Alert archive / Tennessee / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 9, NWS Memphis, TN

February 4, 2014Madison County, Tennessee

NWS Memphis, TN issued this river flood warning at Feb 4, 2014, 8:38 PM CST for Madison County, Tennessee. It took effect at Feb 4, 2014, 9:42 PM CST. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Feb 4, 2014, 8:38 PM CST (02:38 UTC)
In effect from: Feb 4, 2014, 9:42 PM CST
Expired: Feb 5, 2014, 7:26 AM CST
In force: 10 hr
Issued by: NWS Memphis, TN
Flood severity: Minor

County Madison County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point South Fork Forked Deer River at Jackson (JKNT1).

Action stage: 32 ft
Minor stage: 34 ft
Moderate stage: 37.5 ft
Major stage: 39 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

691 
WGUS44 KMEG 050238
FLWMEG
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
838 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE S.F. 
FORKED DEER RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FOLLOWUP FLOOD STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC113-060238-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.W.0009.140205T0342Z-140206T2100Z/
/JKNT1.1.ER.140205T0342Z.140205T1200Z.140206T1500Z.NO/
838 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS TN HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE S.F. FORKED DEER RIVER AT JACKSON
* FROM TUESDAY FEBRUARY 04 UNTIL THURSDAY FEBRUARY 06.
* AT 08 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...33.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 34.5 FEET WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 05.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY FEBRUARY 04 AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 34.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 05. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY FEBRUARY 06.
AT 35.0 FEET,  THE RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS FLOODING LOW LYING AREAS OF 
THE UNIVERSITY AGRICULTURE FACILITY.  

&&

LAT...LON GENNERALLY AFFECTS AREA SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF JACKSON


$$

1 follow-up statement

789 
WGUS84 KMEG 051326
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
726 AM CST WED FEB 5 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE S.F. FORKED DEER RIVER
AT JACKSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC113-051356-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140206T2100Z/
/JKNT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
726 AM CST WED FEB 5 2014

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  S.F. FORKED DEER RIVER AT JACKSON
* AT 7 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.9 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL QUICKLY.
* AT 34.0 FEET...BUSINESSES ALONG WESTOVER ROAD ARE AFFECTED BY 
  FLOOD WATERS



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 4, 5:43 PM CST, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 4, 5:43 PM CST, 2 hours 55 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
543 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014

.UPDATE...
UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ACTIVE WINTER DAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH...WITH SIGNIFICANT
ICING UNDERWAY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40... AND OVER THE MS RIVER
DELTA SOUTHWEST OF MEMPHIS.

AT MIDAFTERNOON... GOES WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OVER KS...LIFTING NORTHEAST. A DRYSLOT WAS EVIDENT...EXTENDING
ACROSS TX...NORTHEAST INTO THE WESTERN OZARK PLATEAU. KLZK RADAR
SHOWED THE BACK EDGE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR LITTLE ROCK. THIS
PRECIPITATION WAS OF LOWER INTENSITY THAN WHAT WAS OCCURRING FURTHER
EAST TOWARD MEMPHIS. THIS MAIN BAND OF PRECIP...ALONG THE MS RIVER
AND SUPPORTED BY AN ELEVATED WARM CONVEYOR BELT...WAS ORIENTED
RIGHT ALONG THE 0C SURFACE ISOTHERM. THE ADVERTISED WARM UP INTO
THE UPPER 30S BY NAM SURFACE PROGS AND BY GFS/NAM MOS GUIDANCE
FAILED TO MATERIALIZE... DESPITE RELATIVELY HIGH WET BULB ZEROS.
SUFFICIENT ICING HAD OCCURRED OVER WESTERN AND NORTHERN SHELBY
COUNTY TO DOWN TREE LIMBS AND INTERRUPT POWER. SEE LATEST LSR
PRODUCT FOR COMPLETE LIST OF ICE DAMAGE REPORTS.

FOR THE EARLY EVENING...INCLUDING RUSH HOUR. HEAVIER RAIN WILL
LIFT EAST OF THE METRO...WITH TEMPS HOVERING NEAR FREEZING.
TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ON THE EDGE OF PASSABLE AND
HAZARDOUS. TEMPS IN MEMPHIS SHOULD FALL BELOW FREEZING FOR GOOD
BY 7 TO 8 PM...WITH PRECIP ENDING DURING THAT PERIOD.

HAVE EXTENDED WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES THROUGH MIDNIGHT OVER ALL
BUT NORTHEAST AR... WHICH RUNS THROUGH 8 PM. BASED ON PRECIP
TRENDS...THESE HEADLINES MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY. SLICK ROADWAYS
WILL PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

FEW CHANGES FOR THE MID AND LATTER PORTION OF THE WORKWEEK.
MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR OVER THE CENTRAL MS RIVER VALLEY WILL SETTLE
INTO THE MIDSOUTH...KEEPING DAYTIME TEMPS 25 TO 30 DEGREES BELOW
DAYTIME NORMAL MAX TEMPS.

12Z GFS AND ECMWF WERE WEAKER WITH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND SYSTEM...
SHOWING MORE OF FAST MOVING OPEN WAVE. THERMAL PROFILES STILL
FAVORABLE FOR SNOW...BUT AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE WILL BE MORE LIMITED
THAN IT APPEARED EARLIER. WEEKEND TEMPS REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL.

