Red Flag Warning 12, NWS Los Angeles, CA

746 
WWUS86 KLOX 042327
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
327 PM PST TUE NOV 4 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
THE SANTA CLARITA VALLEY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ON WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR PORTIONS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES...

.DISCUSSION...PERSISTENT WEAK TO MODERATE OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITIES WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE DANGER
TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TODAY THROUGH THIS WEEK. THE WINDS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS 24 HOURS NOW LOOK TO
PEAK TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH LITTLE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TWO
DAYS. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALSO BUILD OVER THE AREA FROM
THE WEST...ADDING TO THE WARMING AND DRYING. WITH THE STRONGER
WINDS TODAY...THE MOST VULNERABLE AREAS LIKE THE SANTA CLARITA
VALLEY AND THE LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS WILL APPROACH RED FLAG
CONDITIONS TODAY. OTHER PARTS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES
WILL BECOME MORE VULNERABLE WITH THE EXTRA DAY OF DRYING...WHICH
WILL LEAD TO RED FLAG CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY.

CAZ254-288-051830-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141106T0500Z/
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS / ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
327 PM PST TUE NOV 4 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE LOS ANGELES
COUNTY MOUNTAIN AND THE ANTELOPE VALLEY...

* WINDS...AREAS OF NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
  45 MPH. STRONGEST LATE MORNING THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON HOURS.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES 4 TO 12 PERCENT. POOR
  OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES 12 TO 25 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...WARMEST TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S TO MID 80S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR SHOULD BE
  EXPECTED IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE
OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

CAZ244>246-051830-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0012.141105T1400Z-141106T0500Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
327 PM PST TUE NOV 4 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE VENTURA
VALLEYS AND THE SANTA MONICA RANGE...

* WINDS...AREAS OF NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
  ISOLATED GUSTS TO 50 MPH. STRONGEST LATE MORNING THROUGH MID-
  AFTERNOON HOURS.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...WARMEST TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR SHOULD BE
  EXPECTED IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE
OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

CAZ547-051830-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0012.141105T1400Z-141106T0500Z/
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
327 PM PST TUE NOV 4 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SAN
FERNANDO VALLEY...

* WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
  OVER THE WESTERN VALLEY. STRONGEST LATE MORNING THROUGH MID-
  AFTERNOON HOURS.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES 5 TO 10 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...WARMEST TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
  90S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR SHOULD BE
  EXPECTED IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE
OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

CAZ253-051830-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0012.141105T1400Z-141106T0500Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS / LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
327 PM PST TUE NOV 4 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE VENTURA
COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

* WINDS...AREAS OF NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH 
  THROUGH EASTERN MOUNTAIN PASSES AND CANYONS.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES 8 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...WARMEST TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S TO MID 80S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR SHOULD BE
  EXPECTED IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE
OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

KITTELL

108 
WWUS86 KLOX 051716
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
916 AM PST WED NOV 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY OVER PORTIONS OF LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTIES...

.DISCUSSION...NO CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS ISSUANCE. PERSISTENT WEAK
TO MODERATE OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING A CRITICAL FIRE DANGER TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. WINDS TODAY
SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS
GENERALLY BETWEEN 30 AND 45 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
HOURS. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY REACH THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY LOWER TO BETWEEN 5 AND 15
PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES UNDER 30 PERCENT OVER
MUCH OF THE AREA. TODAY WILL BE THE MOST CRITICAL DAY OF THE EVENT
WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...DRIEST AIR...WARMER TEMPERATURES...AND
THE PREVIOUS TWO DAYS OF DRYING FUELS. A RED FLAG WARNING FOR MOST
OF THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY. WITH SIMILAR HUMIDITIES BUT WEAKER WINDS...THERE
IS A CHANCE OF NEEDING TO EXTEND SOME OF THE RED FLAG WARNINGS
INTO THURSDAY.

CAZ246-253-254-060130-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141106T0500Z/
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS / LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS / ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
916 AM PST WED NOV 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

* WINDS...AREAS OF NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH
  GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES 6 TO 12 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...WARMEST TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR SHOULD 
  BE EXPECTED IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE
OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

CAZ244-245-288-060130-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141106T0500Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
916 AM PST WED NOV 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
VENTURA COUNTY AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEYS...

