Alert archive / Oregon / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 7, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this river flood warning at Dec 21, 2014, 5:16 PM PST for Douglas County, Oregon. It took effect at Dec 21, 2014, 8:41 PM PST. It was in force for 16 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 21, 2014, 5:16 PM PST (01:16 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 21, 2014, 8:41 PM PST
- Expired
- Dec 22, 2014, 12:50 PM PST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Douglas County, OR
The radar
The Medford radar (KMAX), 167 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Umpqua River near Elkton (EKTO3). The gauge peaked at 34.09 ft at Dec 22, 2014, 1:00 AM PST.
- Action stage
- 25 ft
- Minor stage
- 33 ft
- Moderate stage
- 40 ft
- Major stage
- 50 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 14321000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
635 WGUS46 KMFR 220116 FLWMFR BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 516 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 ...The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Oregon... Umpqua River near Elkton affecting Douglas County... ...Flooding of Moderate severity has been observed on the following rivers in Oregon... ...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the following rivers in Oregon... South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County... North Fork Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County... Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County... ORC011-220716- /O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-141223T0557Z/ /MYNO3.3.ER.141221T2042Z.141222T0600Z.141222T1757Z.NO/ 516 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 ...Observed flooding increased from Minor to Major severity... ...Forecast flooding has increased from Minor to Major severity... The Flood Warning continues for the North Fork Coquille River near Myrtle Point. * At 3:45 PM Sunday the stage was 37.1 feet. * Flood Stage is 35.0 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is forecast to crest at 37.13 feet around 10 pm pst this evening. volumn for this crest is forecast to be 33830 cubic feet per second. * Impact...At 37.0 feet...Expect significant flooding along the North Fork Coquille River and its tributaries. Significant agricultural flooding can be expected from the Gravelford area to the confluence with the South Fork Coquille River. Log jams are possible above the Copper Bridge which will have greater impacts on this situation should they occur. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.8 feet on Jan 20 2012. && LAT...LON 4308 12414 4306 12412 4307 12406 4314 12397 4312 12408 $$ ORC011-220716- /O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141224T0950Z/ /COQO3.2.ER.141221T2029Z.141222T1100Z.141223T2150Z.NO/ 516 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 ...observed flooding has increased to minor severity... ...forecast flooding has increased from minor to moderate severity... The Flood Warning continues for the Coquille River at Coquille. * At 4:30 PM Sunday the stage was 21.5 feet. * Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * The river is forecast to crest at 24.62 feet around 3 am pst monday morning. Volumn for this crest is forecast to be 42575 cubic feet per second. * Impact...At 25.0 feet...Some homes are flooded along and near the Coquille River. Roads are flooded in spots in low-lying areas near the Coquille River. moderate low land flooding is expected with high tides. farm buildings and other low lying structures near the river flood. highway 42 south between Coquille and Bandon begins to flood in some spots. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 feet on Dec 3 2012. && LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441 $$ ORC011-220716- /O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-141223T0049Z/ /MYPO3.2.ER.141221T2005Z.141222T0015Z.141222T1249Z.NO/ 516 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 ...observed flooding has increased to moderate severity... ...forecast flooding has increased from moderate to major severity... The Flood Warning continues for the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point. * At 4:15 PM Sunday the stage was 36.8 feet. * Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is expected to crest at 37.11 feet around 5 pm pst this evening. Volumn for this crest is forecast to be 36450 cubic feet per second. * Impact...At 37.0 feet...Extensive road and farmland flooding upstream and downstream of Myrtle Point can be expected. Some residents of low-lying areas in the vicinity of Myrtle Point may be threatened. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.3 feet on Nov 21 2012. On january 20 2012 the river crested at 37.04 feet. && LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417 $$ ORC019-220716- /O.NEW.KMFR.FL.W.0007.141222T0441Z-141222T2050Z/ /EKTO3.1.ER.141222T0441Z.141222T0600Z.141222T0850Z.NO/ 516 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a * Flood Warning for the Umpqua River near Elkton. * Valid from this evening to Monday afternoon. * At 4:15 PM Sunday the stage was 29.8 feet. * Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * The river is forecast to crest at 34.0 feet around 10 pm pst this evening. * Impact...At 33.0 feet...Slight low-land and agricultural flooding occurs mainly from the Kellog area through Elkton to Scottsburg. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.6 feet on Dec 30 2008. && LAT...LON 4338 12362 4327 12347 4328 12341 4367 12348 4371 12376 $$ PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. Use alternate routes and stay away from riverbanks. For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio. &&
4 follow-up statements
991 WGUS86 KMFR 220656 FLSMFR FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1056 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon... North Fork Coquille River near Myrtle Point affecting Coos County... South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County... Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County... Umpqua River near Elkton affecting Douglas County... .The North and South Forks of the Coquille River have both crested at Myrtle Point. The Coquille River at Coquille and the Umpqua River near Elkton continue to rise. ORC011-221256- /O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141224T1824Z/ /COQO3.3.ER.141221T2029Z.141222T1300Z.141224T0624Z.NR/ 1056 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the Coquille River at Coquille. * At 10:30 PM Sunday the stage was 23.9 feet. * Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is forecast to crest at 25.98 feet around 5 AM PST Monday morning. * Impact...At 25.0 feet...Some homes are flooded along and near the Coquille River. Roads are flooded in spots in low-lying areas near the Coquille River. * Impact...At 27.0 feet...Severe flooding in valley. extensive damage to many farms...homes...and roads. No flooding of downtown parts of Myrtle Point and Coquille. * Flood History...The forecast 26 foot crest compares to a previous crest of 24.3 feet on Apr 1 2012. on january 18, 1971 the river crested at 25.4 feet. && LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441 $$ ORC011-221256- /O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-141223T0708Z/ /MYNO3.3.ER.141221T2042Z.141222T0415Z.141222T1908Z.NO/ 1056 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the North Fork Coquille River near Myrtle Point. * At 9:45 PM Sunday the stage was 38.3 feet. * Flood Stage is 35.0 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river crested at 38.4 feet earlier this evening and will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by late tomorrow morning. * Impact...At 37.0 feet...Expect significant flooding along the North Fork Coquille River and its tributaries. Significant agricultural flooding can be expected from the Gravelford area to the confluence with the South Fork Coquille River. Log jams are possible above the Copper Bridge which will have greater impacts on this situation should they occur. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 37.1 feet on Dec 14 2003. This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.8 feet on Jan 20 2012. && LAT...LON 4308 12414 4306 12412 4307 12406 4314 12397 4312 12408 $$ ORC011-221256- /O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-141223T0512Z/ /MYPO3.3.ER.141221T2005Z.141222T0330Z.141222T1712Z.NO/ 1056 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point. * At 10:15 PM Sunday the stage was 37.3 feet. * Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river crested at 37.5 feet earlier this eveneing and will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by late tomorrow morning. * Impact...At 37.0 feet...Extensive road and farmland flooding upstream and downstream of Myrtle Point can be expected. Some residents of low-lying areas in the vicinity of Myrtle Point may be threatened. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.3 feet on Nov 21 2012. On january 20 2012 the river crested at 37.04 feet. && LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417 $$ ORC019-221256- /O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141222T2027Z/ /EKTO3.1.ER.141222T0434Z.141222T0615Z.141222T0827Z.NO/ 1056 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the Umpqua River near Elkton. * At 10:15 PM Sunday the stage was 33.7 feet. * Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to occur. * Forecast...The river is expected to crest at 33.7 feet around midnight tonight and will continue to fall to below Flood Stage through early Monday morning. * Impact...At 33.0 feet...Slight low-land and agricultural flooding occurs mainly from the Kellog area through Elkton to Scottsburg. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.6 feet on Dec 30 2008. $$ PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. Use alternate routes and stay away from riverbanks. For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio. && LAT...LON 4338 12362 4327 12347 4328 12341 4367 12348 4371 12376 $$
