River Flood Warning 6, NWS Louisville, KY

800 
WGUS83 KLMK 060222
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
922 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  Green River at Brownsville 
  Green River at Woodbury 
 
affecting the following counties in Kentucky...Butler...Edmonson...
Warren.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Green River at Rochester 
 
affecting the following counties in Kentucky...Butler...Muhlenberg...
Ohio.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Never attempt to cross any flooding roads. This is 
especially dangerous at night. Continue to monitor NOAA Weather radio
or commercial broadcasts for further information. If you are affected
by these crests take any necessary precautions.
 
Additional information is available at 
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lmk.

The next statement will be issued Thursday Morning.

&&

KYC061-061422-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140207T0740Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.140205T2252Z.140206T1200Z.140207T0140Z.NO/
922 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Brownsville.
* until late Thursday night.
* At  8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.2 feet by 
  Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...River begins to overflow the lock walls and 
  some of the lower banks...creeks...sloughs...and some bottomland.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.1  
  feet on Jan 25 1999.

&&

LAT...LON 3728 8610 3724 8617 3724 8641 3713 8641
      3715 8611 3719 8604             

$$

KYC031-227-061422-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140208T2024Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.140205T1010Z.140206T0200Z.140208T1424Z.NO/
922 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Woodbury.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 38.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 39.0 feet...Low spots on North and South Church Streets 
  in Woodbury flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 37.7  
  feet on Mar 21 2008.

&&

LAT...LON 3724 8641 3728 8659 3739 8678 3728 8680
      3716 8665 3713 8641             

$$

KYC031-177-183-061422-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.140205T2146Z.140208T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Rochester.
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 21.4 feet by early Saturday morning.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.4  
  feet on Apr 15 2011.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 8678 3727 8697 3718 8690 3728 8680


$$

792 
WGUS83 KLMK 061211
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
711 AM EST THU FEB 6 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  Green River at Munfordville 
  Green River at Brownsville 
 
affecting the following counties in Kentucky...Edmonson...Hart.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Never attempt to cross any flooding roads. This is 
especially dangerous at night. Continue to monitor NOAA Weather radio
or commercial broadcasts for further information. If you are affected
by these crests take any necessary precautions.
 
Additional information is available at 
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lmk.

The next statement will be issued later this morning.

&&

KYC099-061811-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140207T0840Z/
/MFVK2.1.ER.140206T0122Z.140206T1800Z.140207T0240Z.NO/
711 AM EST THU FEB 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Munfordville.
* until late tonight.
* At  6:00 AM Thursday the stage was 30.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.6 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.5  
  feet on Apr 5 2008.

&&

LAT...LON 3731 8539 3738 8575 3728 8610 3719 8604
      3728 8577 3721 8542             

$$

KYC061-061810-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140208T0145Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.140205T2252Z.140206T1800Z.140207T1945Z.NO/
711 AM EST THU FEB 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Brownsville.
* until Friday evening.
* At  6:45 AM Thursday the stage was 19.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Friday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...River begins to overflow the lock walls and 
  some of the lower banks...creeks...sloughs...and some bottomland.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.7  
  feet on Apr 19 1998.

&&

LAT...LON 3728 8610 3724 8617 3724 8641 3713 8641
      3715 8611 3719 8604             

$$
CMC

967 
WGUS83 KLMK 061522
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1022 AM EST THU FEB 6 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Green River at Munfordville 
  Green River at Brownsville 
  Green River at Woodbury 
  Green River at Rochester 
 
affecting the following counties in Kentucky...Butler...Edmonson...
Hart...Muhlenberg...Ohio...Warren.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Never attempt to cross any flooding roads. This is 
especially dangerous at night. Continue to monitor NOAA Weather radio
or commercial broadcasts for further information. If you are affected
by these crests take any necessary precautions.
 
Additional information is available at 
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lmk.

The next statement will be issued this evening.

&&

KYC099-070422-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140207T0840Z/
/MFVK2.1.ER.140206T0122Z.140206T1800Z.140207T0240Z.NO/
1022 AM EST THU FEB 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Munfordville.
* until late tonight.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 30.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.6 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.7  
  feet on Nov 30 2011.

&&

LAT...LON 3731 8539 3738 8575 3728 8610 3719 8604
      3728 8577 3721 8542             

$$

KYC061-070422-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140208T0145Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.140205T2252Z.140206T1445Z.140207T1945Z.NO/
1022 AM EST THU FEB 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Brownsville.
* until Friday evening.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 20.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday early afternoon.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.3  
  feet on Apr 29 2011.

