Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
248 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT-SUNDAY NIGHT)

ANOTHER ACTIVE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING APPEARS TO BE SETTING UP
ONCE AGAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY NNE OF A
LINE EXTENDING FROM FORT LAUDERDALE TO THE LAKE REGION ACROSS PALM
BEACH COUNTY AND PORTIONS OF BROWARD. A COMBINATION OF THE COOL
TEMPERATURES ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH, PLENTY OF
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE, OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ASSOCIATED THE CONVECTION
EARLIER TO THE NORTH AND THE SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS SHOULD BE
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SOME STRONG STORMS (POSSIBLY ONE OR TWO SEVERE
TSTMS) THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWED THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WESTWARD ACROSS THE EXTREME SRN
END OF THE FL PENINSULA WITH MOSTLY LIGHT SW LOW-LEVEL FLOW
CONTINUING. THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE BEGINNING TO PUSH INLAND OPPOSING THIS MEAN FLOW
ACROSS MIAMI-DADE AND PORTIONS OF BROWARD COUNTY...WHILE REMAINING
PINNED TOWARD THE COAST IN PALM BEACH. THIS SETUP SHOULD ALLOW THE
CONVECTION TO BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
METRO/COASTAL LOCATIONS EXTENDING NORTH FROM FORT LAUDERDALE
THROUGH THIS TIME. CONSIDERING THE RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY
FALLEN OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS ACROSS THESE AREAS...LOCALIZED
FLOODING WILL REMAIN A CONCERN THROUGH THIS EVENING OR UNTIL THIS
ACTIVITY TRENDS DOWN AS WELL.

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WILL BE MORE OF A TRANSITIONAL PERIOD AS THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BEGINS TO LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH OVER THE AREA AND
THE UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY IN PLACE BEGINS TO FILL. THIS PATTERN
WILL TRANSLATE TO LIGHT EASTERLY MEAN LOW-LEVEL FLOW BETWEEN 1000-
700 MB FILLING IN ACROSS THE AREA...WHICH WILL KEEP MOST OF THE
DIURNALLY INDUCED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING
PERIODS TOWARD THE INLAND AND AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE EAST COAST
METRO/COASTAL LOCATIONS BY SUNDAY.

85/AG

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY-WEDNESDAY)

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE EARLY TO
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP THE EASTERLY WIND FLOW OVER
SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. SO THE SCATTERED POPS
WILL CONTINUE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA EACH DAY NEXT WEEK...WITH THE BEST
COVERAGE OVER THE INTERIOR AND WEST COAST METRO AREAS.

/BNB

&&

.AVIATION...

CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO FIRE ACROSS THE NORTHERN INTERIOR AND
NEARING THE EAST COAST TERMINALS. BELIEVE CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN
POSITIONED CLOSE TO THE COASTLINE AS ANY REAL SEA BREEZE THAT
DEVELOPS SHOULD NOT PENETRATE INLAND VERY FAR. KEPT VCTS FOR ALL
EAST COAST SITES UNTIL 00Z. WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT BEFORE TURNING BACK TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.

CD

&&

.MARINE...

WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST TODAY...THEN
SHIFT TO THE EAST AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE LIFTS NORTH OF THE
WATERS OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. LOCALLY CHOPPIER CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AND AROUND ANY HEAVY SHOWERS OR STORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  73  90  74  88 /  40  50  30  40
FORT LAUDERDALE  76  89  77  89 /  30  50  20  40
MIAMI            75  90  77  89 /  20  40  20  30
NAPLES           73  89  73  92 /  20  40  20  30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...10/CD
LONG TERM....85/AG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1244 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
140445-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1244 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND EAST COAST AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 75.
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE AND A FEW COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS.

WIND: THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 50
MPH.

HAIL: SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE SMALL HAIL UP TO
THE SIZE OF PENNIES...BUT THERE COULD ALSO BE A FEW STORMS PRODUCE
LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

FLOODING: HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED URBAN FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE MAIN CONCERNS AT THIS TIME WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. SOME OF THE STORMS ON FRIDAY COULD BE
STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER INDIVIDUAL
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WIND, HAIL AND FLOODING TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
341 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

FLZ067-068-168-132030-
COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
341 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN COASTAL PALM BEACH
COUNTY...SOUTHERN METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY AND SOUTHEASTERN INLAND
PALM BEACH COUNTY...

* UNTIL 430 PM EDT

* AT 341 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MISSION BAY...OR 9 MILES NORTH OF CORAL
  SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH...UP
TO NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF
THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  BOCA RATON...BOYNTON BEACH...DELRAY BEACH...HIGHLAND BEACH...OCEAN
  RIDGE...KINGS POINT...VILLAGE OF GOLF...MISSION BAY...LOXAHATCHEE
  NWR...WHISPER WALK...HAMPTONS AT BOCA RATON...DUNES ROAD...GULF
  STREAM...BRINY BREEZES...BOCA WEST...VILLAGES OF ORIOLE...BOCA
  RATON EQUESTRIAN...MORIKAMI PARK...SOUTH COUNTY REGIONAL PARK AND
  FAU SOUTH CAMPUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON
SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING
AND LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2651 8005 2643 8006 2643 8007 2642 8006
      2638 8007 2637 8007 2637 8013 2635 8033
      2648 8037 2653 8005
TIME...MOT...LOC 1941Z 263DEG 10KT 2641 8027

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
347 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     HAIL             2 S SAWGRASS MILLS MALL 26.12N  80.31W
06/13/2014  E1.00 INCH       BROWARD            FL   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER MFL1400210

SI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
350 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

FLZ073-132030-
INLAND MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL-
350 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN INLAND MIAMI-DADE
COUNTY ...

* UNTIL 430 PM EDT

* AT 350 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SHARK VALLEY OBS TOWER...OR 14 MILES WEST
  OF HOMESTEAD GENERAL AIRPORT...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH...UP
TO NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF
THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  HOMESTEAD GENERAL AIRPORT...THE REDLAND...SHARK VALLEY OBS TOWER
  AND EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON
SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING
AND LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2551 8083 2562 8085 2575 8063 2550 8055
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 253DEG 5KT 2557 8077

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
402 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     HAIL             DAVIE                   26.09N  80.30W
06/13/2014  E1.00 INCH       BROWARD            FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER MFL1400211

RIVERA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
404 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

FLZ073-074-173-132045-
INLAND MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL-METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE COUNTY FL-
404 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL INLAND MIAMI-DADE
COUNTY...SOUTHERN METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE AND CENTRAL COASTAL MIAMI
DADE COUNTY...

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT

* AT 403 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER THE HAMMOCKS...OR NEAR KENDALL...MOVING
  SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH.  LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  MIAMI...CORAL GABLES...SOUTH MIAMI...KENDALL...BLACK POINT...THE
  REDLAND...PINECREST...SWEETWATER...WEST MIAMI...CUTLER BAY...
  UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI...PRINCETON...ZOO MIAMI...UNIVERSITY PARK...
  GLENVAR HEIGHTS...KENDALE LAKES...RICHMOND WEST...WEST KENDALL...
  CORAL TERRACE AND SUNSET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON
SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING
AND LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2571 8025 2569 8025 2569 8026 2565 8027
      2563 8028 2563 8029 2561 8031 2557 8030
      2554 8031 2554 8032 2553 8033 2547 8034
      2562 8059 2580 8049 2575 8021
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 298DEG 9KT 2568 8045

AK