897 WGUS86 KMFR 220711 FLSMFR FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1111 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon... North Fork Coquille River near Myrtle Point affecting Coos County... South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County... Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County... Umpqua River near Elkton affecting Douglas County... .The North and South Forks of the Coquille River have both crested at Myrtle Point. The Coquille River at Coquille and the Umpqua River near Elkton continue to rise. ORC011-221311- /O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141224T1824Z/ /COQO3.3.ER.141221T2029Z.141222T1300Z.141224T0624Z.NR/ 1111 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the Coquille River at Coquille. * At 10:30 PM Sunday the stage was 23.9 feet. * Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is forecast to crest at 25.98 feet around 5 AM PST Monday morning. * Impact...At 25.0 feet...Some homes are flooded along and near the Coquille River. Roads are flooded in spots in low-lying areas near the Coquille River. * Impact...At 27.0 feet...Severe flooding in valley. extensive damage to many farms...homes...and roads. No flooding of downtown parts of Myrtle Point and Coquille. * Flood History...The forecast 26 foot crest compares to a previous crest of 24.3 feet on Apr 1 2012. on january 18, 1971 the river crested at 25.4 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. Use alternate routes and stay away from riverbanks. For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio. && LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441 $$ ORC011-221311- /O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-141223T0708Z/ /MYNO3.3.ER.141221T2042Z.141222T0415Z.141222T1908Z.NO/ 1111 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the North Fork Coquille River near Myrtle Point. * At 10:45 PM Sunday the stage was 38.1 feet. * Flood Stage is 35.0 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river crested at 38.4 feet earlier this evening and will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by late tomorrow morning. * Impact...At 37.0 feet...Expect significant flooding along the North Fork Coquille River and its tributaries. Significant agricultural flooding can be expected from the Gravelford area to the confluence with the South Fork Coquille River. Log jams are possible above the Copper Bridge which will have greater impacts on this situation should they occur. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 37.1 feet on Dec 14 2003. This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.8 feet on Jan 20 2012. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. Use alternate routes and stay away from riverbanks. For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio. && LAT...LON 4308 12414 4306 12412 4307 12406 4314 12397 4312 12408 $$ ORC011-221311- /O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-141223T0512Z/ /MYPO3.3.ER.141221T2005Z.141222T0330Z.141222T1712Z.NO/ 1111 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point. * At 10:15 PM Sunday the stage was 37.3 feet. * Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river crested at 37.5 feet earlier this eveneing and will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by late tomorrow morning. * Impact...At 37.0 feet...Extensive road and farmland flooding upstream and downstream of Myrtle Point can be expected. Some residents of low-lying areas in the vicinity of Myrtle Point may be threatened. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.3 feet on Nov 21 2012. On january 20 2012 the river crested at 37.04 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. Use alternate routes and stay away from riverbanks. For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio. && LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417 $$ ORC019-221311- /O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141223T0011Z/ /EKTO3.1.ER.141222T0434Z.141222T0615Z.141222T1211Z.NO/ 1111 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the Umpqua River near Elkton. * At 10:15 PM Sunday the stage was 33.7 feet. * Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is expected to crest at 33.7 feet around midnight tonight and will continue to fall to below Flood Stage through early Monday morning. * Impact...At 33.0 feet...Slight low-land and agricultural flooding occurs mainly from the Kellog area through Elkton to Scottsburg. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.6 feet on Dec 30 2008. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. Use alternate routes and stay away from riverbanks. For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio. && LAT...LON 4338 12362 4327 12347 4328 12341 4367 12348 4371 12376 $$
