Alert archive / Oregon / Red Flag Warnings in 2014
Red Flag Warning 28, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this red flag warning at Sep 2, 2014, 2:25 PM PDT for 7 counties in Oregon; Siskiyou County, California. It took effect at Sep 2, 2014, 10:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 4 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 2, 2014, 2:25 PM PDT (21:25 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 2, 2014, 10:00 PM PDT
- Expired
- Sep 6, 2014, 11:00 PM PDT
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
Counties Siskiyou County, CA, Coos County, OR, Curry County, OR, Douglas County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lane County, OR
The radar
The Medford radar (KMAX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1593 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -5 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 71 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
604 WWUS86 KMFR 022126 CCA RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 225 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014 ORZ623-030945- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0025.140903T1700Z-140904T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0028.140903T1700Z-140904T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.A.0026.140904T0600Z-140904T2200Z/ SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 225 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR HAINES OF 6 ON EXISTING FIRES FOR FIRE ZONE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR FOR THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE ZONE 623... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623. * HAINES...HIGH 6. * TEMPERATURES/HUMIDITY...HIGH TEMPERATURES 70 TO 80 WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT 10 TO 20 PERCENT WITH RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...POSSIBLE PLUME DOMINATED BEHAVIOR ON ACTIVE FIRES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ280-ORZ621-030945- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0025.140903T0500Z-140904T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0028.140903T0500Z-140904T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS- 225 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR FOR THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * AFFECTED AREA: ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4500 FT AT NIGHT AND TO THE VALLEY FLOORS DURING THE DAY IN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 280. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. * HUMIDITY...RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT TONIGHT THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 10 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...INCREASED FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH POSSIBLE PLUME DOMINATED BEHAVIOR DURING THE DAY AND CONTINUED ACTIVE FIRES OVERNIGHT. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ ORZ619-620-030945- /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0028.140903T0500Z-140904T0600Z/ WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- 225 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR FOR THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE ZONE 619 AND 620... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 620 AND 619 ABOVE * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. * HUMIDITY...RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT TONIGHT THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 10 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...INCREASED FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH POSSIBLE PLUME DOMINATED BEHAVIOR DURING THE DAY AND CONTINUED ACTIVE FIRES OVERNIGHT. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ ORZ617-622-030945- /O.COR.KMFR.FW.A.0026.140904T0400Z-140904T2200Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 225 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR FOR THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 622 AND 617 * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. * HUMIDITY...RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 10 TO 20 PERCENT ON THURSDAY. * IMPACTS...INCREASED FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH POSSIBLE PLUME DOMINATED BEHAVIOR DURING THE DAY AND CONTINUED ACTIVE FIRES OVERNIGHT. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ SVEN VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
11 follow-up statements
315 WWUS86 KMFR 030446 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 946 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014 ORZ623-031700- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0028.140903T1700Z-140904T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0026.140904T0600Z-140904T2200Z/ SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 946 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR HAINES OF 6 ON EXISTING FIRES FOR FIRE ZONE 623... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR FOR THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE ZONE 623... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623. * HAINES...6 (BOTH MID AND HIGH LEVELS). * TEMPERATURES/HUMIDITY...HIGH TEMPERATURES 70 TO 80 WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT 10 TO 20 PERCENT WITH RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...POSSIBLE PLUME DOMINATED BEHAVIOR ON ACTIVE FIRES ON WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ280-ORZ619>621-031700- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0028.140903T0500Z-140904T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS- 946 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR FOR THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280 619 620 621... * AFFECTED AREA: ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4500 FT AT NIGHT...AND TO THE VALLEY FLOORS DURING THE DAY IN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 280 ONLY. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. * HUMIDITY...RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT TONIGHT...THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 10 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ ORZ617-622-031700- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0026.140904T0400Z-140904T2200Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 946 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR FOR THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617 AND 622... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 622 AND 617 * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. * HUMIDITY...RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 10 TO 20 PERCENT ON THURSDAY. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
307 WWUS86 KMFR 031644 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 944 AM PDT WED SEP 3 2014 ORZ623-040445- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0028.140903T1700Z-140904T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0026.140904T0600Z-140904T2200Z/ SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 944 AM PDT WED SEP 3 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR HAINES OF 6 ON EXISTING FIRES FOR FIRE ZONE 623... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR HAINES OF 6 ON EXISTING FIRES FOR FIRE ZONE 623... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623. * HAINES...6 (BOTH MID AND HIGH LEVELS). * TEMPERATURES/HUMIDITY...HIGH TEMPERATURES 70 TO 80 WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT 10 TO 20 PERCENT WITH RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...POSSIBLE PLUME DOMINATED BEHAVIOR ON ACTIVE FIRES ON WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ280-ORZ619>621-040445- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140904T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS- 944 AM PDT WED SEP 3 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR FOR THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280 619 620 621... * AFFECTED AREA: ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4500 FT AT NIGHT...AND TO THE VALLEY FLOORS DURING THE DAY IN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 280 ONLY. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. * HUMIDITY...RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT TONIGHT...THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 10 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ ORZ617-622-040445- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0026.140904T0400Z-140904T2200Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 944 AM PDT WED SEP 3 2014 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR FOR THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617 AND 622... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 622 AND 617 * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. * HUMIDITY...RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 10 TO 20 PERCENT ON THURSDAY. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
043 WWUS86 KMFR 032211 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 311 PM PDT WED SEP 3 2014 ORZ623-041015- /O.CAN.KMFR.FW.A.0026.140904T0600Z-140904T2200Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140905T0500Z/ SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 311 PM PDT WED SEP 3 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THURSDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623 * HAINES...6 (BOTH MID AND HIGH LEVELS). * TEMPERATURES/HUMIDITY...HIGH TEMPERATURES 70 TO 80 WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT 10 TO 20 PERCENT WITH RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...POSSIBLE PLUME DOMINATED BEHAVIOR ON ACTIVE FIRES TODAY. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ ORZ617-622-041015- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0026.140904T0400Z-140904T2200Z/ /O.EXB.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140905T0500Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 311 PM PDT WED SEP 3 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617 AND 622... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THURSDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 622 AND 617 * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. * HUMIDITY...RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 10 TO 20 PERCENT ON THURSDAY. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ CAZ281-041015- /O.EXB.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140905T0500Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- 311 PM PDT WED SEP 3 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 281... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THURSDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 281 * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. * HUMIDITY...RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT TONIGHT...THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 10 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ CAZ280-ORZ619>621-041015- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140905T0500Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS- 311 PM PDT WED SEP 3 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...619...620 AND 621... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THURSDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621...280...620 AND 619 * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. * HUMIDITY...RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT TONIGHT...THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 10 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF PLUME DOMINATED ACTIVITY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ SVEN VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
396 WWUS86 KMFR 041011 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 311 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2014 CAZ280-281-ORZ617-619>623-042300- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140905T0500Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 311 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...617...619...620... 621...622 AND 623... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...617...619... 620...621...622 AND 623. * HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT 10 TO 20 PERCENT FOLLOWED BY RECOVERIES TONIGHT AT 20 TO 40 PERCENT. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN 5 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT. * IMPACTS...POSSIBLE PLUME DOMINATED BEHAVIOR ON ACTIVE FIRES AS STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ DW VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
582 WWUS86 KMFR 042047 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 147 PM PDT THU SEP 4 2014 CAZ280-281-ORZ617-619>623-051200- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140906T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 147 PM PDT THU SEP 4 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...617...619...620...621...622 AND 623... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...617...619... 620...621...622 AND 623. * HUMIDITY...MAXIMUM RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT TONIGHT....THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 8 TO 18 PERCENT ON FRIDAY. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUST UP TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CASCADES. * IMPACTS...POSSIBLE PLUME DOMINATED BEHAVIOR ON ACTIVE FIRES AS STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ PETRUCELLI VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
256 WWUS86 KMFR 050315 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 815 PM PDT THU SEP 4 2014 CAZ280-281-ORZ617-619>623-051515- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140906T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 815 PM PDT THU SEP 4 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...617...619...620...621...622 AND 623... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...617...619... 620...621...622 AND 623. * HUMIDITY...MAXIMUM RECOVERIES 20 TO 40 PERCENT TONIGHT... .THEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 8 TO 18 PERCENT ON FRIDAY. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUST UP TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CASCADES. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
152 WWUS86 KMFR 051336 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 636 AM PDT FRI SEP 5 2014 CAZ280-281-ORZ617-619>623-060000- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140906T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 636 AM PDT FRI SEP 5 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...617...619...620... 621...622 AND 623... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...617...619... 620...621...622 AND 623. * HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 5 TO 18 PERCENT TODAY. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CASCADES. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ DW VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
859 WWUS86 KMFR 051752 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1052 AM PDT FRI SEP 5 2014 CAZ280-281-ORZ617-619>623-061300- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140907T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 1052 AM PDT FRI SEP 5 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...617...619...620...621...622 AND 623... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT SATURDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...617...619... 620...621...622 AND 623. * HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 5 TO 18 PERCENT TODAY. 20 TO 30 PERCENT TONIGHT AND 5 TO 18 PERCENT SATURDAY. * WIND...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CASCADES. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY. && $$ PETRUCELLI VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
156 WWUS86 KMFR 061120 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 420 AM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014 ORZ617-619>623-062330- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140907T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 420 AM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617...619...620...621...622 AND 623... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 622...621...623...617...620 AND 619 * HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 5 TO 13 PERCENT TODAY. * WIND...EASTERLY WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EXCEPT AS HIGH AS 15 MPH AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...MAINLY PLUME-DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR IS EXPECTED. LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS COMBINED WITH EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD. A WIND SHIFT FROM EASTERLY TO WESTERLY WILL OCCUR LATER THIS AFTERNOON. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 && $$ CAZ280-281-062330- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140907T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- 420 AM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280 AND 281... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281 AND 280 * HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 4 TO 12 PERCENT TODAY. * WIND...EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EXCEPT 10 TO 15 MPH AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS ZONE 280. * IMPACTS...MAINLY PLUME-DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR IS EXPECTED. LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS COMBINED WITH EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD. A WIND SHIFT FROM EASTERLY TO WESTERLY WILL OCCUR LATER THIS AFTERNOON. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
051 WWUS86 KMFR 062238 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 338 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014 ORZ617-619>623-070600- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140907T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 338 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617...619...620...621...622 AND 623... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 622...621...623...617...620 AND 619 * HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 5 TO 13 PERCENT TODAY. * WIND...EASTERLY WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EXCEPT AS HIGH AS 15 MPH AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...MAINLY PLUME-DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR IS EXPECTED. LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS COMBINED WITH EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD. A WIND SHIFT FROM EASTERLY TO WESTERLY WILL OCCUR LATER THIS AFTERNOON. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 && $$ CAZ280-281-070600- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140907T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- 338 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280 AND 281... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281 AND 280 * HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 4 TO 12 PERCENT TODAY. * WIND...EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EXCEPT 10 TO 15 MPH AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS ZONE 280. * IMPACTS...MAINLY PLUME-DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR IS EXPECTED. LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS COMBINED WITH EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD. A WIND SHIFT FROM EASTERLY TO WESTERLY WILL OCCUR LATER THIS AFTERNOON. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
642 WWUS86 KMFR 070558 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1058 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014 ORZ617-619>623-070700- /O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140907T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 1058 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617...619...620...621...622 AND 623... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. $$ CAZ280-281-070700- /O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140907T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- 1058 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280 AND 281... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. $$ DW VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Sep 2, 8:44 AM PDT, 5 hours 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 2, 8:44 AM PDT, 5 hours 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
844 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014
.UPDATE...OTHER THAN A SLIGHT UPDATE TO ACCOUNT FOR CLOUD AND
SMOKE COVER THIS MORNING, NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST ARE
NEEDED. QUIET WEATHER, AT LEAST IN TERMS OF THE PUBLIC FORECAST, IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS REMAINING
IN PLACE. MAIN FOCUS OF EFFORTS TODAY WILL FOCUS ON FIRE AND
MARINE FORECASTS, WHERE CRITICAL AND/OR DANGEROUS CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. SEE THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOR MORE INFORMATION. -BPN
&&
.AVIATION...BASED ON THE 02/12Z TAF CYCLE...IFR CEILINGS DEVELOPED
OVERNIGHT ALONG THE COOS AND DOUGLAS COUNTY COAST AND SPREAD INTO
THE COQUILLE VALLEY AND NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE UMPQUA VALLEY. THIS
STRATUS WILL DISSIPATE BY MID-MORNING THEN RETURN AFTER 06Z THIS
EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. AREAS OF REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL
CONTINUE IN WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY DUE TO SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES.
OTHERWISE, CLEAR SKIES WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. -DW
&&
.MARINE...UPDATED 600 AM PDT TUE 2 SEP 2014...NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE INTO THIS EVENING WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND STEEP
TO VERY STEEP WIND WAVE DOMINATED SEAS OF UP TO 15 FEET. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL BE HIGHEST OVER THE OUTER WATERS SOUTH OF GOLD BEACH, BUT
VERY STEEP SEAS WILL COVER THE AREA SOUTH OF CAPE ARAGO AND BEYOND 5
NM FROM SHORE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE NORTH WINDS WILL REACH A
PEAK AT GALE FORCE DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BUT ARE
EXPECTED TO BE NEARLY AS STRONG DURING THE OTHER PORTION OF THE
PERIOD BETWEEN THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS ALONG THE
COAST OUT TO 5 NM ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG, HOWEVER WIND
DRIVEN SEAS FROM THE OUTER WATERS WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE COAST
CAUSING THEM TO BE CHOPPY. THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL SHIFT WEST FRIDAY
WHICH WILL RESULT IN DECREASING WINDS AND SEAS. -DW
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014/
DISCUSSION...VERY QUIET WEATHER OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS
MORNING WITH CLEAR SKIES OVER THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE LANDMASS
AND A NARROW STRIP OF STRATUS ALONG THE NORTH COAST AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS. THE SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE JUST
INLAND FROM THE COAST, BUT IT WILL BE SLIDING FURTHER EAST TODAY
AS A DRY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THIS WILL SHAVE A FEW DEGREES
OFF THE WEST SIDE TEMPERATURES TODAY AND PRODUCE GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS OVER MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON.