&&

LAT...LON 3728 8610 3724 8617 3724 8641 3713 8641
      3715 8611 3719 8604             

$$

KYC031-227-070422-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140208T2024Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.140205T1010Z.140206T1500Z.140208T1424Z.NO/
1022 AM EST THU FEB 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Woodbury.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 39.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 39.0 feet...Low spots on North and South Church Streets 
  in Woodbury flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 39.8  
  feet on Feb 18 2003.

&&

LAT...LON 3724 8641 3728 8659 3739 8678 3728 8680
      3716 8665 3713 8641             

$$

KYC031-177-183-070422-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.140205T2056Z.140208T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 AM EST THU FEB 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Rochester.
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 AM Thursday the stage was 18.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.4 feet by 
  early Saturday morning then begin falling.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.4  
  feet on Apr 15 2011.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 8678 3727 8697 3718 8690 3728 8680


$$
RL

471 
WGUS83 KLMK 070301
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1001 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  Green River at Munfordville 
  Green River at Brownsville 
  Green River at Woodbury
  Green River at Rochester 
 
affecting the following counties in Kentucky...Butler...Edmonson...
Hart...Muhlenberg...Ohio...Warren.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Never attempt to cross any flooding roads. This is 
especially dangerous at night. Continue to monitor NOAA Weather radio
or commercial broadcasts for further information. If you are affected
by these crests take any necessary precautions.
 
Additional information is available at 
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lmk.

The next statement will be issued by midday Friday.

&&

KYC099-071200-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140207T1200Z/
/MFVK2.1.ER.140206T0122Z.140206T1515Z.140207T0600Z.NO/
1001 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Munfordville.
* until Friday morning.
* At 9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 28.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall below flood stage by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...City park under US 31W bridge floods.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.9  
  feet on Jan 9 1998.

&&

LAT...LON 3731 8539 3738 8575 3728 8610 3719 8604
      3728 8577 3721 8542             

$$

KYC061-071700-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140208T1800Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.140205T2252Z.140207T0600Z.140208T1200Z.NO/
1001 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Brownsville.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 9:45 PM Thursday the stage was 21.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast to
  continue.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.9 feet after 
  midnight Friday. The river will fall below flood stage on Saturday.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...River begins to overflow the lock walls and 
  some of the lower banks...creeks...sloughs...and some bottomland.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.1  
  feet on Apr 6 2008.

&&

LAT...LON 3728 8610 3724 8617 3724 8641 3713 8641
      3715 8611 3719 8604             

$$

KYC031-227-071700-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140210T0000Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.140205T1010Z.140206T1500Z.140209T1800Z.NO/
1001 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Woodbury.
* until Sunday evening.
* At 9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 38.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast to
  continue.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 39.1 feet after
  midnight Friday. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 39.0 feet...Low spots on North and South Church Streets 
  in Woodbury flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 39.0  
  feet on Jan 30 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3724 8641 3728 8659 3739 8678 3728 8680
      3716 8665 3713 8641             

$$

KYC031-177-183-071700-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.140205T2056Z.140208T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1001 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Rochester.
* until further notice.
* At 7:00 AM Thursday the stage was 18.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast to
  continue.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.3 feet by 
  early Saturday then begin falling.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Reeds and Rochester Ferries are shut down. 
  KY 369 floods one mile north of Rochester.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.4  
  feet on Apr 15 2011.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 8678 3727 8697 3718 8690 3728 8680


$$

554 
WGUS83 KLMK 071705
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1205 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  Green River at Brownsville 
  Green River at Woodbury 
  Green River at Rochester 
 
affecting the following counties in Kentucky...Butler...Edmonson...
Muhlenberg...Ohio...Warren.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Never attempt to cross any flooding roads. This is 
especially dangerous at night. Continue to monitor NOAA Weather radio
or commercial broadcasts for further information. If you are affected
by these crests take any necessary precautions.
 
Additional information is available at 
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lmk.

The next statement will be issued tonight.

&&

KYC061-080505-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140208T1500Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.140205T2252Z.140207T1200Z.140208T0900Z.NO/
1205 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Brownsville.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 11:45 AM Friday the stage was 21.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.5 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.0  
  feet on Jul 8 2013.

&&

LAT...LON 3728 8610 3724 8617 3724 8641 3713 8641
      3715 8611 3719 8604             

$$

KYC031-227-080505-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140209T2049Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.140205T1010Z.140206T1500Z.140209T1449Z.NO/
1205 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Woodbury.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 11:00 AM Friday the stage was 39.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 39.0 feet...Low spots on North and South Church Streets 
  in Woodbury flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 39.0  
  feet on Jan 30 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3724 8641 3728 8659 3739 8678 3728 8680
      3716 8665 3713 8641             

$$

KYC031-177-183-080505-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140211T0600Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.140205T2056Z.140208T1200Z.140211T0000Z.NO/
1205 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Rochester.
* until late Monday night.
* At  7:00 AM Friday the stage was 19.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.1 feet by 
  Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1  
  feet on Dec 20 1996.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 8678 3727 8697 3718 8690 3728 8680

$$
CMC

010 
WGUS83 KLMK 080356
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1056 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Green River at Brownsville 
  Green River at Woodbury 
  Green River at Rochester 
 
affecting the following counties in Kentucky...Butler...Edmonson...
Muhlenberg...Ohio...Warren.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Never attempt to cross any flooding roads. This is 
especially dangerous at night. Continue to monitor NOAA Weather radio
or commercial broadcasts for further information. If you are affected
by these crests take any necessary precautions.
 
Additional information is available at 
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lmk.

The next statement will be issued by midday Saturday.

&&

KYC061-081200-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140208T1200Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.140205T2252Z.140207T1200Z.140208T0900Z.NO/
1056 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Brownsville.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 10:45 PM Friday the stage was 18.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast to
  continue.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.9 feet by 
  after midnight Saturday. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...River begins to overflow the lock walls and 
  some of the lower banks...creeks...sloughs...and some bottomland.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.1  
  feet on Jan 25 1999.

&&

LAT...LON 3728 8610 3724 8617 3724 8641 3713 8641
      3715 8611 3719 8604             

$$

KYC031-227-081756-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140209T2049Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.140205T1010Z.140206T1500Z.140209T1449Z.NO/
1056 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Woodbury.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 10:00 PM Friday the stage was 38.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast to
  continue.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 39.0 feet...Low spots on North and South Church Streets 
  in Woodbury flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 39.0  
  feet on Jan 30 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3724 8641 3728 8659 3739 8678 3728 8680
      3716 8665 3713 8641             

$$

KYC031-177-183-081756-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140211T0600Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.140205T2056Z.140208T1200Z.140211T0000Z.NO/
1056 PM EST FRI FEB 7 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Green River at Rochester.
* until late Monday night.
* At 7:00 AM Friday the stage was 19.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast to
  continue.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.1 feet by 
  Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Reeds and Rochester Ferries are shut down. 
  KY 369 floods one mile north of Rochester.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1  
  feet on Dec 20 1996.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 8678 3727 8697 3718 8690 3728 8680


$$

872 
WGUS83 KLMK 081015
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
515 AM EST SAT FEB 8 2014

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...
 
  Green River at Brownsville
 
affecting the following counties in Kentucky...Edmonson.

KYC061-081045-
/O.CAN.KLMK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140208T1200Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.140205T2252Z.140207T1200Z.140208T0530Z.NO/
515 AM EST SAT FEB 8 2014

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Green River at Brownsville.
* At  4:45 AM Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 12:30 AM Saturday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 13.9 feet by Sunday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3728 8610 3724 8617 3724 8641 3713 8641
      3715 8611 3719 8604             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
842 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2014

...Forecast Update...
Issued at 840 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2014

Ongoing forecast looks pretty good. Temperatures now are about as
warm as it will get today as winds pick up from the west and
northwest. Should see readings drop into the upper 20s by Noon along
and west of the I-65/I-71 corridors and by a few hours later to the
east. Still have a chance for some light snow the rest of the day,
as soundings indicate a deepening of the moist layer as the
weakening upper low moves just north of our area. The best chances
still look to be across the north, and radar is showing a batch
moving along the southern IL/IN border. We may see another tenth or
two accumulate from these showers.

.SHORT TERM (Now through Thursday)...
Issued at 315 AM EST Tue Feb 5 2014

Now - Thursday...

...Traveler's Advisory Will Replace Winter Weather Headlines This
Morning...

The back edge of the main precipitation shield is now along the I-75
corridor. This precipitation, mostly in the form of rain at this
point, will quickly exit east by 3 AM EST. A few areas are probably
still cold enough to support freezing rain along and north of the
I-64 corridor, but for the most part the wintry problems are briefly
over. Still have several flood advisories out for southeastern
portions of the CWA standing water and roadways under water. Things
should improve through the pre-dawn hours since rain is ending.

