Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Memphis, TN

466 
WWUS54 KMEG 040904
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
404 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

MSC115-040914-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140404T0945Z/
PONTOTOC MS-
404 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN PONTOTOC COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

AT 404 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3374 8825 3374 8831 3369 8835 3365 8851
      3368 8851 3367 8872 3380 8873 3381 8874
      3381 8892 3375 8893 3372 8922 3381 8920
      3382 8909 3407 8899 3407 8883 3416 8882
      3438 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 0904Z 230DEG 53KT 3414 8882

$$

MSC013-017-057-081-095-040945-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140404T0945Z/
MONROE MS-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA MS-CHICKASAW MS-CALHOUN MS-
404 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CALHOUN...CHICKASAW...SOUTHERN ITAWAMBA...SOUTHERN
LEE AND MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 404 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6
MILES NORTHEAST OF OAKLAND...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VERONA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ABERDEEN...
AMORY...FULTON...GATTMAN...HATLEY...HOUSTON...NETTLETON...OAKLAND...
OKOLONA...VERONA...WOODLAND...JACINTO...RICHMOND AND OLD UNION.

 THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR BAY SPRINGS LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A STORM SHELTER OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3374 8825 3374 8831 3369 8835 3365 8851
      3368 8851 3367 8872 3380 8873 3381 8874
      3381 8892 3375 8893 3372 8922 3381 8920
      3382 8909 3407 8899 3407 8883 3416 8882
      3438 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 0904Z 230DEG 53KT 3414 8882

$$

171 
WWUS54 KMEG 040917
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
417 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

MSC013-040927-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140404T0945Z/
CALHOUN MS-
417 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

AT 417 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3374 8825 3374 8831 3369 8835 3365 8851
      3368 8851 3367 8872 3381 8874 3381 8892
      3375 8893 3374 8919 3382 8909 3407 8899
      3407 8883 3416 8882 3438 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 0917Z 230DEG 53KT 3426 8864

$$

MSC017-057-081-095-040945-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140404T0945Z/
MONROE MS-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA MS-CHICKASAW MS-
417 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 AM CDT
FOR CHICKASAW...SOUTHERN ITAWAMBA...SOUTHERN LEE AND MONROE
COUNTIES...

AT 417 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR PLANTERSVILLE...OR NEAR VERONA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ABERDEEN...
AMORY...FULTON...GATTMAN...HATLEY...HOUSTON...NETTLETON...OAKLAND...
OKOLONA...VERONA...WOODLAND...JACINTO...RICHMOND AND OLD UNION.

 THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR BAY SPRINGS LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A STORM SHELTER OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3374 8825 3374 8831 3369 8835 3365 8851
      3368 8851 3367 8872 3381 8874 3381 8892
      3375 8893 3374 8919 3382 8909 3407 8899
      3407 8883 3416 8882 3438 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 0917Z 230DEG 53KT 3426 8864

$$

479 
WWUS54 KMEG 040938
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
438 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

MSC017-081-040948-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140404T0945Z/
LEE MS-CHICKASAW MS-
438 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CHICKASAW AND SOUTHERN LEE
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

AT 438 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3374 8825 3374 8831 3369 8835 3365 8851
      3368 8851 3367 8872 3382 8872 3388 8870
      3401 8853 3412 8850 3438 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 230DEG 53KT 3446 8835

$$

MSC057-095-040945-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140404T0945Z/
MONROE MS-ITAWAMBA MS-
438 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN ITAWAMBA AND MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 438 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF BOUNDS CROSSROADS...OR 12 MILES NORTH
OF FULTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ABERDEEN...
AMORY...GATTMAN...HATLEY...JACINTO...BOUNDS CROSSROADS...TILDEN...
CARDSVILLE...TURON...CADAMY...BIGBEE...PARHAM...SPLUNGE AND SIPSEY
FORK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A STORM SHELTER OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3374 8825 3374 8831 3369 8835 3365 8851
      3368 8851 3367 8872 3382 8872 3388 8870
      3401 8853 3412 8850 3438 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 230DEG 53KT 3446 8835

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1243 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 06Z TAFS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 844 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014/

DISCUSSION...

