Severe Thunderstorm Warning 76, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

978 
WWUS54 KMAF 251246
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
746 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

TXC371-251300-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0076.000000T0000Z-140525T1300Z/
PECOS-
746 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT
FOR CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY...

AT 742 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF BAKERSFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15
MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
BAKERSFIELD AND GIRVIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE WARNED AREA INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 271 AND
297.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. REMEMBER... IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK
SAFE SHELTER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3069 10253 3078 10279 3113 10254 3107 10234
      3104 10229 3105 10224 3104 10222 3104 10220
      3102 10219 3102 10218 3100 10214 3099 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 1246Z 239DEG 13KT 3095 10239

$$
HLUCHAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
559 AM CDT Sun May 25 2014

.AVIATION...

Area radars show convection has redeveloped over the Wrn Low
Rolling Plains/PB invof KMAF, and moving rapidly east. MVFR cigs
this am should scatter out to VFR by late morning, but MVFR
cigs/vsbys can be expected w/any convection that develops.
W/multiple residual boundaries knocking about, predicting
timing/location of convective redevelopment will be difficult.
Thus, we'll insert a mention most terminals during peak heating,
and as necessary.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 441 AM CDT Sun May 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...As of 4:40 AM CDT Sunday...It was a very active day
across the CWA with numerous supercells...mainly across Southeast
New Mexico and the Southern portions of the CWA. Currently...there
is a cell near Odessa in Ector County. Copious amounts of rain were
noted with some of these storms with some basins in the
Independence Creek Watershed in Terrell County receiving around
eight inches of rain (according to FFMP). On the other
hand...Midland Intl Airport only received 0.01 inches of rain.

Another round of severe weather is expected once again this
aftn/evening. The upper low currently along the Arizona/New Mexico
border is forecast to move slowly to the northern Texas Panhandle
late Memorial Day. PW's will continue to be around two standard
deviations above normal. With shortwaves/vort maxes rotating
through the base of the upper low in the SW flow aloft...MUCAPE in
excess of 1500 J/KG and little or no CIN (per NAM fcst soundings)
..0-6KM bulk shear values around 40 kt...low level SE winds...and
good directional shear the environment will be conducive for supercell
development. The main threat will be large hail...as has been the
case the past couple of days. The same scenario plays out again on
Memorial Day as well as the upper low moves into the Texas
Panhandle. As the upper low moves to NE Texas on Tuesday there
could be a few thunderstorms in the far eastern CWA.

The remainder of the week looks to be dry as a ridge builds into
New Mexico from northern Mexico. Temperatures will warm to
around...or a little above normal.

Strobin

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through late tonight FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
      Central Lea County...Eddy County Plains...Guadalupe
     Mountains of Eddy County...Northern Lea County...Southern
     Lea County.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Monday morning FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Andrews...Borden...Crane...Dawson...Ector...
     Gaines...Glasscock...Howard...Loving...Martin...Midland...
     Mitchell...Pecos...Reagan...Scurry...Terrell...Upton...
     Ward...Winkler.

&&

44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
414 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-260915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
414 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014 /314 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO.  BEST CHANCES WILL BE OVER THE UPPER COLORADO VALLEY...DECREASING
SOUTHWEST TOWARDS THE PRESIDIO VALLEY.  ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY FREQUENT LIGHTNING...HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL.  SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE
OF GOLF BALLS OR LARGER...AND DAMAGING WINDS TO AROUND 65 MPH.

HEAVY RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED
WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.  A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG AND NORTH OF THE PECOS...INCLUDING
ALL EDDY COUNTY...THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY OVER ALL OF WEST
TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  A FEW STORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN
THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

44

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
118 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

TXZ075-082-250715-
PECOS-TERRELL-
118 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING EAST CENTRAL PECOS AND NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTIES UNTIL
215 AM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 9 MILES
WEST OF TERRELL COUNTY GAS PLANT AT 118 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT SUNDAY
MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT SUNDAY
MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3052 10168 3047 10169 3042 10174 3040 10169
      3037 10168 3034 10169 3032 10174 3030 10174
      3030 10206 3065 10210 3071 10180 3066 10176
      3065 10170 3062 10165 3059 10166 3055 10164
TIME...MOT...LOC 0618Z 257DEG 13KT 3041 10198

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
520 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

TXZ050-051-061-062-068-251100-
ECTOR-MARTIN-MIDLAND-CRANE-ANDREWS-
520 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING ECTOR...MIDLAND...NORTH CENTRAL CRANE...SOUTHEASTERN
ANDREWS AND SOUTHWESTERN MARTIN COUNTIES UNTIL 600 AM CDT...

A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS
LOCATED 5 TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MIDLAND AT 519 AM
CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

IF SEVERE WEATHER IS OBSERVED...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN MIDLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3219 10210 3181 10190 3162 10249 3198 10272
TIME...MOT...LOC 1019Z 250DEG 22KT 3188 10225

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
706 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0651 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL A 31.94N 102.19W
05/25/2014                   MIDLAND            TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            CARS HAVE STALLED ON BUSINESS 20 UNDER FM1788 BRIDGE. 2-3
            FEET OF WATER IS COVERING THE ROAD.

&&

ANDREW.ARNOLD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
712 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

TXZ075-251245-
PECOS-
712 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY UNTIL 745 AM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES WEST OF BAKERSFIELD AT 712
AM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO
55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3072 10260 3076 10278 3111 10257 3107 10233
      3104 10229 3104 10225 3094 10209
TIME...MOT...LOC 1212Z 235DEG 20KT 3091 10248