Focus will now shift to smaller concerns regarding the lighter
precipitation, and in what form it will fall in through the morning
hours. Temperatures are starting to slowly decline back toward, and
just below, freezing and will continue to do so as the surface low
quickly pushes off to the north and east. This will be a slow
decline through dawn with patches of drizzle or very light rain
until temps fall below freezing. Since moisture is very shallow
right now as this dry slot pushes through, we will transition to
pockets of freezing drizzle or light freezing rain once surface
temps fall back below freezing. Moisture will then deepen back to
the point where ice crystals will be introduced by mid to late
morning and p-type will transition to scattered snow showers. Will
handle these minor p-type challenges with a Traveler's Advisory
(SPS) once the headlines are dropped. There is some concern about
wet roadways re-freezing, but think the temp drop will be slow
enough that this would be isolated. There also could be lingering
slick spots, especially across southern Indiana where temps did not
get above freezing.

Could see a dusting to a quarter inch of snow from today's snow
showers, especially across southern Indiana and north central
Kentucky, but otherwise they aren't expected to cause much of a
problem. Temperatures will struggle under the heavy cloud cover and
steady northwest flow. Expect a rise only to the upper 20s across
southern Indiana, and temps will actually stay steady or fall
through the day in Kentucky. One other concern, will be that winds
will be steady out of the WNW around 15 mph, gusting to 20-25 at
times. This could put some strain on already iced power lines and
limbs.

We'll be dry by tonight continuing on Thursday as benign zonal flow aloft
and surface high pressure build into the region. Temperatures are
expected to drop to around 10 across southern IN and range from 15
to 20 across central KY tonight. Highs will only struggle to around
20 across southern IN, and into the 20s across KY.

.LONG TERM (Thursday night through Tuesday)...
Issued at 315 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2014

Models have had some difficulty over the last few days predicting
the overall weather pattern for late this week into early next week.
Current trends suggest a transient, progressive quasi-zonal pattern
with embedded shortwaves that could lead to periodic precipitation.
However, no major storms are evident at this time.

In such a pattern, one would expect potentially significant
differences in timing and strength of systems. In this case,
however, while differences exist, there is some continuity in signal
between the latest GFS and ECMWF deterministic models, and to some
extent the Canadian GEM as well. The models show potential for a
weak weather system Saturday and again next Tuesday. More on that
below.

The extended period will start with a weakening shortwave moving
quickly across the TN Valley Thursday night. This system should come
through dry as it encounters confluent flow aloft with no surface
reflection. Looks like only clouds at this point, with some clearing
by Friday morning. Low temps Friday morning should be quite cold
again, with 2-6 above zero over south-central IN to the lower/mid
teens over south-central Kentucky.

On Friday night as the next shortwave approaches, clouds will
increase and light snow could move in by Saturday morning. This is
not a sure bet based on the progressive flow pattern, but given
model continuity, have raised POPs some for Saturday. Precipitation
should be snow over southern IN and the northern half of central KY,
with a chance of light snow becoming a chance of light rain or a
rain/snow mix over parts of south-central KY.

As this system moves away, conditions remain chilly with high temps
Sunday in the mid 20s to mid 30s from north to south, then even
colder Monday with highs lower 20s in southern IN to near 30 over
south-central KY. Raw ECMWF surface temps Monday morning actually go
below zero over southern IN into north-central KY, with the GFS
warmer. For now, have lows again in the 2-6 above zero range in
southern IN, 5-10 over north-central and east-central KY and low-mid
teens downstate. Certainly cold.

On Tuesday, GFS and ECMWF agree overall that another shortwave could
bring another round of at least light snow to our area. Such
agreement in this pattern is actually a bit surprising that far out,
but is subject to change.

So, bottom line is that the cold winter season we have had should
continue through the extended period, with a couple chances of some
wintry precipitation, but no major storms expected at this time.

&&

.AVIATION (12Z TAF Update)...
Updated at 620 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2014

Low pressure now east of Cincinnati will pull away and high pressure
will rapidly build towards Kentucky from the west. Westerly winds
will increase readily right around the time this TAF issuance time.
West winds averaging 13 to 15kt with some gusts over 20kt may be
expected during the mid-morning hours, veering to the northwest and
maintaining these speeds by early afternoon. Northwest winds will
continue around 10kt from early evening through the overnight
hours.