A SHARP BUT POSITIVELY TILTED SHORT WAVE UPPER TROUGH DROPPING
SOUTH ALONG THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST TODAY WILL SLIDE INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND THEN OFF INTO THE ROCKIES TOMORROW.
TEMPERATURES MAY BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER AGAIN TOMORROW AS A
RESULT, BUT WINDS WILL BE MORE NORTHERLY AND PROBABLY NOT QUITE AS
GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON.
THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS THEN REMAINS OVER US FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AND EVENTUALLY MORPHS INTO A WEAK CLOSED LOW IN OUR
VICINITY BY WEEK'S END. CONDITIONS REMAIN QUITE STABLE WITH
RATHER IMPRESSIVE MID LEVEL CAPPING WHILE ALL THIS HAPPENS, SO NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AND WE MAY NOT EVEN SEE MUCH CUMULUS
FORMATION THROUGH THE WEEK. THIS SYSTEM WILL DRAW THE THERMAL
TROUGH BACK TO THE COAST AND THEN OFFSHORE, WHICH WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING OFFSHORE FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS AS WELL AS INCREASING
HEAT LATER THIS WEEK. THIS PATTERN IS ONE WHERE IT CAN ALSO GET
HOT AT THE COAST, AND THAT IS ONE OF THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES
AT THIS POINT: HOW HOT TO GO AT THE COAST LATER THIS WEEK. WE'VE
OPTED TO STAY CONSERVATIVE FOR NOW, BUT THURSDAY AND FRIDAY COULD
BE QUITE HOT AT THE COAST IF THINGS LINE UP JUST RIGHT, ESPECIALLY
AROUND BROOKINGS WHERE A HOT, DRY CHETCO EFFECT IS POSSIBLE. THE
MOST LIKELY DAY FOR THIS LOOKS LIKE THURSDAY, BUT WILL KEEP AN EYE
ON IT.
NEEDLESS TO SAY, THE LATTER HALF OF THIS WEEK IS GOING TO BE WARM
TO HOT AND DRY ALL AREAS, WHICH IS A CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER. WE
ALREADY HAVE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA
WEDNESDAY, AND MORE FIRE WEATHER WATCHES/WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED
FOR LATER IN THE WEEK AS WELL.
THE MODELS STILL SHOW A STRONGER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER, THEY
QUICKLY BUILD RIDGING IN OVER THE AREA THEREAFTER. I WOULDN'T BE
SURPRISED TO SEE THE TROUGH COME TO NOTHING MORE THAN A BRIEF
RESPITE IN AN OTHERWISE HOT DRY PATTERN. -WRIGHT
FIRE WEATHER...VERY ACTIVE FIRE WEATHER PATTERN THIS WEEK STARTS
WITH THE THERMAL TROUGH MOVING INLAND TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
INCREASED INSTABILITY TO THE REGION...ESPECIALLY THE CASCADES...WITH
INCREASED WESTERLY WINDS ON THE WEST SIDE. A DRY COLD FRONT MOVING
THROUGH THE REGION WILL ALSO INCREASE WINDS A BIT. BEHIND THE FRONT
RH'S DROP QUICKLY..ESPECIALLY AT THE RIDGE LEVEL WITH INCREASING
WINDS THAT BECOME OFFSHORE ACROSS THE EAST SIDE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
COOLER AIR ALOFT WILL MOVE IN SATURDAY...BRINGING INCREASED
INSTABILITY. HOWEVER THE FLOW PRECEDING IT IS FROM THE EAST AND
THERE WILL NOT BE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO ALLOW ANY DEEP CONVECTION TO
FORM.
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR ORZ623.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR ORZ621.
CA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR CAZ280.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 5 AM
PDT FRIDAY FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR
PZZ350-356-370-376.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY
FOR PZZ350-356-370.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 2 PM PDT WEDNESDAY
FOR PZZ376.
GALE WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM PDT THURSDAY FOR
PZZ376.
BPN/TRW/DWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2:06 PM PDT | Fire Weather Watch | MFR | Douglas, Jackson, Klamath, Lane | 25 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Oregon, 2014Red Flag Warnings in California, 2014Every red flag warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.