CURRENTLY...RELATIVELY QUIET ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH FOR THE MOMENT.
THE OVERALL THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS DIMINISHED SOME AND THE
MODERATE RISK HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THE
MIDSOUTH. A CAP HAS PREVENTED DEVELOPMENT FOR MUCH OF THE DAY
WHILE THE QUALITY OF THE WARM SECTOR IS ONLY MODEST WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S AND SBCAPES 1000-1500 J/KG. THE CAP
IS FINALLY STARTING TO WEAKEN AS COLD AIR ALOFT FROM THE
APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROF PUSHES OVER THE WARM SECTOR. DISCRETE
CELLS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS NRN AR INTO SOUTHERN MO. THIS TREND
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND THIS ACTIVITY WILL
THREATEN NORTHERN AREAS OF THE MIDSOUTH WHERE A TORNADO WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT. AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES CELLS WILL
MERGE INTO A LINE AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES EAST. THIS LINE
WILL SWEEP EAST LATER TONIGHT WITH DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY AND SOME
HAIL POSSIBLE.

SJM

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014/

FOCUSING ON THE SHORT TERM ONLY FOR THIS UPDATE...A QUICK LOOK AT
THE LONG TERM FORECAST GUIDANCE LOOKS IN LINE WITH THE GOING
FORECAST SO WILL FOCUS ON THE PROBLEM AT HAND.

BOTH SHORTWAVE RIDGING AND CLOUD COVER HAVE HELPED KEEP
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH TO A MINIMUM TODAY. A COUPLE OF
ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AND APPROACHED EAST
ARKANSAS ONLY TO FALL APART BEFORE REACHING THE MIDSOUTH. NEVER
FELT ALL THAT COMFORTABLE WITH PRE FRONTAL CONVECTION IN THE
MIDSOUTH TODAY. STILL CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW PRE FRONTAL STORM THIS
AFTERNOON. THE ATMOSPHERE IS VERY UNSTABLE FEATURING CAPES OF 2000
J/KG AND LI'S OF -6. BUT I THINK THE SPECIAL SOUNDING AT LITTLE
ROCK TELLS THE STORY. WITH THE LACK OF ADDITIONAL DYNAMIC SUPPORT
WE WOULD NEED TO REACH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 80S FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.

STILL FEEL CERTAIN WE ARE IN FOR A BUSY NIGHT AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE
SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA AND THE LONGWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST PROVIDING THE ADDITIONAL UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. WE COULD EVEN SEE A FEW PRE FRONTAL STORMS DESPITE
DIMINISHING THERMODYNAMIC SUPPORT. THE LATEST RAPID REFRESH RUN
SUGGESTS THIS WILL BE THE CASE SHOWING AT LEAST A COUPLE OF
STORMS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH BY 9-10 PM. WIND PROFILES DO NOT LOOK
AS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AS THE ONCE DID IN FORECAST GUIDANCE.
GROUND OBSERVATIONS INDICATE SURFACE WINDS ARE FROM THE SOUTH
SOUTHWEST INSTEAD OF THE MORE FAVORABLE SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST
DIRECTION. NEVERTHELESS IF WE ARE TO SEE ANY SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES
IT WOULD MOST LIKELY BE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THESE PRE FRONTAL
STORMS. DYNAMIC PARAMETERS IMPROVE PRIOR TO 06Z AS A 50-60 MID
LEVEL JET DEVELOPS ACROSS THE AREA. IF WINDS SHIFT JUST SLIGHTLY
MORE SOUTHERLY...OR SOUTHEASTERLY CONDITIONS WOULD IMPROVE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES. GUIDANCE 0-3KM SRH RANGES FROM 150-250
M2/S2 BY THE GFS...TO 200-300 MS/S2 ACCORDING TO THE NAM. FEEL LIKE
THE GREATEST THREAT OF A TORNADO WOULD BE ACROSS NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS AROUND 8-10 PM. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WOULD ALSO
BE LIKELY WITH ANY DISCRETE STORMS.