839 WGUS86 KMFR 221000 FLSMFR FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 200 AM PST MON DEC 22 2014 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon... Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County... North Fork Coquille River near Myrtle Point affecting Coos County... South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County... Umpqua River near Elkton affecting Douglas County... .The North and South Forks of the Coquille River have both crested at Myrtle Point. The Coquille River at Coquille and the Umpqua River near Elkton have also crested. ORC011-221600- /O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-141223T0732Z/ /MYNO3.3.ER.141221T2042Z.141222T0415Z.141222T1932Z.NO/ 200 AM PST MON DEC 22 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the North Fork Coquille River near Myrtle Point. * At 12:45 AM Monday the stage was 37.0 feet. * Flood Stage is 35.0 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by late this morning. * Impact...At 37.0 feet...Expect significant flooding along the North Fork Coquille River and its tributaries. Significant agricultural flooding can be expected from the Gravelford area to the confluence with the South Fork Coquille River. Log jams are possible above the Copper Bridge which will have greater impacts on this situation should they occur. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.8 feet on Jan 20 2012. && LAT...LON 4308 12414 4306 12412 4307 12406 4314 12397 4312 12408 $$ ORC011-221600- /O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141224T1437Z/ /COQO3.2.ER.141221T2029Z.141222T1100Z.141224T0237Z.NO/ 200 AM PST MON DEC 22 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the Coquille River at Coquille. * At 1:30 AM Monday the stage was 24.0 feet. * Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Impact...At 25.0 feet...Some homes are flooded along and near the Coquille River. Roads are flooded in spots in low-lying areas near the Coquille River. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 feet on Dec 3 2012. && LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441 $$ ORC011-221600- /O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-141223T0650Z/ /MYPO3.3.ER.141221T2005Z.141222T0330Z.141222T1850Z.NO/ 200 AM PST MON DEC 22 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point. * At 1:15 AM Monday the stage was 36.6 feet. * Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by late this morning. * Impact...At 37.0 feet...Extensive road and farmland flooding upstream and downstream of Myrtle Point can be expected. Some residents of low-lying areas in the vicinity of Myrtle Point may be threatened. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.3 feet on Nov 21 2012. && LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417 $$ ORC019-221600- /O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141223T0011Z/ /EKTO3.1.ER.141222T0434Z.141222T0915Z.141222T1211Z.NO/ 200 AM PST MON DEC 22 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the Umpqua River near Elkton. * At 1:15 AM Monday the stage was 34.2 feet. * Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by early this morning. * Impact...At 35.0 feet...The Umpqua River is at flood stage. Expect low-land and agricultural flooding from the Kellog area through Elkton to Scottsburg. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.6 feet on Dec 30 2008. && LAT...LON 4338 12362 4327 12347 4328 12341 4367 12348 4371 12376 $$ PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. Use alternate routes and stay away from riverbanks. For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio. && SVEN
171 WGUS86 KMFR 221448 FLSMFR FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 648 AM PST MON DEC 22 2014 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Oregon... Umpqua River near Elkton affecting Douglas County... ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon... Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County... North Fork Coquille River near Myrtle Point affecting Coos County... South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County... ORC011-222048- /O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141224T1437Z/ /COQO3.2.ER.141221T2029Z.141222T2100Z.141224T0237Z.NO/ 648 AM PST MON DEC 22 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the Coquille River at Coquille. * At 6:30 AM Monday the stage was 24.0 feet. * Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is expected to lower to minor flood stage by Tuesday morning. * Impact...At 24.0 feet...Homes and roads are threatened in low-lying areas along and near the Coquille River. Expect significant widespread flooding throughout the Coquille River estuary to Myrtle Point. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 feet on Dec 3 2012. && LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441 $$ ORC011-222048- /O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-141223T0732Z/ /MYNO3.3.ER.141221T2042Z.141222T0415Z.141222T1932Z.NO/ 648 AM PST MON DEC 22 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the North Fork Coquille River near Myrtle Point. * At 5:45 AM Monday the stage was 36.1 feet. * Flood Stage is 35.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is expected to fall below Flood Stage by noon. * Impact...At 37.0 feet...Expect significant flooding along the North Fork Coquille River and its tributaries. Significant agricultural flooding can be expected from the Gravelford area to the confluence with the South Fork Coquille River. Log jams are possible above the Copper Bridge which will have greater impacts on this situation should they occur. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.8 feet on Jan 20 2012. && LAT...LON 4308 12414 4306 12412 4307 12406 4314 12397 4312 12408 $$ ORC011-222048- /O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-141223T0650Z/ /MYPO3.3.ER.141221T2005Z.141222T0330Z.141222T1850Z.NO/ 648 AM PST MON DEC 22 2014 The Flood Warning continues for the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point. * At 6:15 AM Monday the stage was 35.2 feet. * Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage by noon. * Impact...At 35.0 feet...Expect flooding along some sections of Highway 42 downstream from Myrtle Point and along the highway to Powers. Widespread flooding of agricultural land can be expected. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.8 feet on Dec 3 2012. && LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417 $$ ORC019-221518- /O.CAN.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141223T0011Z/ /EKTO3.1.ER.141222T0434Z.141222T0915Z.141222T1320Z.NO/ 648 AM PST MON DEC 22 2014 The Flood Warning is cancelled for the Umpqua River near Elkton. * At 6:15 AM Monday the stage was 32.6 feet. * Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. * Fell below Flood Stage at 5:20 AM Monday. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 19.9 feet by early tomorrow. * Impact...At 33.0 feet...Slight low-land and agricultural flooding occurs mainly from the Kellog area through Elkton to Scottsburg. * Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.6 feet on Dec 30 2008. && LAT...LON 4338 12362 4327 12347 4328 12341 4367 12348 4371 12376 $$ PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. Use alternate routes and stay away from riverbanks. For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio. &&
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 21, 2:30 PM PST, 2 hours 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 21, 2:30 PM PST, 2 hours 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
230 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014
.DISCUSSION...RAINFALL IS FINALLY BEGINNING TO TAPER OFF THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA, ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION WILL
NOT COME TO AN END FOR MOST AREAS UNTIL AT LEAST TOMORROW MORNING,
WHILE AREAS ALONG THE COAST AND ALONG THE CASCADES COULD SEE RAIN
CONTINUING THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE
LAST 48 TO 72 HOURS HAVE BEEN INTERESTING TO SAY THE LEAST, WITH
MOST STATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF THE CASCADES IN OREGON AND WESTERN
SISKIYOU COUNTY IN CALIFORNIA RECEIVING SEVERAL INCHES. THE ROGUE
VALLEY, EAST SIDE, AND THE REST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA HAVE SEEN
ANYWHERE FROM A HALF INCH TO AN INCH. RESULTING RUNOFF HAS BROUGHT
SIGNIFICANT RISES TO MANY AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. WILL KEEP FLOOD
HEADLINES IN PLACE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING TO COVER
RESIDUAL RUNOFF, BUT IT APPEARS THE HIGHEST WATERS ARE OVER FOR
ALL BUT MAIN STEM RIVERS SUCH AS THE COQUILLE AND UMPQUA. SEE THE
FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.
AS MENTIONED ABOVE, RAINFALL WILL COME TO AN END, GENERALLY FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH, THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER
OF THE FORECAST AREA, MOSTLY AS A RESULT OF MOIST ONSHORE FLOW AND
PERHAPS A SHORTWAVE OR TWO PASSING WELL TO OUR NORTH. THE WEATHER
WILL STAY GENERALLY BENIGN UNTIL THE NEXT SYSTEM DUE CHRISTMAS EVE.
THE RIDGE WILL SLIDE EAST AS THE EXPECTED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PUSHES
INTO THE REGION FROM THE PACIFIC. THE AIR MASS OVER THE AREA WILL BE
WARM, WITH SNOW LEVELS GENERALLY WELL ABOVE 9000 FEET, BUT THE
INCOMING FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER AIR BEHIND IT, DROPPING SNOW
LEVELS SIGNIFICANTLY BY CHRISTMAS MORNING.
FOR THOSE THINKING OF THE APPROACHING HOLIDAY, YES THERE WILL BE
MOISTURE AND COLD AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION CHRISTMAS EVE. HOWEVER,
MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN, WITH SNOW LEVELS NOT
DROPPING FAR ENOUGH FOR SIGNIFICANT AREA COVERAGE OF SNOW UNTIL MOST
OF THE PRECIPITATION HAS ALREADY OCCURRED. THEREFORE, THE CHANCES OF
A WHITE CHRISTMAS WILL DEPEND GREATLY UPON ONE'S LOCATION. THE COAST
AND THE WEST SIDE VALLEYS WILL LIKELY SEE ONLY RAIN, WAKING UP TO A
WET CHRISTMAS MORNING. HOWEVER, FOR THOSE ABOVE 2500 TO 3000 FEET,
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF FRESHLY FALLEN SNOW CHRISTMAS MORNING,
ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIGHT.
UNFORTUNATELY, THIS ELEVATION ALSO INCLUDES MANY AREA PASSES,
INCLUDING SISKIYOU SUMMIT, SNOWMAN'S SUMMIT, BLACK BUTTE SUMMIT, AND
ALL OF THE CASCADE PASSES. LAST MINUTE TRAVEL IN THOSE AREAS COULD
BE IMPACTED, SO THOSE EXPECTING TO DRIVE OVER THE PASSES DURING THIS
TIME SHOULD STAY UPDATED WITH THE LATEST FORECASTS AND KEEP AN EYE
ON DOT ROAD CONDITIONS.
