Alert archive / Kentucky / Winter Storm Warnings in 2014
Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS Louisville, KY
NWS Louisville, KY issued this winter storm warning at Feb 4, 2014, 3:32 AM EST for 26 counties in Kentucky; 10 counties in Indiana. It took effect at Feb 4, 2014, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 12 hr. 58 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 4, 2014, 3:32 AM EST (08:32 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 4, 2014, 4:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 5, 2014, 3:56 AM EST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Louisville, KY
All 36 counties
Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Scott County, IN, Washington County, IN, Anderson County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Clark County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 4:19 PM EST | SNOW 1 | Salem, IN | |
| Feb 4, 4:39 PM EST | SNOW 1 | Paoli, IN | |
| Feb 4, 4:43 PM EST | SNOW 1.8 | 3 Nnw Paoli, IN | |
| Feb 4, 4:49 PM EST | SNOW 1 | English, IN | |
| Feb 4, 4:57 PM EST | SNOW 2.2 | Marengo, IN | |
| Feb 4, 5:44 PM EST | SNOW 1.5 | Ferdinand, IN | |
| Feb 4, 5:59 PM EST | SNOW 1 | 1 N Martinsburg, IN | |
| Feb 4, 6:06 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Louisville, KY | AT THE NWS OFFICE. |
| Feb 4, 6:14 PM EST | SNOW 3.3 | 1 S Paoli, IN | |
| Feb 4, 6:33 PM EST | SNOW 2 | Austin, IN | |
| Feb 4, 6:35 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Sellersburg, IN | |
| Feb 4, 7:00 PM EST | SNOW 2 | Ferdinand, IN | |
| Feb 4, 7:03 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Louisville, KY | GLAZE REPORTED AT LOUISVILLE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. |
| Feb 4, 7:18 PM EST | SNOW 2 | Tell City, IN | |
| Feb 4, 7:37 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Frankfort, KY | MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. |
| Feb 4, 7:38 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Vine Grove, KY | |
| Feb 4, 7:51 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | 2 Ne Anchorage, KY | |
| Feb 4, 7:54 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Louisville, KY | REPORTED AT THE NWS OFFICE. |
| Feb 4, 8:00 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Lexington, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:01 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | 3 Ese Lexington, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:03 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | 2 E Middletown, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:07 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Jasper, IN | |
| Feb 4, 8:09 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Corydon, IN | |
| Feb 4, 8:19 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Madison, IN | |
| Feb 4, 8:24 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Radcliff, KY | SOME TREE BRANCHES REPORTED DOWN. |
| Feb 4, 8:26 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Nicholasville, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:29 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Clarkson, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:29 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Tell City, IN | |
| Feb 4, 8:29 PM EST | SNOW 1.5 | Tell City, IN | |
| Feb 4, 8:30 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.33 | Tell City, IN | MULTIPLE TREES DOWN DUE TO ICE. |
| Feb 4, 8:35 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Winchester, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:38 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Harrodsburg, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:39 PM EST | SNOW 1.5 | Henryville, IN | SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION...NOW FREEZING RAIN. |
| Feb 4, 8:40 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Springfield, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:43 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Leitchfield, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:48 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | 1 Nnw Louisville, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:48 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Frankfort, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:49 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Winchester, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:55 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Milton, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:56 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Georgetown, KY | |
| Feb 4, 8:58 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.28 | Garfield, KY | |
| Feb 4, 9:01 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.28 | Lexington, KY | |
| Feb 4, 9:05 PM EST | SNOW 2 | 4 N Bristow, IN | |
| Feb 4, 9:06 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Bristow, IN | |
| Feb 4, 9:07 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Bardstown, KY | |
| Feb 4, 9:22 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Shelbyville, KY | |
| Feb 4, 9:33 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Brandenburg, KY | DOE VALLEY |
| Feb 4, 9:38 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.3 | Louisville, KY | REPORTED AT LOUISVILLE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT BY OBSERVER. |
| Feb 4, 9:49 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.3 | Jeffersontown, KY | |
| Feb 4, 10:11 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Paris, KY | |
| Feb 4, 10:15 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Vine Grove, KY | |
| Feb 4, 10:23 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.28 | Shepherdsville, KY | REPORTED DOWN POWER LINES. |
| Feb 4, 10:35 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Fern Creek, KY | PINE TREE DOWNED BY ICE. |
| Feb 4, 10:53 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.31 | Frankfort Asos, KY | DELAYED REPORT...MEASURED WITH NEW ICE ACCRETION SENSOR AT KFFT. |
| Feb 4, 10:54 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.39 | Lexington, KY | |
| Feb 5, 12:03 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.4 | Louisville, KY | TREES DOWN ALONG WATTERSON TRAIL AND MOSER ROAD. DUE TO ICE ACCUMULATION. |
| Feb 5, 12:22 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0 | New Castle, KY | TREE LIMB DOWN ON POWER LINE. REPORT VIA TWITTER. |
| Feb 5, 12:41 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Lewisport, KY | 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND 0.25 INCHES OF ICE. REPORT VIA TWITTER. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1047 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 86 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 15 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 151 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
156 WWUS43 KLMK 040832 WSWLMK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 332 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...ANOTHER WINTER STORM TO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT SOUTHERN INDIANA AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF KENTUCKY... .A FAST MOVING WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION TO THE OHIO VALLEY BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF KENTUCKY. INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>025-032-041700- /O.UPG.KLMK.WS.A.0003.140204T2000Z-140205T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KLMK.WS.W.0004.140204T2100Z-140205T1200Z/ ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN- CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY- BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-TRIMBLE KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON... JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY... JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...BEDFORD 332 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /232 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND MID-AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT. * MAIN IMPACTS: SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN INDIANA...NORTH OF A LINE FROM JASPER INDIANA TO MADISON INDIANA. SOUTH OF THIS LINE...FREEZING RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN PRECIPITATION TYPE. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER TO AS MUCH AS ONE THIRD OF AN INCH. THE SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ACCUMULATE ON TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. SHOULD SIGNIFICANT ICING OCCUR...POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY IN SOME AREAS. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KYZ026-028>031-033>043-045-041700- /O.NEW.KLMK.WS.W.0004.140204T2100Z-140205T1200Z/ OHIO KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-HENRY KY- SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY- WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEAVER DAM...ELIZABETHTOWN... FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE... LA GRANGE...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN... CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES... LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN 332 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /232 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND MID-AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING AND THEN DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT. * MAIN IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT ICING IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH-CENTRAL KENTUCKY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER TO AS MUCH AS ONE THIRD OF AN INCH ARE LIKELY IN THE WARNING AREA. THE AREA AT MOST RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT ICING IS THAT PORTION OF KENTUCKY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 64 CORRIDOR BETWEEN THE LOUISVILLE AND LEXINGTON METRO AREAS. IF FUTURE FORECASTS SUGGEST HIGHER AMOUNTS OF ICING...THIS AREA MAY BE UPGRADED TO AN ICE STORM WARNING LATER TODAY. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING. ICE IS EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE ON TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. SHOULD SIGNIFICANT ICING OCCUR...POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY IN SOME AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KYZ027-046>049-053-041700- /O.NEW.KLMK.WW.Y.0008.140204T2100Z-140205T1200Z/ GRAYSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEITCHFIELD...SPRINGFIELD... HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE 332 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /232 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. * TIMING: A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND MID-AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING AND DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT. * MAIN IMPACTS: ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TENTH TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING AND WILL ACCUMULATE ON TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF WINTRY WEATHER WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ BJS/MJ
4 follow-up statements
958 WWUS43 KLMK 041649 WSWLMK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1149 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...ANOTHER WINTER STORM TO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT SOUTHERN INDIANA AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF KENTUCKY... .A FAST MOVING WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION TO THE OHIO VALLEY BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN INDIANA...WITH SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OVER NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>026-028>043-045-050100- /O.CON.KLMK.WS.W.0004.140204T2100Z-140205T1200Z/ ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN- CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY- BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY- JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY- SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY- FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON... JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY... JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG... BEAVER DAM...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON... SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE... SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE... LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE... BARDSTOWN 1149 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /1049 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TO FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. * MAIN IMPACTS: SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN INDIANA...NORTH OF A LINE FROM JASPER TO SALEM. SOUTH OF THIS LINE...FREEZING RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN PRECIPITATION TYPE....WITH SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A QUARTER INCH. THE SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ACCUMULATE ON TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. SHOULD SIGNIFICANT ICING OCCUR...POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY IN SOME AREAS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KYZ027-046>049-053-050100- /O.CON.KLMK.WW.Y.0008.140204T2100Z-140205T1200Z/ GRAYSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEITCHFIELD...SPRINGFIELD... HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE 1149 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /1049 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. * TIMING: FREEZING RAIN WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL WARM JUST ABOVE FREEZING BY LATE EVENING. FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE TOWARD DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY AS PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF AND COLDER AIR ARRIVES. * MAIN IMPACTS: MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING AND WILL ACCUMULATE ON TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF WINTRY WEATHER WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
565 WWUS43 KLMK 042315 WSWLMK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 615 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...ANOTHER WINTER STORM TO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT SOUTHERN INDIANA AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF KENTUCKY... .A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN INDIANA...WITH SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OVER NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>026-028>043-045-050500- /O.CON.KLMK.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140205T1200Z/ ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN- CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY- BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY- JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY- SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY- FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON... JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY... JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG... BEAVER DAM...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON... SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE... SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE... LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE... BARDSTOWN 615 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /515 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TO FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. * MAIN IMPACTS: SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN INDIANA...NORTH OF A LINE FROM JASPER TO SALEM. SOUTH OF THIS LINE...FREEZING RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN PRECIPITATION TYPE....WITH SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A QUARTER INCH. THE SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ACCUMULATE ON TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. SHOULD SIGNIFICANT ICING OCCUR...POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY IN SOME AREAS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KYZ054>057-061>067-070>072-050500- /O.EXA.KLMK.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140205T1200Z/ MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY- HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY- SIMPSON KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER... RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG... CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE... BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN 615 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /515 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. * TIMING: FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL WARM JUST ABOVE FREEZING BY LATE EVENING. FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE TOWARD DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY AS PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF AND COLDER AIR ARRIVES. * MAIN IMPACTS: MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING AND WILL ACCUMULATE ON TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF WINTRY WEATHER WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ KYZ027-046>049-053-050500- /O.CON.KLMK.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140205T1200Z/ GRAYSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEITCHFIELD...SPRINGFIELD... HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE 615 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /515 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. * TIMING: FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL WARM JUST ABOVE FREEZING BY LATE EVENING. FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE TOWARD DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY AS PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF AND COLDER AIR ARRIVES. * MAIN IMPACTS: MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING AND WILL ACCUMULATE ON TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF WINTRY WEATHER WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ RAS/AMS
788 WWUS43 KLMK 050225 WSWLMK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 925 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...WINTER STORM CONTINUES TO AFFECT SOUTHERN INDIANA AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF KENTUCKY... .A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. KYZ070>072-050330- /O.CAN.KLMK.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140205T1200Z/ LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN 825 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING...THUS ICE ACCUMULATIONS HAVE CEASED AND THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED. MODERATE RAINS HAVE CAUSED SOME FLOODING ISSUES IN LOGAN AND WARREN COUNTIES. $$ KYZ027-046>049-051000- /O.UPG.KLMK.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140205T1200Z/ /O.EXA.KLMK.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140205T1200Z/ GRAYSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEITCHFIELD...SPRINGFIELD... HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER 925 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /825 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING: FREEZING RAIN WITH SOME SLEET MIXING IN WILL CONTINUE. IT WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TO FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. * MAIN IMPACTS: ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 0.25 TO 0.5 INCHES WILL BE COMMON ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. SIGNIFICANT ICE WILL ACCUMULATE ON TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN SOME AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>026-028>043-045-051000- /O.CON.KLMK.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140205T1200Z/ ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN- CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY- BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY- JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY- SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY- FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON... JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY... JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG... BEAVER DAM...