Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Louisville, KY

319 
WGUS73 KLMK 240024
FFSLMK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
724 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

KYC057-240034-
/O.EXP.KLMK.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140724T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CUMBERLAND KY-
724 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
CUMBERLAND COUNTY...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA AND NO REPORTS OF FLOODING HAVE BEEN RECEIVED.

REPORT FLOODING TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.

LAT...LON 3683 8545 3694 8545 3693 8534 3693 8527
      3683 8528

$$

SCHOETTMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
607 PM EDT Wed Jul 23 2014

...Forecast Update...
Issued at 606 PM EDT Wed Jul 23 2014

Scattered to numerous storms have re-fired ahead of the cool frontal
boundary currently along a BWG/LEX line, with the aid of
differential heating from upper level clouds. These storms are
moving slowly off to the east, and have been able to produce very
heavy rainfall, a localized damaging wind gust and hail. The threat
for stronger storms will diminish over the next two hours as storms
move east of the area, and we lose daytime heating. Did update the
forecast to increase rainfall totals and increase coverage of
t-storms this evening.

.SHORT TERM (Now through Thursday Night)...
Issued at 320 PM EDT Wed Jul 23 2014

The cold front was very near the Ohio River as of 3pm.  Most storms
have exited the region with thinning of clouds noted.  With many
daylight hours left, some instability may rebuild and forcing from
the front could cause a few more storms/showers to redevelop late
this afternoon and evening.  However, the strongest forcing along
the front will remain SW of our region and earlier showers/storms
have created a more stable moist environment.  Post frontal
convection near IND is dissipating as well.  Thus, think that more
showers/storms are possible but will limit POPs to 20-30% for this
evening.  Also, any convection that does form is expected to remain
below severe limits due to limited forcing and instability.  In
fact, it will probably be hard to even get a strong storm going with
gusty winds in this environment.

Any convective activity should cease after midnight with only some
patchy light drizzle/low clouds and maybe even some light fog late
tonight into tomorrow morning.  A cooler airmass will enter the area
resulting in low temps in the 60s tonight.

With sfc high pressure and upper level troughing over the region
Thurs/Thurs night, we'll experience unseasonably cool conditions.
Highs Thurs afternoon will drop back into the upper 70s and lower
80s with skies becoming mostly sunny during the afternoon hours.
Thurs night lows will bottom out in the upper 50s and lower 60s
under mostly clear skies.

.LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)...
Issued at 320 PM EDT Wed Jul 23 2014

Friday should be one more quiet day, with lower dewpoints and
temperatures still a few degrees below normal. A disturbance flowing
down within the northwest flow aloft will run into the dry air over
us, which should keep us from getting rain. This first system could
set the stage for another system to have a little more moisture to
work with late Friday night as it gets into southern Indiana. Cloud
cover with this system, similar to today, will pose a large question
mark on temperatures and rain chances in the day Saturday. MEX
guidance is calling for highs in the 90s Saturday, with the chance
for storms waiting until the evening as yet another disturbance
rolls through and takes advantage of that heating/instability. Will
not go as high as the guidance for temperatures, but still be around
90 for many locations.

The rain chances will continue Sunday and Sunday night as we get a
cool front to move from the Midwest into the Ohio Valley. That front
will bring another round of unseasonably cool temperatures to the
region for at least the first half of the work week. Once again,
records are possible with this round of cooling.

&&

.AVIATION (18Z TAF Update)...
Issued at 200 PM EDT Wed Jul 23 2014

A cold front to our NW combined with an upper level trough will
continue to provide convection chances through tonight.  While
BWG/SDF sit in a lull currently with only a few showers around,
storms should redevelop late this afternoon and evening along the
cold front and move toward the terminals.  LEX currently has a
t-storm at the TAF site, but should see a lull in convective
activity by around 1830Z.  LEX will also get in on the redevelopment
of storms later today according to the latest model data.
Redevelopment of convection later today is dependent on clouds
clearing/thinning along the front which currently they are thinning
in this area fairly quickly.  Also some convection has redeveloped
over central Indiana.  T-storm chances should cease after the fropa
between 1-4Z.  After the fropa we'll see low clouds build in with
cigs dropping into the low end MVFR or IFR late tonight into
tomorrow morning.  Vsbys should drop to MVFR as well.  Lingering
showers and drizzle will prevail through the overnight hours.
Conditions will improve to solid MVFR by mid to late morning
tomorrow.

