Red Flag Warning 6, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

941 
WWUS84 KMAF 152007
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
207 PM CST SAT FEB 15 2014

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
FOR REST OF TODAY FOR MINIMUM RH BELOW 15 PERCENT...20 TO 30 MPH
SUSTAINED WINDS...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
FOR SUNDAY FOR MINIMUM RH BELOW 15 PERCENT...25 TO 35 MPH SUSTAINED
WINDS...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.A WARM...DRY...AND WINDIER PERIOD BEGUN AND WILL PERSIST OVER THE
NEXT WEEK. TODAY IS EXPECTED TO BE THE FIRST OF POSSIBLY SEVERAL
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAYS FOR THE MOUNTAINS. MOUNTAIN TOP WINDS
NEAR 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN FAIRLY WIDESPREAD 20 TO 30
MPH SUSTAINED WINDS...EXCEPT IN THE MOST SHELTERED AREAS. ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL HELP DRIVE MINIMUM RH/S TO BELOW 15 PERCENT.
WINDS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER ON SUNDAY BRINGING A REPEAT OF CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND
OR OUT OF A MOVING VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH TALL GRASS.

NMZ114-TXZ258-161100-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140216T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0005.140216T1700Z-140217T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
107 PM MST SAT FEB 15 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE GUADALUPE 
MOUNTAINS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE 
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...

* WIND...TODAY...WEST AND SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
  SUNDAY...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY IN
  FAVORED AREAS OF ALIGNED PASSES...CANYONS...AND EXPOSED RIDGES.

* HUMIDITY...7 TO 15 PERCENT.

* FIRE DANGER...HIGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL
IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN
WILDFIRES.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

899 
WWUS84 KMAF 160018
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
618 PM CST SAT FEB 15 2014

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
FOR SUNDAY FOR MINIMUM RH BELOW 15 PERCENT...25 TO 35 MPH
SUSTAINED WINDS...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.A WARM...DRY...AND WINDY PERIOD WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY, 
ALTHOUGH DECREASING TEMPS AND WIND THIS EVENING HAVE ALLEVIATED
CRITICAL CONDITIONS TODAY.  MOUNTAIN TOP WINDS NEAR 35 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TO RESULT IN FAIRLY WIDESPREAD 20 TO 30 MPH SUSTAINED
WINDS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...EXCEPT IN THE MOST SHELTERED AREAS. ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL HELP DRIVE MINIMUM RH/S TO BELOW 15
PERCENT.  THEREFORE, A REPEAT OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE
GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING
SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH TALL GRASS.

NMZ114-TXZ258-161230-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140216T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0005.140216T1700Z-140217T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
518 PM MST SAT FEB 15 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ...

* WIND...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY IN
  FAVORED AREAS OF ALIGNED PASSES...CANYONS...AND EXPOSED RIDGES.

* HUMIDITY...7 TO 15 PERCENT.

* FIRE DANGER...HIGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
245 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Northwesterly flow aloft expected today before turning zonal
Sunday through much of next week.

Much above normal temperatures and dry conditions are expected
areawide today and Sunday. This will be due to a surface lee
trough/low developing with attendant low level thermal ridging,
downslope flow and mostly clear skies. The zonal flow aloft will
intensify the surface trough Sunday and 700 millibar winds are
forecast to approach 35 knots in the afternoon. Have issued
a high wind watch for the Guadalupe Mountains Sunday afternoon.

A weak upper level trough will move across the northern plains and
drive a weak and dry cold front through the forecast area Monday.
Temperatures will still remain well above normal Monday behind this
front.

Another surface lee trough/low will develop next Tuesday and
Wednesday in the zonal flow and result in more dry and much above
normal temperatures. Another upper level trough is forecast to
track across the plains Thursday and drive another dry cold
front through the forecast area. Temperatures will once again
remain above normal behind this front next Thursday through
Saturday with no precipitation expected.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Westerly winds will create a downsloping effect causing minimum
afternoon relative humidities to drop below 15 percent over the
weekend. The strongest winds will be in the Guadalupe Mountains
where winds aloft will be able to mix to the surface causing
critical fire weather conditions this afternoon. Poor recovery
tonight will lead to worse conditions tomorrow. Very dry
conditions across the remainder of the area will create an
enhanced fire danger but winds below 20 mph should prevent Red
Flag conditions from developing. A cold front on Monday will do
little to increase humidities, but will bring wind speeds below 20
mph.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 81  44  85  49  /   0   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              82  46  85  49  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                86  48  89  51  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  84  48  88  51  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           85  54  91  52  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          73  51  78  49  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   80  44  83  48  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   78  44  84  45  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    82  45  87  48  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  82  46  87  50  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    85  45  90  47  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING from 11 AM this morning to 5 PM MST this
     afternoon FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains
     NP/Lincoln NF/LNZ.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH from Sunday morning through Sunday evening
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains NP/Lincoln
     NF/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WATCH from Sunday morning through Sunday evening FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING from 11 AM this morning to 5 PM MST this
     afternoon FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH from Sunday morning through Sunday evening
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.

     HIGH WIND WATCH from Sunday morning through Sunday evening FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

10/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
114 PM CST FRI FEB 14 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-151915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
114 PM CST FRI FEB 14 2014 /1214 PM MST FRI FEB 14 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM RH/S NEAR 10 PERCENT SOUTH OF THE FRONT AND
WINDS TO 20 MPH A TIMES NEAR AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE COMBINATION OF VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES...DRY FUELS...AND GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY WILL RESULT IN
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT SATURDAY FOR THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS.

THE WARM...DRY...AND AT TIMES WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO
NEXT WEEKEND AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
OVER MORE OF THE AREA AS THE FUELS DRY OUT.

OTHERWISE...THE PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND