River Flood Warning 33, NWS Memphis, TN

612 
WGUS84 KMEG 280214
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
914 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER...TOMBIGBEE 
RIVER...TOMBIGBEE RIVER .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED MONDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

MSC095-290214-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0032.140429T1704Z-140501T0417Z/
/BGBM6.1.ER.140429T1704Z.140430T0000Z.140430T2217Z.NO/
914 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER  AT BIGBEE
* FROM TUESDAY APRIL 29 UNTIL WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* AT 08 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 15.8 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY APRIL 29 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 15.8 FEET BY TUESDAY APRIL 29.THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* AT 17.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER PORTIONS OF HOOD ROAD AND 
  EXTENSIVE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING IS OCCURRING

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8852 3409 8840 3399 8852 3406 8857


$$

MSC095-290213-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0033.140429T0928Z-140501T0508Z/
/AMYM6.1.ER.140429T0928Z.140430T0000Z.140430T2308Z.NO/
914 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR AMORY
* FROM TUESDAY APRIL 29 UNTIL WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* AT 08 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 23.5 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY APRIL 29 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY TUESDAY APRIL 29.THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* AT 23.0 FEET...MOST LOW LAND AND FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS 
  FLOODED. EQUIPMENT AND LIVESTOCK MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER 
  GROUND

&&

LAT...LON 3406 8857 3399 8852 3393 8854 3394 8856
      3402 8858                       

$$

MSC087-095-290213-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0031.140429T1732Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.140429T1732Z.140430T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN
* FROM TUESDAY APRIL 29 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 08 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 14.9 FEET WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY APRIL 29 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 14.9 FEET BY WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* AT 15.0 FEET...WATER IS COVERING A PORTION OF AIRBASE ROAD LOCATED
  ON THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER. LOW LYING FARM LAND IS FLOODED

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8829 3409 8821 3373 8826 3365 8843
      3370 8844 3375 8839             

$$

559 
WGUS84 KMEG 281548
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1048 AM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER...SAINT 
FRANCIS RIVER...TOMBIGBEE RIVER...TOMBIGBEE RIVER .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED MONDAY EVENING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC021-055-MOC069-291548-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-140502T0412Z/
/SFRA4.1.ER.140428T1038Z.140429T0600Z.140501T0412Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER NEAR SAINT FRANCIS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 24.0 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY APRIL 28 AND WILL CONTINUE 
  RISING TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY TUESDAY APRIL 29. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* AT 25.0 FEET...FLOOD WATER BEGINS FLOWING OVER THE LOWER PLACES IN
  THE LEVEE NEAR COUNTY HIGHWAY 338 NORTH OF SAINT FRANCIS

&&

LAT...LON 3663 9014 3636 9000 3603 9028 3610 9038
      3633 9018 3649 9021             

$$

MSC095-291548-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0032.140429T1013Z-140502T0336Z/
/BGBM6.1.ER.140429T1013Z.140429T1800Z.140501T2136Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER  AT BIGBEE
* FROM TUESDAY APRIL 29 UNTIL THURSDAY MAY 01.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 15.9 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY APRIL 29 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 15.9 FEET BY TUESDAY APRIL 29.THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MAY 01.
* AT 17.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER PORTIONS OF HOOD ROAD AND 
  EXTENSIVE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING IS OCCURRING

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8852 3409 8840 3399 8852 3406 8857


$$

MSC095-291548-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0033.140429T0420Z-140501T1648Z/
/AMYM6.1.ER.140429T0420Z.140429T1800Z.140501T1048Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR AMORY
* FROM MONDAY APRIL 28 UNTIL THURSDAY MAY 01.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 23.5 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY APRIL 28 AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY TUESDAY APRIL 29.THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MAY 01.
* AT 23.0 FEET...MOST LOW LAND AND FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS 
  FLOODED. EQUIPMENT AND LIVESTOCK MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER 
  GROUND

