Tornado Warning 50, NWS Memphis, TN

612 
WWUS54 KMEG 090635
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
135 AM CDT MON JUN 9 2014

MSC009-071-093-145-090645-
/O.CAN.KMEG.TO.W.0050.000000T0000Z-140609T0645Z/
BENTON MS-UNION MS-MARSHALL MS-LAFAYETTE MS-
135 AM CDT MON JUN 9 2014

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL LAFAYETTE...SOUTHERN
MARSHALL...NORTHWESTERN UNION AND SOUTH CENTRAL BENTON COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

AT 135 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND NO LONGER 
POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE 
TORNADO WARNING IS CANCELLED.

.A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALERT
AREA.

LAT...LON 3476 8920 3451 8907 3452 8966 3470 8966
TIME...MOT...LOC 0635Z 272DEG 30KT 3461 8947

$$

30

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1129 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2014

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 958 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2014/

UPDATE...

AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO SET OFF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ARKANSAS...NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST
OVERNIGHT AS A WARM FRONT...LOCATED FROM COAHOMA COUNTY TO MONROE
COUNTY MISSISSIPPI...BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHWARD. THERE IS A SMALL
CHANCE SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE NEAR THIS BOUNDARY THUS THE
REASONING FOR THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. HAVE ALREADY ADJUSTED
POPS UPWARD TO ACCOUNT FOR THE NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH A FEW
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THAT IS PUSHING ACROSS EASTERN ARKANSAS AND
INTO WEST TENNESSEE. REST OF FORECAST LOOKS GOOD.

KRM

DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 407 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2014/

UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING
SOME RAIN AND THEN AN UPPER LEVEL LOW AND SURFACE LOW MOVE CLOSER
TO THE MID-SOUTH WHICH WILL BRING SOME HEAVY RAIN TO THE MID-SOUTH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE HEAVY
RAIN. SOME AREAS MAY SEE 4 INCHES. MOST AREAS WILL SEE BETWEEN 2
TO 3 INCHES BY TUESDAY EVENING.

THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE LAST COUPLE OF
DAYS WITH CONVECTION ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AND SOME SEVERE WEATHER
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH ON TUESDAY EVENING.
HOWEVER...THE LATER HALF OF THE WEEK WILL CONTINUE TO BE
UNSETTLED AS SOME UPPER LEVEL WAVES MOVE THROUGH THE MID-SOUTH.

TLSJR

&&

.AVIATION...

06Z TAF CYCLE

A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING. NUMEROUS SHRAS WITH EMBEDDED TSRAS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT BEFORE
TAPERING OFF TOWARD MORNING. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND LATER MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING.

CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY DETERIORATE TO MVFR LATER TONIGHT WITH
LOCAL IFR CONDS. CONDS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATER MONDAY MORNING
BEFORE DETERIORATING ONCE AGAIN BY MONDAY EVENING WITH THE NEXT
ROUND OF SHRAS/TSRAS.

WINDS TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING WILL GRADUALLY VEER FROM THE
EAST...SE AND EVENTUALLY S/SW BY MON AFTN.

SJM

&&

.AVIATION...

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR BENTON TN-CARROLL-
     CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-
     HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-
     MCNAIRY-OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
454 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2014

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-091200-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
454 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EASTERN ARKANSAS INTO NORTH MISSISSIPPI. THE PRIMARY SEVERE
WEATHER RISKS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL ALSO BE A THREAT IN THESE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
THERE WILL LIKELY BE A CONTINUED THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL SEVERE
STORMS AND FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH. ADDITIONAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS DUE TO THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR SEVERE
STORMS AND FLOODING. STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...AND
LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS ARE URGED TO REPORT ANY WIND
DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MEMPHIS TENNESSEE.

JLH