Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

802 
WWUS84 KMAF 101954
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
154 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF
20 MPH OR MORE...HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF A LAMESA TO MIDLAND TO FORT
STOCKTON LINE...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR 20 FOOT WINDS
OF 20 MPH OR MORE...HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF A LAMESA TO MIDLAND TO FORT
STOCKTON LINE...

.WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE INCREASED TODAY BEHIND AN UPPER
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM...RESULTING IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS.

ANOTHER UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION SUNDAY AND
RESULT IN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...DRY AIR AND WINDY
CONDITIONS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
RESULT OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA.  


NMZ115-TXZ045-046-050-051-057>062-067>069-074-075-111130-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0001.140112T1900Z-140113T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140111T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-ANDREWS-MARTIN-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
WARD-CRANE-UPTON-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-
154 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2014 /1254 PM MST FRI JAN 10 2014/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR LOCATIONS 
ALONG AND WEST OF A LAMESA TO MIDLAND TO FORT STOCKTON LINE...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS
AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF A LAMESA TO
MIDLAND TO FORT STOCKTON LINE...

* WIND...TODAY...WEST TO NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
  MPH BOTH TODAY AND SUNDAY. 

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1048 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2014

.UPDATE...

Update to increase wind speeds in the Public Forecast and issue a
Red Flag Warning for much of the forecast area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Will send an update to the forecast to increase wind speeds a little
over much of the forecast area due to subsidence behind a departing
shortwave trough.  The sky is gradually clearing from west to east
behind this system, so expect warming temperatures and good
insolation will result in better mixing.  Current forecast high
temperatures look good, as do dewpoints.  so, the main change will
be to wind speeds.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail areawide during the next 24 hours.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

West to northwest downslope winds will increase over the area today
in the wake of an upper trough moving over north central Texas.
These winds will usher drier air into the region, and along with
temperatures around 10 degrees above normal, drop afternoon RHs to
10 to 15 percent.  Fire Danger will be high along and west of a
Lamesa, Midland and Fort Stockton line, and these areas will see
sustained 20 foot winds of 20 mph or greater for a few hours.  Will
issue a RFW for these areas from 10/18Z to 11/00Z since winds and
temperatures will decrease after this time.  RHs will likely stay at
15 percent or higher in the higher elevations of the Guadalupe and
Davis Mountains, but elevations of 5500 feet or lower in the Davis
Mountains will be included in the RFW.  Recovery tonight will be
good areawide.

20 foot winds should stay below 20 mph Saturday, so even though the
dry and mild conditions will continue, critical Fire Weather
conditions are not expected.  However on Sunday, winds will be on
the increase and a Fire Weather Watch may be needed since dry
conditions will combine with high temperatures 15 to 20 degrees
above normal.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING until 5 PM MST this afternoon FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Southeast Plains/BLM Roswell/LNZ.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING until 6 PM CST this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Andrews...Crane...Davis/Apache Mountains Area...
     Dawson...Ector...Gaines...Loving...Martin...Midland...
     Pecos...Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos...Upton...Van
     Horn and Highway 54 Corridor...Ward...Winkler.

&&

67/49

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1052 AM CST FRI JAN 10 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-111700-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1052 AM CST FRI JAN 10 2014 /952 AM MST FRI JAN 10 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS, ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 10 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL, WILL RESULT IN CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FIRE GROWTH
AND SPREAD THIS AFTERNOON.  THEREFORE, A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NEAR CRITICAL TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO A PASSING
UPPER STORM SYSTEM.  ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, DRY AIR OVER THE
REGION AND WINDY CONDITIONS COULD COMBINE TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS
FAVORABLE FOR FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND