Alert archive / Oregon / Red Flag Warnings in 2014

Red Flag Warning 26, NWS Medford, OR

August 8, 2014Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; 9 counties in Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this red flag warning at Aug 8, 2014, 1:49 PM PDT for Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; 9 counties in Oregon. It took effect at Aug 10, 2014, 11:00 AM PDT. It was in force for 58 hr. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 8, 2014, 1:49 PM PDT (20:49 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 10, 2014, 11:00 AM PDT
Expired
Aug 12, 2014, 8:44 PM PDT
In force
58 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR

Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Coos County, OR, Curry County, OR, Douglas County, OR, Harney County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR, Lane County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 11, 2:00 PM PDTHEAVY RAIN 0.3815 E Hilt, CAFROM COPCO DAM OPERATOR. NWS CO-OP SITE. HEAVY RAIN DURATION 30 MINUTES.
Aug 12, 12:45 PM PDTHAIL 0.518 Wsw Modoc Point, ORPUBLIC REPORTS THAT THE BULK OF THE STORM PASSED TO THE EAST, BUT STILL RECEIVED DIME SIZED HAIL AND ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS OF 20 MPH. HAIL DURATION 15 MINUTES.
Aug 12, 3:30 PM PDTHAIL 0.252 Sw Medford, ORPUBLIC REPORTS HEAVY RAIN AND PEA SIZED HAIL AT THE UMPQUA NATIONAL BANK.
Aug 12, 3:55 PM PDTHAIL 0.52 E Central Point, ORHALF INCH HAIL WAS ESTIMATED TO FALL FOR A FEW MINUTES AT THE NWS OFFICE IN MEDFORD. HAIL DURATION 3 MINUTES.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2014-08-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2014-08-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1676 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

478 
WWUS86 KMFR 082049
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
149 PM PDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE TO A POSITION OFF THE NORTH CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA COAST THIS WEEKEND AND CUT OFF FROM THE MAIN FLOW
ALOFT. BY SUNDAY, SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL DEEPEN AND MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY. WITH SUFFICIENTLY DRY
FUELS...THIS IS A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY, THEN MOVE FROM THE
SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA. STORMS WILL ALSO HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO REACH COASTAL LOCATIONS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. BY
TUESDAY THE MAIN CORE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD SHIFT TO THE
CASCADES AND EASTWARD. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO MULTIPLE NEW FIRES.

CAZ284-285-ORZ617-623-624-090900-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0023.140810T1800Z-140812T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140810T1800Z-140813T0600Z/
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
149 PM PDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 11 PM PDT
TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONES
284...285...617...623 AND 624...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS UPGRADED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11
AM SUNDAY TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE ZONES 284...285...617...623 AND 624

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST STEERING WINDS.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING AND LAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL
  THEN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL MOISTEN.
  THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

CAZ280>282-ORZ620>622-090900-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0023.140810T1800Z-140812T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140810T1800Z-140812T1200Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA-
TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
149 PM PDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONES
280...281...282...620...621 AND 622...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE ZONES 280...281...282...620...621 AND 622

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST STEERING WINDS.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING, THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL
  THEN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL MOISTEN.
  THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ618-619-090900-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0023.140811T0600Z-140812T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
SOUTHERN OREGON COAST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-
SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
149 PM PDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONES
618 AND 619...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE ZONES 618 AND 619 

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
  TO DEVELOP SUNDAY EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING, THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL
  THEN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL MOISTEN.
  THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ616-090900-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0023.140810T1800Z-140812T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
UMPQUA BASIN-
149 PM PDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONE 616...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE ZONE 616 

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST STEERING WINDS.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING, THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL
  THEN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL MOISTEN.
  THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ615-090900-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0023.140811T0600Z-140812T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0600Z-140812T1200Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-
149 PM PDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONE 615...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE ZONE 615 

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
  TO DEVELOP SUNDAY EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING, THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE
  IMMEDIATE COAST. THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO
  PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL THEN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE
  ATMOSPHERE WILL MOISTEN. THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY THROUGH EARLY
  TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME
  AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ625-090900-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140810T1800Z-140813T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
149 PM PDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 11 PM PDT
TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONE 625...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 11 PM PDT
TUESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE ZONE 625 

