Severe Thunderstorm Warning 280, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
228 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WITH A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD MOVE SLOWLY AND PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN AND UP TO 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL. EXPECT PRECIPITATION
TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

DRIER AIR WILL BE USHERED INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE FRONT. NO RAIN
IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH. THURSDAY WILL BE A
BIT COOLER...THEN A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS BRIEFLY.

&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SUNDAYS COLD FRONT IS LOOKING EVEN LESS IMPRESSIVE...QPF WISE...THAN
IT DID THIS TIME YESTERDAY AND LOWERED POPS ACCORDINGLY.
HOWEVER...NORTHWEST FLOW FOLLOWING FROPA WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER COOL
DOWN TO LINGER THROUGH THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF THE WORK WEEK. ADDED
SOME SLIGHT POPS TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD AS THE UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN AMPLIFIES AND THE NEXT SYSTEM BUILDS OVER THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     67  84  62  89 /  30  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         72  92  66  93 /  40  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       65  85  63  90 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    71  91  66  92 /  40  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  71  88  65  91 /  30  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     71  91  65  93 /  40  10  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      71  91  66  92 /  40  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  65  85  62  90 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        68  84  62  89 /  30  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     71  90  65  92 /  40  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   70  88  65  91 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         69  86  63  90 /  30  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      71  87  64  91 /  40  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...61

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
315 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-241000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
315 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. THE
PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

51/44

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
231 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 N MOUNTAIN HOME       36.36N 92.38W
07/23/2014  E60 MPH          BAXTER             AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            THUNDERSTORM GUSTS WERE ESTIMATED AROUND 60 MPH A COUPLE
            OF MILES NORTH OF MOUNTAIN HOME.

&&

46

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
310 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     HAIL             2 N ATKINS              35.28N 92.94W
07/23/2014  E0.75 INCH       POPE               AR   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL JUST NORTH OF ATKINS.

&&

225

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
401 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0352 PM     FLASH FLOOD      KNOXVILLE               35.38N 93.36W
07/23/2014                   JOHNSON            AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TWO HOMES EVACUATED DUE TO HIGH WATER IN KNOXVILLE.

&&

225