Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 171, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 23, 2014Eddy County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 23, 2014, 8:43 PM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jun 23, 2014, 8:43 PM MDT (02:43 UTC)
Expired: Jun 23, 2014, 9:45 PM MDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Eddy County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 183 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1706 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -70 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1799 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: -0.0
Supercell composite: -0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 23, 5:01 PM MDT, 3 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 5:01 PM MDT, 3 hours 42 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
601 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
See 00Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
TS may affect most TAF sites within the next 6 hours and which is
covered with TEMPO groups. There will be a continuing threat for
TS at MAF near 12Z with the possibility of a TS complex but
confidence is not high enough to place in the TAF at this time.
VFR conditions will remain through the next 24 hours.

Hennig

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...

Stratus deck left in the wake of this morning's convection has been
slow to clear out today, but visible sat imagery shows this
gradually developing into a cu field.  As a result, temps have been
slow to warm, and much of the area remains capped attm.  Free of the
cap out west, area radars show convection trying to develop over the
Marfa Plateau, but struggling.  Bigger concerns lie further north,
where upslope flow has advected dewpoints approaching 60F into the
higher terrain of eastern NM.  A combination of this upslope flow
and diurnal heating is set to initiate convection over the next few
hours, which models then bring thru SE NM and thru the Permian Basin
overnight.  Buffer soundings show deep-lyr shear of generally
25-35kts, and mid-lvl LR's of just over 7 C/km, for a marginal
severe threat, and we will mention this in the HWO.  PWAT's remain
well-abv normal, and slow storm motion should allow for heavy
rainfall as well.

Tuesday afternoon, models are similar in convection redeveloping
over the mtns out west in upslope flow, w/temps staying closer to
normal again, much of which will be dependent on residual cloud
cover from tonight's convection.  Wednesday, isolated convection
should remain more confined to the mountains, where upslope flow
should keep the dryline backed up.

Thursday, models begin building the Pacific ridge a bit further
eastward into the region, and temps consequently begin to rise into
the weekend as the thermal ridge settles in.  We'll continue w/the
hotter/drier trend, i.e., normal.  Models are a bit more in line
w/the ridge today than yesterday, w/the ECMWF coming more in line
w/the warmer GFS, DGEX, and CMC.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

10

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 23, 1:30 PM MDT, 7 hours 13 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
230 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-241200-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
230 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014 /130 PM MDT MON JUN 23 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS MAY BE SEVERE AND
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...THE GREATER CONCERN WILL
BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE TO A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY EVENING ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...
HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS MAINLY THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS
MOUNTAINS....UPPER TRANS PECOS...MARFA PLATEAU AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO PLAINS. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 23, 2:57 PM MDT, 5 hours 46 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
357 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

TXZ074-080-081-232145-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-
357 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING EAST CENTRAL PRESIDIO AND NORTHWESTERN BREWSTER COUNTIES
UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

THUNDERSTORMS WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WERE LOCATED 15 MILES
SOUTH OF MARFA AT 356 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3043 10405 3036 10366 3007 10356 2986 10391
      3023 10428
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 230DEG 17KT 3011 10399

Special weather statement, Jun 23, 3:40 PM MDT, 5 hours 3 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
440 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

TXZ081-232230-
BIG BEND AREA-
440 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING SOUTH CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 4 MILES
EAST OF CASTOLON AT 440 PM CDT. THE STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 2898 10326 2897 10329 2900 10329 2902 10335
      2902 10339 2906 10347 2914 10353 2916 10366
      2931 10354 2930 10288 2926 10290 2924 10286
      2922 10286 2918 10292 2917 10299 2910 10303
      2909 10307 2904 10310 2898 10311 2897 10315
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 124DEG 0KT 2911 10344

Special weather statement, Jun 23, 3:41 PM MDT, 5 hours 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
441 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

TXZ074-080-081-232230-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-
441 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING EAST CENTRAL PRESIDIO AND WEST CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTIES
UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 13 MILES
SOUTH OF PAISANO PASS AT 441 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3025 10324 2976 10338 2998 10420 3031 10409
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 281DEG 18KT 3008 10377

Special weather statement, Jun 23, 6:14 PM MDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
714 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

NMZ027-028-TXZ057-058-258-240100-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
614 PM MDT MON JUN 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING NORTHWESTERN CULBERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN EDDY COUNTIES UNTIL
700 PM MDT/800 PM CDT/...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 13 MILES
NORTH OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AT 614 PM MDT/714 PM
CDT/...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3200 10491 3201 10485 3238 10486 3211 10434
      3160 10468 3181 10492 3199 10493
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 287DEG 21KT 3209 10492

Special weather statement, Jun 23, 7:26 PM MDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
826 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

TXZ057-240215-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
826 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE AND
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 55 MPH AFFECTING WEST CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY
UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

THIS THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME WEST CENTRAL CULBERSON
COUNTY AT 826 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3158 10492 3173 10474 3141 10450 3121 10491
      3121 10492
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 230DEG 15KT 3143 10489

Local storm report, Jun 23, 7:40 PM MDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
840 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0814 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 S PINE SPRINGS        31.83N 104.81W
06/23/2014  M63.00 MPH       CULBERSON          TX   ASOS

            55 KTS IN 0127Z SPECI PK WND

&&

05

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 23, 6:14 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF		46 min
Jun 23, 6:36 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson	54 min
Jun 23, 7:26 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Culberson	49 min
Jun 23, 7:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson	45 min
Jun 23, 8:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson	46 min
Jun 23, 9:42 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	48 min
Jun 23, 9:58 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	47 min
Jun 23, 10:40 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF		50 min
Jun 23, 10:41 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	49 min
Jun 23, 11:27 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF		48 min
Jun 23, 11:28 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	47 min
Jun 23, 11:49 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Winkler	26 min
Jun 23, 11:51 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Presidio	3 hr
Jun 23, 11:52 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Gaines	23 min
Jun 24, 12:10 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	50 min
Jun 24, 12:15 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Gaines	30 min
Jun 24, 12:17 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Winkler	28 min
Jun 24, 12:28 AM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Gaines	3 hr
Jun 24, 12:46 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector, Winkler	29 min
Jun 24, 12:56 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	64 min
Jun 24, 1:40 AM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland	3 hr
Jun 24, 1:50 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector	40 min
Jun 24, 5:30 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reagan	60 min
Jun 24, 6:47 AM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Reagan	3 hr
Jun 24, 7:12 AM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Mitchell	3 hr
Jun 24, 3:42 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	33 min
Jun 23, 7:38 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	67 min
Jun 23, 8:53 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Eddy	3 hr
Jun 23, 9:46 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy, Lea	59 min
Jun 23, 10:48 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	27 min
Jun 23, 11:16 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	29 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.