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON... SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE... SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE... LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE... BARDSTOWN 925 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /825 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. * TIMING: FREEZING RAIN WITH SOME SLEET MIXING IN WILL CONTINUE. IT WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TO FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. * MAIN IMPACTS: SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 0.5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN INDIANA...NORTH OF A LINE FROM JASPER TO SALEM. SOUTH OF THIS LINE ALONG THE OHIO RIVER...SNOWFALL UP TO 2 INCHES AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 0.5 TO 0.6 ARE ANTICIPATED. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 0.25 TO 0.5 INCHES WILL BE COMMON ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. SIGNIFICANT ICE WILL ACCUMULATE ON TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN SOME AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KYZ053>057-061>067-051000- /O.CON.KLMK.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140205T1200Z/ LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY- EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE... LANCASTER...RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE... GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD 925 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 /825 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. * TIMING: FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL WARM JUST ABOVE FREEZING BY LATE EVENING. FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE TOWARD DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY AS PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF AND COLDER AIR ARRIVES. * MAIN IMPACTS: MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING AND WILL ACCUMULATE ON TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF WINTRY WEATHER WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ AMS
731 WWUS43 KLMK 050856 WSWLMK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 356 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CANCELLED... INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-051000- /O.CAN.KLMK.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140205T1200Z/ ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN- CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY- BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY- JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY- SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY- FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY- MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON... JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY... JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG... BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX... MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE... BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN... CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES... LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD... HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER 356 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014 /256 AM CST WED FEB 5 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. WINTRY PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED OTHER THAN A FEW LINGERING POCKETS OF DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE. NO ADDITIONAL IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED FROM THESE. THEREFORE...THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED. THERE ARE STILL ISOLATED SLICK SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO WATCH FOR BLACK ICE IF TRAVELING THIS MORNING. A TRAVELER'S ADVISORY WILL REPLACE THE WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON EST. $$ KYZ053>057-061>067-051000- /O.CAN.KLMK.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140205T1200Z/ LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY- EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE... LANCASTER...RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE... GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD 356 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014 /256 AM CST WED FEB 5 2014/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. WINTRY PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED OTHER THAN A FEW LINGERING POCKETS OF DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE. NO ADDITIONAL IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED FROM THESE. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED. THERE ARE STILL ISOLATED SLICK SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO WATCH FOR BLACK ICE IF TRAVELING THIS MORNING. A TRAVELER'S ADVISORY WILL REPLACE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST.. $$ BJS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 4, 3:28 AM EST, 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 4, 3:28 AM EST, 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
328 AM EST Tue Feb 4 2014
.SHORT TERM (Now through Wednesday)...
Issued at 327 AM EST Mon Feb 3 2014
...Heavy Snow and Significant Icing Expected Later Today/Tonight...
Another complex forecast is in store for the region later today and
into tonight. In coordination with surrounding offices, will lift a
Winter Storm Warning across the northern half of the CWA, with a
tier of counties south of the warning in a Winter Weather Advisory.
Expecting the main precipitation type to be freezing rain across
most of the warning and all of the advisory, with mainly heavy snow
and some sleet across our far northern tier of Indiana counties.
Lots of complexities and issues to talk about.
...Meteorological Setup...
A progressive upper trough is now over northern Mexico, and will
slide across the southern Plains to the mid Mississippi River Valley
by tonight. Meanwhile, surface cyclogenesis will take place over the
Gulf Coast states this afternoon. The system will ingest plenty of
gulf moisture as it organizes. Then, the surface low will deepen as
it rapidly moves northeast to the central Appalachian spine by dawn
on Wednesday. Basically, this is a low track south and east of the
CWA. At the surface, the area will be under a notoriously cool and
steady northeast flow all day, along with heavy cloud cover. As was
mentioned in the update around Midnight, have become very concerned
about temperatures today. Almost every temperature guidance you can
think of has temperatures warming into the low and mid 30s across
our proposed headline area. However, if you look at current obs
temperatures are running from the low teens to around 20 across our
snowpack. If you combine the snowpack, heavy cloud cover and the
steady NE surface winds its hard to think we will get into the mid
30s. Therefore, have extended the freezing rain threat further south
from the original watch.
