Freeze Warning 3, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

673 
WWUS74 KMAF 140829
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
329 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT THIS MORNING FOR THE MARFA 
PLATEAU...

.A SURFACE RIDGE RESIDING OVER WEST TEXAS THIS MORNING HAS
RESULTED IN CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS.  THESE OPTIMAL 
CONDITIONS FOR COOLING, ALONG WITH A DRY AIRMASS, WILL LIKELY
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING 
THIS MORNING ACROSS THE MARFA PLATEAU.

TXZ080-141500-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.W.0003.141014T1000Z-141014T1500Z/
MARFA PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MARFA
329 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...

* EVENT...FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...PLANTS AND ANIMALS SENSITIVE TO FREEZING 
  TEMPERATURES MAY BE DAMAGED OR KILLED. 

* TEMPERATURES...30-32.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1238 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2014

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF issuance
Strong northerly winds will quickly diminish by sunset this
evening. Winds will become light and variable and stay that way
through Tuesday. Otherwise VFR conditions are expected.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 445 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2014/

DISCUSSION...

WV imagery shows the upper trough exiting the Texas Panhandle into
OK, as models forecast 24 hrs ago.  Sfc analysis shows the cold
front in the Lwr Trans Pecos/Big Bend area, w/earlier convection
having diminished to -SHRA, and exiting the area to the east.  As
such, the svr t-storm watch was allowed to expire.  In addition, sfc
obs show that the wind warnings/advisories can be cancelled w/this
morning's package issuance.

As the sfc ridge moves into the area today, models keep pressure
gradients tight, for brisk northerly flow thru the late afternoon.
This will keep afternoon highs about a cat below normal.  Tonight,
as gradients drop off and under clear skies, West Texas/SE NM will
see the coldest night yet this fall, w/the Marfa Plateau flirting
w/a light freeze Tuesday morning.  As first freezes are fickle,
we've gone w/a watch for now, and will let the next shift reevaluate
the situation as later model data allows.

Tuesday, light return flow resumes, and temperatures rebound to near
normal.  Temps continue to climb Wed/Thu, before a dry cold front
moves thru Thursday night/Friday.  Temps try to rebound over the
weekend, but models bring another...stronger front into the region
Sunday afternoon or Sunday night, taking temps back to near normal
Monday, with perhaps a chance of rain.  GFS and ECMWF are similar in
temps, so we've used a blend in the extended.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...FREEZE WATCH Tuesday morning FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Marfa
     Plateau.

&&

29

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
151 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-141900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
151 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014 /1251 PM MDT MON OCT 13 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL DROP TO AROUND THE FREEZING POINT FOR
THE MARFA PLATEAU SO A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND