Special Weather Statement, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
345 PM CDT MON AUG 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LOCAL 88DS ARE BEGINNING TO LIGHT UP WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS
DEVELOPING IN RESPONSE TO THE ERLY WAVE CROSSING SERN LA ATTM.
EXPECT SOME OF THE NRN CONVECTION TO BEGIN DYING OFF WITH LOSS OF
HEATING THIS EVENING BUT HAVE MAINTAINED HIGHER POPS TONIGHT
CLOSER TO THE COAST WHERE LIFT/MOISTURE IS PROGGED TO REMAIN A
LITTLE BETTER. HIGHEST POPS WILL CONTINUE SPREADING WWD CLOSER TO
THE COAST AS THE WAVE CONTINUES PUSHING WWD ACROSS THE NWRN GULF
INTO TOMORROW MORNING. CONDITIONS LOOK TO IMPROVE BY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON AS DRYING ACCOMPANIES SOME RIDGING ALOFT RE-ESTABLISHING
ITSELF ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ERN 1/2 OF THE AREA.

POST-WAVE AND THROUGH MID-WEEK MOISTURE IS PROGGED TO REMAIN
SOMEWHAT ELEVATED ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST WHILE THE RIDGE ALOFT
NUDGES SWD TOWARD THE REGION. FOR NOW HAVE MAINTAINED SMALL POPS
AREA-WIDE...TRENDING HIGHER FROM N-S. BY LATE IN THE WORK WEEK THE
AREA WILL BECOME UNDER A LITTLE BETTER INFLUENCE OF THE
APPROACHING WRN CONUS TROF...AND THE INCREASING MOISTURE/LIFT WILL
ALLOW FOR THE GRADUAL ELEVATION IN POPS INTO THE WEEKEND. RAIN
CHANCES WILL FINALLY WANE BY SUNDAY AS THE TROF AXIS WEAKENS AND
MOVES E OF THE AREA.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER AROUND TO A MORE TYPICAL SRLY DIRECTION
BY MID-WEEK AS THE WAVE MOVES WEST OF THE COASTAL WATERS AND HIGH
PRESSURE BECOMES RE-ESTABLISHED TO OUR EAST. NO FLAGS ARE
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE PERIOD ATTM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  77  92  75  92  76 /  40  40  10  20  20
KBPT  77  91  77  93  76 /  40  50  20  30  30
KAEX  74  93  72  94  73 /  40  20  10  20  20
KLFT  76  92  74  93  76 /  50  30  10  30  30

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
525 AM CDT MON AUG 25 2014

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-
073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-261030-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
525 AM CDT MON AUG 25 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A TROF OF LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING WEST ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING
AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE MOVING THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH ONLY LOW END RAINS CHANCES EXPECTED FOR MID-WEEK.
A DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING LATE IN THE WEEK WILL RESULT IN
ANOTHER INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY NOT BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
448 PM CDT MON AUG 25 2014

LAZ052-074-252245-
VERMILION LA-EAST CAMERON LA-
448 PM CDT MON AUG 25 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES
UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

AT 443 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTH OF PECAN ISLAND...MOVING SOUTHWEST
AT 20 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PECAN ISLAND AT 450 PM
  THE COAST OF RURAL SOUTHWESTERN VERMILION PARISH AT 510 PM

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING AND WIND
GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING
UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 2958 9265 2964 9280 2990 9233 2972 9221
      2954 9239

RUA

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