In the upper levels, the right entrance region of an upper level jet
will be in place over the Ohio Valley, with mid level frontogenesis
occuring in the deformation zone northwest of the surface low. Forecast
soundings show saturation through the dendritic growth zone, and
with the synoptic setup supporting snow bands think that snowfall
rates could approach 1-2" per hour at times. Again, this only across
Dubois eastward to Jefferson county, IN.
...Amounts...
...Dubois County IN Eastward Through Jefferson County IN...
This area will is expected to be mostly snow, with some sleet mixing
in. Will go with a 4-6" range across these northern counties,
locally up to 7.
...Counties Along the I-64 Corridor...
Precipitation type will mainly be freezing rain in this area, with
ice accumulations expected to be around a quarter of an inch.
Locally, as much as a third of an inch will be possible. A swath
from the Louisville Metro Area to the Lexington Metro Area and into
the northern Bluegrass will be most likely to see the highest ice
amounts. A dusting of snow may also end the event late tonight.
...Rest of the Warning Across Central Kentucky...
This area is expected to have around a quarter of an inch of ice
accumulation. Please note that in the counties on the southern
fringes of the watch, only expect warning criteria ice in the
northern halves. The southern parts of the counties look to be
advisory criteria. Again, this is the area that will have potential
to bust if the forecast temperatures don't end up working out.
...South central Kentucky...
All rain. A dusting of snow possible by dawn on Wednesday.
...Advisory...
The advisory was placed mainly as a buffer area. Expect the northern
portions to receive around a tenth of an inch of ice accumulation.
Timing...
Precipitation will rapidly spread northeastward around 4 PM EST,
precipitating every by 7 PM EST. The bulk of the event will happen
between 7 PM and 3 AM EST.
...Confidence...
It is a bit unsettling to have one of your better short term models
being an outlier from the model consensus at this stage of the
forecast. The NAM does depict an overall warmer north and west track
from the multi model consensus. Will disregard it, mainly for the
reasons mentioned above with the snowpack keeping the near surface
temperatures cooler today. Feel moderate to high confidence in the
northern portions of the warning, basically along and north of I-64.
Will see a very sharp cutoff from heavy snow to freezing rain, and
this will occur only across our northern tier of counties. The rest
of the counties will see mostly freezing rain, with some sleet
mixing in.
South of the I-64 corridor, confidence is not as high in reaching
warning criteria ice accumulations mainly because it all hinges on
how the surface temperatures do across the snowpack. Decided to go
with a warning because if the scenario develops like anticipated it
would be high impact.
Also have to consider the fact that it will rain quite hard at times
and this makes deciding how much accumulation will occur very
difficult. The overall rain that will fall with a thermal profile
supportive of freezing rain is much higher than what forecast ice
accumulation will be for that reason.
...Other Concerns...
Potential also exists for this storm to overachieve, especially if
ice is able to accumulate better than expected. Keeping this in
mind, it is possible that an Ice Storm Warning could replace
portions of the Winter Storm Warning if impacts are expected to be
greater. Most likely area for this to occur would be between
Louisville and Lexington. Stay tuned.
Winds will be between 8 and 13 mph through much of the event (except
when the surface low is passing) and if ice is able accumulate it
could cause problems for power lines. Winds will continue to be
around 10 mph into the day on Wednesday.
Will also be a bit wary of some hydro concerns as up to 1.5" of rain
could fall. Heavier rain over the snowpack and frozen ground could
cause some ponding of water.
Light snow or freezing drizzle could continue into Wednesday with
lingering low level moisture and/or the lack of ice crystals.
.LONG TERM (Wednesday Night through Monday)...