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH PERSISTENT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST STEERING
  WINDS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO
  MONDAY EVENING AND LAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL
  THEN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL MOISTEN.
  THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

SPILDE

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
10 follow-up statements
874 
WWUS86 KMFR 090905
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
205 AM PDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE TO A POSITION OFF THE NORTH CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA COAST THIS WEEKEND AND CUT OFF FROM THE MAIN FLOW
ALOFT. BY SUNDAY...SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL DEEPEN AND MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY. WITH SUFFICIENTLY DRY
FUELS...THIS IS A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS 
SOUTHWESTERN OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY...THEN MOVE FROM THE
SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA. STORMS WILL ALSO HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO REACH COASTAL LOCATIONS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. BY
TUESDAY THE MAIN CORE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD SHIFT TO THE
CASCADES AND EASTWARD. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS WILL LIKELY
LEAD TO MULTIPLE NEW FIRES.

CAZ284-285-ORZ617-623>625-092300-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140810T1800Z-140813T0600Z/
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
205 AM PDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 11 PM
PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 284...285...617...623...624 AND 625...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284...285...617...623...624
  AND 625.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO 
  DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING. 
  THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH PERSISTENT SOUTH TO 
  SOUTHEAST STEERING WINDS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO 
  INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING AND LAST THROUGH TUESDAY 
  EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. 
  THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO 
  PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL THEN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE 
  ATMOSPHERE WILL MOISTEN. THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY THROUGH 
  TUESDAY EVENING MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME 
  AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

CAZ280>282-ORZ620>622-092300-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140810T1800Z-140812T1200Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA-
TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
205 AM PDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM
PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 280...281...282...620...621 AND 622...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...282...620...621
  AND 622.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST STEERING WINDS.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING...THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. 
  THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO 
  PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL THEN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE 
  ATMOSPHERE WILL MOISTEN. THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY 
  MORNING MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT 
  LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ616-618-619-092300-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
UMPQUA BASIN-SOUTHERN OREGON COAST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-
SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
205 AM PDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM
PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 616...618 AND 619...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 616...618 AND 619.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
  EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE 
  OVERNIGHT. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY 
  INTO MONDAY EVENING... THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. 
  THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO 
  PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL THEN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE 
  ATMOSPHERE WILL MOISTEN. THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY 
  MORNING MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT 
  LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ615-092300-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0600Z-140812T1200Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-
205 AM PDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM
PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 615...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 615. 

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
  EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE 
  OVERNIGHT. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY 
  INTO MONDAY EVENING... THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES...ESPECIALLY 
  EAST OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST. THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT ARE 
  LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL THEN THE LOWER LEVELS 
  OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL MOISTEN. THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY 
  THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT 
  RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
DW

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
692 
WWUS86 KMFR 092130
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
230 PM PDT SAT AUG 9 2014

CAZ284-285-ORZ617-623>625-100930-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140810T1800Z-140813T0600Z/
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
230 PM PDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 11 PM
   PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
   WEATHER ZONES 284...285...617...623...624 AND 625...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284...285...617...623...624 
  AND 625.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH PERSISTENT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST STEERING
  WINDS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO
  MONDAY EVENING AND LAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. MANY OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL.
  THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

CAZ280>282-ORZ620>622-100930-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140810T1800Z-140812T1200Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA-
TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
230 PM PDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM
   PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
   WEATHER ZONES 280...281...282...620...621 AND 622...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...282...620...621 
  AND 622.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST STEERING WINDS.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING...THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MANY OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL.
  THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ616-618-619-100930-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
UMPQUA BASIN-SOUTHERN OREGON COAST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-
SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM PDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM
   PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
   WEATHER ZONES 616...618 AND 619...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 616...618 AND 619.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
  TO DEVELOP SUNDAY EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING...THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MANY OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL.
  THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ615-100930-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0600Z-140812T1200Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-
230 PM PDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM
   PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
   WEATHER ZONE 615...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 615.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
  TO DEVELOP SUNDAY EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING...THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MANY OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE
  IMMEDIATE COAST. THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO
  PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL. THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY
  THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
  IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

STOCKTON
140 
WWUS86 KMFR 100945
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
245 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

CAZ280-281-ORZ620>622-102215-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140810T1800Z-140813T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
245 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 280...281...620...621 AND 622...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM PDT TUESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...620...621 AND 622.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE
  OVERNIGHT WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST STEERING WINDS. THUNDERSTORM
  ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING...THEN
  DIMINISH INTO TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN ON TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN
  LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH TONIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL.
  THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ616-102215-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0000Z-140813T0600Z/
UMPQUA BASIN-
245 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 616...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT TUESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616. 

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
  TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING...THEN DIMINISH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE INCREASING
  AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS
  TONIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL.
  THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

CAZ284-285-ORZ617-623>625-102215-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140810T1800Z-140813T0600Z/
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
245 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 284...285...617...623...624 AND 625...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284...285...617...623...624
  AND 625.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE
  OVERNIGHT WITH PERSISTENT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST STEERING WINDS.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING AND LAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. MANY OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. 
  THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ARE LIKELY TO 
  PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL. THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY 
  THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN 
  SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

CAZ282-102215-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140810T1800Z-140812T1200Z/
SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
245 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
5 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 282...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 282. 

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE
  OVERNIGHT WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST STEERING WINDS. THUNDERSTORM
  ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING...THEN
  DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
  AND TONIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL.
  THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ618-619-102215-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
SOUTHERN OREGON COAST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-
SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
245 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 618 AND 619...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 618 AND 619.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
  TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THUNDERSTORM
  ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING...THEN
  DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
  AND TONIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL.
  THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ615-102215-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0600Z-140812T1200Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-
245 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 615...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 615.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
  TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING...THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MANY OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE
  IMMEDIATE COAST. THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE
  LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL. THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY THROUGH EARLY
  TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME
  AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
DW

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
773 
WWUS86 KMFR 102050
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
150 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

ORZ615-111200-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-
150 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 615...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM PDT TUESDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 615.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
  EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. 
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO 
  MONDAY EVENING...THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MANY 
  OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES...ESPECIALLY 
  EAST OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST. THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ARE LIKELY 
  TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL. THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY 
  THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT 
  RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

CAZ280-281-284-285-ORZ617-620>625-111200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140813T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
150 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284...
285...617...623...624 AND 625...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284...285...617...623...624 
  AND 625.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH
  PERSISTENT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST STEERING WINDS. THUNDERSTORM
  ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING AND
  LAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
  AND TONIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL.
  THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING MAY PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

CAZ282-111200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
150 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 282...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 282.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH
  PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST STEERING WINDS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
  LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING...THEN DIMINISH
  BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN
  LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. 
  THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ARE LIKELY TO 
  PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL. THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH 
  TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME 
  AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ618-619-111200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
SOUTHERN OREGON COAST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-
SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
150 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 618 AND 619...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 618 AND 619.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
  EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. 
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO 
  MONDAY EVENING...THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MANY 
  OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION. 

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. 
  THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ARE LIKELY TO 
  PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL. THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH 
  TUESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME 
  AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ616-111200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.140811T0000Z-140813T0600Z/
UMPQUA BASIN-
150 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 616...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
  TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING THEN MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
  EVENING...THEN DIMINISH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE INCREASING
  AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. 
  THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO 
  RAINFALL. THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING MAY 
  PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...BUT LITTLE IN 
  OTHERS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

SK

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
336 
WWUS86 KMFR 111159
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
459 AM PDT MON AUG 11 2014

ORZ616-120000-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
UMPQUA BASIN-
459 AM PDT MON AUG 11 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT TUESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616. 

