Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
237 PM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-MONDAY NIGHT)...
A DEEP LAYER RIDGE WILL REMAIN ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALL OF THE SHORT TERM MODEL
GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW TO CONTINUE. DRIER AIR FROM THE BAHAMAS WILL
ALSO FILTER IN ACROSS THE REGION WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING
PWAT LOWERING TO AROUND 1.5 INCHES ON SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY LESS
THAN 1.25 INCHES BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. AT ANY RATE, THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE WILL BE LESS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF THE
WEEK. THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR RAIN EACH DAY WILL BE THE LAKE
REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING PERIODS.

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY-SATURDAY)...
LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD OF THE
FORECAST BUT THERE COULD BE SOME MOISTURE INCREASE AGAIN BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. STEERING FLOW WILL MAINTAIN A MOSTLY SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION AS THE DEEP LAYER RIDGE REMAINS IN CONTROL AND SEA BREEZES
DEVELOP ALONG BOTH COASTS DURING THE AFTERNOONS. SO THE BEST CHANCES
FOR RAIN INTO THE END OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND
LAKE REGIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
A LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH SEAS OF LESS THAN 4 FEET EXPECTED. LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS
MIGHT DEVELOP NEAR DAILY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

WATER LEVELS MAY RUN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL COMBINED WITH THE
UPCOMING LUNAR PERIGEE ON SUNDAY AND THIS COULD RESULT IN SOME
MINOR STREET FLOODING OVER THE TYPICAL MIAMI BEACH AREAS ALONG THE
BAY SIDE. THIS WILL BE MONITORED OVER THE WEEKEND ESPECIALLY
DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  76  92  78  91 /  10  20   0  20
FORT LAUDERDALE  80  92  81  92 /   0  10  10  20
MIAMI            79  93  80  92 /   0  10  10  20
NAPLES           77  93  76  93 /   0  30  10  30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...13/SI
LONG TERM....30/KOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
433 PM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
100845-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
433 PM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING, MAINLY INTERIOR...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. HIGHEST THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL BE OVER
THE INTERIOR OF THE PENINSULA. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE CLOUD-TO-
GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONCENTRATED OVER THE INTERIOR
SECTIONS, WITH LESS COVERAGE OVER THE METRO AREAS AND ALONG THE
COASTS THROUGH THE WEEK. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING
STRIKES AND POSSIBLE STREET FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER INFORMATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

KONARIK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
318 PM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014

FLZ066-067-070-071-092000-
INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL-INLAND BROWARD COUNTY FL-HENDRY FL-
INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
318 PM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL INLAND COLLIER
COUNTY...NORTHWESTERN INLAND BROWARD COUNTY...SOUTHEASTERN HENDRY AND
SOUTHWESTERN INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY...

* UNTIL 400 PM EDT

* AT 317 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MICCOSUKEE SERVICE PLAZA...OR 27 MILES
  NORTHEAST OF MONROE STATION...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH.  LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  ROTENBERGER WILDLIFE REFUGE...MICCOSUKEE INDIAN RESERVATION...
  MICCOSUKEE SERVICE PLAZA...INTERSECTION ALLIGATOR ALLEY AND MIAMI
  CANAL...BIG CYPRESS SEMINOLE RESERVATION...BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL
  PRESERVE AND WEST BROWARD REC. AREA ON ALLIGATOR ALLEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON
SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING
AND LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

LAT...LON 2598 8094 2627 8107 2643 8082 2612 8053
TIME...MOT...LOC 1917Z 238DEG 8KT 2618 8084

BAXTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
544 PM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014

FLZ068-072-168-172-092215-
COASTAL BROWARD COUNTY FL-METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL-
COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
544 PM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN COASTAL BROWARD
COUNTY...NORTHEASTERN METRO BROWARD COUNTY...SOUTHEASTERN COASTAL
PALM BEACH COUNTY AND SOUTHEASTERN METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY...

* UNTIL 615 PM EDT

* AT 541 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
  JUST WEST OF DEERFIELD BEACH WITH A THUNDERSTORM. A LINE OF BROKEN
  THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM LANTANA TO WILTON MANORS WILL BE
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FUNNEL CLOUDS. THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL BE
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT... FORT LAUDERDALE...POMPANO
  BEACH...PLANTATION...BOCA RATON... DEERFIELD BEACH...BOYNTON
  BEACH...DELRAY BEACH...TAMARAC... MARGATE...LAKE
  WORTH...LIGHTHOUSE POINT...PALM BEACH... LAUDERDALE-BY-THE-
  SEA...HIGHLAND BEACH...OCEAN RIDGE... LAUDERHILL...COCONUT
  CREEK...OAKLAND PARK...NORTH LAUDERDALE AND GREENACRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS ACTIVITY WAS ALSO DEVELOPING IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR THE
FORMATION OF FUNNEL CLOUDS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
LOCAL MEDIA FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT THE MIAMI NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI. FOR INFORMATION IN SPANISH, VISIT
OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI/ESPANOL.

&&

LAT...LON 2659 8004 2658 8005 2653 8005 2655 8004
      2643 8006 2643 8007 2636 8007 2613 8010
      2613 8021 2663 8013 2663 8004 2661 8005
      2659 8005 2660 8004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 226DEG 7KT 2657 8005 2616 8013

BAXTER