Special Weather Statement, NWS Elko, NV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
348 AM PDT MON SEP 8 2014

.SYNOPSIS...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA TODAY PRODUCING LIGHT RAINS...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS. SHOWERS
BEGIN TO TAPER OFF THIS EVENING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. MAY
SEE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS LINGERING OVER EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA LATE TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MAIN CHANGE TO THE FORECAST
PACKAGE WAS TO EXTEND THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM THREAT FURTHER
TO THE NORTHWEST FOR TODAY. RECENT CHANGES MAY NOT HAVE BEEN FAR
ENOUGH WEST HOWEVER...AS LIGHTNING HAS JUST BEGUN NEAR AND TO THE
WEST OF LOVELOCK AND IS SPREADING NORTH. MAY SEE ANOTHER UPDATE
LATER THIS MORNING IF STORMS CONTINUE TO EXPAND INTO WESTERN AND
NORTHERN MOST PORTIONS OF HUMBOLDT COUNTY. STORMS THIS MORNING
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN NEVADA ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE RELATIVELY LIGHT
RAIN AMOUNTS AS PW VALUES ARE IN THE .4 TO .5 RANGE. MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL EXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER MUCH OF EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA
HOWEVER...WHERE BOTH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IS ELEVATED. SHOWERS
BEGIN TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST...WITH
SHOWERS LINGERING OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE CWA
TONIGHT AS THE TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. LATE TUESDAY
MORNING OR BY THE MID-AFTERNOON AT THE LATEST...THE SHOWERS WILL
END OVER EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA UNDER A MORE STABLE AND DRIER
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING TROUGH.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. BENIGN WEATHER WILL BE
ON TAP THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES
THE REGION. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 70S TO THE MID
80S AND LOWS IN THE 40S.

&&

.AVIATION...SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL PUSH NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL
AND EASTERN NV TODAY BRINGING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS, PRIMARILY IMPACTING THE KTPH AND KELY TERMINALS.
MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS OTHERWISE
VFR. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST
TONIGHT IMPACTING MAINLY THE KELY TERMINAL.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MOIST AIR MASS SPREADING UP FROM SOUTHERN NEVADA
WILL RESULT IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF CENTRAL
AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEVADA TODAY...WITH HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE
IN ZONES 455 AND 457. LATEST MODEL RUNS NOW SHOW ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM THREAT FOR TODAY EXTENDING A LITTLE FURTHER TO THE
NORTHWEST THAN PREVIOUS GUIDANCE...GENERALLY CLIPPING THE SOUTHERN
HALVES OF ZONES 467-470. SHOWERS BEGIN TO TAPER OFF FROM NORTHWEST
TO SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING...WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE ENTIRE REGION FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY...WHITE PINE COUNTY.

&&

96/91/91/96

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1121 AM PDT MON SEP 8 2014

NVZ035-081900-
WHITE PINE COUNTY NV-
1121 AM PDT MON SEP 8 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN WHITE PINE COUNTY UNTIL
NOON PDT...

AT 1120 AM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF MCGILL...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL EASTERN WHITE PINE COUNTY...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3981 11440 3958 11410 3943 11455 3956 11471
TIME...MOT...LOC 1821Z 225DEG 20KT 3956 11454

PJS