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  TODAY. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE THIS
  AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...THEN DIMINISH EARLY TUESDAY
  MORNING WITH ISOLATED COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING INTO
  TUESDAY EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
  THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO
  PRECIPITATION. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY WILL PRODUCE
  HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

CAZ280-281-284-285-ORZ617-620>625-120000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140813T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
459 AM PDT MON AUG 11 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...
281...284...285...617...620...621...622...623...624 AND 625...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES
  280...281...284...285...617...620...621...622...623...624 AND
  625.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE
  INTO THIS EVENING. STEERING WINDS WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND
  MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO
  PRECIPITATION. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
  SLIGHTLY LATE TONIGHT THEN INCREASE AGAIN TUESDAY THROUGH
  TUESDAY EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO
  PRODUCE LITTLE RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT OCCUR THROUGH
  THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

CAZ282-ORZ615-618-619-120000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-SOUTHERN OREGON COAST-
WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
459 AM PDT MON AUG 11 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 282...
615...618 AND 619...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 282...615...618 AND 619. 

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE
  INTO THIS EVENING. STEERING WINDS WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND
  MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO
  PRECIPITATION. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
  LATE TONIGHT.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO
  PRODUCE LITTLE RAINFALL.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
DW

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
656 
WWUS86 KMFR 112014
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
114 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2014

ORZ616-121300-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140813T0600Z/
UMPQUA BASIN-
114 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616.

* THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TO SCATTERED IN
  COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. STEERING WINDS WILL
  BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
  IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SLIGHTLY LATE TONIGHT THEN INCREASE
  AGAIN TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
  THROUGH TUESDAY WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

CAZ280-281-284-285-ORZ617-620>625-121300-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140813T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
114 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...
281...284...285...617...620...621...622...623...624 AND 625...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...284...285... 
  617...620...621...622...623...624 AND 625. 

* THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TO SCATTERED IN
  COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. STEERING WINDS WILL
  BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
  IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SLIGHTLY LATE TONIGHT THEN INCREASE
  AGAIN TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO
  PRODUCE LITTLE RAINFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

CAZ282-ORZ615-618-619-121200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-SOUTHERN OREGON COAST-
WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
114 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 282...
615...618 AND 619...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 282...615...618 AND 619.

* THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TO SCATTERED IN
  COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. STEERING WINDS WILL
  BE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN
  LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
  DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. 
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE RAINFALL.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

SK

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
295 
WWUS86 KMFR 121159
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
459 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

CAZ282-ORZ615-618-619-121300-
/O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140812T1200Z/
SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-SOUTHERN OREGON COAST-
WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
459 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 5 AM PDT EARLY THIS MORNING
FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
282...615...618 AND 619...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 5 AM PDT EARLY THIS MORNING. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 282...615...618 AND 619 

* THUNDERSTORMS...WHILE THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THIS AREA THE THREAT FOR SCATTERED
  THUNDERSTORMS WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTNING HAS PASSED.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 

$$

CAZ280-281-284-285-ORZ616-617-620>625-130000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140813T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-UMPQUA BASIN-
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
459 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 280... 281...284...285...617...620...621...622...623...
624 AND 625...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...284...285... 
  617...620...621...622...623...624 AND 625.

* THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TO SCATTERED IN
  COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. STEERING WINDS WILL
  BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN VEGETATION
  WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
  LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

BTL

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
712 
WWUS86 KMFR 121301
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
601 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

UPDATED TO INDICATE FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616 STILL REMAINS IN THE
WARNING

CAZ280-281-284-285-ORZ616-617-620>625-130000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140813T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-UMPQUA BASIN-
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
601 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 280...281...284...285...616...617...620...621...622...623
...624 AND 625...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...284...285... 
  616...617...620...621...622...623...624 AND 625.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING
  WILL INCREASE TO SCATTERED COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
  EVENING. STEERING WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND
  SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO
  PRECIPITATION.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THESE 
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE RAINFALL IN SOME 
  AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

BTL

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
553 
WWUS86 KMFR 122215
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
315 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

CAZ280-281-284-285-122315-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140813T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
315 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS IS
CANCELLED FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...284 AND 285...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY. ISOLATED STORMS
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT BUT COVERAGE WILL BE DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY
FROM EARLIER IN THE DAY.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 

$$

ORZ616-617-620>625-130600-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140813T0600Z/
UMPQUA BASIN-UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
315 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 616...617...620...621...622...623...624 AND 625...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 622...624...621...625...
  623...616...617 AND 620 

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED COVERAGE CONTINUES INTO THIS EVENING.
  STEERING WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND SOME OF
  THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION EXCEPT
  UNDERNEATH THE CORE OF THE STORM.

