Areal Flood Advisory 21, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
528 PM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

.UPDATE...

GIVEN THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL THAT FELL OVER HARRISON AND
JACKSON COUNTIES LAST WEEK...HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES UNTIL 1 AM. EXPECT A
BAND OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO MOVE OVER THESE COUNITES THIS
EVENING...AND POTENTIALLY PRODUCE UP TO 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL.
AS A RESULT...SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES MAY DEVELOP SINCE THE
RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY RUN OFF THE ALREADY WET SOILS.
OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST HAVE BEEN MADE. 32

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  76  65  85  67 /  80  30  20  20
BTR  83  69  87  72 /  70  30  20  20
ASD  79  68  83  70 /  80  60  40  20
MSY  81  70  83  71 /  80  60  40  20
GPT  79  72  81  74 /  80  70  50  20
PQL  79  68  81  69 /  80  70  50  20

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     HANCOCK...HARRISON...AND JACKSON.

GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
801 PM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-101315-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
801 PM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI THROUGH 9 AM SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST PREVALENT ALONG THE COASTAL
AREAS OF LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS.

ISOLATED...MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES.

A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE
STRONG...PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.