Wind Advisory 68, NWS Los Angeles, CA

894 
WWUS76 KLOX 131054
NPWLOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
354 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2014

...GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING...

.A DEVELOPING OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL BRING GUSTY SANTA ANA
WINDS TO PORTIONS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON.

CAZ053-054-131900-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-141013T2100Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOCKWOOD VALLEY...MOUNT PINOS...ACTON...
MOUNT WILSON...SANDBERG
354 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND TIMING...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH THIS MORNING AND WILL DIMINISH EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

CAZ044>046-088-131900-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0068.141013T1100Z-141013T2100Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA PAULA...FILLMORE...OJAI...PIRU...
THOUSAND OAKS...NEWBURY PARK...MOORPARK...SIMI VALLEY...TOPANGA...
SANTA CLARITA...NEWHALL...VALENCIA
354 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND TIMING...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH THIS MORNING AND WILL DIMINISH EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

ASR/DB

882 
WWUS76 KLOX 131534
NPWLOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
834 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2014

...WIND ADVISORY CANCELLED FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...


CAZ044>046-053-054-088-131645-
/O.CAN.KLOX.WI.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-141013T2100Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA PAULA...FILLMORE...OJAI...PIRU...
THOUSAND OAKS...NEWBURY PARK...MOORPARK...SIMI VALLEY...TOPANGA...
LOCKWOOD VALLEY...MOUNT PINOS...ACTON...MOUNT WILSON...SANDBERG...
SANTA CLARITA...NEWHALL...VALENCIA
834 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS CANCELLED
THE WIND ADVISORY.

WEAK OFFSHORE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE MOUNTAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE
VALLEYS THIS MORNING...BUT ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH ADVISORY
LEVELS.

$$


GOMBERG

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
610 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014

UPDATED AVIATION SECTION

.SYNOPSIS...

HIGH PRESSURE AND WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT COOLING TO THE REGION TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...WITH INCREASING NIGHT AND MORNING CLOUDS AND FOG WEST OF
THE MOUNTAINS. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN IN MOST
COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOME
WARMING IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AS THE TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE
REGION...WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-WED)...CENTRAL COAST CERTAINLY WARMED UP TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND 90S. FURTHER SOUTH LITTLE CHANGE OVERALL
AS THE NORTHEAST FLOW NOT QUITE STRONG ENOUGH YET TO PUNCH THROUGH
THE 1500' MARINE INVERSION. EXPECTING THAT TO HAPPEN MONDAY AS
LAX-DAG GRADIENT DROPS TO -4.5MB AND SUBSIDENCE ALOFT FROM THE
BUILDING RIDGE WILL HELP FORCE SOME OF THAT WIND DOWN TO LOWER
ELEVATIONS. STILL LOOKING LIKE A SUB-ADVISORY LEVEL WIND EVENT WITH
SIMILAR WIND SPEEDS IN THE MTNS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY AS TODAY BUT
WINDIER AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AS THE INVERSION GETS WIPED OUT
LATER TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MORNING MONDAY. STILL A TOUGH CALL ON
TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO THE COAST AND THAT WILL DEPEND GREATLY ON HOW
QUICKLY THE WINDS CAN SURFACE. IF THEY SURFACE EARLY AND THE MARINE
LYR IS PUSHED OUT IN THE EARLY MORNING THEN TEMPS EVEN AT THE
BEACHES SHOULD CLIMB INTO THE 80S WITH LOWER 90S A FEW MILES INLAND.
VALLEYS SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM REACHING THE 90S MONDAY.

CENTRAL COAST LIKELY TO SEE A LITTLE BIT OF COOLING MONDAY AS WINDS
SHIFT FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTH AND LOW CLOUDS START SURGING
NORTHWARD. STILL A VERY WARM DAY BUT PROBABLY A COUPLE DEGREES
COOLER THAN TODAY.

BIG COOLING ON TAP FOR TUE/WED AS A SYSTEM MOVES INTO NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA AND GRADIENTS TREND STRONGLY ONSHORE. MODELS CONTINUE TO
TREND WEAKER WITH THE TROF AND ACTUALLY KEEP 500 MB HEIGHTS 580 DM
OR HIGHER. BECAUSE OF THIS WHATEVER IS LEFT OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES
SOUTH OF THE BAY AREA IS EXPECTED TO WASH OUT COMPLETELY BEFORE
REACHING SLO COUNTY. ABOUT THE MOST WE CAN EXPECTED FROM IT IS SOME
DRIZZLE FROM A DEEPENED MARINE LYR, BUT EVEN THAT ISN'T LOOKING AS
PROMISING AS IT ONCE DID. COOLING MAY ALSO HAVE TO BE SCALED BACK A
BIT IF THESE TRENDS CONTINUE, THOUGH HIGHS STILL EXPECTED TO DROP
BELOW NORMAL FOR A COUPLE DAYS.

.LONG TERM (THU-SUN)...SLIGHT WARMUP ON TAP FOR THE LATTER HALF OF
THE WEEK AS HEIGHTS RISE SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF THE NEXT WEAK TROF FOR
EARLY SAT. MODELS DIVERGE AT THAT POINT WITH THE ECMWF FORMING A
SEMI-CLOSED UPPER LOW NEAR SO CAL SUN WHILE THE GFS SHOWS A WEAK
RIDGE DEVELOPING. THE TIE-BREAKER IS THE GEM WHICH AGREES WITH THE
WARMER GFS SOLUTION FOR NEXT WEEKEND. STILL A FAIR AMOUNT OF
VARIABILITY IN THE ENSEMBLES BUT BETTER ODDS ON A MODEST WARMING
TREND FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...13/0110Z...

MARINE LAYER AT LAX AT 0000Z WAS 1450 FEET DEEP AND THE INVERSION
TOP WAS AT 2800 FEET WITH A TEMP OF 25 DEGREES C.

NORTH OF POINT CONCEPTION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT
THE PERIOD EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF VLIFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS
BETWEEN 10Z AND 16Z.

SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT
THE PERIOD AT ALL INLAND TERMINALS. IFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY SPREAD INTO COASTAL TERMINALS THROUGH 10Z. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT CONDITIONS COULD DETERIORATE TO PREDOMINANT IFR BETWEEN 10Z AND
15Z. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP BETWEEN 15Z AND 17Z.

KLAX...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 02Z...THEN THERE IS A 60
PERCENT CHANCE OF MVFR CONDITIONS BY 04Z. THERE IS A 30 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT CONDITIONS COULD LOWER TO IFR BETWEEN 10Z AND 15Z. VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD REDEVELOP BETWEEN 15Z AND 16Z.

KBUR...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
IFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS BETWEEN 10Z AND 14Z.

&&

.MARINE...12/200 PM...

HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT MARINE FORECAST. 10+ FOOT SEAS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN OUTER WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...SO
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT
THROUGH TONIGHT.

OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
HIGH SURF ADVISORY (SEE LAXCFWLOX).
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK (SEE LAXSRFLOX).

&&

PUBLIC...MW
AVIATION/MARINE...RAT
SYNOPSIS...SWEET

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
735 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014

CAZ034>041-044>046-051>054-059-087-088-547-548-131300-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
735 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE... TONIGHT

LONG PERIOD WEST-NORTHWEST SWELL WILL BRING HIGH SURF TO THE BEACHES
ALONG CENTRAL COAST OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES
AND VENTURA COUNTY. DANGEROUS SWIMMING AND SURF CONDITIONS ALONG
WITH RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED.

* HIGH SURF ADVISORY.........SEE WHUS46 KLOX - CFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK......SEE FZUS56 KLOX - SRFLOX FOR DETAILS *

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HIGH SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST AND AT
VENTURA COUNTY BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY AFTERNOON. DANGEROUS
SWIMMING AND SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS.

* HIGH SURF ADVISORY.........SEE WHUS46 KLOX - CFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK......SEE FZUS56 KLOX - SRFLOX FOR DETAILS *

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

HALL