Issued at 245 AM EST Tue Feb 4 2014
==============================
Synoptic Overview
==============================
From a global perspective...large positive height anomaly over
eastern Russia looks to be a major player in the upper atmospheric
pattern across North America in the extended forecast period. In
general, a progressive trough/ridge pattern is expected to continue
across the country with several troughs moving through the region.
Of particular interest will be a system that impacts our region by
the weekend. Prior to the weekend, we'll see sustained
southwesterly flow aloft which will then translate more to a colder
northwesterly flow as we head into the late weekend and early next
week. Overall, the flow of cold air is impressive...but may be
amplified to an extent across the Ohio Valley due to possible
snowpack from the upcoming weekend system.
==============================
Model Preference/Confidence
==============================
Overall, the deterministic model agreement is not too bad. The
usual speed and strength issue are there with the model trying to
time/track the mid-level waves in the progressive flow. In general,
the progressive flow will likely lead to systems passing through too
quickly...only to see the models slow things down as they deal with
the waves coming into the NA upper air network. For now, have stuck
close to a blend of the 00Z GFS ensemble and 12Z Euro Ens/00Z
operational Euro runs. This path helps address timing problems but
also maintains good continuity from the previous forecast. Overall
forecast confidence for mid to late week in the extended can be
categorized as slightly above average. Forecaster confidence as we
head into the weekend is slightly below average at this time. Fully
expect forecast convergence to commence later this week with regards
to the weekend system.
==============================
Sensible Weather Impacts
==============================
Early in the forecast period, we should see a short break in the
overall active weather pattern. Wednesday night and Thursday look to
be mainly dry. Am a little concerned about a sneaky but weak
mid-level wave that may affect the region late Thursday and into
Friday. Both the deterministic GFS and Euro show this feature, but
the models do not generate much precipitation. If precipitation
should develop it would be likely in the form of some light snow.
For now, plan on keeping the forecast dry as the multi-model
consensus only shows very low PoPs during the period. However, we
will continue to monitor. Temperatures will be below normal during
this period with highs in the 20s and overnight lows in the teens to
low 20s.
Clouds will increase across the region on Friday in advance of the
next weather system that will impact the region over the weekend.
At this time, it appears that perhaps two waves of systems may
impact the region...one on Saturday and then another on Sunday.
Both systems look to have the potential to bring snows to the
region. As mentioned above, spatial and temporal differences are
abundant within the ensembles...so have generally kept the forecast
similar to the ongoing one with a decent shot of precipitation
Saturday and Sunday. Drier and colder conditions look likely for
Monday. Depending on how much snow we see on the weekend system,
early next week could see a return to single digits...or even
perhaps some below zero readings should good snowpack occur with the
weekend system.
&&
.AVIATION (06Z TAF Update)...
Updated at 1220 AM EST Tue Feb 4 2014
For the overnight period, going to have to deal with some freezing
fog across the region. The most extensive fog will be across the
snow pack in north-central KY...generally from KOWB to FTK over
toward the KLEX area. This fog should linger until 04/12-13Z.
Current thinking is that this will not be an ideal radiation
cooling night due to the light northeasterly wind field that should
remain in place. In general, MVFR vsbys can be expected with a few
drops of IFR from time to time.
Forecast challenge then shifts to Tuesday evening as the next
weather system approaches from the southwest. Precipitation will
overspread the region during the late afternoon hours. Current
thinking is that we should see precipitation move into the KSDF and
KBWG around 04/20-21Z. P-type at KBWG is fairly straightforward as
low-level warm air advection will keep precipitation in the form of
rain...which will be heavy at times. Expect IFR conditions in both
visibility and ceilings at KBWG after 04/21Z through the remainder
of the forecast period.
