River Flood Warning 49, NWS Memphis, TN

529 
WGUS84 KMEG 191646
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1146 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE LITTLE TALLAHATCHIE CANAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED SATURDAY EVENING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

MSC071-093-145-191716-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-140719T1800Z/
/ETAM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1146 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2014

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  LITTLE TALLAHATCHIE CANAL AT ETTA
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 21.3 FEET SATURDAY JULY 19.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN 21.3 FEET SATURDAY JULY 19.


&&

LAT...LON 3466 8944 3466 8910 3446 8912 3434 8925
      3441 8944                       

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
637 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

.UPDATE...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

JCL

&&

.DISCUSSION...  /ISSUED 252 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014...CORRECTED/

CURRENTLY RAIN WAS BEGINNING TO WIND DOWN OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF
OF THE MIDSOUTH WITH THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY STILL LINGERING OVER
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. QPF AMOUNTS HAVE RANGED FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES
OVER NORTH MISSISSIPPI WITH UP TO AN INCH STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH 7
PM. WILL EXPIRE THE FLASHFLOOD BY 3 PM AS THE BULK OF THE RAIN HAS
SHIFTED EAST OF THE MOST PRONED AREA. THE RAIN AND CLOUDS HAVE
KEPT TEMPERATURES TODAY QUITE COOL...WITH LOW MAX RECORDS LIKELY
TO BE BROKEN FOR THE DAY.

FOR TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL MOVE
LITTLE THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THE LATEST POSITION DRAPED JUST
NORTH OF I-20. THIS WILL KEEP LOW CLOUDS...LIGHT
RAIN/DRIZZLE AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION AS THE
UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HOWEVER MAY DEVELOP
OVER THE FAR EAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH THE REMAINING TROUGH
DYNAMICS. FOR THIS REASON HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES AND GONE WELL
BELOW GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS TOMORROW. CLOUDS WILL START TO ERODE
TOMORROW NIGHT AS THE RIDGE STARTS TO BUILD IN...SO PATCHY FOG IS
LIKELY TO FORM.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE MIDSOUTH WILL LIE ON THE EASTERN
FRINGES OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. GFS MOS
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW HIGHS JUMPING INTO THE MID AND UPPER
90S STARTING MONDAY. TRENDS THIS SUMMER HAVE SHOWN A COOLER
OUTCOME...ESPECIALLY WITH ALL THE RECENT RAIN LEADING TO GREEN
VEGETATION. SO HAVE KEPT TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOWER 90S AS A
RESULT. RAIN CHANCES APPEAR MINIMAL AND CONFINED TO THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE CWA WHERE INFLUENCES FROM THE RIDGE WILL BE WEAKER.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND DEWPOINTS WILL REBOUND BACK TO THE LOW
70S. THUS HEAT INDICES WILL ALSO CLIMB BUT WILL HOVER BELOW THE
105F HEAT ADVISORY THRESHOLD.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THE RIDGE IS PROJECTED TO BUILD NORTH
INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW A TROUGH
TO BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION. WEAK
DISTURBANCES ROUNDING THE RIDGE WILL SEND A COLD FRONT INTO THE
LOWER OHIO VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AFTERNOON INSTABILITY
COUPLED WITH THE APPROACHING BOUNDARY WILL GIVE THE ENTIRE
MIDSOUTH BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN FOR LATER IN THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN AT OR JUST A DEGREE BELOW NORMAL.

JAB

&&

.AVIATION...

00Z TAF CYCLE (19/00Z-20/00Z)

CONDITIONS LOWERING TONIGHT TO IFR IN STRATUS AND FOG. LIFR
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AT KMKL AND KTUP. AREAS OF RAIN
CONTINUING THIS EVENING AROUND KTUP...OTHERWISE DRIZZLE DEVELOPING
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. AFTER 19Z/14Z...CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO
MVFR. WINDS TONIGHT MAINLY E-NE 4-9 KTS. WINDS SATURDAY 4-7 KTS
VARYING IN DIRECTION FROM W-NW AT KTUP TO MAINLY N-NE ELSEWHERE.

JCL

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
304 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-192215-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
304 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

JAB