Special Weather Statement, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
345 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT FINALLY MAKING PROGRESS
ACROSS NE TX...WITH SHRA/TSRA BEGINNING TO FILL IN ALONG AND
AHEAD OF IT. TEMPS HOLDING IN THE LOWER 70S AHEAD OF IT.

FOR THE FORECAST TODAY...FRONT WILL CONTINUE SE...ALONG WITH
SHRA/TSRA ENHANCEMENT AS IT MOVES THRU SE TX/C AND S LA. STILL
UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SVR TSRA THRU DAYBREAK...WITH DECENT
INSTABILITY AHEAD OF IT. SPC NOW ISSUING A SVR WATCH 60 FOR SE TX
AND PORTIONS OF SW AND C LA THRU 11 AM. OTHERWISE...HEALTHY POPS
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING...BEGINNING TO TAPER OFF THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT MOVES FURTHER INTO THE GULF WITH COOLER AND
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR FILTERS BEHIND IT.

WITH THE FRONT BECOMING STATIONARY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
...OVER-RUNNING SHRA/TSRA WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE...WITH SKIES
NOT EXPECTED TO CLEAR ACROSS OUR REGION. THE WIND PATTERN ALOFT
REMAINING FROM THE WSW WILL KEEP THE DOOR OPEN FOR THE NEXT
SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCE TO BRING ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE OF SHRA/TSRA
FOR SAT AFTERNOON INTO LATE SUN AS A FRONTAL WAVE/LOW DEVELOPS SAT
NIGHT AND MOVES NE SUN.

FOLLOWING THE EXIT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE THE END OF THE PRECIP
AND SEASONABLE TEMPS FOR MON. MINOR SHORTWAVE MAY GENERATE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA FOR TUE...WITH NO PRECIP EXPECTED FOR WED
AND THU.

&&

.MARINE...
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING
INTO THE AFTERNOON AS A THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA...AND LINGER
INTO FRIDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO AND THEN STALLS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS. INCREASED CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL COME FOR THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND
SURFACE LOW AFFECTS THE COASTAL WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  78  56  67  56  73 /  60  30  60  70  70
KBPT  77  56  66  58  71 /  60  20  60  70  70
KAEX  76  51  67  53  67 /  60  20  60  70  70
KLFT  81  57  68  57  75 /  60  30  60  70  70

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
400 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
041100-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
400 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION TODAY AS A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES EAST TODAY. AS THE COLD FRONT
MOVES SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...A SLIGHT RISK OF SOME
OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL INDUCE
A FRONTAL WAVE OR LOW AND INCREASE THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND...ENDING BY SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST. LITTLE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-041100-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
400 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF TODAY AS MODERATE
SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE. OTHERWISE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL RETURN TO THE REGION TODAY AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEM MOVES EAST TODAY. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL INDUCE
A FRONTAL WAVE OR LOW AND INCREASE THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND...ENDING BY SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST. LITTLE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
345 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

LAZ027-TXZ259-260-040945-
NORTHERN JASPER TX-NORTHERN NEWTON TX-VERNON LA-
345 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR VERNON PARISH...SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES UNTIL 445 AM CDT...

AT 340 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES WEST OF BROWNDELL...MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
BROWNDELL...HARRISBURG...FARRSVILLE...MAYFLOWER...WIERGATE AND
BURKEVILLE.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...PEA TO
NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN
TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A
SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT
FRIDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3094 9342 3099 9414 3110 9414 3112 9405
      3114 9404 3116 9392 3118 9363 3117 9358
      3120 9355 3124 9356 3128 9354 3128 9345
      3132 9342

K. KUYPER