&&

LAT...LON 3406 8857 3399 8852 3393 8854 3394 8856
      3402 8858                       

$$

MSC087-095-291548-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0031.140429T1851Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.140429T1851Z.140501T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN
* FROM TUESDAY APRIL 29 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 14.3 FEET WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY APRIL 29 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* AT 14.0 FEET...FLOOD WATER BEGINS TO COVER AIRBASE ROAD LOCATED ON 
  THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER. LOW LYING FARMLAND LAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  ALSO BEGINS TO FLOOD

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8829 3409 8821 3373 8826 3365 8843
      3370 8844 3375 8839             

$$

930 
WGUS84 KMEG 290121
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
821 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER AND 
TOMBIGBEE RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED WHEN CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

MSC095-300121-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0032.140429T1013Z-140502T0336Z/
/BGBM6.1.ER.140429T1013Z.140429T1800Z.140501T2136Z.NO/
821 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER  AT BIGBEE
* FROM TUESDAY APRIL 29 UNTIL THURSDAY MAY 1.
* AT 7 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 15.9 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY APRIL 29 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 15.9 FEET. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MAY 1.
* AT 17.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER PORTIONS OF HOOD ROAD AND 
  EXTENSIVE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING IS OCCURRING

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8852 3409 8840 3399 8852 3406 8857


$$

MSC095-300121-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0033.140429T0521Z-140501T1648Z/
/AMYM6.1.ER.140429T0521Z.140429T1800Z.140501T1048Z.NO/
821 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR AMORY
* FROM TUESDAY APRIL 29 UNTIL THURSDAY MAY 01.
* AT 7 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 23.5 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY APRIL 29 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MAY 1.
* AT 23.0 FEET...MOST LOW LAND AND FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS 
  FLOODED. EQUIPMENT AND LIVESTOCK MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER 
  GROUND

&&

LAT...LON 3406 8857 3399 8852 3393 8854 3394 8856
      3402 8858                       

$$

MSC087-095-300120-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0031.140429T1851Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.140429T1851Z.140501T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
821 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN
* FROM TUESDAY APRIL 29 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 14.3 FEET WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY APRIL 29 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* AT 14.0 FEET...FLOOD WATER BEGINS TO COVER AIRBASE ROAD LOCATED ON 
  THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER. LOW LYING FARMLAND LAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  ALSO BEGINS TO FLOOD

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8829 3409 8821 3373 8826 3365 8843
      3370 8844 3375 8839             

$$

594 
WGUS84 KMEG 290133
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT...UPDATED AND CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
833 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER AND 
TOMBIGBEE RIVER....

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED WHEN CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

MSC095-300133-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0032.140429T1141Z-140502T0600Z/
/BGBM6.1.ER.140429T1141Z.140430T0000Z.140502T0000Z.NO/
833 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER  AT BIGBEE
* FROM TUESDAY APRIL 29 UNTIL THURSDAY MAY 01.
* AT 7 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 17.4 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY APRIL 29 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 17.4 FEET. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MAY 1.
* AT 17.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER PORTIONS OF HOOD ROAD AND 
  EXTENSIVE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING IS OCCURRING

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8852 3409 8840 3399 8852 3406 8857


$$

MSC095-300133-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0033.140429T0928Z-140501T1400Z/
/AMYM6.1.ER.140429T0928Z.140430T0000Z.140501T0800Z.NO/
833 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR AMORY
* FROM TUESDAY APRIL 29 UNTIL THURSDAY MAY 01.
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 24.2 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY APRIL 29 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 24.2 FEET. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MAY 1.
* AT 25.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOWLAND AND FARMLAND FLOODING IS 
  OCCURRING