* OUTFLOW WINDS: OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON DRY...DROUGHT STRICKEN 
  VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO MULTIPLE FIRE STARTS THAT HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO OVERWHELM INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES. THESE 
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LITTLE RAINFALL IN SOME 
  AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON
EXISTING DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FB
VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
153 
WWUS86 KMFR 130344
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
844 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014


ORZ616-617-620>625-130445-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140813T0600Z/
UMPQUA BASIN-UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
844 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY
FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 616...617...620...621...622...623...
624 AND 625...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

* THUNDERSTORMS...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN
  COVERAGE AND EXPECT ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REST OF
  THE EVENING.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 

$$


VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Aug 8, 8:53 AM PDT, 4 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 8, 8:53 AM PDT, 4 hours 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
853 AM PDT FRI AUG 8 2014

.DISCUSSION...NO UPDATES PLANNED THIS MORNING. SATELLITE SHOWS A
BAND OF MID-LEVEL ACCAS TYPE CLOUD STRETCHING FROM CENTRAL
SISKIYOU COUNTY ACROSS SOUTHERN KLAMATH AND MUCH OF LAKE COUNTY
THIS MORNING. THIS IS INDICATIVE OF INSTABILITY AND IS INDEED
PRECISELY WHERE THE GREATEST INSTABILITY LIES (ACCORDING TO SPC
MESOANALYSIS PRODUCTS) AND WHERE IT WILL REMAIN TODAY PER MODEL
GUIDANCE. MOISTURE IS NOT PARTICULARLY RICH AND SYNOPTIC FORCING
WILL BE MODEST AT BEST TODAY, BUT ALL SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO POP
OUT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS INSTABILITY AXIS EASTWARD.
THE GOING FORECAST HAS THIS, AND STILL LOOKS GOOD. CONDITIONS WILL
BE SIMILAR TOMORROW, BUT FORCING IS EVEN LESS, SO THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD NOT BE MORE THAN ISOLATED TOMORROW EITHER.

THE BIGGER CHANGE COMES SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES IN
TO OUR SOUTH. THIS PUTS US IN SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT AND A QUICK LOOK
AT 12Z GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT INSTABILITY AND FORCING WILL BE QUITE
PLENTIFUL DURING THE PERIOD. THIS IS A CLASSIC THUNDERSTORM
PATTERN FOR SOUTHWEST OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, AND THUS A
SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK IS PROBABLE. WE WILL BE TRYING TO NAIL DOWN
SOME OF THE SPECIFICS TODAY PENDING ANALYSIS OF THE REST OF THE
08/12Z GUIDANCE. -WRIGHT

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 08/12Z TAFS...IFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE PRESENT
EARLY THIS MORNING IN STRATUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN CURRY COUNTY COAST
NEAR BROOKINGS/KBOK AND IN THE COQUILLE VALLEY INCLUDING NORTH
BEND/KOTH. THESE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH
THE MORNING WITH CONDITIONS BECOMING VFR. STRATUS IS FORECAST TO
RETURN TO THE COAST WITH A MIX OF IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS THIS
EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. INLAND...SKIES ARE CLEAR TO MOSTLY
CLEAR. VFR CEILINGS AND GUSTY WINDS MAY DEVELOP WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM THE VICINITY OF MOUNT
SHASTA/KMHS NORTHEASTWARD AND EASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS
OF BOTH SISKIYOU AND KLAMATH COUNTIES AS WELL AS ALL OF LAKE AND
MODOC COUNTIES. /DW

