Red Flag Warning 20, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

544 
WWUS84 KMAF 181149
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
649 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TODAY UNTIL EARLY EVENING FOR 20FT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF
15 PERCENT OR LESS... AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE...
DAVIS... AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS... MARFA PLATEAU... AND MUCH OF
THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN...

.A PACIFIC FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY.  AS IT DOES
THE WIND WILL VEER AROUND TO THE WEST/NORTHWEST.  THIS WILL PULL
VERY DRY AIR INTO THE REGION.  EVEN WITH SOME COOLING LOOK FOR
MINIMUM RH VALUES TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AREAWIDE.  20FT
WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 20 MPH ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS... AND MUCH OF THE THE NORTHERN
PERMIAN BASIN.  THEREFORE A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
TODAY.

NMZ114-115-TXZ045>048-050-051-057-074-080-258-190000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0020.140318T1600Z-140319T0200Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-MARFA PLATEAU-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
649 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014 /549 AM MDT TUE MAR 18 2014/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/
THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS
AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE GUADALUPE... DELAWARE AND DAVIS
MOUNTAINS... SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS... MARFA PLATEAU... AND
NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN...

* WIND...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH MOUNTAINS...15 TO 25 MPH PLAINS.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RED FLAG WARNING -- NO FIRE... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR
ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-
DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

193 
WWUS84 KMAF 181902
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
202 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TODAY UNTIL EARLY EVENING FOR 20FT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF
15 PERCENT OR LESS... AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE...
DAVIS... AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS... MARFA PLATEAU... AND MUCH OF
THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN...

.STRONG WESTERLY WINDS HAVE ADVECTED VERY DRY AIR INTO THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE DROPPED TO THE
SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS. 20FT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 MPH OR
GREATER WERE NOTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS... SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS... AND MUCH OF THE PERMIAN BASIN. THEREFORE A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

NMZ114-115-TXZ045>048-050-051-057-074-080-258-190200-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140319T0200Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-MARFA PLATEAU-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
202 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014 /102 PM MDT TUE MAR 18 2014/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE GUADALUPE...
 DELAWARE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS... SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...
MARFA PLATEAU... AND NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN...

* WIND...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH MOUNTAINS...15 TO 25 MPH PLAINS.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RED FLAG WARNING -- NO FIRE... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR
ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-
DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
402 AM CDT Tue Mar 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level storm system currently across the central Rockies
will move onto the plains today. Associated surface low will
push across Kansas today resulting in breezy, dry westerly downslope
flow. Much above normal temperatures are expected today with a
decent amount of sunshine expected. As the upper system continues
to translate into the Mississippi valley tonight it will drag
a cold front through the region and temperatures will cool to
below normal values tonight and Wednesday behind this system.

More westerly flow aloft will induce another surface lee trough/low
Thursday and Friday. Low level thermal ridging will expand eastward
from the west Texas/eastern New Mexico border Thursday to the entire
forecast area Friday. This will result in a return of much above
normal temperatures both days with dry conditions continuing.

A weaker upper level trough translating across the northern states is
forecast to drop another cold front south into the forecast area
next weekend and early next week. It appears at this time that the
front will have difficulty clearing the forecast area so the
temperature forecast will be tricky with the potential for a large
temperature gradient. To compound matters, a southern stream upper
level system is forecast to approach this front early next week
and could generate the potential for precipitation. Will leave dry
for now this far out but continue to monitor.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Pacific front will move through the area today with the wind
veering around to the west/northwest. This will pull very dry air
into the region. Even with slightly cooler temperatures behind the
front will end up with minimum RH in the single digits areawide.
Highest 20ft winds will be across Guadalupe... Davis...and
Delaware Mountains where stronger winds aloft mix down... and
across SE NM plains and Northern Permian Basin where pressure
gradient is tighter. Will upgrade Fire Weather Watch for the
Guadalupe Mountains today to a Red Flag Warning and expand it
eastward to Snyder and southward to Marfa. Depending how much wind
mixes down to the surface could see parts of the Trans Pecos being
added to the warning later today. Cooler temperatures and higher
RH behind the front Wednesday will give a short break to fire wx
concerns but they will return later in the week as the wx warms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 79  35  63  38  /   0   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              82  37  65  40  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                79  32  63  37  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  87  41  74  48  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           84  40  67  45  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          72  35  56  42  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   75  31  62  36  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   75  27  64  32  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    83  35  65  40  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  83  37  66  42  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    85  35  69  39  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM MDT this
     evening FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains
     NP/Lincoln NF/LNZ...Southeast Plains/BLM Roswell/LNZ.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING from 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ this morning to 9 PM
     CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     Andrews...Borden...Davis/Apache Mountains Area...Dawson...
     Gaines...Guadalupe Mountains...Marfa Plateau...Martin...
     Scurry...Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.

&&

72/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1023 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-190330-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1023 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014 /923 PM MDT MON MAR 17 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HAZARD WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS AGAIN TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND