Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 197, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 19, 2014, 9:10 PM CDT for Brewster County, Texas. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 19, 2014, 9:10 PM CDT (02:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 19, 2014, 9:54 PM CDT
- In force
- 44 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
County Brewster County, TX
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 242 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 622 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -16 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1552 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 61 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 1.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
962 WUUS54 KMAF 200210 SVRMAF TXC043-200315- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0197.140920T0210Z-140920T0315Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 910 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTH CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS... * UNTIL 1015 PM CDT * AT 907 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF TERLINGUA RANCH LODGE...OR 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF PANTHER JUNCTION...MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... TERLINGUA RANCH LODGE... CHISOS BASIN... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING MEANS THAT SEVERE WEATHER IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH... HAIL AN INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER... VERY HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE ALL LIKELY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE STORM MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW. && LAT...LON 2913 10318 2912 10352 2961 10350 2961 10329 TIME...MOT...LOC 0210Z 000DEG 21KT 2952 10339 $$ 05
1 follow-up statement
670 WWUS54 KMAF 200254 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 954 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014 TXC043-200304- /O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-140920T0315Z/ BREWSTER- 954 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY IS CANCELLED... AT 954 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAD WEAKENED. THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALTHOUGH THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS PASSED... PONDING OF WATER WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ON SOME ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD REMAIN CAUTIOUS AND BE PREPARED TO SLOW DOWN IF WATER IS ENCOUNTERED TO PREVENT HYDROPLANING AND LOSS OF VEHICLE CONTROL. && LAT...LON 2913 10318 2912 10352 2961 10350 2961 10329 TIME...MOT...LOC 0254Z 000DEG 21KT 2926 10339 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 19, 6:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 19, 6:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
636 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2014
.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR ceilings should become mostly MVFR around 06z and continue
through at least mid Saturday morning at the west Texas and
southeast New Mexico terminals. Scattered thunderstorms can be
expected the next 24 hours at most locations due to the remains of
tropical system and have added TEMPO groups for IFR conditions in
thunderstorms. The exceptions were KPEQ and KFST where confidence
was not as high, so included prob30 groups for MVFR conditions.
Looking for prevailing MVFR ceilings to become VFR during Saturday
afternoon.
12
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 236 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2014/
DISCUSSION...
Major flooding occurring over southeast New Mexico, and the Upper
Trans Pecos in West Texas today. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect,
and despite some downtrend in radar activity, the Watch will
continue though tonight.
Moderate rain showers continue to swirl around a Mesoscale
Convective Vortex (MCV) this afternoon, located over the central
Permian Basin. A few lightning strikes were indicated over the
southern Permian Basin and over the Davis Mountains where some
heating has occurred. However, hourly rainfall rates were topping
out around 0.25 inches at 19/20Z. The remnant mid level circulation
of Odile was located over east central New Mexico this afternoon,
and is still discernible in water vapor and visible satellite
imagery. Heating over the Davis/Glass Mountains will likely aid
scattered thunderstorm development in a moist uncapped environment
through max heating. Just how much resultant convection will fill
in as it moves east/northeast remains to be seen. Of more concern
will be whether another MCV develops/spins off, the remnant mid
level circulation form Odile tonight. Since visible satellite is
indicating another such circulation near Alamogordo this afternoon,
think another round of showers and thunderstorms could develop.
Therefore, will keep likely PoPs going tonight along and north of
Interstate 10, and continue with the Flash Flood Watch until 20/12Z
since flash flood guidance values are very low due to heavy rainfall
over the last 36-48 hours.
The remnants of Odile are progged to move across the Texas Panhandle
tonight and Saturday, but then curl southwestward back over the
region Sunday as the upper ridge to the south resituates to the
west. Have kept fairly high PoPs going Saturday due to the still
close proximity of this mid level circulation, but also on Sunday
when the circulation may very well be right over the region. In
addition, a weak cold front will move into the region and provide a
low level focus for shower and thunderstorm development. Although
we will not extend the Flash Flood Watch at this time, it is very
possible it may be extended Saturday, or reissued on Saturday night
or Sunday. Temperatures will remain below normal for the next
several days since it will take awhile to evaporate all the moisture
and a low level thermal ridge will remain west of the region under
the westward building ua ridge.
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through late tonight FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
Central Lea County...Eddy County Plains...Guadalupe
Mountains of Eddy County...Northern Lea County...Southern
Lea County.
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Saturday morning FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES... Andrews...Borden...Crane...Davis/Apache Mountains
Area...Dawson...Ector...Gaines...Glasscock...Guadalupe
Mountains...Howard...Loving...Martin...Midland...Mitchell...
Pecos...Reagan...Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos...
Scurry...Upton...Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor...Ward...
Winkler.
&&
12
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http://weather.gov/midlandHazardous weather outlook, Sep 19, 2:21 PM CDT, 6 hours 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 221 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-201930- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 221 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014 /121 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2014/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE ANTICIPATED AGAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS...RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING IN MANY AREAS. AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE...DAVIS...AND APACHE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS...VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND PERMIAN BASIN. ABUNDANT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN THESE AREAS OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...SO LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL BE NEEDED TO PROMOTE EFFICIENT FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. ELEVATED FLOWS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE TODAY AND TONIGHT DUE TO RELEASES FROM RESERVOIRS IN MEXICO AND HEAVY RAINFALL ON BOTH SIDES OF THE RIVER. TRIBUTARIES AND ARROYOS TO THE PECOS RIVER...SUCH AS THE RIO PENASCO...FOUR MILE DRAW...SOUTH SEVEN RIVERS...ROCKY ARROYO... DARK CANYON...BLACK RIVER...DELAWARE RIVER...AND WALNUT CANYON WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS A RESULT..THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH COULD BE EXTENDED THROUGH SATURDAY IF NOT SUNDAY. THE RIO GRANDE...PECOS RIVER...AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AND ARROYOS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Sep 19, 8:59 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
859 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014
TXZ058-074-075-200230-
PECOS-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
859 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55
MPH WINDS AFFECTING EASTERN JEFF DAVIS...NORTH CENTRAL BREWSTER...
SOUTHEASTERN REEVES AND WEST CENTRAL PECOS COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM
CDT...
A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HAIL AND STRONG WINDS
WAS LOCATED FROM JUST EAST OF A VERHALEN...BALMORHEA TO STAR
MOUNTAIN LINE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT INTERSTATE 10 IN EASTERN REEVES AND WEST
CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY AND STATE HIGHWAY 17 IN NORTHEAST JEFF DAVIS
COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.
&&
LAT...LON 3136 10348 3106 10299 3057 10335 3049 10367
3090 10397
TIME...MOT...LOC 0155Z 243DEG 6KT 3110 10348The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 7:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster | 65 min |
| Sep 19, 7:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Culberson, Jeff Davis, Reeves | 5 hr |
| Sep 19, 7:32 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Dawson | 3 hr |
| Sep 19, 8:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster | 57 min |
| Sep 19, 8:59 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Reeves | 31 min |
| Sep 19, 10:10 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Ward | 35 min |
| Sep 19, 10:46 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Ward | 29 min |
| Sep 19, 11:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Ward, Winkler | 3 hr |
| Sep 19, 11:27 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Winkler | 33 min |
| Sep 19, 11:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Andrews, Loving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler | 6 hr |
| Sep 20, 1:25 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Ector | 3 hr |
| Sep 20, 1:35 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Ector | 3 hr |
| Sep 20, 3:09 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Martin | 3 hr |
| Sep 20, 4:31 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Borden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 3 hr |
| Sep 20, 5:38 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MAF | Culberson, Loving, Reeves, Ward | 11 hr |
| Sep 20, 7:04 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 3 hr |
| Sep 20, 9:48 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 3 hr |
| Sep 20, 10:16 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MAF | Brewster | 9 days |
| Sep 20, 10:43 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden | 6 hr |
| Sep 20, 1:05 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Andrews, Gaines | 3 hr |
| Sep 20, 1:23 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Brewster, Pecos | 3 hr |
| Sep 20, 3:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Loving, Reeves, Ward | 50 min |
| Sep 20, 4:14 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MAF | Culberson, Loving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler | 6 hr |
| Sep 20, 4:27 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MAF | Crane, Ector, Loving, Midland, Pecos, Reeves and 3 more | 6 hr |
| Sep 20, 4:39 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Reagan | 4 hr |
| Sep 20, 5:02 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 14 hr |
| Sep 20, 5:48 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MAF | Presidio | 11 days |
| Sep 20, 5:48 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MAF | Presidio | 8 days |
| Sep 20, 6:03 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MAF | Mitchell, Scurry | 47 hr |
| Sep 20, 6:32 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MAF | Scurry | 7 hr |
| Sep 20, 6:47 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2014Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.