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED 300 AM PDT 8 AUG 2014...
SEAS WILL REMAIN WIND WAVE DOMINATED THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE
AN INCREASE IN NORTH WINDS INTO THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE
OFFSHORE STRENGTHENS AND A THERMAL TROUGH INLAND DEEPENS. WINDS LATE
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING WILL HAVE THE NORMAL SLIGHT DIURNAL
WEAKENING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS PATTERN THEN WINDS AND SEAS WILL
BUILD TO A PEAK SATURDAY EVENING. THE MAIN CHANGE TO THE FORECAST IS
TO ISSUE A GALE WATCH FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE OUTER WATERS SOUTH OF CAPE BLANCO AS THE 00Z
GFS AND NAM DATA HAVE NUDGED WIND SPEEDS UP A COUPLE KNOTS HIGHER
THAN IN THE PREVIOUS RUN...ENOUGH TO TIP THE AREA 10 TO 40 NM FROM
SHORE AND SOUTH OF GOLD BEACH ABOVE THE THRESHOLD FOR GALES. SUNDAY
AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL WEAKEN
AND PUSH INLAND, RESULTING IN DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS. THE
DECREASE IN WIND WAVES EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE PARTIALLY OFFSET BY A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE HEIGHT OF WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL. /DW

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 AM PDT FRI AUG 8 2014/

SHORT TERM...A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF
WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN OREGON. THIS TROUGH WILL SHIFT INLAND
TODAY AND EXPECT SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST
OREGON AND INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. OTHERWISE,
EXPECT SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THEN ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST AND DEVELOP
INTO A SIGNIFICANT UPPER LOW. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BRING AN
INCREASING THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST THE AREA BY SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.

TODAY, MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING A RELATIVELY WEAK
TROUGH SHIFTING INLAND. EXPECT SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP EAST OF THE CASCADES IN OREGON AND INTO MODOC AND
SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTIES IN CALIFORNIA IN THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. ALSO SOME BREEZY WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20
MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AND EAST OF THE CASCADES AS
WELL WITH THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSAGE.

THEN THE DISTURBANCE POSITIONED NEAR 42N AND 138W WILL MOVE
TOWARDS THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST EARLY SATURDAY AND THEN IS
FORECAST TO SHIFT SLIGHTLY SOUTH ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST
BECOMING CENTERED OFF THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
AS THE LOW APPROACHES THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST, WE MAY SEE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING,
MAINLY FOR AREAS EAST OF THE CASCADES. THEN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE LOW
DEEPENS AND REMAINS OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST, CENTERED JUST NORTH
OF SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. MODELS ARE
INDICATING MODERATE TO STRONG SHORTWAVE ACTIVITY MOVING AROUND
THE LOW AND INTO THE AREA DURING THIS PERIOD. ALSO EXPECT AN AREA OF
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AS WELL AS MOISTURE MOVING UP INTO THE AREA WITH
SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT. FURTHERMORE, MODERATE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED
OVER MUCH OF AREA AS WELL AS FAVORABLE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. ALL
OF WHICH POINT TO THE POSSIBILITY FOR A THUNDERSTORM OUTBREAK OVER
THE AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

THE GFS AND NAM INDICATE THAT A MODERATE SHORTWAVE MAY MOVE UP
INTO THE AREA AS EARLY AS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING
WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE CASCADES. THEN
EXPECT ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY
EVENING. THIS COMBINED WITH MOISTURE, DAYTIME HEATING AND
SOUTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. THE GFS CONTINUES TO INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FAVORABLE AS FAR WEST AS THE COAST  SUNDAY EVENING AND
EXTENDING EASTWARD INTO MODOC AND LAKE COUNTIES. THE NAM SHOWS
LESS ACTIVITY WEST OF THE CASCADES SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
BUT STILL INDICATES SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING ACROSS THE WEST SIDE
IN SOUTHEAST FLOW. SO HAVE INCREASED THE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR
WESTERN LOCATIONS BEGINNING SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS  OVERNIGHT SUNDAY AND
MONDAY MORNING AS THE LOW REMAINS IN POSITION OFF NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA AND CONTINUES TO BRING MOISTURE AND SHORTWAVE ENERGY
INTO THE AREA. HAVE INCREASED THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT SUNDAY GIVEN THIS PATTERN. THEN ON MONDAY, THE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFF THE COAST DURING THE DAY, THEN
GRADUALLY SHIFT INLAND IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS AN PACIFIC
TROUGH MOVES TOWARDS THE PACNW. SO EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE AREA.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MODELS INDICATE THE UPPER
LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY THEN EAST TUESDAY NIGHT AS
A UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE PACNW. BY WEDNESDAY MODELS SHOW
LARGE DIFFERENCES WITH A WIDESPREAD SET SOLUTIONS. THE ECMWF
INDICATES THAT THIS NEXT UPPER TROUGH WILL BECOME CUT OFF FROM
THE FLOW TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
WESTERN US AND WESTERN CANADA....THEN IT KEEPS THE CUT OFF LOW
OVER THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS WOULD BRING ADDITIONAL CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE OPERATIONAL GFS 00Z SHOWS THE
TROUGH SHIFTING EAST ON WEDNESDAY AND KEEPS THE AREA DRY WITH A
STRONG RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE REGION. HOWEVER, ENSEMBLE
SOLUTIONS OF THE GFS VARY GREATLY WITH SOME INDICATING A CUT OFF
LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE REGION. SO HAVE ADDED SLIGHT CHANCE
THUNDERSTORMS FOR AREAS FROM THE CASCADES EAST. MAY NEED TO
INCREASE THE COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IF FUTURE RUNS
CONTINUE TO SHOW A CUT OFF LOW. &&

