Severe Thunderstorm Warning 184, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
407 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING
SOME RAIN AND THEN AN UPPER LEVEL LOW AND SURFACE LOW MOVE CLOSER
TO THE MID-SOUTH WHICH WILL BRING SOME HEAVY RAIN TO THE MID-SOUTH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE HEAVY
RAIN. SOME AREAS MAY SEE 4 INCHES. MOST AREAS WILL SEE BETWEEN 2 TO
3 INCHES BY TUESDAY EVENING.

THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE LAST COUPLE OF
DAYS WITH CONVECTION ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AND SOME SEVERE WEATHER
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH ON TUESDAY EVENING.
HOWEVER...THE LATER HALF OF THE WEEK WILL CONTINUE TO BE
UNSETTELED AS SOME UPPER LEVEL WAVES MOVE THROUGH THE MID-SOUTH.

TLSJR

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAF CYCLE (08/18Z-09/18Z)

MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE AT KMKL AND KTUP EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AT THE TAF SITES
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT THROUGH THE
REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BEGINNING AFTER 06Z AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...CONDITIONS
GRADUALLY BECOMING PREDOMINATELY MVFR.

WINDS THIS AFTERNOON N-NE 7-8 KTS. WINDS TONIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING TURNING TO THE EAST THEN SE AT 5-8 KTS.

JCL

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 AM CDT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-
     MISSISSIPPI-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 AM CDT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 AM CDT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-
     ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-
     PRENTISS-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
     UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 AM CDT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR BENTON TN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-
     GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-
     LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
454 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2014

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-091200-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
454 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EASTERN ARKANSAS INTO NORTH MISSISSIPPI. THE PRIMARY SEVERE
WEATHER RISKS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL ALSO BE A THREAT IN THESE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
THERE WILL LIKELY BE A CONTINUED THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL SEVERE
STORMS AND FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH. ADDITIONAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS DUE TO THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR SEVERE
STORMS AND FLOODING. STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...AND
LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS ARE URGED TO REPORT ANY WIND
DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MEMPHIS TENNESSEE.

JLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
619 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     W HOUSTON               33.90N 89.00W
06/08/2014                   CHICKASAW          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN WEST OF HOUSTON.

&&

MRM