Winds will remain WNW this afternoon and evening ahead of the fropa
and then turn NNE behind the fropa between 5-10 kts.  Higher winds
may occur in any t-storms.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

Update.........BJS
Short Term.....AMS
Long Term......RJS
Aviation.......AMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
331 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-241930-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-
PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-
MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-
OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-
HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-
NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-
LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-
EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-
WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-
ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...
BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...
MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...
CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...
PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...
NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...
LANCASTER...RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...
GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...
EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
331 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014 /231 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PASS THROUGH THE
REGION THIS EVENING WHICH MAY CAUSE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS UP
TO 35 MPH AND BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THROUGH MUCH OF THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND...THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHED AND
THEN PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE WELCOME TO REPORT INSTANCES OF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY
WINDS TODAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

AMS/RJS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
522 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

KYZ066-077-232150-
ADAIR KY-CASEY KY-
522 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN...
HALF INCH HAIL...AND 40 MPH WINDS...

AT 416 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LIBERTY TO 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF COLUMBIA...AND MOVING EAST AT 10
MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...HALF INCH HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40
MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  CLEMENTSVILLE...
  NEATSVILLE...
  PELLYTON AND BEECH BOTTOM...
  CRESTON AND RHEBER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3717 8529 3741 8506 3743 8485 3718 8507
TIME...MOT...LOC 2122Z 260DEG 10KT 3737 8502 3722 8518

RJS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
437 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

KYZ077-081-232200-
ADAIR KY-CUMBERLAND KY-
437 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...HALF
INCH HAIL...AND 40 MPH WINDS...

AT 436 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTH OF BURKESVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT
10 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...HALF INCH HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40
MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  AMANDAVILLE...
  CHANCE...
  INROAD AND CUNDIFF...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3693 8546 3705 8526 3692 8523 3690 8528
      3688 8525 3686 8524 3683 8543
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 251DEG 8KT 3692 8536

RJS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
439 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

KYZ064-074-076-232210-
BARREN KY-GREEN KY-METCALFE KY-
439 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN...
PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND 40 MPH WINDS...

AT 438 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF GREENSBURG TO 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF GLASGOW...AND MOVING EAST AT 10
MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40
MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  ECHO...
  NODE...
  PIERCE AND KNOB LICK...
  LITTLE BARREN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3702 8588 3718 8570 3719 8568 3721 8567
      3721 8546 3700 8565
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 270DEG 8KT 3715 8565 3706 8577

RJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
550 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSE BON AYR           37.00N  86.03W
07/23/2014                   BARREN             KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN AND ROOF DAMAGE TO A HOME AND AT LEAST
            MARBLE SIZE HAIL ON BECTON ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1400685

RL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
453 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

KYZ077-078-081-232225-
ADAIR KY-CUMBERLAND KY-RUSSELL KY-
453 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN...
HALF INCH HAIL...AND 50 MPH WINDS...

AT 452 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM COLUMBIA TO 8 MILES
NORTH OF BURKESVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...HALF INCH HAIL...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 45
TO 50 MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  COLUMBIA...
  INROAD AND BAKERTON...
  CRAYCRAFT...
  CUNDIFF...
  CLAYWELL...

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT THE CUMBERLAND (NUNN) PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 49 AND 62.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3684 8549 3716 8531 3710 8501 3687 8519
      3689 8522 3688 8524 3686 8521 3682 8522
      3679 8524
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 284DEG 9KT 3705 8525 3690 8533

RJS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
557 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

KYZ065-066-077-232225-
ADAIR KY-CASEY KY-TAYLOR KY-
557 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN...
HALF INCH HAIL...AND 40 MPH WINDS...

AT 554 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES WEST OF LIBERTY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
10 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN REDUCING
VISIBILITIES...HALF INCH HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40
MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  LIBERTY...
  ATTERSON...
  PRICETOWN...
  BEECH BOTTOM AND LANHAMTOWN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3733 8524 3742 8508 3741 8505 3744 8504
      3752 8491 3731 8476 3721 8509
TIME...MOT...LOC 2157Z 236DEG 11KT 3729 8506

RJS