&&

LAT...LON 3406 8857 3399 8852 3393 8854 3394 8856
      3402 8858                       

$$

MSC087-095-300132-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0031.140429T1832Z-140503T1630Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.140429T1832Z.140430T0600Z.140503T1030Z.NO/
833 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN
* FROM TUESDAY APRIL 29 UNTIL SATURDAY MAY 3.
* AT 7 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 14.3 FEET WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY APRIL 29 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY APRIL 30.THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MAY 03.
* AT 14.0 FEET...FLOOD WATER BEGINS TO COVER AIRBASE ROAD LOCATED ON 
  THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER. LOW LYING FARMLAND LAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  ALSO BEGINS TO FLOOD

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8829 3409 8821 3373 8826 3365 8843
      3370 8844 3375 8839             

$$

415 
WGUS84 KMEG 291720
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1220 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER...TOMBIGBEE 
RIVER...TOMBIGBEE RIVER .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TUESDAY EVENING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

MSC095-291750-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-140502T0600Z/
/BGBM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1220 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER  AT BIGBEE
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 13.1 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 13.1 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* AT 13.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8852 3409 8840 3399 8852 3406 8857


$$

MSC095-291750-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-140501T1400Z/
/AMYM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1220 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR AMORY
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 19.3 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 19.3 FEET TUESDAY APRIL 29.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS

&&

LAT...LON 3406 8857 3399 8852 3393 8854 3394 8856
      3402 8858                       

$$

MSC087-095-291750-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-140503T1630Z/
/ABDM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1220 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 11.6 FEET FRIDAY MAY 02.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 11.6 FEET FRIDAY MAY 02.
* AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8829 3409 8821 3373 8826 3365 8843
      3370 8844 3375 8839             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1057 AM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

.UPDATE...

CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH. THE ACTIVITY IS
AHEAD OF A SECONDARY WARM FRONT. MODELS INDICATE THAT THE FRONT
AND CONVECTION WILL SLOWLY LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES. BEHIND THE FRONT...THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES EVEN MORE
UNSTABLE. DEWPOINTS WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 60S AS TEMPERATURES
RISE INTO THE LOWER 80S. A FEW SUPERCELLS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS
AHEAD OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS ALONG THE DRY
LINE WHICH IS CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THESE SUPERCELLS
MAY PUSH INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY
EVENING HOURS. MEANWHILE...DRY LINE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL
LIKELY MOVE INTO THE MIDSOUTH AFTER 8 PM. HAVE ADJUSTED POPS
ACCORDINGLY. UPDATE WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.

KRM

&&

.DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 455 AM CDT SUN APR 27 2014/

DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK INCLUDING STRONG TORNADOES
EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. ANOTHER SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS POSSIBLE MONDAY
AND AGAIN TUESDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM WAS OBSERVED ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH EARLY
THIS MORNING. SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND.
TEMPERATURES WERE WARMER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF MORNINGS WITH
READINGS AT 4 AM RANGING FROM 59 DEGREES AT PARIS TN TO 72 DEGREES
AT CLARKSDALE MS.

A WARM FRONT WAS PUSHING TOWARD THE MIDSOUTH FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING. THE ATMOSPHERE WAS MORE
MOIST AND UNSTABLE SOUTHWEST OF THE WARM FRONT WITH SURFACE DEW
POINTS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE
BEGINNING TO BREAK OUT OVER SOUTHEAST AR. THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION
RAPID REFRESH MODEL (HRRR) INDICATES SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
INCREASING ALONG THE FRONT THIS MORNING AS IT MOVES INTO THE
MIDSOUTH. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL ALSO HELP TO TRIGGER
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ADJUSTED AND INCREASED THE POPS FOR THIS
MORNING BASED ON THE LATEST HRRR MODEL.

ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO A MUCH MORE SERIOUS SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH
FLOOD SETUP THAT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH BEGINNING BY LATE
AFTERNOON. AS THE WARM FRONT MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST...VERY UNSTABLE
AND MOIST AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE MIDSOUTH. A STRONG AND CLOSED UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN NE AND WESTERN KS. AN ASSOCIATED
DRY LINE WILL EXTEND AT EARLY EVENING FROM EASTERN KS INTO EASTERN
OK. PARAMETERS ARE COMING TOGETHER FOR THE FORMATION OF DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION INTO CENTRAL AR
THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD INTO EASTERN AR AND PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST MS BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...THEN CROSSING INTO
WEST TN ALONG THE MS RIVER THIS EVENING. SEVERE WEATHER PARAMETERS
ARE IMPRESSIVE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES.  MIXED
LAYER MOST UNSTABLE CAPE WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000 J/KG
WITH 0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY INCREASING TO BETWEEN 300 AND
350 M2/S2. 850 WINDS INCREASE TO 50 KTS. A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS EXIST ACROSS ALL OF EAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL AND THOSE PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI
ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO CHARLESTON
MISSISSIPPI. A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXIST ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH FOR TONIGHT. A FEW TORNADOES...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL ARE LIKELY. TORNADOES MAY BE STRONG
ESPECIALLY IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA. THINK TONIGHT WILL BE A VERY
ACTIVE NIGHT WEATHERWISE AS THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO PUSH EASTWARD
AND CONGEAL INTO ONE OR MORE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS.
ALTHOUGH...DISCRETE SUPERCELLS MAY ALSO CONTINUE WELL INTO THE
NIGHT. THE DRY LINE WILL PUSH INTO WESTERN MO AND WESTERN AR
OVERNIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CLIMBING TO BETWEEN 1.5 AND 1.9
INCHES. ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY
GRADIENT WINDS FOR EAST ARKANSAS...AND PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS
EVENING.

ON MONDAY...CONDITIONS MAY SETTLE DOWN BRIEFING LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH INSTABILITY TEMPORARILY WANING. BUT WITH
STRONG UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS AND HIGH SHEAR CONTINUING ALONG WITH
SOME INSTABILITY...SOME THUNDERSTORMS STILL MAY POSE A THREAT OF
BECOMING SEVERE EVEN EARLY IN THE MORNING. HOWEVER...THE MAIN THREAT
OF ANOTHER SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK WILL OCCUR MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO
MONDAY NIGHT SHIFTING TO EAST OF THE MS RIVER ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH
MS INTO PORTIONS OF WEST TN. A FEW STRONG TORNADOES...DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE ALL LIKELY ONCE AGAIN.
THE DRY LINE WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN AR BY SUNSET MONDAY AS THE
STRONG UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS MOVES EASTWARD.

THE SITUATION BECOMES SOMEWHAT MUDDLED BY TUESDAY WITH ALL THE
PREVIOUS CONVECTION AND THE MODELS NOT IN THE BEST AGREEMENT ON
EXACTLY HOW FAST THE DRY LINE / COLD FRONT PUSHES TO THE EAST. RIGHT
NOW...IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER
WILL SHIFT TO NORTHEAST MS.

DRY AND COOLER WEATHER WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY CONTINUING INTO THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEKEND.

JCL

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE

CONDITIONS WILL START OFF...WITH TEMPO MVFR WEATHER AS FIRST LINE
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD LATE THIS
MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. EXPECT A PERIOD OF DRY/VFR
CONDITIONS FROM ROUGHLY MID AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
EVENING BEFORE NEXT STRONGER LINE OF STORMS MOVES IN FROM THE
WEST. CONDITIONS WILL THEN FALL TO TEMPO IFR...WITH A TRANSITION
TO PREDOMINATE IFR/MVFR VERY LATE IN THE CYCLE. SOUTH WINDS AT
8-12KTS EARLY WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH GUSTS IN
THE 22-26KT RANGE CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT.

JAB

&&

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR DUNKLIN.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR COAHOMA-TUNICA.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
     EVENING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-
     DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-
     PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-
     TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
     EVENING FOR BENTON TN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-
     FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-
     LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
916 AM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-281200-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
916 AM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT WILL SURGE THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH THIS MORNING WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT.

AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING TORNADOES IS
EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE MIDSOUTH. A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXIST ACROSS
ALL OF EAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL AND THOSE PORTIONS OF
WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO CHARLESTON MISSISSIPPI. THE MODERATE RISK
AREA INCLUDES THE CITIES OF MEMPHIS...JONESBORO...AND CLARKSDALE
MISSISSIPPI. A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXIST
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH.

A FEW TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL ARE LIKELY.
TORNADOES MAY BE STRONG ESPECIALLY IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.

HEAVY RAINFALL RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
EAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL FOR THIS AFTERNOON...AND
ALL OF THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EAST ARKANSAS...AND PORTIONS
OF THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI FROM LATE THIS
MORNING INTO THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI INTO PORTIONS
OF WEST TENNESSEE. A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. A FEW TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL MAY OCCUR. TORNADOES MAY BE STRONG ESPECIALLY IN THE
MODERATE RISK AREA.

THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL SHIFT TO NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR ALL THE MIDSOUTH.

A WIND ADVISORY MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
607 AM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-271800-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABERDEEN...ALAMO...AMORY...ASHLAND...
BARTLETT...BATESVILLE...BLYTHEVILLE...BOLIVAR...BOONEVILLE...
BROWNSVILLE...BRUCE...CALHOUN CITY...CAMDEN...CARUTHERSVILLE...
CHARLESTON...CLARKSDALE...COFFEEVILLE...COLLIERVILLE...CORINTH...
CORNING...COVINGTON...DECATURVILLE...DRESDEN...DYERSBURG...
FORREST CITY...FULTON...GERMANTOWN...HARRISBURG...HELENA...
HENDERSON...HOLLY SPRINGS...HOUSTON...HUMBOLDT...HUNTINGDON...
IUKA...JACKSON...JONESBORO...KENNETT...LEXINGTON...MARIANNA...
MARKS...MARTIN...MEMPHIS...MILAN...MILLINGTON...NEW ALBANY...
OAKLAND...OKOLONA...OLIVE BRANCH...OXFORD...PARAGOULD...PARIS...
PARSONS...PIGGOTT...POCAHONTAS...PONTOTOC...RIPLEY MS...
RIPLEY TN...SAVANNAH...SELMER...SENATOBIA...SOMERVILLE...
SOUTHAVEN...TIPTONVILLE...TUNICA...TUPELO...UNION CITY...
WALNUT RIDGE...WATER VALLEY...WEST HELENA...WEST MEMPHIS...WYNNE
607 AM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING TORNADOES TO SPREAD
ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY...

A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK INCLUDING TORNADOES
IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO EAST ARKANSAS AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...CROSSING INTO
WEST TENNESSEE NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THIS EVENING. THIS
INCLUDES THE CITIES OF JONESBORO...MEMPHIS AND CLARKSDALE
MISSISSIPPI. A FEW TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL ARE
LIKELY. TORNADOES MAY BE STRONG.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL SHIFT EASTWARD MONDAY WITH THE
BEST CHANCE OF A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FROM MUCH OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI INTO PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE. A
FEW STRONG TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE ONCE
AGAIN POSSIBLE.

ON TUESDAY...THE BEST CHANCE OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY
WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING THE MIDSOUTH. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL TOTAL BETWEEN 3
AND 5 INCHES...LOCALLY MORE...THROUGH TUESDAY.

NOW IS THE TIME TO MAKE SURE YOU ARE PREPARED. TORNADO WATCHES
WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. CHECK
YOUR BATTERIES IN YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND MAKE SURE THE RADIO
IS SET TO RECEIVE WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION. KNOW
WHERE YOU WOULD GO IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION ON THE WEB CAN BE OBTAINED AT...

HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/KPYH AND HTTP://WWW.READY.GOV (ALL IN LOWER
CAPS).

KEEP UP TO DATE ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION THROUGHOUT
THE DAY.

JCL