PWB

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE

IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE FIRST HALF OF
THE TAF PERIOD WITH RAIN...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES...SLOWLY
COMING TO END FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES STILL
EXPECTED TO DROP TO BELOW FREEZING AT MEM...MKL LATE THIS
EVENING...WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE THAT PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE
WILL DEVELOP. WHERE AS JBR...ALREADY BELOW FREEZING...MAY SEE AN
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW AND ICE PELLETS EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT AND SLOWLY BACK FROM THE NORTHEAST TO MORE WESTERLY.

THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD CIGS WILL LIFT TO MVFR AND
BRIEFLY VFR AT JBR AND MEM LATE AS DRIER AIR WORKS IN. NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 12-14 KTS...GUSTING TO AROUND 20 KTS.

JAB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  27  34  16  24 /  70  10   0  10
MKL  27  33  17  24 /  80  10   0  10
JBR  23  30  12  17 /  40  10   0  20
TUP  33  39  22  36 / 100  10   0  10

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR CLAY-
     CRAIGHEAD-GREENE-LAWRENCE-RANDOLPH.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR CRITTENDEN-
     CROSS-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR DUNKLIN.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR PEMISCOT.

MS...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR COAHOMA-
     DESOTO-TUNICA.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR BENTON MS-
     MARSHALL-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE.

TN...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR CARROLL-
     CROCKETT-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HAYWOOD-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-
     OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR CHESTER-
     HARDEMAN-HENDERSON-MADISON.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 4, 8:33 PM CST, 5 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
833 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-060245-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
833 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TENNESSEE WHERE SIGNIFICANT ICING WILL
CONTINUE.

ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WEST TENNESSEE...EAST AND NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...AND NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI...TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY FALL THIS EVENING WITH MOST
LOCATIONS DROPPING BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING DRIZZLE
MAY REDEVELOP ACROSS THESE AREAS AND MAY RESULT IN ICY ROADWAYS
LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. ELEVATED ROAD SURFACES SUCH
AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO ICING.

FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AND MAY
RESULT IN ICY SPOTS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ACROSS WEST
TENNESSEE...EAST AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL...AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY. IN
AREAS WHERE SIGNIFICANT ICE HAS ACCUMULATED...THESE WINDS MAY BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO DOWN ADDITIONAL TREES AND POWER LINES. ADDITIONAL
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR WINTER WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS
WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE RELAY ANY WINTER WEATHER REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MEMPHIS.

JLH

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 4, 5:31 PM CST, 3 hours 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
531 PM CST TUE FEB 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0131 PM     FLOOD            GREENFIELD              36.16N 88.80W
02/04/2014                   WEAKLEY            TN   PUBLIC

            ROADS FLOODED AROUND GREENFIELD...TENNESSEE.

&&

TLSJR/PJB

Local storm report, Feb 4, 5:52 PM CST, 2 hours 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
552 PM CST TUE FEB 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0131 PM     FLOOD            JACKSON                 35.63N 88.83W
02/04/2014                   MADISON            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ASHPORT ROAD FLOODED NEAR 45 BYPASS.

&&

TLSJR/PJB

Local storm report, Feb 4, 6:06 PM CST, 2 hours 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
606 PM CST TUE FEB 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0131 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RIPLEY                  34.73N 88.94W
02/04/2014                   TIPPAH             MS   PUBLIC

            ROAD NEAR HWY 15 FLOODED.

&&

TLSJR/PJB

Local storm report, Feb 4, 6:28 PM CST, 2 hours 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
628 PM CST TUE FEB 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0131 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 NW JACKSON            35.68N 88.89W
02/04/2014                   MADISON            TN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            FLOODING OF ROAD AND YARDS. ROAD IS NOW CLOSED.

&&

TLSJR/PJB

Local storm report, Feb 4, 7:32 PM CST, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
732 PM CST TUE FEB 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 PM     FLASH FLOOD      JACKSON                 35.63N 88.83W
02/04/2014                   MADISON            TN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            OLD MEDINA ROAD AT COOPER ANDERSON ROAD CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING

&&

JPM

Local storm report, Feb 4, 7:46 PM CST, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
746 PM CST TUE FEB 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     ICE STORM        CLARKTON                36.45N 89.97W
02/04/2014                   DUNKLIN            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROADS ARE VERY SLICK AND SERVAL ELECTRICAL TRANSFORMERS
            HAVE BLOWN

&&

JPM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 4, 6:15 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	Chester, Decatur, Hardin, Henderson, McNairy, Madison	4 hr
Feb 4, 8:29 PM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	Crockett, Dyer, Lauderdale	9 days
Feb 4, 8:35 PM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	Obion, Weakley	26 hr
Feb 4, 8:37 PM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	Dyer, Gibson, Obion	3 days
Feb 4, 8:39 PM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	Fayette, Shelby	10 hr
Feb 5, 9:40 AM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	Madison	59 hr
Feb 5, 3:22 PM CST	Wind Chill Advisory	MEG	Dyer, Lake, Lauderdale, Obion	19 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Tennessee, 2014 Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.