Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

October 10, 2014Mitchell County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Oct 10, 2014, 6:13 PM CDT for Mitchell County, Texas. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 10, 2014, 6:13 PM CDT (23:13 UTC)
Expired: Oct 10, 2014, 7:15 PM CDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Mitchell County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1087 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -166 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1197 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 123 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

970 
WWUS84 KMAF 102313
SPSMAF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
613 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

TXZ052-053-063-110015-
GLASSCOCK-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
613 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
NORTHEASTERN GLASSCOCK...SOUTHEASTERN HOWARD AND SOUTHERN MITCHELL
COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FORSAN AT 613 PM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS OVER 50 MPH... 
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU 
CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. 
SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR WEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3208 10077 3208 10126 3200 10126 3197 10141
      3215 10148 3225 10116 3224 10085 3217 10067
      3211 10065 3210 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 261DEG 33KT 3209 10133

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 10, 5:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 10, 5:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
509 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

.UPDATE...

UPDATE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH # 526, IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
CDT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SHOW NORTH WINDS HAVE PROGRESSED AS FAR
SOUTHWARD AS ANDREWS AND MARTIN COUNTIES.  THIS IS LIKELY THE RESULT
OF OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION THAT OCCURRED OVERNIGHT AND EARLIER THIS
MORNING NORTH OF OUR AREA.  CURRENTLY, THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT IS
LOCATED FARTHER NORTH OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS.  MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THIS COLD FRONT INTO THE
PERMIAN BASIN EARLY THIS EVENING, PROBABLY REACHING MIDLAND/ODESSA
AREA BETWEEN 6 AND 7 PM.  THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE ITS WAY
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA
EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS.

OVER THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND ROLLING PLAINS, AFTERNOON SURFACE
BASED CAPE VALUES AHEAD OF THIS FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
1800-2400 J/KG RANGE, ALONG WITH LIFT INDICES AROUND -7 AND 0-6 KM
BULK SHEAR VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 45 KNOTS. THUS, CURRENT SPC DAY 1
SLIGHT RISK AREAS FOR SEVERE WEATHER LOOK REASONABLE TO US AS WELL.
THUS, WE HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDDED FORECAST FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SEVERE WEATHER ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING HAIL.  AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES, SEVERE WEATHER WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AS WELL.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER, LOW CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT.  THIS CLOUD COVER IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST ON SATURDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN.

AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM SLIDES ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS ON SUNDAY, ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPMENT NORTH OF THE AREA WILL ALLOW FOR SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
RETURN FLOW ACROSS THE AREA.  AS THE UPPER SYSTEM SLIDES RAPIDLY
EAST OF THE AREA, ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA EARLY MONDAY.  UNLIKE THE CURRENT COLD FRONT, THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE ON MONDAY LOOKS TO BE A DRY ONE.  MODELS SHOW MUCH DRIER AIR
MOVING INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE MONDAY COLD FRONT, MORE IN LINE WITH
WHAT WE ARE NORMALLY ACCUSTOMED TO IN OUR AREA THIS TIME OF YEAR.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE A ROLLER COASTER RIDE THIS WEEK.  COOL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW BEHIND THE FRONT UNDER CLOUDY
CONDITIONS.  A MUCH WARMER DAY IS ANTICIPATED ON SUNDAY BEFORE
COOLER TEMPERATURES ARRIVE AGAIN ON MONDAY.  FINALLY, A WARMING
TREND IS EXPECTED STARTING TUESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO THE LATTER
PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 49  68  52  88  /  30  10   0  10
BIG SPRING TX              50  67  52  87  /  50  10  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                48  72  50  93  /  20   0   0  10
DRYDEN TX                  61  72  59  88  /  30  20  10  20
FORT STOCKTON TX           54  70  59  94  /  30  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          47  70  56  82  /  20  10  10  10
HOBBS NM                   46  70  49  86  /  20   0   0  10
MARFA TX                   48  74  45  85  /  20  10  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    51  69  53  88  /  40  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                  52  70  53  88  /  30  10  10  10
WINK TX                    53  75  54  96  /  20   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

99/99

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://FACEBOOK.COM/NWSMIDLAND
HTTP://TWITTER.COM/NWSMIDLAND

CHECK US OUT ON THE INTERNET AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 10, 12:43 PM CDT, 5 hours 30 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1243 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-111745-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1243 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014 /1143 AM MDT FRI OCT 10 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN
PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL.

FURTHER WEST IN THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...TRANS PECOS...AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 10, 4:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
443 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

TXZ053-102215-
MITCHELL-
443 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
CENTRAL MITCHELL COUNTY UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER LAKE COLORADO CITY AT 442 PM
CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS GUSTING
TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. TAKE SHELTER FROM THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3250 10085 3250 10068 3228 10068 3225 10102
      3235 10104
TIME...MOT...LOC 2142Z 246DEG 21KT 3232 10091

Special weather statement, Oct 10, 4:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
456 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

TXZ051-062-063-102230-
GLASSCOCK-MARTIN-MIDLAND-
456 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
NORTHEASTERN MIDLAND...NORTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK AND SOUTHERN MARTIN
COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF COURTNEY AT
455 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS
GUSTING TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3238 10172 3186 10171 3201 10218 3220 10219
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 265DEG 24KT 3211 10199

Local storm report, Oct 10, 5:48 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
548 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0532 PM     HAIL             7 NE GREENWOOD          32.10N 101.82W
10/10/2014  E1.25 INCH       MARTIN             TX   PUBLIC

&&

AKL

Special weather statement, Oct 10, 5:53 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
553 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

TXZ053-102330-
MITCHELL-
553 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
EASTERN MITCHELL COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES EAST OF CHAMPION CREEK
RESERVOIR AT 553 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. PENNY SIZE
HAIL AND WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR WEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3250 10079 3250 10067 3218 10068 3219 10080
      3227 10088
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 210DEG 21KT 3227 10073

Local storm report, Oct 10, 6:06 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
606 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0602 PM     HAIL             N LEES                  32.08N 101.49W
10/10/2014  E0.75 INCH       GLASSCOCK          TX   PUBLIC

&&

AKL

Special weather statement, Oct 10, 6:13 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
613 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

TXZ052-053-063-110015-
GLASSCOCK-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
613 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
NORTHEASTERN GLASSCOCK...SOUTHEASTERN HOWARD AND SOUTHERN MITCHELL
COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FORSAN AT 613 PM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS OVER 50 MPH...
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU
CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.
SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR WEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3208 10077 3208 10126 3200 10126 3197 10141
      3215 10148 3225 10116 3224 10085 3217 10067
      3211 10065 3210 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 261DEG 33KT 3209 10133

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 10, 4:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Mitchell	32 min
Oct 10, 4:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Martin	34 min
Oct 10, 5:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland	63 min
Oct 10, 5:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Mitchell	37 min
Oct 10, 6:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell	30 min
Oct 10, 6:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell	35 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2014 Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.