River Flood Warning 8, NWS St. Louis, MO

200 
WGUS43 KLSX 250242 CCA
FLWLSX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
842 PM CST MON FEB 24 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST. LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS... 

  
            THE LA MOINE RIVER AT 

             ...RIPLEY


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF RAINFALL AND SNOW MELT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE:  NEVER DRIVE CARS, TRUCKS, OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT, ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION, 
IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX.

&&

ILC009-260155-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0008.140225T0242Z-140227T1200Z/
/RIPI2.1.ER.140225T0550Z.140225T1800Z.140226T1200Z.NO/
842 PM CST MON FEB 24 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST. LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY
* AT 6:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 22.4 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON
  AND THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET FARMLAND FLOODING AND RURAL DAMAGES BEGIN.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4013 9074 4013 9068 4000 9051 3996 9052 3998 9064


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7 A.M. FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     02/25  02/26  02/27  02/28  03/01

LA MOINE RIVER
  RIPLEY          22.0   18.84      22.3   22.0   19.1   14.1   11.8

790 
WGUS83 KLSX 251653
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1053 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Illinois...
 
  La Moine River at Ripley affecting Brown County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of runoff due to a combination of 
rainfall last week and melting snow...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue 
follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC009-261653-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140227T1500Z/
/RIPI2.1.ER.140225T1738Z.140225T1800Z.140226T1500Z.NO/
1053 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the La Moine River at Ripley
* until Thursday morning.
* At 7:00 AM Tuesday the stage was estimated to be 22.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to rise to near 22.5 feet this 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday late 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins.  Extensive 
  cropland is flooded below the gauge near the LaGrange Lock Road 
  bridge.
* Impact:  At 22.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Farmland flooding and rural 
  damages begin.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4013 9074 4013 9068 4000 9051 3996 9052 3998 9064


$$

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     02/26  02/27  02/28  03/01  03/02

La Moine River
  Ripley          22.0   E22.40     22.2   19.5   14.7   12.5   11.6

401 
WGUS83 KLSX 260151
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
751 PM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Illinois...
 
  
             The La Moine River at 

              ...Ripley


&&

ILC009-260221-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140227T1500Z/
/RIPI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
751 PM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the La Moine River at Ripley.
* At 6:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 19.5 feet. 
  The river will continue a downward trend.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4013 9074 4013 9068 4000 9051 3996 9052 3998 9064


$$

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     02/26  02/27  02/28  03/01  03/02

La Moine River
  Ripley          22.0   19.44      19.1   16.4   11.6    9.4    8.5

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
550 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2014

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Late Tonight)
Issued at 244 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2014

Despite surface ridge, shortwave continues to undercut it with
mainly mid and high clouds across northern portions of forecast
area. More vigorous shortwave to slide southeast across Iowa and
into central Illinois tonight, but with main energy to north of
forecast area, feel that best chances of light snow will be just
north of forecast area. So just kept chance pops over northeast
Missouri and west central Illinois. As for low temperatures, to
range from the mid teens far north to the mid 20s far south.

Byrd

.LONG TERM: (Tuesday through Next Monday)
Issued at 244 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2014

A broad long-wave upper trof will continue to dominate aloft with
embedded shortwaves sending several cold fronts across the area
through Thursday. The first front will move across late tonight into
early Tuesday morning with cold advection strengthening throughout
the day on Tuesday. A stronger shortwave accompanied by 60-80m
height falls will impact the area late Tuesday afternoon-evening.
Weak large scale ascent and low-mid level frontogenetic forcing is
forecast to spread wnw-ese across primarily the southern half of the
CWA with this wave, and this could result in some light snow and/or
flurries. The greatest risk would be in the evening along and south
of I-70. QPFs have become more tightly clustered in this region and
I have increased pops into the chance category. This looks to be
quick shot and if it pans out then some areas could see a light
dusting. High pressure builds into the area overnight Tuesday into
Wednesday morning with clearing skies and well below average lows.
The surface high then shifts quickly to the south of the CWA during
on Wednesday afternoon with weak warm advection commencing. The
second cold front drives into the area late Wednesday night into
Thursday morning pushing into the lower MS Valley by 00Z Fri
bringing a reinforcing push of cold air.

As discussed yesterday, the upper air pattern undergoes a pretty
significant change late this week into the weekend with the
breakdown of the West Coast ridge and deep eastern mean trof to a
more progressive regime featuring Pacific systems tracking inland
and into the central U.S.. This pattern will give us a much better
chance at measurable precipitation, and a trof on Friday and another
stronger system centered on Sunday have potential to bring
measurable snowfall. I have continued to increase POPS with both
systems. There are model-to-model and run-to-run differences with
thermal profiles impacting Ptype with the later system, but this
one has the potential for significant amounts IF all stays on
track.

Glass

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 00z TAFs through 00z Tuesday Evening)
Issued at 531 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2014

A couple weak upper level disturbances will impact the region over
the next 24 hrs...but will have minimal impact on the sensible
weather. The first disturbance will pass to the north across IA
and IL tonight. It is already producing a band of light snow
across IA. This will spread ESE thru the night...but is expected
to remain north of KUIN. Quincy may get clipped with some high end
MVFR CIGs over night as the disturbance passes by but thought
limited coverage keeps mention out of the the TAF. The second
disturbance passes thru sthrn MO tomorrow evening. This feature
could also produce a light band of snow. Model guidance suggests
the best chances for measurable snow will remain S of I70...so
have opted to leave mention of snow out for now. Otherwise expect
a NE-N wind aob 12 kts with variable cloud cover and CIGs generally
above 5kft.

Specifics for KSTL:

VFR fcst with variable cloudy skies with CIGs aoa 5kft and winds
backing NE to NNW aob 12 kts.

2%

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS:
Saint Louis     23  37  10  27 /   5  20  30   0
Quincy          17  25   2  23 /  40  10   0   0
Columbia        23  34   8  28 /   5  20  30   0
Jefferson City  24  36  10  30 /   5  20  30   0
Salem           23  36   9  22 /  10  10  30   0
Farmington      23  40  12  28 /   5  10  30   0

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
342 PM CST MON FEB 24 2014

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-251200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
342 PM CST MON FEB 24 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

GLASS