* WINDS...AREAS OF NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
  MPH. ISOLATED GUSTS TO 50 MPH. STRONGEST LATE MORNING THROUGH
  MID- AFTERNOON HOURS.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES 4 TO 12 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...WARMEST TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR SHOULD 
  BE EXPECTED IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE
OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

CAZ547-060130-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141106T0500Z/
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
916 AM PST WED NOV 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WEST
SAN FERNANDO VALLEY...

* WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30
  MPH OVER THE WESTERN VALLEY. STRONGEST LATE MORNING THROUGH MID-
  AFTERNOON HOURS.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES 5 TO 10 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...WARMEST TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
  90S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR SHOULD 
  BE EXPECTED IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE
OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

KITTELL

067 
WWUS86 KLOX 052325
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
325 PM PST WED NOV 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY OVER PORTIONS OF LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTIES...

UPDATE INCLUDES REMOVING THE SAN FERNANDO VALLEY...OTHERWISE NO
CHANGES.

.DISCUSSION...PERSISTENT WEAK TO MODERATE OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A CRITICAL FIRE DANGER TO
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. WINDS TODAY SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS GENERALLY BETWEEN 30 AND
45 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS.
MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY REACH THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY LOWER TO BETWEEN 5 AND 15
PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES UNDER 30 PERCENT OVER
MUCH OF THE AREA. TODAY WILL BE THE MOST CRITICAL DAY OF THE EVENT
WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...DRIEST AIR...WARMER TEMPERATURES...AND
THE PREVIOUS TWO DAYS OF DRYING FUELS. A RED FLAG WARNING FOR MOST
OF THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY. WITH SIMILAR HUMIDITIES BUT WEAKER WINDS...THERE
IS A CHANCE OF NEEDING TO EXTEND SOME OF THE RED FLAG WARNINGS
INTO THURSDAY.

CAZ547-060030-
/O.CAN.KLOX.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141106T0500Z/
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
325 PM PST WED NOV 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE WEST SAN FERNANDO
VALLEY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS CANCELLED
THE RED FLAG WARNING.

THE WINDS THAT IMPACTED THE VALLEY EARLIER HAVE SUBSIDED. WHILE
OCCASIONALLY BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...THE
WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT A RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

CAZ246-253-254-060500-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141106T0500Z/
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS / LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS / ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
325 PM PST WED NOV 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

* WINDS...AREAS OF NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
  GUSTS TO 40 MPH THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES 8 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...WARMEST TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR SHOULD 
  BE EXPECTED IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE
OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

CAZ244-245-288-060500-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141106T0500Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
325 PM PST WED NOV 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
VENTURA COUNTY AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEYS...

* WINDS...AREAS OF NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
  MPH THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. ISOLATED GUSTS TO 45 MPH

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES 8 TO 12 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...WARMEST TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR SHOULD 
  BE EXPECTED IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE
OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

KITTELL

895 
WWUS86 KLOX 060456
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
856 PM PST WED NOV 5 2014

CAZ246-253-254-060600-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141106T0500Z/
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS / LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS / ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
856 PM PST WED NOV 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED SOME AND HUMIDITIES HAVE INCREASED ABOVE
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR MOST AREAS THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVERNIGHT. AS A RESULT...THE RED
FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 9 PM PST. EVEN
SO...LOCALIZED RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST UNTIL MIDNIGHT IN
THE WINDIER AREAS. 

$$

CAZ244-245-288-060600-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141106T0500Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
856 PM PST WED NOV 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE VENTURA
COUNTY AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEYS...

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED SOME AND HUMIDITIES HAVE INCREASED ABOVE
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR MOST AREAS THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVERNIGHT. AS A RESULT...THE RED
FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 9 PM PST. EVEN
SO...LOCALIZED RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST UNTIL MIDNIGHT IN
THE WINDIER FOOTHILL AREAS.

$$

SIRARD

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
900 AM PST TUE NOV 4 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS WILL BRING WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS INTO THURSDAY...WITH CHILLY NIGHTS IN WIND SHELTERED
AREAS. THE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THEN SHOULD GRADUAL DECLINE TO SEASONAL
NORMALS BY SUNDAY AS THE OFFSHORE FLOW DECREASES.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-THU)...