FIRE WEATHER (ISSUED THURSDAY AFTERNOON)...LOW TO MID LEVEL
INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL DRYNESS WILL LEAD TO HAINES 4 AND 5
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, LEADING TO LOW TO MODERATE
POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. EXPECT THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE IN AREAS FAVORED BY
SOUTHWEST TERRAIN DRIVEN WIND FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND AREAS THAT
ARE NOT EFFECTED BY SMOKE FROM LARGE FIRES TO THEIR SOUTH AND
WEST. THERE WILL AGAIN BE A SLIGHT THUNDERSTORM THREAT IN SOUTHERN
SISKIYOU, MODOC, AND LAKE COUNTIES AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS MORNING
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A BIT MORE MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY THAN IT HAS IN PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS. A SIMILAR THREAT
WILL LINGER ON FRIDAY.

SATURDAY THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO BE INFLUENCED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF OF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST.
SOUTH FLOW WILL BEGIN OVER THE AREA AND THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE EAST SIDE.

THE WEATHER PATTERN SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY IS DIFFERENT THAN WAS
OBSERVED DURING THE LARGE THUNDERSTORM AND RESULTANT WILDFIRE
OUTBREAK IN 2008 BECAUSE, IN 2008, THE FLOW WAS SOUTHWESTERLY ALOFT
RATHER THAN SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY. THIS LOW PRESSURE PATTERN
THIS TIME AROUND IS A MUCH MORE TYPICAL THUNDERSTORM PATTERN
FOR THE REGION THAN WAS THE JUNE 2008 EVENT. SIMILAR TO 2008, WE
COULD SEE SOME STORMS AT NIGHT ON SUNDAY NIGHT. THE BIGGEST
SIMILARITY TO THE FIRE SEASON OF 2008 TO THIS ONE IS THE PRECEDING
DRYNESS AND AMOUNT OF FIRE ACTIVITY THAT HAS BEEN OBSERVED.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY A SUBSTANTIAL THUNDERSTORM THREAT ROLLS IN FROM
THE SOUTHEAST AROUND THE LOW. CURRENT NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA DURING THIS TIME FRAME, POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO
TUESDAY. DUE TO THE ONGOING FIRES AND THE THREAT FOR THIS CLASSIC
LIGHTNING PATTERN ALONG WITH THE SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL LONG TERM
DROUGHT, FIRE WEATHER WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE WARRANTED FOR SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY. BTL

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR ORZ616-617-620>624.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR ORZ615-618-619.

CA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR CAZ280>282-284-285.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 11 PM
     PDT SATURDAY FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 11 PM PDT SATURDAY
     FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR PZZ376.
     GALE WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR
     PZZ376.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 3:23 AM PDTGale WatchMFR12 hr
Aug 8, 3:05 PM PDTGale WarningMFR47 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Oregon, 2014Red Flag Warnings in California, 2014Every red flag warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.