Further north at KSDF/KLEX...low-level northeasterly flow at the
surface will help keep low-level cold air in place...while broad
southwest flow aloft will result in an inverted sounding profile
supportive of freezing rain. Freezing rain concern at KSDF is
fairly significant on much of the model guidance...with the
exception of the NAM runs. Freezing rain potential at KLEX is also
fairly moderate, though low-level thermal structure is right on the
line between freezing rain and plain rain. With this forecast, have
hit the freezing rain pretty hard at KSDF with IFR cigs/vsbys from
05/00Z through 05/09Z. Have also gone with FZRA at KLEX with this
package...though if low-level warm air is stronger than forecast,
KLEX could be more plain rain than currently indicated.
&&
.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...WINTER STORM WARNING from 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ this afternoon to
7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Wednesday FOR KYZ023>026-028>043-045.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ this afternoon
to 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Wednesday FOR KYZ027-046>049-053.
IN...WINTER STORM WARNING from 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ this afternoon to
7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Wednesday FOR INZ076>079-083-084-
089>092.
&&
Short Term........BJS
Long Term.........MJ
Aviation..........MJHazardous weather outlook, Feb 3, 9:49 PM EST, 5 hours 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 949 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>025-032-050300- ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN- PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY- MEADE KY-TRIMBLE KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON... JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY... JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...BEDFORD 949 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014 /849 PM CST MON FEB 3 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PATCHY LIGHT FOG MAY FORM TONIGHT ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS WITH SNOWPACK. WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S OVERNIGHT...THIS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY FREEZE ON ELEVATED AND UNTREATED SURFACES. SLICK SPOTS AND BLACK ICE MAY FORM ON ROADWAYS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. FREEZING RAIN WILL PRODUCE ICE ACCUMULATIONS FROM LATE AFTERNOON TUESDAY UNTIL EARLY MORNING WEDNESDAY. SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE...AND WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AND POSSIBLY POWER OUTAGES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WINTER WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. FACEBOOK AND TWITTER ARE GREAT WAYS TO CONTACT US. && MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE. KYZ026>031-033>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-050300- OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY- HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY- ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY- WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY- BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY- GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY- ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY- CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN... FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE... LA GRANGE...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN... CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON... PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG... NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE... LANCASTER...RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE... GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE... BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE... EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY 949 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014 /849 PM CST MON FEB 3 2014/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PATCHY LIGHT FOG HAS ALREADY FORMED OR MAY FORM LATER TONIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S OVERNIGHT...THIS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY FREEZE ON ELEVATED AND UNTREATED SURFACES. SLICK SPOTS AND BLACK ICE MAY FORM ON ROADWAYS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCE FOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS TUESDAY EVENING WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA. HOWEVER...RESIDENTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AS A SLIGHT SHIFT IN THE STORM TRACK COULD RESULT IN MAJOR CHANGES IN THE FORECAST. WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAINS OVER CENTRAL KENTUCKY TUESDAY NIGHT COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVED THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WINTER WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. FACEBOOK AND TWITTER ARE GREAT WAYS TO CONTACT US. && MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE. RAS/JSD/AMS
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Feb 3, 9:33 PM EST, 5 hours 59 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED TEMPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 933 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014 INZ084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082- 041000- CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY- BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY- JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY- SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY- FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY- MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY- GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY- TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY- ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY- CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON... NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG... BRANDENBURG...BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN... FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE... LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT... GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG... VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN... SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER... HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...RICHMOND... MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG... CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE... BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW... TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE... ALBANY 918 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014 /818 PM CST MON FEB 3 2014/ ...PATCHY LIGHT FOG MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL SLICK SPOTS TONIGHT... PATCHY LIGHT FOG HAS FORMED OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY THIS EVENING AND MAY FORM OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA LATER TONIGHT. WHILE FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME DENSE...THIS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY FREEZE ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND ELEVATED SURFACES AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 20S TONIGHT. DRIVERS SHOULD USE CAUTION ON THE ROADWAYS AS SLICK SPOTS AND BLACK ICE MAY FORM. AMS
The office that day
Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 3:32 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LMK | Boyle, Butler, Casey, Clark, Edmonson, Garrard and 14 more | 24 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Kentucky, 2014Winter Storm Warnings in Indiana, 2014Every winter storm warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.