THE FROST ADVISORY FOR THE ANTELOPE VALLEY WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
AT 8AM. AFTER MEETING THE NEW FROST ADVISORY CRITERIA THE LAST TWO
NIGHTS IN THE ANTELOPE VALLEY...NO MORE FROST ADVISORIES WILL BE
ISSUED HERE THIS WINTER.

NO CHANGES MADE TO THE PUBLIC FORECAST THIS MORNING. THE MAIN FOCUS
TODAY WILL BE CONTINUING TO MONITOR THE ONGOING OFFSHORE EVENT AND
EVALUATING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. LAX-DAG HAS BEEN AROUND -4 TO -5
MB THIS MORNING...WHICH HAS RESULTED IN SOME NORTHEAST WINDS THAT
HAVE MOSTLY REMAINED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA...OTHER THAN A FEW
REMOTE LOCATIONS IN THE LA MOUNTAINS. A QUICK GLANCE AT THE 12Z
MODELS SUGGESTS THAT THE OFFSHORE FLOW TOMORROW WILL BE ABOUT THE
SAME STRENGTH...SO UNLESS ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD THIS MORNING...WE DON'T PLAN ON ISSUING ANY WINDS
ADVISORIES. BY THURSDAY MORNING NORTHEAST WINDS SHOULD BE SAFELY
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

***FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION***

VERY WARM THREE DAYS ON TAP AS AN EAST PAC UPPER HIGH BRINGS 590 DM
HGTS TO THE AREA. TEMPS WILL GET A FURTHER BOOST BY OFFSHORE FLOW
BROUGHT ON BY 1030 MB HIGH OVER THE NV/UT LINE. MAX TEMPS WILL BE
WELL ABOVE NORMAL ALL THREE DAYS PEAKING TOMORROW. OVERNIGHT LOW
WILL BE THE USUAL WINTER TIME HODGE PODGE WITH WINDY AREAS HAVING
ABOVE NORMAL LOWS BUT THE WIND SHELTERED AREAS HAVING BELOW NORMAL
TEMPS DUE TO THE VERY DRY AIR...CLEAR SKIES AND MANY HOURS OF
DARKNESS. THESE DESPERATE TEMPS COULD BE NO MORE THAN A FEW MILES
AWAY FROM EACH OTHER.

THERE ARE SOME WINDY SPOTS TONIGHT WITH SOME REMOTE MTN SENSORS
REPORTING 50 MPH GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE A LITTLE STRONGER THAN FCST
MAINLY DUE TO THE GRADIENTS BEING ABOUT 2 MB MORE OFFSHORE THAN
PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. STILL WHILE THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF CANYON
WINDS...MOST OF THE SPEEDS WILL BE JUST UNDER ADVISORY CRITERIA. AT
ONE TIME IT LOOKED LIKE WEDNESDAY MORNING WOULD HAVE STRONGER WINDS
BUT NOW IT LOOKS LIKE THE SFC HIGH WILL NOT STRENGTHEN AND WINDS
AGAIN WILL BE JUST UNDER ADVISORY CRITERIA.

HIGHS TODAY WILL BE 6 TO 12 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BUT WITH MORE
WARMING ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY LOOK FOR ANOTHER 4 TO 6 DEGREE JUMP IN
MAX TEMPS AND MAX TEMPS ACROSS THE COASTS AND VLYS WILL BE 10 TO 16
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND MAYBE 20 DEGREES ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST.
THE RECORD VALUES FOR WEDNESDAY ARE PRETTY HIGH SO IT LOOKS LIKE IT
WILL NOT BE RECORD SETTING HOT BUT STILL HOT NON THE LESS.

THE RIDGE FLATTENS A LITTLE BIT THURSDAY AS A LITTLE TROF MOVES INTO
THE PAC NW. HGTS REALLY DO NOT DROP MUCH BUT THE OFFSHORE FLOW
DECREASES AND THIS WILL BE GOOD FOR 2 TO 4 DEGREES OF COOLING ALONG
THE COASTS.

.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...
THE RIDGE FLATTENS SOME MORE FRIDAY (BUT HGTS REALLY DO NOT CHANGE)
SOME MORE COOLING MOSTLY DUE TO LESS OFFSHORE FLOW. BUT THE RIDGE
BUILDS RIGHT BACK UP AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND AND OFFSHORE FLOW
INCREASES AS WELL. MAX TEMPS WILL ZOOM UP ONCE AGAIN AND IN FACT
CURRENT FCST TEMPS MAY BE A FEW DEGREES TOO COOL.

MDLS DISAGREE ON MONDAYS FCST. ALL AGREE THAT THERE WILL BE AN UPPER
LEVEL CHANGE BUT ALL DISAGREE ON WHAT KIND OF CHANGE. BEST GUESS AT
THIS TIME IS THAT THE RIDGE WILL BE NUDGED EASTWARD BY AN
APPROACHING TROF. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A FEW DEGREES OF COOLING.

&&

.AVIATION...

04/1100Z

AT 1045Z...THERE WAS NO MARINE LAYER OR MARINE INVERSION AT KLAX.

HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ALL CAVU TAFS...EXCEPT FOR A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
LIFR CONDITIONS AT KPRB 12Z-17Z.

KLAX...VERY HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CAVU TAF. ANY EAST WINDS WILL REMAIN
LESS THAN 5 KNOTS.

KBUR...VERY HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CAVU TAF. NO WIND ISSUES.

&&

.MARINE...

04/900 AM...

FOR THE OUTER WATERS...NO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ISSUES THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY.

FOR THE INNER WATERS...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BE THE MAIN ISSUE FOR THE
INNER WATERS. NORTHEAST WINDS DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING
HOURS MAY OCCUR THROUGH THURSDAY FROM NEAR POINT MUGU TO SANTA
MONICA. MODERATE CONFIDENCE EXISTS FOR ANY OFFSHORE WINDS REMAINING
BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THERE IS A 50
PERCENT CHANCE THAT WIND GUSTS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS ON
WEDNESDAY. THE GUSTY WINDS MAY SPREAD UP THE COAST AS FAR AS VENTURA
HARBOR. IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THROUGH THE WEEK...THE
FLOW SHOULD TURN WEAKLY ONSHORE ACROSS THE INNER WATERS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...03/330 PM.

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WEAK TO MODERATE OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITIES WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TO
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS WEEK. WINDS GUSTS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS WIND PRONE PASSES AND
CANYONS...BUT WILL LIKELY BUMP UPWARD TO BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH ON
WEDNESDAY. MEANWHILE A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
AREA FROM THE WEST...BRINGING A WARMING TREND ALONG WITH DRYING
CONDITIONS. THE WARMEST DAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WITH HOTTEST LOCATIONS CLIMBING TO THE LOWER 90S.
HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY LOWER TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT EACH
DAY WITH AREAS OF SINGLE DIGIT READINGS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE WILL LIKELY BE BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EACH DAY
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE MOST
CRITICAL ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA DUE TO THE DRYING
FUELS COINCIDING WITH WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT NUDGE UPWARD IN OFFSHORE WINDS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS OF LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTIES...WHERE THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR A
LONGER DURATION OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH (SEE LAXRFWLOX).
FROST ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXMWWLOX).

&&

PUBLIC...SUKUP/RORKE
AVIATION...KAPLAN
MARINE...HALL
SYNOPSIS...SETO

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
600 AM PST TUE NOV 4 2014

CAZ034>041-044>046-051>054-059-087-088-547-548-051400-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
600 AM PST TUE NOV 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE... TODAY AND TONIGHT

NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN THE ANTELOPE VALLEY THIS MORNING WILL
BRING FROST WHICH MAY BE HAZARDOUS TO PLANTS AND PETS.

* FROST ADVISORY.............SEE WWUS76 KLOX - NPWLOX FOR DETAILS *

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF WARM DRY BREEZY WEATHER WILL CREATE FOREST
FIRE DANGER.

* FIRE WEATHER WATCH.........SEE WWUS86 KLOX - RFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

RORKE