BEYOND CHRISTMAS, THERE IS FAIRLY GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE DEVELOPMENT
OF ANOTHER RIDGE BUILDING OVERHEAD. THIS SHOULD KEEP MOST OF THE
AREA DRY, ALTHOUGH SOME PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AS SWIFT MIDLEVEL FLOW IS LIKELY TO
CONTINUE PUSHING MOISTURE ONSHORE, JUST AS EARLIER IN THE WEEK. THE
NEXT FRONT EXPECTED TO APPROACH AND POSSIBLY CLEAR THE AREA WOULD BE
ON SATURDAY OR SUNDAY, HOWEVER, MODELS ARE NOT IN CLEAR AGREEMENT,
NOR DO THEY SHOW A STRONG FRONT. CONFIDENCE IS THEREFORE LOW, SO
HAVE NOT ADDED MORE THAN A CHANCE FOR RAIN HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DURING THE PERIODS OF HIGH PRESSURE, IT IS COMMON THIS TIME OF YEAR
TO SEE FOG DEVELOPING IN MOST LOW LYING AREAS. CONSIDERING THE
COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WE HAVE SEEN SO FAR THIS SEASON, FOG,
OR AT LEAST LOW LEVEL CLOUDINESS, SEEMS QUITE LIKELY IN THE VALLEYS
OF THE WEST SIDE, NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, AND THE KLAMATH BASIN.
FORTUNATELY, THE EXPECTED TROUGHS SHOULD CLEAR THE AIR ENOUGH WITH
THEIR PASSAGE TO PREVENT ANY AIR STAGNATION CONCERNS, BUT TRAVELERS
SHOULD BE CAUTIOUS WHEN DRIVING AS FOG COULD BECOME VERY DENSE AT
TIMES, AND MAY PERSIST WELL INTO THE DAY IN SOME LOCATIONS. -BPN
&&
.AVIATION...BASED ON THE 21/18Z TAF CYCLE...A MOIST PACIFIC JET
STREAM REMAINS AIMED AT OUR AREA, BUT MOISTURE WILL DIMINISH
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WIDESPREAD MTN OBSCURATION
WITH RAIN AND MVFR CIGS/VIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO
THE EVENING. LITTLE IMPROVEMENT IN CEILINGS TONIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF, BUT VALLEY IFR
FOG/STRATUS IS LIKELY TO BECOME WIDESPREAD INLAND. -BPN
&&
.MARINE...UPDATED 220 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
WILL REMAIN OVER THE WATERS THROUGH TUESDAY RESULTING IN RELATIVELY
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. HOWEVER... MODERATE WEST SWELL WILL
CONTINUE. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS AND STEEP
SEAS TO THE WATERS CHRISTMAS EVE INTO CHRISTMAS DAY. -WRIGHT
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
ORZ030-031-624-625.
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
ORZ025-027-616-617-624.
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ024-618-619.
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ026-620>623.
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ021-022-615.
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ023.
CA...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ085-285.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS
UNTIL 10 AM PST THURSDAY FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
BPN/TRWIn the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 21, 4:29 PM PST, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
429 PM PST SUN DEC 21 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 WSW OBRIEN 42.06N 123.73W
12/21/2014 M2.19 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. OBSERVER
LOCATION 1.6 MILES FROM HWY 199 IN O BRIEN.
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 5:27 PM PST | River Flood Watch | MFR | Coos, Douglas | 12 hr |
| Dec 21, 9:19 PM PST | Areal Flood Warning | MFR | Coos | 9 hr |
| Dec 21, 10:10 PM PST | Flood Watch | MFR | Coos, Curry, Douglas | 7 hr |
| Dec 21, 10:17 PM PST | Wind Advisory | MFR | Klamath, Lake | 14 hr |
| Dec 22, 3:20 PM PST | Gale Watch | MFR | 11 hr | |
| Dec 22, 3:20 PM PST | Hazardous Seas Watch | MFR | 11 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Oregon, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.