Low strato-cu will continue all day and tonight as well. Current IFR
ceilings will slowly rise to low end MVFR toward 14 to 15z for SDF
and BWG, and an hour or so later for LEX. MVFR ceilings will continue
to slowly rise towards and eventually above 2k feet by early to mid
afternoon. MVFR ceilings are expected tonight as well.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

Update.........RJS
Short Term.....BJS
Long Term......TWF
Aviation.......JSD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1118 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061630-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-
PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-
MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-
OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-
HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-
NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-
LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...
BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...
MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...
CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...
PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...
NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...
LANCASTER...RICHMOND
1118 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014 /1018 AM CST WED FEB 5 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL STEADILY INTO THE TWENTIES
THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL CHANGE OVER FROM AREAS OF
LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THIS PATCHY AND LIGHT
PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE ADDITIONAL IMPACTS TO
ROADWAYS...HOWEVER ISOLATED SLICK SPOTS WILL STILL REMAIN. USE
CAUTION IF TRAVELING AND WATCH FOR BLACK ICE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM COULD BRING A ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW TO SOUTH-
CENTRAL INDIANA AND MUCH OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY ON SATURDAY. THIS
COULD CAUSE A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IN SOME LOCATIONS.
ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM COULD ALSO BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE
AREA ON TUESDAY. THESE SYSTEMS WILL BE MONITORED IN THE COMING
DAYS.

IN ADDITION...COLD AIR COULD CAUSE WIND CHILLS TO BE AROUND ZERO
OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL KENTUCKY FRIDAY MORNING...AND FROM ZERO TO 5
BELOW ZERO MONDAY MORNING OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND NORTH-
CENTRAL AND EAST-CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WINTER WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE. FACEBOOK AND TWITTER ARE GREAT WAYS TO CONTACT US.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

KYZ061>067-070>078-081-082-061630-
BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-
LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-
METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...
GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...
EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
1118 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014 /1018 AM CST WED FEB 5 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY FALL BACK BELOW FREEZING THIS AFTERNOON
WITH ANY LINGERING PATCHES OF DRIZZLE CHANGING TO FREEZING
DRIZZLE. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL THEN CHANGE OVER TO ISOLATED
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS PATCHY AND LIGHT
PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE ADDITIONAL IMPACTS TO
ROADWAYS...HOWEVER ISOLATED SLICK SPOTS WILL STILL REMAIN. USE
CAUTION IF TRAVELING AND WATCH FOR BLACK ICE.
ADDITIONALLY...STANDING WATER AND FLOODED ROADWAYS STILL REMAIN
FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM COULD BRING A ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW TO MUCH
OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY ON SATURDAY...WITH RAIN OR SNOW POSSIBLE OVER
PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THIS COULD CAUSE A LIGHT
ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IN SOME LOCATIONS. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM
COULD ALSO BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA ON TUESDAY. THESE
SYSTEMS WILL BE MONITORED IN THE COMING DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WINTER WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE. FACEBOOK AND TWITTER ARE GREAT WAYS TO CONTACT US.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

BJS/TWF/RJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1042 AM EST WED FEB 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1222 AM     FREEZING RAIN    NEW CASTLE              38.43N  85.17W
02/05/2014  E0.00 INCH       HENRY              KY   PUBLIC

            TREE LIMB DOWN ON POWER LINE. REPORT VIA TWITTER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1400190

EER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1045 AM EST WED FEB 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     FREEZING RAIN    TELL CITY               37.95N  86.76W
02/04/2014  M0.33 INCH       PERRY              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN DUE TO ICE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1400191

EER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1047 AM EST WED FEB 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1241 AM     FREEZING RAIN    LEWISPORT               37.93N  86.90W
02/05/2014  E0.25 INCH       HANCOCK            KY   PUBLIC

            2 INCHES OF SNOW AND 0.25 INCHES OF ICE. REPORT VIA
            TWITTER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1400192

EER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1050 AM EST WED FEB 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0849 AM     FREEZING RAIN    LEITCHFIELD             37.48N  86.29W
02/05/2014  M0.25 INCH       GRAYSON            KY   PUBLIC

            0.13-0.25 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION. REPORT VIA TWITTER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1400193

EER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1051 AM EST WED FEB 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     FREEZING RAIN    BUCKNER                 38.38N  85.43W
02/05/2014  M0.25 INCH       OLDHAM             KY   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1400194

EER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1104 AM EST WED FEB 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1122 PM     FREEZING RAIN    4 E ROUNDHILL           37.23N  86.39W
02/04/2014  M0.30 INCH       EDMONSON           KY   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE DOWN DUE TO ICE. REPORT VIA FACEBOOK.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1400195

EER