THE MAIN THREAT OF STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT. AT 3 PM...THE FRONT IS STILL IN EAST OKLAHOMA WAITING FOR
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO SHIFT IT TO THE EAST. IT SHOULD BEGIN
THAT MOVEMENT WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND APPROACH EAST ARKANSAS
AROUND MIDNIGHT...MEMPHIS AND JACKSON TN AROUND 3-4 AM AND EXIT
THE MIDSOUTH BY 6 AM. IT MAY TAKE ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO TO TOTALLY
EXIT NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. BOWING SEGMENTS WITHIN THE SQUALL LINE
MAY PRODUCE 55-65 MPH STRAIGHT LINE WIND AND ISOLATED
QUICK...COMPARATIVELY WEAK/COMPARED TO THE DISCRETE CELLS
DISCUSSED ABOVE/ TORNADOES. LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. MID-SOUTHERNERS
CAN BE EXPECTED TO BE WOKEN UP BY THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.

FLOODING IS ALSO A CONCERN. PW'S AROUND 1.50 INCHES COULD RESULT
IN HEAVY RAINFALL RATES. IF MULTIPLE STORMS IMPACT THE SAME
AREA...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

30

AVIATION...

00Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. AS
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT...CEILINGS
WILL LOWER TO MVFR LEVELS AND VISIBILITIES WILL LOWER AT TIMES AS
WELL. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT THE REGION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON
ALLOWING VFR CONDITIONS TO RETURN. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH AT 10 TO 20
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

06Z TAFS

LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS STARTING TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. BRIEF IFR
CONDITIONS DUE TO STORMS. WINDS WILL PICK UP AS FRONT MOVES CLOSER
TO AREA AND THEN SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. BY THIS AFTERNOON STORMS WILL
BE PAST AREA AND WINDS WILL LOWER ALONG WITH VFR CONDITIONS.  TLSJR

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  45  64  47  65 /   0   0  10  50
MKL  40  60  43  63 /   0   0  10  40
JBR  40  61  43  63 /   0   0  10  40
TUP  43  64  47  64 /   0   0  20  50

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
337 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-051045-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
337 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE PREDAWN
HOURS TODAY... OVER NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND AREAS OF WEST TENNESSEE
EAST OF THE MEMPHIS METRO. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS...WITH TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL SECONDARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

PWB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
248 AM CDT FRI APR 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0226 AM     TSTM WND GST     ROBINSONVILLE           34.82N 90.32W
04/04/2014  E60.00 MPH       TUNICA             MS   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

TLS/PJB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
310 AM CDT FRI APR 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG CLARKSDALE              34.20N 90.58W
04/04/2014                   COAHOMA            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN IN CRASKDALE AND AROUND COAHOMA COUNTY ALONG
            WITH SOME MINOR DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS.

0250 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST OLIVE BRANCH            34.95N 89.83W
04/04/2014  E65.00 MPH       DESOTO             MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0253 AM     TSTM WND DMG     OLIVE BRANCH            34.95N 89.83W
04/04/2014                   DESOTO             MS   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES DOWN NEAR PLEASANT HILL ROAD AND GETWELL.

&&

TLSJR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
317 AM CDT FRI APR 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CRENSHAW                34.50N 90.19W
04/04/2014                   PANOLA             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER OUTAGES AND TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT PANOLA COUNTY...
            A CANOPY WAS BLOWN OFF A BUILDING AND A RADIO ANTENNA WAS
            BLOWN DOWN NEAR CRENSHAW

&&

JPM