THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY.

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING AND WINDS WILL SHIFT
TO THE WEST AND DECREASE. MEANWHILE SEAS WILL REMAIN HEAVY AND
CHOPPY UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT THEN SUBSIDING. -PETRUCELLI

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM PST SATURDAY FOR
     ORZ021-022-615-618.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM PST SATURDAY
     FOR ORZ021-615-619.
     HIGH SURF WARNING FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM PST SATURDAY FOR
     ORZ021-022-615-618-619.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM PST SATURDAY FOR
     ORZ030-031-624-625.

CA...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM PST SATURDAY FOR
     CAZ085-285.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM PST SATURDAY
     FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
     STORM WARNING FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM PST SATURDAY FOR
     PZZ350-356-370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY
     FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.

BPN/FJB/MAS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 20, 2:54 PM PSTHigh Wind WarningMFRModoc37 hr
Nov 20, 2:05 AM PSTCoastal Flood WatchMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas13 hr
Nov 20, 2:30 PM PSTHazardous Seas WarningMFR37 hr
Nov 20, 2:30 PM PSTStorm WarningMFR28 hr
Nov 20, 2:54 PM PSTCoastal Flood AdvisoryMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas31 hr
Nov 20, 2:54 PM PSTHigh Surf WarningMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas31 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in California, 2014Wind Advisories in Oregon, 2014Every wind advisory in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.