Severe Thunderstorm Warning 160, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
624 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2014

.UPDATE...

Update to increase PoPs after 19/00Z.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Convection is ongoing across the forecast area this evening.  A
few stronger storms have occurred, but for the most part a lack of
shear appears to be keeping most storms on the weak side.  Water
vapor imagery indicates some enhancement over New Mexico ahead of a
shortwave trough there, so think we could see thunderstorms last
for the next several hours, if not a little longer tonight. Will
send an update to increase PoPs over much of the area for tonight.
Since severe storms should be the exception, and not the rule,
will keep the mention in the Hazardous Weather Outlook.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 69  89  67  88  /  30  20  10  10
BIG SPRING TX              72  90  70  89  /  30  20  10  20
CARLSBAD NM                68  96  67  92  /  20  30  20  10
DRYDEN TX                  75  92  73  90  /  10  20  10  30
FORT STOCKTON TX           70  88  68  87  /  30  30  10  20
GUADALUPE PASS TX          69  88  65  83  /  20  30  20  20
HOBBS NM                   65  91  64  89  /  30  30  20  10
MARFA TX                   61  84  59  81  /  30  40  10  30
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    71  89  69  88  /  30  20  10  10
ODESSA TX                  71  89  67  88  /  30  20  10  10
WINK TX                    73  95  69  92  /  30  30  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

99/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
616 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-192330-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
616 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 /516 PM MDT WED JUN 18 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE
BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL STRETCH FROM THE NORTHWEST
PERMIAN BASIN SOUTH TO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND MARFA PLATEAU. SOME OF
THE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE THIS EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS
THE GREATER SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IN ADDITION THE STRONGER STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED
FLOODING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THE BEST CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO STRETCH FROM THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS SOUTH INTO THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN TO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS.
A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THE BEST CHANCE
WILL BE ACROSS AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF THE PECOS RIVER IN WEST
TEXAS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS...HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
609 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             6 SSE LENORAH           32.23N 101.84W
06/18/2014  E0.88 INCH       MARTIN             TX   PUBLIC

&&

AKL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
623 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

TXZ074-075-081-190015-
PECOS-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-BIG BEND AREA-
623 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AN INTENSIFYING THUNDERSTORM
AFFECTING NORTH CENTRAL BREWSTER AND SOUTH CENTRAL PECOS COUNTIES
UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

AN INTENSIFYING THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF ALTUDA AT
623 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.  GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3067 10296 3036 10284 3025 10350 3052 10355
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 257DEG 14KT 3041 10340

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
633 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

TXZ062-063-190000-
GLASSCOCK-MIDLAND-
633 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55
MPH WINDS AFFECTING NORTHEASTERN MIDLAND AND NORTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK
COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
NORTHEAST OF GREENWOOD AT 632 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT GREENWOOD AND INTERSTATE 20 EAST OF MIDLAND
IN MIDLAND COUNTY. BLOWING DUST WILL REDUCE THE VISIBILITY TO LESS
THAN A HALF A MILE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3208 10154 3195 10157 3193 10211 3208 10210
TIME...MOT...LOC 2332Z 270DEG 36KT 3209 10177

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
638 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

TXZ050-051-190045-
MARTIN-ANDREWS-
638 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
SOUTHEASTERN ANDREWS AND WESTERN MARTIN COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ANDREWS
COUNTY AT 638 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH...DEADLY
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK
SAFE SHELTER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3243 10201 3209 10200 3209 10242 3229 10241
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 227DEG 12KT 3219 10223

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
657 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

TXZ058-060-061-067-068-190045-
ECTOR-CRANE-WARD-WINKLER-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
657 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
EAST CENTRAL REEVES...NORTHWESTERN CRANE...SOUTHERN WINKLER...
SOUTHWESTERN ECTOR AND WARD COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES WEST OF PYOTE AT 656 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3165 10337 3165 10333 3167 10333 3169 10311
      3168 10270 3138 10322 3150 10343
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 264DEG 16KT 3160 10328

HUFFMAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
705 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

TXZ051-052-062-063-190045-
GLASSCOCK-HOWARD-MARTIN-MIDLAND-
705 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR INTENSIFYING THUNDERSTORMS
AFFECTING NORTHEASTERN MIDLAND...NORTHWESTERN
GLASSCOCK...SOUTHEASTERN MARTIN AND SOUTHWESTERN HOWARD COUNTIES
UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AN INTENSIFYING THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LOMAX
AT 703 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.  SH 137 AND SPRABERRY WILL
BE IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS.  GUSTY WINDS UP TO 55 MPH AND NICKEL
SIZED HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3186 10150 3180 10179 3185 10194 3213 10188
      3214 10150
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 016DEG 12KT 3202 10175