Severe Thunderstorm Warning 128, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

709 
WWUS54 KMAF 112337
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
637 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

TXC227-335-112345-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0128.000000T0000Z-140611T2345Z/
HOWARD-MITCHELL-
637 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR MITCHELL AND NORTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTIES...

AT 623 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED BASEBALL SIZE HAIL IN COLORADO 
CITY. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR COLORADO CITY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...LORAINE
AND VALLEY VIEW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH... PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS... DESTRUCTIVE HAIL... AND DEADLY
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3252 10068 3211 10068 3211 10101 3234 10111
      3243 10123 3252 10133
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 270DEG 21KT 3236 10083

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
604 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2014

.DISCUSSION...

See 00z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Thunderstorms are moving across the area and may affect MAF and FST
for the next couple of hours.  Winds will likely be gusty and
variable near the storms with a possible reduction in visibility.
Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.  Winds
will generally be out of the south and west during the evening and
overnight with elevated winds likely for MAF and FST.  Winds will
turn to the north and be gusty around 15z as a cold front moves into
the area.  There is a slight chance of thunderstorms again tomorrow
afternoon but confidence remains low.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 228 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2014/

DISCUSSION...

The region is under weak ridging aloft with a shortwave moving over
the area.  A dryline has developed across the Permian Basin and the
Lower Trans Pecos.  CAPE values are near 2000 J/Kg across the
Western Low Rolling Plains with values well over 1000 J/Kg elsewhere
east of the dryline.  0 to 6 km bulk shear values of 30 to 35 kts
can be expected across eastern areas of the CWA this afternoon.  All
of these conditions will allow for a chance of severe thunderstorms
developing across parts of the area this afternoon and evening with
the main threats being strong winds and large hail.  Temperatures
this afternoon are going to be hot with most places reaching 100+
degrees.  A heat advisory is in effect for areas around the Presidio
Valley, the Big Bend, Brewster County, and Terrell County through
Thursday with high temperatures around 110 degrees and low
temperatures around 80 degrees.  A lee surface trough is developing
across eastern New Mexico and West Texas further contributing to
warming temperatures from downslope warming with west to southwest
winds across a large part of the area.

An upper trough will move over the Upper Midwest with a cold front
coming into the CWA on Thursday.  High temperatures for tomorrow
will be highly dependent on the timing of the cooler air with the
northern Permian Basin experiencing the greatest cooling.  There is
a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms developing along this
front.  On Friday, another shortwave will move over the area with
good omega values across the western CWA.  Lapse rates will be
around 8 degrees Celsius per km.  The dryline will be pushed
westward to the higher terrain so high CAPE values will be present
with the NAM12 showing values over 3000 J/Kg across a large portion
of the Permian Basin.  0 to 6 km bulk shear of 35 to 40 kts will be
present, so severe is definitely possible on Friday.  Upper level
troughs will move over the northern conus through the middle of next
week allowing for the ridge over the CWA to weaken.  Moisture will
remain present across the eastern half of the CWA allowing for the
possibility of showers and thunderstorms across the area into next
week.  Temperatures will be above normal beginning Saturday through
the extended forecast.

FIRE WEATHER...

Critical fire weather conditions are present across the Guadalupe
Mountains with relative humidity values at or below 15 percent and
20 foot winds above 20 mph.  These conditions are expected to
continue through this evening.  A Red Flag Warning is in effect for
this area for this afternoon.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING until 9 PM MDT this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains NP/Lincoln NF/LNZ.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY until 10 PM CDT Thursday FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
      Big Bend Area...Presidio Valley...Terrell.

     RED FLAG WARNING until 9 PM MDT this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
152 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-121900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
152 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014 /1252 PM MDT WED JUN 11 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PRESIDIO VALLEY...AS WELL AS
BREWSTER AND TERRELL COUNTIES...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THIS
APPLIES MAINLY TO AREAS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE...WHICH WILL SEE
HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY AS HIGH AS AROUND 110...AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS 75 TO 78. THIS WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF
DEHYDRATION AND HEAT EXHAUSTION.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING EAST OF A LINE FROM LAMESA...TO MIDLAND...TO FORT
STOCKTON WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY
THREATS.

HOT...DRY...AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD...AND A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY...MAINLY
SOUTH OF THE PECOS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
MAIN THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
343 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

TXZ050-112115-
ANDREWS-
343 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55
MPH WINDS AFFECTING CENTRAL ANDREWS COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED NEAR ANDREWS AT
343 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3246 10233 3224 10235 3228 10272 3246 10272
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 270DEG 21KT 3237 10261

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
436 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

TXZ062-069-112200-
MIDLAND-UPTON-
436 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55
MPH WINDS AFFECTING NORTHEASTERN UPTON AND SOUTH CENTRAL MIDLAND
COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 15 MILES WEST OF
MIDKIFF AT 436 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT DUKE ENERGY AND HIGHWAY 349 IN SOUTHERN MIDLAND
AND NORTHERN UPTON COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3175 10181 3151 10179 3155 10219 3173 10219
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 270DEG 21KT 3164 10208

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
454 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

TXZ046-051-112230-
DAWSON-MARTIN-
454 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55
MPH WINDS AFFECTING NORTHEASTERN MARTIN AND SOUTH CENTRAL DAWSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 5 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THREE LEAGUES AT 454 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HIGHWAY 137 IN NORTHERN MARTIN COUNTY IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3252 10171 3232 10170 3235 10202 3253 10202
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 270DEG 21KT 3244 10191

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
512 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

TXZ051-112245-
MARTIN-
512 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55
MPH WINDS AFFECTING SOUTHEASTERN MARTIN COUNTY UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER STANTON
MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AT 511 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT STANTON AND INTERSTATE 20 NEAR STANTON.

BLOWING DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A QUARTER MILE OR LESS ON
INTERSTATE 20 NEAR STANTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3228 10171 3210 10171 3210 10191 3227 10192
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 270DEG 21KT 3219 10183

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
525 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

TXZ047-112300-
BORDEN-
525 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55
MPH WINDS AFFECTING SOUTHERN BORDEN COUNTY UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF GAIL OVER CENTRAL BORDEN COUNTY AT 524 PM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT FARM TO MARKET ROAD 669 IN SOUTHERN BORDERN
COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3276 10119 3254 10119 3256 10163 3274 10163
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 270DEG 21KT 3265 10152

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
536 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             LEES                    32.08N 101.49W
06/11/2014  E1.00 INCH       GLASSCOCK          TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTS QUARTER TO SLIGHTLY LARGER THAN QUARTER
            SIZE HAIL IN LEES.

&&

MH