Small Craft Advisory 33, NWS Los Angeles, CA

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
330 AM PDT MON MAR 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

TWO MORE WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL MARCH THROUGH THE REGION IN THE NEXT
WEEK. THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL BRING A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH OF RAIN
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A SECOND FRONT MAY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
ON FRIDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-WED)...
TODAY WILL START OFF FAIRLY NICELY WITH SUNNY SKIES SOUTH OF POINT
CONCEPTION AND PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH AREAS OF STRATUS
IN THE SANTA MARIA AND SANTA YNEZ AREA. A FRONT (STRONGER THAN THE
ONE WE HAD OVER THE WEEKEND) WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL COAST LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL INCREASE THE CLOUDS AS WELL AS BRING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE COASTS OF SLO COUNTY. THE ONSHORE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. IT WILL BE A BREEZY DAY
AT THE BEACHES AND ANTELOPE VLY. WIND GUSTS WILL INCREASE TO 50 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ANTELOPE VLY AND A WIND ADVISORY IS IN
PLACE THERE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT AND WILL BRING BRING
RAIN TO ALL AREAS. THERE WILL LIKELY BE ABOUT A 2 TO 3 HOUR PERIOD
OF STEADY RAIN WITH THIS FRONT. RAIN WILL TURN TO SHOWERS IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT TUESDAY. THE SBA SOUTH COAST AND VENTURA COAST
WILL SEE MUCH LESS IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AS NORTHWEST
DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP TO KEEP THE AREA A LITTLE DRIER AND LESS
CLOUDY.

AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES CLOSER TO SHORE THE COLD POOL ABOVE THE UPPER
LOW WILL DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE ENOUGH TO WARRANT A SLGT CHC OF
TSTMS FOR SLO COUNTY. AS THE UPPER LOW SWINGS THROUGH THE STATE
TUESDAY NIGHT THE COLD AIR ALOFT AND A DECENT VORT LOBE WILL BE
ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DECENT UPTICK IN SHOWER ACTIVITY AND ALMOST ALL
AREAS WILL SEE SOME PRECIP OVERNIGHT.

RAINFALL TOTALS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAYS WILL AVERAGE FROM A
QUARTER TO HALF INCH. SOMEWHAT LOWER AMOUNTS IN COASTAL VENTURA
COUNTY DUE TO THE DOWNSLOPING. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN
COASTAL SLO COUNTY AND IN THE EASTERN SAN GABRIELS. SNOW LEVELS WILL
RANGE FROM 5000-5500 FT TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...DROPPING AS LOW AS
4500 FT WEDNESDAY.

THE LOW WILL EXIT THE STATE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY ENDING LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
THE BULK OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE OCCUR OVER THE MTNS.

ALL OF THE CLOUDS AND RAIN AS WELL LOW HGTS WILL KEEP MAX TEMPS 4 TO
12 DEGREES BLO NORMAL WITH WEDNESDAY THE COOLEST DAY.

.LONG TERM (THU-SUN)...
A LITTLE POP UP RIDGE ON THURSDAY WILL BRING SOME SUNSHINE TO THE
AREA ALONG WITH A LITTLE WARMING BUT MAX TEMPS WILL REMAIN MANY
DEGREES BLO NORMAL.

ALL MDLS INDICATE SOME SORT OF TROF PASSING THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY
BUT NON REALLY BRING ANY MEANINGFUL RAIN TO THE AREA AS THE SYSTEM
IS LOOKING PRETTY MOISTURE STARVED. CONFINED LOW CHC RAIN WORDING TO
THE CENTRAL COAST AND JUST BROUGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO THE AREA
ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPS.

ALL SIGNS POINT A VERY NICE WEEKEND WITH A BUILDING RIDGE...CLEAR
SKIES AND WARMING TEMPS. MAX TEMPS WILL FINALLY GO ABOVE NORMAL ON
SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...

31/1130Z

KLAX...

KBUR...

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT (SEE LAXSPSLOX).

&&

PUBLIC...RORKE
AVIATION...BRUNO
SYNOPSIS...KAPLAN

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
906 AM PDT SUN MAR 30 2014

CAZ034>041-044>046-051>054-059-087-088-547-548-311300-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
906 AM PDT SUN MAR 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE... TODAY AND TONIGHT

BEACHGOERS WILL FACE AN INCREASED RISK OF HAZARDOUS RIP
CURRENTS.SWIMMERS AND PEOPLE IN THE SURF ZONE SHOULD BE CAUTIOUS OF
RIP CURRENTS.

* HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK......SEE FZUS56 KLOX - SRFLOX FOR DETAILS *

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A SECOND STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. EXPECT HIGHER RAINFALL AND
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM. A THIRD STORM SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO
AFFECT THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MW

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